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시장보고서
Small Firearms & Ammunition Market in the U.S.
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Abstract
SBI forecasts after an estimated 10% growth in 2007, growth will soften
substantially in 2008 due a softer U.S. economy, which will lower demand from
civilian and commercial customers. Slightly better stability in Iraq and
Afghanistan should also lower demand from the various military customers.
However, other factors can keep the market firing. Higher uncertainty about
personal safety and security can entice new owners and drive current owners to
add to their existing gun collections. Product innovation geared at developing
new customer bases can also add incremental ownership. SBI estimates that by
2012 the U.S. market for small arms and ammunition manufacturing will reach
$6.5 billion.
This all new comprehensive report covers two main product categories: small
firearms (typically less than .50 caliber) and small firearms ammunition (and
the following segments: handguns, long guns, shotguns and muzzle-loading
firearms), including shipments, units, imports and exports. It identifies the
key trends and dynamics of the market, such as current economic conditions;
distribution; and profiles key market players, outlining their strategies to
maximize growth and profitability.
The U.S. market supply has been calculated from data provided by the U.S.
Department of Commerce' s the Annual Survey of Manufacturers (ASM) and the
Economic Census report on Small Arms Ammunition Manufacturing: 2002. Import
and export data is sourced from the Commerce Department' s USA Trade Online
website. Revenues for manufacturers are determined from company reports and
SEC filings. Data sources providing additional perspective on unit
manufacturing and consumer trends include the U.S. Treasury Department' s
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF); the Treasury' s
Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau (TTB); the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service' s National Survey of Fishing, Hunting and Wildlife-Associated
Recreation and the Simmons Market Research Bureau (New York, NY) spring 2007
consumer survey
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Executive Summary
- Scope
- Small Arms and Ammunition Defined
- Product Categories and Segments
- Methodology
- Market Size and Growth
- Firearms & Ammunition Reach $4.9 Billion
- Table 1-1 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Market and Year-over-Year
Growth, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Civilian/Commercial Market Reaches $2.8 billion
- Shipment Growth Slows, While Trade Activity Accelerates
- Table 1-2 U.S. Small Firearm & Ammunition Shipments, Imports and
Exports, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Imports by Product Type
- Exports by Product Type
- Unit Growth at 15% to Top 7 Million
- Table 1-3 U.S. Small Firearm Units Manufactured, Imported and Exported,
1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Handguns Surge, Long Guns Drop
- Market Forecast
- U.S. Market for Small Arms & Ammunition to Reach $6.5 Billion by 2012
- Figure 1-1 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Market Forecast, 2007-2012
(in billion $)
- Market Trends
- GDP Forecasted Growth: Modest 1.3% in 2008
- Commodity Price Increases
- Producer Price Increases for Arms and Ammunition
- Not All Gun Markets Are Equal
- Production Moving Overseas
- FBI Crime Statistics
- ATF Gets Tough on Gun Store Owners
- Urbanization and Gun Violence
- Ammo Shortage Pinches Homeland Security
- Ammunition Prices Going Up
- Possible Drop in Ammo Demand
- Flawed by Politics and Flamed by Emotions
- Waiting Periods, Background Checks and Assault Weapons Bans
- Politicians and Lobbyists Draw Lines in the Sand
- Taxes on Guns for Non-Related Services
- The Hunt Is On
- Table 1-4 Number of Participants Engaged in Hunting by Prey, 1991-2006
(in thousands)
- Spurring New Ownership Through Innovation
- Corporate Landscape
- Seeped in American History, But Hip to the 21st Century
- Competition
- Competitive Landscape for Firearms
- Competitive Landscape for Ammunition
- Selected Manufacturers
- Table 1-5 Selected Manufacturers of Small Firearms and Ammunition
- Distribution and Retail
- Overview
- Disjointed Regulatory Landscape
- Retailers and Dealers in Decline
- Survey Highlights Retail Best Practices
- Long Hunting Season Boon for Retailers and Distributors
- Attracting Customers
- The Consumer
- U.S. Gun Ownership Strong, But Dropping
- Top States for Small Arms & Ammunition Ownership
- How Gun Violence Affects Individuals' Perceptions
- Individuals Generally Support Regulation
- Sporting Arms & Ammo Consumer Penetration
- Table 1-6 Consumer Penetration Rates for Sporting Arms & Ammunition,
2004-2006 (%)
- Demographic Characteristics
- Party Affiliation No Surprise
Chapter 2 The Market
- Scope
- Small Arms and Ammunition Defined
- Product Categories and Segments
- Methodology
- Market Size and Growth
- Firearms and Ammunition Reach $4.9 Billion
- Figure 2-1 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Market, 1998-2007 (in
billion $)
- Table 2-1 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Market and Year-over-Year
Growth, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Civilian/Commercial Market Reaches $2.8 billion
- Figure 2-2 Estimated U.S. Civilian/Commercial Small Firearms &
Ammunition Market, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Table 2-2 Estimated U.S. Civilian/Commercial Small Firearms & Ammunition
Market and Year-over-Year Growth, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Excise Taxes Approach $300 Million in 2007
- Figure 2-3 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Excise Tax Collections,
1998-2007 (in million $)
- Value of Shipments, Imports and Exports
- Shipment Growth Slows, While Trade Activity Accelerates
- Table 2-3 U.S. Small Firearm & Ammunition Shipments, Imports and
- Exports, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Ammunition Leads Shipments in 2007
- Figure 2-4 U.S. Small Firearm & Ammunition Shipments, 1998-2007 (in
billion $)
- Figure 2-5 U.S. Small Firearm & Ammunition Shipments as a Share of Total
Shipments, 2007 (%)
- Imports Increasingly Important
- Figure 2-6 Domestic vs. Foreign Production as a Share of U.S. Market
Supply for Small Firearms & Ammunition, 1998-2007 (%)
- U.S. Manufacturers Export 14% of Shipments in 2007
- Figure 2-7 U.S. Small Firearm & Ammunition Exports as a Share of
Shipments, 1998-2007 (%)
- Imports by Product Type
- Firearms
- Table 2-4 U.S. Imports of Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories by Product
Type, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-8 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories
Imports by Product Type, 2007 (%)
- Ammunition
- Table 2-5 U.S. Imports of Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts by Product
Type, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-9 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Fire Ammunition & Parts Imports
by Product Type, 2007 (%)
- Exports by Product Type
- Firearms
- Table 2-6 U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Exports by Product
Type, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Table 2-6 [cont.] U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Exports
by Product Type, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-10 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories
Exports by Product Type, 2007 (%)
- Ammunition
- Table 2-7 U.S. Exports of Small Ammunition & Parts by Product Type, 1998
and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-11 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts
Exports by Product Type, 2007 (%)
- Imports by Country of Origin
- Firearms
- Table 2-8 U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Imports by Country of
Origin, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Table 2-8 [cont.] U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Imports
by Country of Origin, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-12 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories
Imports by Country of Origin, 2007 (%)
- Ammunition
- Table 2-9 U.S. Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts Imports by Country of
Origin, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-13 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts
Imports by Country of Origin, 2007 (%)
- Exports by Country of Destination
- Firearms
- Table 2-10 U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Exports by Country
of Destination, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Table 2-10 [cont.] U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories Exports
by Country of Destination, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-14 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearms, Parts & Accessories
Exports by Country of Destination, 2007 (%)
- Ammunition
- Table 2-11 U.S. Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts Exports by Country of
Destination, 1998 and 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 2-15 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearm Ammunition & Parts
Exports by Country of Destination, 2007 (%)
- Small Firearm Unit Size and Growth
- Unit Growth at 15% to Top 7 Million
- Figure 2-16 U.S. Market for Small Firearms, 1998-2007 (in millions of
units)
- Table 2-12 U.S. Small Firearm Units Manufactured, Imported and Exported,
1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Exports as a Share of Domestic Production
- Table 2-13 U.S. Small Firearm Units Manufactured and Exported,
- 1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Imports as a Share of U.S. Market Supply
- Figure 2-17 Domestic vs. Foreign-Made Small Firearm Units as a Share of
U.S. Market Supply, 1998-2007 (%)
- U.S. Unit Manufacturing by Type and Caliber
- Figure 2-18 Estimated Share of U.S. Small Firearm Unit Manufacturing by
Type, 2007 (%)
- Figure 2-19 U.S. Small Firearm Unit Manufacturing by Type, 1998-2007 (in
thousands of units)
- Handguns Surge
- Figure 2-20 U.S. Handgun Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Small Firearms, 1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Figure 2-21 U.S. Pistol Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Handguns, 1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Figure 2-22 U.S. Revolver Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Handguns, 1998-2007 (in millions of units)
- Table 2-14 U.S. Handgun Unit Manufacturing by Type and Caliber,
1998-2005 (in thousands of units)
- Long Guns Decline in Share
- Figure 2-23 U.S. Long Gun Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Small Firearms, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Figure 2-24 U.S. Rifle Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Long Guns, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Figure 2-25 U.S. Shotgun Manufacturing: No. of Units and Share of Total
Long Guns, 1998-2007 (in billion $)
- Market Forecast
- U.S. Market for Small Arms & Ammunition to Reach $6.5 Billion by 2012
- Figure 2-26 U.S. Small Firearms & Ammunition Market Forecast, 2007-2012
(in billion $)
Chapter 3 Market Trends
- Overview
- Economic Factors
- GDP Forecasted Growth: Modest 2.2% in 2007, 1.3% in 2008
- Figure 3-1 U.S. Current-Dollar GDP vs. Real GDP, 2002-2008 (in trillion
$)
- Figure 3-2 Percentage Changes in U.S. Current-Dollar GDP, Real GDP and
the GDP Price Index, 2002-2008 (%)
- Economic Impact on Firearm Industry
- Rising Manufacturing Costs
- Commodity Price Increases
- Figure 3-3 U.S. Producer Price Indexes for Selected Commodities,
1997-2006
- Producer Price Increases for Arms and Ammunition
- Figure 3-4 U.S. Producer Price Indexes for Small Firearms and
Ammunition, 1997-September 2007
- Not All Gun Markets Are Equal
- Condensed Seasonality
- Production Moving Overseas
- Security Factors
- FBI Crime Statistics
- Table 3-1 Safer Now Than Before 9/11?, 2004, 2006, 2007
- Property Crime Continues to Decline
- Violent Crime Ticks Upward
- ATF Gets Tough on Gun Store Owners
- Urbanization and Gun Violence
- Segregation Fuels Violence
- Exurbia: Blending the Line Between Urban and Suburban
- Table 3-2 Leading Homicide Rates in Small, Medium and Large U.S. Cities
- Ammo Shortage Pinches Homeland Security
- Ammunition Prices Going Up
- Possible Drop in Ammo Demand
- Regulatory Factors
- Flawed by Politics and Flamed by Emotions
- Waiting Periods, Background Checks and Assault Weapons Bans
- Politicians and Lobbyists Draw Lines in the Sand
- An Alternative to NRA?
- Tiahrt Amendment
- Taxes on Guns for Non-Related Services
- Supreme Court May Take Up Second Amendment Case
- Hunting Trends
- The Hunt Is On
- Hunting Falling Out of Favor
- Figure 3-5 Total Number of Participants Engaged in Hunting, 1991-2006
(in thousands)
- Table 3-3 Number of Participants Engaged in Hunting by Prey, 1991-2006
(in thousands)
- Figure 3-6 Total Hunting Expenditures for Firearms, 1991-2006 (in
million $)
- Table 3-4 Hunting Expenditures by Type of Expenditure, 1991-2006 (in
million $)
- Figure 3-7 Share of Hunting Equipment Expenditures by Type of
Expenditure, 2006 (%)
- Figure 3-8 Hunting Expenditures on Firearms by Firearm Type, 1991-2006
(in millions)
- Figure 3-9 Share of Hunting Expenditures by Firearm Type, 2006 (%)
- Figure 3-10 U.S. Consumer Purchases of Hunting and Firearms Equipment,
1990-2005 (in billion $)
- The New Frontier
- Spurring New Ownership Through Innovation
- Table 3-5 Selected Small Firearms and Ammunition Product Introductions,
2006-2007
Chapter 4 Corporate Profiles
- Seeped in American History, But Hip to the 21st Century
- Competition
- Competitive Landscape for Firearms
- Competitive Landscape for Ammunition
- Selected Manufacturers
- Table 4-1 Selected Manufacturers of Small Firearms and Ammunition
- Smith & Wesson Holding Corp.
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 4-1 Total Net Sales for Smith & Wesson, 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 4-2 Smith & Wesson Customers, 2007 (%)
- Firearm Sales
- Figure 4-3 U.S. Net Firearm Sales for Smith & Wesson, 2003-2007 (in
million $)
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-2 Smith & Wesson Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- Figure 4-4 Smith & Wesson Product Mix, 2007 (%)
- Significant Events
- Herstal Group
- Overview
- FN Herstal
- Overview
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-3 FN Herstal Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- Browning/U.S. Repeating Arms Co.
- Overview
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-4 Browning Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- Table 4-5 Winchester Brand Portfolio, 2007
- GLOCK G.m.b.H.
- Overview
- Performance
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-6 Glock Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc.
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 4-5 Total Net Sales for Strum, Ruger & Co., 2002-2006 (in
million $)
- Figure 4-6 Total Net Firearm Sales for Strum, Ruger & Co., 2002-2006
(in million $)
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-7 Sturm, Ruger & Co. Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- O.F. Mossberg & Sons, Inc.
- Overview
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-8 O.F. Mossberg & Sons Firearm Product Portfolio, 2007
- Significant Events
- Remington Arms Co., Inc.
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 4-7 Total Net Sales for Remington Arms, 2002-2006 (in million $)
- Firearms
- Figure 4-8 Total Net Firearm Sales for Remington Arms, 2002-2006 (in
million $)
- Ammunition
- Figure 4-9 Total Net Ammunition Sales for Remington Arms, 2002-2006
(in million $)
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-9 Remington Arms Product Portfolio, 2006
- Figure 4-10 Remington Arms Product Mix, 2006 (%)
- Alliant Techsystems, Inc.
- Overview
- ATK' s Ammunition Systems Group
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 4-11 Total Net Sales for Alliant Techsystems, 2003-2007 (in
billion $)
- Ammunition
- Figure 4-12 Total Net Ammunition Sales for Alliant Techsystems,
- 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Small-Caliber Ammunition
- Figure 4-13 U.S. Small-Caliber Ammunition Net Sales for Alliant
Techsystems, 2003-2007 (in million $)
- Figure 4-14 Small-Caliber Ammunition Customer Mix for Alliant
- Techsystems, 2007 (%)
- Product Portfolio
- Significant Events
- Olin Corp.
- Overview
- Performance
- Figure 4-15 Net Sales for Olin Corp., 2002-2006 (in billion $)
- Winchester Ammunition
- Performance
- Figure 4-16 Net Sales for Winchester Ammunition, 2002-2006 (in million
$)
- Product Portfolio
- Table 4-10 Winchester Ammunition Product Portfolio, 2006
Chapter 5 Distribution and Retail
- Overview
- Selected Firearm Distributors
- Disjointed Regulatory Landscape
- Loopholes: Gun Shows and the Mentally Ill
- Table 5-1 Selected Legislation Highlights in States with High Gun
- Ownership, 2007
- Retailers and Dealers in Decline
- Table 5-2 Number and % Decrease of Type 1 Federal Firearms Licenses (FFLs)
by State, 1994 to 2007
- Table 5-3 Number of Gun Dealerships vs. Gas Stations, by State, 2005
- Survey Highlights Retail Best Practices
- Know the Laws
- Ensuring Insurance
- Protecting Against Theft
- Educate, Educate, Educate
- Carry a Wide Selection ... and Don' t Forget the Accessories!
- Long Hunting Season Boon for Retailers and Distributors
- Inventory Management Imperative
- Attracting Customers
- Retailer Profile: Cabela' s
- Direct Business via Catalog and Internet Platforms
- Retail Business Surpasses 20 Stores Nationwide
- Revenue Neared $2 Billion in 2006
- Selected Firearm Retailers
Chapter 6 The Consumer
- U.S. Gun Ownership Strong, But Dropping
- High Per Capita Ownership
- Gun Ownership Plunges
- Top States for Small Arms & Ammunition Ownership
- Table 6-1 Percentage of Adults Reporting Household Firearm Ownership by
State, 2002 (%)
- How Gun Violence Affects Individuals' Perceptions
- Table 6-2 Broader Problems Reflected by Incidents Such as Virginia Tech
Shooting?, 2007 (%)
- Table 6-3 How Views on Gun Control Have Changed, 2000-2007 (%)
- Individuals Generally Support Regulation
- Table 6-4 U.S. Public Support for Measures to Regulate Firearms, 2006 (%)
- A Look at Sporting Arms & Ammo Owners
- The Simmons Survey System
- Consumer Penetration
- Table 6-5 Consumer Penetration Rates for Sporting Arms & Ammunition,
2004-2006 (%)
- Demographic Characteristics
- Table 6-6 Sporting Arms & Ammunition Ownership by Demographic
Characteristic, 2007 (index)
- Participation in Hunting
- Consumers Participation
- Table 6-7 Hunting Participation Rates, 2004-2006 (%)
- Demographic Characteristics
- Table 6-8 Demographic Indicators for Hunting Participation, 2007 (index)
- Table 6-9 Demographic Indicators for Hunting "Every Chance I Get," 2007
(index)
- Table 6-10 Demographic Indicators for Hunting Occasionally, 2007 (index)
- Table 6-11 Demographic Indicators for Hunting Seldom, 2007 (index)
- The Politics of Gun Ownership
- Party Affiliation No Surprise
- Table 6-12 Sporting Arms & Ammunition Ownership by Voter Registration
Status and Political Party Affiliation, 2007 (index)
- Beyond Red vs. Blue
- Table 6-13 Gun Ownership by Political Affiliation, 2005 (%)
- Table 6-14 Views of the National Rifle Association by Political
Affiliation, 2005 (%)
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