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세계의 국가위험도 리포트 - 최신 동향(2020년 2분기)

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020

리서치사 MarketLine
발행일 2020년 09월 상품 코드 960758
페이지 정보 영문 59 Pages
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세계의 국가위험도 리포트 - 최신 동향(2020년 2분기) Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020
발행일 : 2020년 09월 페이지 정보 : 영문 59 Pages

본 상품은 영문 자료로 한글과 영문목차에 불일치하는 내용이 있을 경우 영문을 우선합니다. 정확한 검토를 위해 영문목차를 참고해주시기 바랍니다.

MarketLine의 국가위험도 지수(MLCRI)를 바탕으로 작성되었습니다. MLCRI는 다양한 질적/양적 요인을 평가하는 것으로, 현재와 미래의 국가위험도 수준을 결정하는 고유의 국가위험도 평가 모델입니다.

2020년 2분기 MLCRI에 의하면, 스위스가 최고 순위를 차지했고 싱가포르와 덴마크가 그 뒤를 이었습니다. 21개국이 초저리스크 존, 22개국이 저리스크 존, 28개국이 대처 가능한 리스크, 36개국이 고리스크, 29개국이 초고리스크 존으로 분류되었습니다.

목차

세계 개요 : 주요 하이라이트

세계 개요 : 요약

플래시백(2020년 1월-8월)

주요 이벤트 : 2020년 9월-2021년 8월

MLCRI : 국가별 순위

MLCRI : 2020년 2분기 히트맵

MLCRI : 2020년 세계 상황

코로나19(COVID-19)의 영향

  • COVID-19의 전세계 확산
  • 2020년 팬데믹 전후 예측 : 주요 거시경제 지표
  • 비즈니스 신뢰도와 소비자 심리에 대한 코로나19(COVID-19)의 영향
  • 노동 시장에 대한 코로나19(COVID-19)의 영향

지역별 분석

  • 지역별 분석 : 아시아태평양
  • 지역별 분석 : 유럽
  • 지역별 분석 : 아메리카
  • 지역별 분석 : 중동 및 아프리카
  • 조사 방법과 부록
LSH 20.09.29

Summary

Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The eleventh update version of MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) Q2 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 21 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low risk zone, 28 countries under manageable risk, 36 countries under high risk and 29 countries in the very high-risk zone in MLCRI Q2 2020.

Scope

  • Asia-Pacific has the third highest risk score after the Americas in the Q2 2020 update of the MLCRI. The region's risk score increased from 39.4 in Q4 2019 to 46.3 in Q2 2020. The outbreak of COVID-19, along with other risks such as geopolitical tensions, the controversial policies of the Indian and Chinese governments, spillover effects of the recession in Japan, and the increasing occurrence of environmental catastrophes, affected most of the countries in this region.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q2 2020 update of the global risk index owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control the spread of disease and risks associated with the pandemic by sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner. However, the region still faces high unemployment due to temporary furloughs and permanent job losses due the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic.

Reasons to Buy:

  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the MLCRI Q2 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 51.5 out of 100. The whole region has been battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 10 worst affected countries, six are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the MLCRI 2020 Q2 update, with a regional risk score of 55.6 out of 100, up compared to 48.8 in the MLCRI 2019 Q4 update and up compared to 47.6 in the MLCRI 2018 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Table of Contents

Global Overview - Key Highlights

Global Overview - Summary

Flashback (January to August 2020)

Key Events: September 2020 - August 2021

MLCRI - Country Ranking

MLCRI Q2 2020 Heat Map

MLCRI: Global Landscape 2020

Impact of COVID-19

  • COVID-19 Spreads Globally
  • Pre Pandemic and Post Pandemic Forecast for 2020: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
  • Impact of COVID-19 on business and consumer sentiments
  • COVID-19 Impact on the Labour Market

Regional Analysis

  • Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
  • Regional Analysis - Europe
  • Regional Analysis - Americas
  • Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa
  • Methodology and Appendix
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