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세계의 자율주행 기술 시장 예측 : 센서 및 컴퓨팅 플랫폼

Market Data: Automated Driving Technologies - Sensor and Compute Platform: Global Market Forecasts

리서치사 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research)
발행일 2020년 06월 상품 코드 941817
페이지 정보 영문 36 Pages; 74 Tables, Charts & Figures
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세계의 자율주행 기술 시장 예측 : 센서 및 컴퓨팅 플랫폼 Market Data: Automated Driving Technologies - Sensor and Compute Platform: Global Market Forecasts
발행일 : 2020년 06월 페이지 정보 : 영문 36 Pages; 74 Tables, Charts & Figures

HAD(Highly Automated Driving) 시스템의 개발은 예상보다 큰 과제인 것으로 증명되고 있으며, HAV(Highly Automated Vehicles)는 2020년대 후반까지 수백만 유닛으로 대규모로 전개될 것으로 기대되지 않습니다. 그러나 향후 몇 년간 보다 고도의 첨단 운전자 보조 시스템(ADAS)을 추가하고, 부분적으로 자동화된 시스템의 가용성을 기존 차량으로 확대하는 움직임이 강해지고 있습니다.

세계의 자율주행 기술(Automated Driving Technologies) 시장에 대해 조사했으며, 다양한 자동화 레벨의 세계·지역 시장에서의 매출 예측을 제공합니다.

제1장 주요 요약

  • 시장 개요
  • 범위
  • 시장 예측

제2장 시장 과제

  • 자율주행 차량의 채용
    • 하위 레벨 자동화와 ADAS(첨단 운전자 보조 시스템)
    • 딜리버리 봇
    • 기술 문제

제3장 데이터 가정

  • 전체적인 예측 모델링
  • 센싱
  • 컴퓨팅 플랫폼

제4장 시장 예측

  • 서론
    • 소형 자율주행(AD) 차량 예측
    • 딜리버리 봇
  • 센싱
    • 카메라
    • 레이더
    • Lidar
    • 열영상
  • 컴퓨팅 플랫폼
    • 저성능 컴퓨팅 플랫폼
    • 중성능 컴퓨팅 플랫폼
    • 고성능 컴퓨팅 플랫폼
  • 결론과 제안

제5장 두문자어와 약어 리스트

제6장 목차

제7장 도표

제8장 조사 범위, 정보 출처, 조사 방법, 주석

KSM 20.06.26

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Global LDV Sales Forecast: 2005-2030*
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Camera Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Imaging Radar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Long-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Thermal Imaging by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Refraction AI Delivery Bot Testing in Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • NVIDIA Drive AGX Orin Processor Family
  • Xpeng Motors P7 XPILOT 3.0

LIST OF TABLES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 2 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030

The development of highly automated driving (AD) systems has proven to be a bigger challenge than expected, and highly automated vehicles (HAVs) are not expected to be deployed at scale in the millions of units until well into the second half of the 2020s. However, there is an increasing push to add more capable advanced driver assist systems (ADAS) and expand availability of partially automated systems to conventional vehicles in the next few years.

Much of the core sensing technology and compute platforms initially developed for HAVs are being adapted to ADAS, providing a market for component suppliers to begin to recoup some of the investment made for HAVs and enabling safer vehicles. ADAS enhanced with sensors such as imaging radar, thermal imaging, and short-range lidar can provide more capable automatic emergency braking and crash avoidance. The integration of compute platforms initially developed for AD into new electrical architectures can also enable functions such as over-the-air updates. In the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, deliveries are also expected to be a growing sector of the economy as social distancing persists for an indeterminate period. Automated delivery bots will require many of these same technologies. Leveraging the underlying technologies for AD across the conventional vehicle fleet and new delivery vehicles will likely enable an earlier return on the massive investment already made in AD. As AD matures, the volumes of sensors required will continue to grow.

This Guidehouse Insights report examines the market for the main sensing technologies and compute platforms and provides global and regional market forecasts of sales at various levels of automation through 2030. Data is provided for LDVs and delivery bots used for consumer sales and commercial vehicles for cargo/goods delivery or passengers.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • How big is the market for perception systems for driver assist and automated vehicles?
  • What types of sensors are expected to be used at each level of assist or automation and how many are required?
  • How much redundancy will be required and which components will require redundancy at each automation level?
  • Which sensor types are expected to be used at each assist or automation level?
  • How much compute platform performance is required at each assist or automation level?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Insurance companies
  • Commercial fleet managers
  • Taxi operators
  • Mobility service providers
  • City managers
  • Government agencies
  • Car sharing companies
  • Ride-hailing companies
  • Transit providers
  • Vehicle service providers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Automated Vehicle Adoption
    • 2.1.1. Lower Level Automation and Advanced Driver Assist Systems
    • 2.1.2. Delivery Bots
    • 2.1.3. Technology Issues
      • 2.1.3.1. Networking
      • 2.1.3.2. Technology Maturity
        • 2.1.3.2.1. Cameras
        • 2.1.3.2.2. Radar
        • 2.1.3.2.3. Lidar
        • 2.1.3.2.4. Thermal Imaging
      • 2.1.3.3. Power Consumption

3. Data Assumptions

  • 3.1. Overall Forecast Modelling
  • 3.2. Sensing
  • 3.3. Compute Platforms

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1. Introduction
    • 4.1.1. Light Duty AD Vehicle Forecast
    • 4.1.2. Delivery Bots
  • 4.2Sensing
    • 4.2.1. Cameras
    • 4.2.2. Radar
    • 4.2.3. Lidar
    • 4.2.4. Thermal Imaging
  • 4.3. Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.1. Low Performance Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.2. Medium Performance Compute Platforms
    • 4.3.3. High Performance Compute Platforms
  • 4.4. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

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