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소형 위성 발사 서비스 시장 예측(-2023년) : 반기 업데이트(2019년 전기)

Small Satellite Launch Services Market, Half-yearly Update, H1 2019, Forecast to 2033

리서치사 Frost & Sullivan
발행일 2019년 10월 상품 코드 914943
페이지 정보 영문 91 Pages
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소형 위성 발사 서비스 시장 예측(-2023년) : 반기 업데이트(2019년 전기) Small Satellite Launch Services Market, Half-yearly Update, H1 2019, Forecast to 2033
발행일 : 2019년 10월 페이지 정보 : 영문 91 Pages

세계의 소형 위성 발사 서비스(Small Satellite Launch Services) 시장에 대해 조사했으며, 매출 예측, 예측 기간 중 발사 수요(위성 수), 주요 이벤트와 산업에 대한 영향, 발사 서비스 프로바이더에게 요구되는 최대 적재 질량, 소형 위성 사용자 부문·질량 클래스·지역·용도별 수요·매출·최대 적재 질량 등을 분석하여 전해드립니다.

개요

정의·세분화

2019년 전기 예측에 관한 주요 과제

소형 위성 발사 수요 예측 : 시나리오, 사용자 부문, 지역, 질량 클래스 및 용도별(위성 수)

  • 소형 위성 발사 수요 예측 : 전체
  • 저-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 사용자 부문별
  • 중-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 사용자 부문별
  • 고-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 사용자 부문별
  • 저-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 지역별
  • 중-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 지역별
  • 고-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 지역별
  • 저-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 용도별
  • 중-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 용도별
  • 고-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 용도별
  • 저-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 질량 클래스별(kg)
  • 중-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 질량 클래스별(kg)
  • 고-시나리오 - 소형 위성 발사 예측 : 질량 클래스별(kg)

최대 적재 질량 예측 : 시나리오, 사용자 부문, 지역, 질량 클래스 및 용도별

발사 수요에 기반한 발사 매출 예측 : 시나리오, 사용자 부문, 지역, 질량 클래스 및 용도별

발사 용량 예측 : 라이드셰어(Rideshare) 및 전용

  • 예측의 전제조건
  • 소형 위성 발사 서비스 시장의 현황 : 발사 용량 공급 예측
  • 소형 위성 시장의 현황 : 발사 용량 공급 예측

주요 소형 위성 이벤트·발전 동향

결론

부록

Frost & Sullivan

KSA 19.11.19

Growing Demand for Launch and the Onset of Scheduled Dedicated Launch Services

Small satellites are at the spotlight of the evolution of the space industry. Small satellite ecosystem is expanding at an accelerated pace, with new entrants offering innovative space solutions; existing players are expanding their portfolio by investing in the small satellite value chain. It is important to investigate the past and current state of the small satellite market and forecast future scenarios.

Many small satellite constellation operators have advanced in their development processes and will generate continuous and recurring launch demand for their constellation installation and replacement missions. At present, nearly all small satellites use the rideshare capacity as a secondary payload on the existing launch vehicles. This makes their project schedule and mission requirements dependent on the primary payload. Moreover, the existing rideshare capacity will not be sufficient to address all the small satellite launch demand in the future. Many incumbent and new participants have sensed the upcoming small satellite demand and have started planning for providing dedicated services and launch flexibility to the small satellite operators to capture the future small satellite launch market.

What makes this study unique?

This analysis tracks the changing dynamics every quarter and updates the forecast based on the latest events. The study exposes the readers to the latest forecast numbers and the major changes, empowering them to the most informed decision making. A bottom-up and detailed approach is applied to forecast the small satellite launch demand. The study defines multiple forecast scenarios based on the maturity of satellite operators. More than 300 operators across the user segments are considered for the forecast. The number of small satellites, payload mass, and launch revenue are forecasted on the basis of defined scenarios, satellite mass classes, and user segments. The study also includes the launch capacity forecast for both rideshare and dedicated launch services segment; it analyzes the alignment between the small satellite launch demand and capacity supply.

Research Scope:

This research study includes the following:

  • Product scope: Small satellite launch services market
  • Geographic scope: Global
  • End-user scope: All companies related to space industry

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What is the revenue forecast from 2019 to 2033?
  • What is the launch demand in terms of number of satellites for the forecast period?
  • What are the key events that occurred during H1 2019 and what are their impact on the industry?
  • What is the payload mass demand for the launch service providers from the small satellite market?
  • What is the small satellite demand, revenue, payload mass demand by user segment, mass class, region and application?
  • What is the projected capacity supply if all new entrants are successfully operational?
  • What is the change in percentage of capacity supply by rideshares and dedicated services over the forecast period?
  • What are new regulatory initiatives taken that will affect the small satellite market?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Findings
  • Key Findings (continued)

Definitions and Segmentation

  • Small Satellites-Definition and Forecast Scenarios
  • Segmentation of Small Satellite Users and Mass Classes
  • Segmentation of Small Satellite Region and Application
  • Small Satellite and Launch Capacity Forecasts

Major Changes with Respect to H1 2019 Forecasts

  • H1 2019 Forecasts with Respect to Q3 2018 Forecasts
  • H1 2019 Forecasts with Respect to Q3 2018 Forecasts (continued)

Small Satellite Launch Demand Forecast by Scenarios, User Segments, Region, Mass Classes, and Application (Number of Satellites)

  • Small Satellite Launch Demand Forecast-Total
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Region
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Region
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Region
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Application
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Application
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Application
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)

Payload Mass Forecast by Scenarios, User Segments, Region, Mass Classes, and Application

  • Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Demand Forecast-Total
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By User Segment
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Region
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Region
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Region
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Application
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Application
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Application
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Payload Mass Launch Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)

Launch Revenue Forecast Based on Launch Demand by Scenarios, User Segments, Region, Mass Classes, and Application

  • Small Satellite Launch Demand Revenue Forecast-Total (With Existing Cost)
  • Low-Scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By User Segment
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By User Segment
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By User Segment
  • Low-Scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Region
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Region
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Region
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Application
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Application
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Application
  • Low-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • Mid-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)
  • High-scenario Small Satellite Launch Revenue Forecast-By Mass Class (kg)

Launch Capacity Forecast-Rideshare and Dedicated

  • Launch Capacity Forecast Assumptions
  • State of Small Satellite Launch Services Market-Launch Capacity Supply Forecast
  • State of Small Satellite Market-Launch Capacity Supply Forecast

Key Small Satellite Events and Developments in H1 2019

  • Key Small Satellite Launches in H1 2019
  • Key Small Satellite Industry Developments, H1 2019
  • Key Industry Developments, H1 2019
  • Key Industry Developments, H1 2019 (continued)
  • Key Industry Developments, H1 2019 (continued)

Conclusions

  • Conclusion
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)

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