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LAMPS (US industry forecasts for 2013 & 2018)
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Abstract
US demand to increase 4% annually through 2013
US demand for lamps is forecast to grow four percent per year through 2013 to
$7 billion. Federal regulations intended to reduce the energy consumed by
lighting will generate double-digit annual demand gains for fluorescent lamps
and cause an offsetting contraction in demand for conventional incandescent
lamps.
The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 effectively bans the sale of
general service incandescent lamps starting in 2012, and compact fluorescent
lamps (CFLs) are expected to replace most of these lamps as they burn out.
Demand for CFLs will surge more than 20 percent annually through 2013 as
consumers transition to the new technology. But long-term demand will
ultimately proceed at a slower pace as CFLs last much longer than the
incandescent lamps they will replace.
Light emitting diodes (LEDs) pose a serious threat to future lamp demand.
Although their high price has limited their usage so far, technological
innovations that reduce costs and improve performance will likely lead to the
widespread adoption of LED-based lighting devices. In the long term, lamps are
expected to lose market share to LEDs, especially in such markets as motor
vehicles and nonresidential buildings.
Metal halide, halogen lamps to post strong gains
Metal halide lamps will lead the highintensity discharge (HID) product segment
through 2013. As mercury vapor lamps are phased-out of the market, metal
halide lamps will gain market share in outdoor lighting applications.
Furthermore, metal halide lamps are increasingly finding use as high-end motor
vehicle headlamps.
Halogen lamps are also forecast to grow especially fast through 2013,
benefiting from the ban on general service incandescent lamps. Although less
efficient and shorter-lived than CFLs, halogen lamps outperform CFLs in terms
of color rendering, and they do not contain mercury. Furthermore, demand for
halogen lamps will also benefit from recovering production of motor vehicles,
as halogen lamps find widespread use as headlamps.
Residential, nonresidential buildings to remain leading US lamp markets
Buildings account for the majority of lamp demand, and this market will enjoy
above-average gains through 2013. Residential buildings will largely be
responsible for this growth, due to a surge in demand for CFLs as general
service lamps are phased out of the market. However, demand in nonresidential
buildings will also accelerate through 2013, as new federal regulations
raising the minimum efficiency of general use fluorescent lamps raise the
average cost of fluorescent lamps going forward.
Study coverage
Details on these and other findings are contained in Lamps, a new Freedonia
industry study presents historical demand (1998, 2003 and 2008) plus forecasts
(2013 and 2018) for lamps by product and market. The study also considers
market environment factors, evaluates company market share and profiles nearly
35 competitors in the US industry
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- General
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Demographic Trends
- Consumer Income & Expenditure Trends
- Construction Trends
- Residential Building Construction
- Construction Expenditures
- Housing Outlook
- Housing Stock
- Improvements & Repairs
- Nonresidential Building Construction
- Construction Expenditures
- Improvements & Repairs
- Nonresidential Building Stock
- Nonbuilding Construction
- Motor Vehicle Trends
- Durable Goods Manufacturing Trends
- Historical Market Trends
- Pricing Trends
- Environmental & Regulatory Issues
- General Regulations & Standards
- Energy-Efficiency Concerns
- Federal Regulations
- State Regulations
- Other Environmental Concerns
III. OVERVIEW
- General
- Lamp Demand
- Demand by Value
- Demand by Unit
- Lamp Foreign Trade
- Lamp Shipments
- Lamp Characteristics
- Luminous Efficacy
- Light Quality
- Lighting Fixtures
- Other Lamp Characteristics
- Light Emitting Diodes
IV. FILAMENT LAMPS
- General
- Incandescent Lamps
- Product Characteristics
- Regulatory Issues
- Large Incandescent Lamps
- General Use Incandescent Lamps
- Incandescent Reflector Lamps
- Decorative Incandescent Lamps
- Other Large Incandescent Lamps
- Miniature Incandescent Lamps
- Incandescent Sealed Beam Lamps
- Incandescent Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamps
- Other Miniature Incandescent Lamps
- Other Incandescent Lamps
- Halogen Lamps
- Product Characteristics
- Regulatory Issues
- Large Halogen Lamps
- Halogen Reflector Lamps
- Other Large Halogen Lamps
- Miniature Halogen Lamps
- Halogen Sealed Beam Lamps
- Halogen Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamps
- Other Miniature Halogen Lamps
V. ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
- General
- Fluorescent Lamps
- Product Characteristics
- Regulatory Issues
- Compact Fluorescent Lamps
- Large Fluorescent Lamps
- High-Output Fluorescent Lamps
- Slimline Fluorescent Lamps
- Other Fluorescent Lamps
- High Intensity Discharge & Other Electrical Discharge Lamps
- Regulatory Issues
- High Intensity Discharge Lamps
- Metal Halide
- Sodium Vapor
- Mercury Vapor
- Other Electrical Discharge Lamps
VI. MARKETS
- General
- Buildings
- Residential
- Nonresidential
- Office & Commercial
- Institutional
- Industrial
- Other Nonresidential
- Consumer Products
- Motor Vehicles
- Demand by Sector
- Demand by Vehicle Class
- Outdoor Lighting
- Other Markets
VII. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- General
- Industry Composition
- Market Share
- Vertical & Horizontal Integration
- Product Development
- Environment-Related Developments
- Other Lamp Product Developments
- Manufacturing
- Marketing
- Green Marketing
- Consumer-Focused Strategies
- Other Market-Specific Strategies
- Distribution
- Consumer
- Nonresidential
- OEM
- Mergers & Acquisitions
- Cooperative Agreements
COMPANY PROFILES
- Advanced Lighting Technologies Incorporated
- Amglo Kemlite Laboratories Incorporated
- Auer Lighting GmbH, see Advanced Lighting Technologies
- Automotive Lighting LLC, see Fiat
- Bulbrite Industries Incorporated
- CML Innovative Technologies Incorporated
- Eiko Limited
- EYE Lighting International of North America Incorporated, see Iwasaki
Electric Company
- Federal-Mogul Corporation
- Feit Electric Company Incorporated
- Fiat SpA
- Ford Motor Company
- General Electric Company
- Hamamatsu Photonics KK
- Harison Toshiba Lighting Corporation, see Toshiba
- Hella KGaA Hueck & Company
- Interlectric Corporation
- Iwasaki Electric Company Limited
- JKL Components Corporation
- LCD Lighting Incorporated
- Light Sources Incorporated
- Lights of America Incorporated
- Lumination LLC, see General Electric
- MaxLite SK America Incorporated
- Opto Technology Incorporated, see PerkinElmer
- OSRAM SYLVANIA Incorporated, see Siemens
- Panasonic Corporation
- PerkinElmer Incorporated
- Peterson Corporation
- Philips Lighting Company, see Royal Philips Electronics
- Royal Philips Electronics NV
- Siemens AG
- Stanley Electric Company Limited
- TCP Incorporated
- Toshiba Corporation
- Trojan Incorporated
- Ushio Incorporated
- UVP LLC
- Venture Lighting International Incorporated, see Advanced Lighting
Technologies
- Visteon Corporation
- Voltarc Technologies Incorporated, see Light Sources
- Welch Allyn Incorporated
LIST OF TABLES
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- 1 Macroeconomic Indicators
- 2 Population & Households
- 3 Personal Consumption Expenditures
- 4 Construction Expenditures
- 5 Residential Building Construction Expenditures
- 6 New Housing Indicators
- 7 Housing Stock by Type
- 8 Residential Improvement & Repair Expenditures
- 9 Nonresidential Building Construction Expenditures
- 10 Nonresidential Building Improvement & Repair Expenditures
- 11 Nonresidential Building Stock
- 12 Nonbuilding Construction Expenditures
- 13 Motor Vehicle Indicators
- 14 Manufacturers' Shipments
- 15 Historical Market Trends, 1998-2008
- 16 Average Lamp Prices
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
- 1 Lamp Value Demand by Type
- 2 Lamp Unit Demand by Type
- 3 Lamp Foreign Trade
- 4 Lamp Shipments by Type
SECTION IV -- FILAMENT LAMPS
- 1 Filament Lamp Supply & Demand
- 2 Incandescent Lamp Supply & Demand
- 3 Large Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
- 4 General Use Incandescent Lamp Demand
- 5 Incandescent Reflector Lamp Demand
- 6 Decorative Incandescent Lamp Demand
- 7 Other Large Incandescent Lamp Demand
- 8 Miniature Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
- 9 Incandescent Sealed Beam Lamp Demand
- 10 Incandescent Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamp Demand
- 11 Other Miniature Incandescent Lamp Demand
- 12 Other Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type
- 13 Halogen Lamp Supply & Demand
- 14 Large Halogen Lamp Demand by Type
- 15 Halogen Reflector Lamp Demand by Type
- 16 Other Large Halogen Lamp Demand
- 17 Miniature Halogen Lamp Demand by Type
- 18 Halogen Sealed Beam Lamp Demand
- 19 Halogen Non-Sealed Beam Vehicular Lamp Demand
- 20 Other Miniature Halogen Lamp Demand
SECTION V -- ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
- 1 Electrical Discharge Lamp Supply & Demand
- 2 Fluorescent Lamp Supply & Demand
- 3 Compact Fluorescent Lamp Demand
- 4 Large Fluorescent Lamp Demand
- 5 High-Output Fluorescent Lamp Demand
- 6 Slimline Fluorescent Lamp Demand
- 7 Other Fluorescent Lamp Demand
- 8 High Intensity Discharge & Other Discharge Lamp Supply & Demand
- 9 High Intensity Discharge Lamp Demand by Type
- 10 Metal Halide Lamp Demand
- 11 Sodium Vapor Lamp Demand
- 12 Mercury Vapor Lamp Demand
- 13 Other Electrical Discharge Lamp Demand
SECTION VI -- MARKETS
- 1 Lamp Demand by Market
- 2 Buildings Market for Lamps
- 3 Residential Buildings Market for Lamps
- 4 Nonresidential Buildings Market for Lamps
- 5 Office & Commercial Buildings Demand for Lamps
- 6 Institutional Buildings Demand for Lamps
- 7 Industrial Buildings Demand for Lamps
- 8 Other Nonresidential Buildings Demand for Lamps
- 9 Consumer Products Market for Lamps
- 10 Motor Vehicle Market for Lamps
- 11 Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand by Sector
- 12 Motor Vehicle Lamp Demand by Vehicle Class
- 13 Outdoor Lighting Market for Lamps
- 14 Other Markets for Lamps
SECTION VII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- 1 US Lamp Sales for Selected Companies, 2008
- 2 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
- 3 Selected Cooperative Agreements
LIST OF CHARTS
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- 1 Year of Construction of Housing Stock, 2008
- 2 Historical Market Trends, 1998-2008
SECTION III -- OVERVIEW
- 1 Lamp Demand by Type, 2008 in Value and Units
- 2 US Lamp Trade by Type, 2008
- 3 Luminous Efficacy of Selected Lamps
- 4 Light Quality of Selected Lamps
SECTION IV -- FILAMENT LAMPS
- 1 Incandescent Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
- 2 Halogen Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
SECTION V -- ELECTRICAL DISCHARGE LAMPS
- 1 Fluorescent Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
- 2 HID & Other Discharge Lamp Demand by Type, 1998-2018
SECTION VI -- MARKETS
- 1 Lamp Demand by Market, 1998-2018
SECTION VII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
- 1 Lamp Market Share, 2008
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