High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA) deployments will garner over 60 percent of
infrastructure revenue in 2012, according to a new report from Telecom Trends
International, Inc. The report, "The Market for Next-Generation Mobile
Networks," says the infrastructure market will generate over $100 billion in
revenue in 2012.
Mobile Infrastructure Revenue Share by Technology - 2012
Source:
Telecom Trends International, Inc.
WCDMA is the fastest growing technology, giving WCDMA networks unprecedented
economies of scale and helping lower equipment costs, said Naqi Jaffery,
President and Chief Analyst, Telecom Trends International, Inc. HSPA, an
enhancement to WCDMA, will increase both data rates and network capacity and by
2012, HSPA will become the de facto global standard, he said.
The report says EDGE networks will become more spectrally efficient with the
transition to "EDGE Evolution" beginning in 2007. EDGE Evolution will add voice
and data capacity, increasing data rates up to three times as compared to today
s EDGE networks. EDGE Evolution will garner over 20 percent of infrastructure
revenue by 2012, the report says.
According to the report, dual-mode handsets will allow interoperability
between HSPA and EDGE Evolution networks, allowing for global, seamless roaming.
This will give both the technologies tremendous impetus, it says.
The report predicted that spending on CDMA2000
family of technologies will gradually decline, relegating it to a niche
status. Mobile operators with CDMA2000 networks will begin switching to HSPA or
EDGE Evolution within the next seven years, it said.
Despite CDMA2000 s advanced capabilities, it failed to win operator interest
in most countries of Asia and Latin America where its deployments were expected
to grow, the report pointed out. As a result, CDMA2000 will not be able to match
the pricing of WCDMA/HSPA and EDGE networks and handsets, putting CDMA2000
operators at a competitive disadvantage, the report said.
