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Voice: a vision of the future

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US $ 3,360 £Ü 3,981,600 PDF by E-mail (Single User License)
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Abstract

'Conversation is the killer application'. This statement has characterised the telecoms market since Alexander Graham Bell invented the telephone 130 years ago. We believe that it will still be the case in ten years' time, and probably for the rest of the 21st century. Globally, voice minutes will almost double during the next ten years, to reach 16 trillion in 2015, or about 11 minutes per day for each of the world's 4 billion telephone users.

Ovum has undertaken extensive research on numerous aspects of the voice market. The objective of this report is not to summarise all of this research, but rather to present a high-level and long-term summary of the voice market.

The report presents:

  • a quantitative 25-year perspective of the voice market from 1990 to 2015, by seven world regions
  • short scenarios of the key issues that will drive the voice market during the next ten years.

Table of Contents

Global summary

  • Figure 1 Voice minutes
  • Figure 2 Voice minutes by region
  • Figure 3 Voice access methods
  • Figure 4 Mobile penetration
  • Value sucked out of the voice market
  • Figure 5 Voice revenues
  • Figure 6 All PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues

Overall scenario

  • Figure 7 Major threats to service operators

Context of this report

  • Voice over private networks
  • Definitions

Market scenarios

  • Fixed-to-mobile substitution (FMS)
  • Figure 8 Mobile-only households
  • Figure 9 Mobile premium: ratio of average price per mobile versus PSTN minute
  • VoIP over broadband
  • Naked DSL
  • Multi-mode mobile handsets
  • Figure 10 Mobile handset shipments
  • Fixed--mobile convergence (FMC)
  • Figure 11 FMC
  • Voice over public WiFi
  • VoIP over 3G
  • Figure 12 Wireless technology scenario
  • VoIP over WiMAX
  • Next-generation networks (NGNs)
  • Impact of the Internet portals
  • Figure 13 Active users
  • Voice prices
  • Figure 14 Average price per minute
  • And in 2015?

Market forecasts

World

  • Figure 15 World data
  • Figure 16 Voice access methods
  • Figure 17 Voice minutes
  • Figure 18 Voice revenues
  • Figure 19 All PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 20 Average price per minute

Global comparison

  • Figure 21 PSTN lines
  • Figure 22 Mobile devices
  • Figure 23 Mobile penetration
  • Figure 24 Broadband lines
  • Figure 25 Voice revenues
  • Figure 26 Total revenues
  • Figure 27 Voice minutes

North America

  • Figure 28 North America data
  • Figure 29 North America: voice access methods
  • Figure 30 North America: voice minutes
  • Figure 31 North America: voice revenues
  • Figure 32 North America: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 33 North America: average price per minute

Latin America

  • Figure 34 Latin America data
  • Figure 35 Latin America: voice access methods
  • Figure 36 Latin America: voice minutes
  • Figure 37 Latin America: voice revenues
  • Figure 38 Latin America: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 39 Latin America: average price per minute

Western Europe

  • Figure 40 Western Europe data
  • Figure 41 Western Europe: voice access methods
  • Figure 42 Western Europe: voice minutes
  • Figure 43 Western Europe: voice revenues
  • Figure 44 Western Europe: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 45 Western Europe: average price per minute

Eastern Europe

  • Figure 46 Eastern Europe data
  • Figure 47 Eastern Europe: voice access methods
  • Figure 48 Eastern Europe: voice minutes
  • Figure 49 Eastern Europe: voice revenues
  • Figure 50 Eastern Europe: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 51 Eastern Europe: average price per minute

China-India

  • Figure 52 China-India data
  • Figure 53 China-India: voice access methods
  • Figure 54 China-India: voice minutes
  • Figure 55 China-India: voice revenues
  • Figure 56 China-India: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 57 China-India: average price per minute

Asia-Pacific

  • Figure 58 Asia-Pacific data
  • Figure 59 Asia-Pacific: voice access methods
  • Figure 60 Asia-Pacific: voice minutes
  • Figure 61 Asia-Pacific: voice revenues
  • Figure 62 Asia-Pacific: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 63 Asia-Pacific: average price per minute

Middle East and Africa

  • Figure 64 Middle East and Africa data
  • Figure 65 Middle East and Africa: voice access methods
  • Figure 66 Middle East and Africa: voice minutes
  • Figure 67 Middle East and Africa: voice revenues
  • Figure 68 Middle East and Africa: all PSTN, mobile and broadband revenues
  • Figure 69 Middle East and Africa: average price per minute
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