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Central America Freight Transport and Shipping Report

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KSA 16.05.06

BMI View: El Salvador's trade growth will see a moderate slowdown in 2016, but this will not be sufficient to weigh overly heavily on the freight transport sector. In 2017, we anticipate that growth will strengthen, in large part driven by US consumer demand - growth in exports will outweigh imports over the coming years. In Nicaragua, a robust expansion is expected in Nicaraguan trade volumes in 2016 and 2017, driven by a robust real GDP growth outlook. Imports related to major projects will see imports far outweigh exports, and this will support future growth in the freight transport sector. The biggest of these is the plan to build a new canal through the country, linking the two oceans.

Key Updates And Forecasts:

  • El Salvador's trade growth will see a moderate slowdown in 2016 but in 2017 we anticipate that growth will strengthen, in large part driven by US consumer demand. Robust expansion is expected in Nicaraguan trade volumes in 2016 and 2017, driven by a robust real GDP growth outlook. Total trade will enjoy real growth of 2.4% in El Salvador and 3.9% in Nicaragua for the full 2016-year.
  • Road haulage volumes in El Salvador will expand slowly but steadily over the next several years. The sector will benefit from a generally positive outlook for trade, bolstered by US demand for manufactured goods from the country and supported by low petrol prices. Growth in road haulage volumes in Nicaragua will slow in 2016 following a strong expansion in 2015. Road freight volumes will expand by 1.2% in El Salvador and 1.4% in Nicaragua. This will result in volumes of 7.0mn tonnes and 6.6mn tonnes respectively.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View

SWOT

  • El Salvador Freight Transport SWOT
  • Nicaragua Freight Transport SWOT

Industry Forecast

  • El Salvador Trade Forecast
    • Table: Trade Overview (El Salvador 2013-2020)
    • Table: Key Trade Indicators (El Salvador 2013-2020)
    • Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
    • Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
  • El Salvador Road Freight Forecast
    • Table: Road Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020)
  • El Salvador Air Freight Forecast
    • Table: Air Freight (El Salvador 2013-2020)
  • Nicaragua Trade Forecast
    • Table: Trade Overview (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
    • Table: Key Trade Indicators (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
    • Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2008-2013), USDmn
    • Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2008-2013), USDmn
  • Nicaragua Road Freight Forecast
    • Table: Road Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020)
  • Nicaragua Air Freight Forecast
    • Table: Air Freight (Nicaragua 2013-2020)

Market Overview

  • El Salvador Market Overview
  • Nicaragua Market Overview

Demographic Forecast

  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Belize 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Belize 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Belize 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Belize 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Belize 1990-2025)
  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025)
  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025)
  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025)
  • Demographic Outlook
    • Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
    • Table: Key Population Ratios (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
    • Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group (Nicaragua 1990-2025)
    • Table: Population By Age Group % (Nicaragua 1990-2025)

Methodology

  • Industry Forecast Methodology
  • Sector-Specific Methodology
  • Sources
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