세부적인 에너지 수요 전망 : 부문별 심층 분석(-2050년)

Granular Energy Demand Forecast is an optional module from EnerFuture, our Global Energy Forecasts service, offering consumption projections to 2050, drilling down to end uses and industrial branches.

Leveraging an exclusive set of governmental statistics and Enerdata’s globally recognised POLES model, this service offers robust and comprehensive projections in just a couple of clicks.

It allows users to assess the dynamics of future energy demand in the industry, transport, residential and services sectors, as well as the underlying key drivers.

Key Benefits

• User-friendly and ready-to-use solution embedding three scenarios: EnerBase, EnerBlue and EnerGreen
• One-click data forecast exports
• Exclusive long-term forecasts of energy demand by end use and underlying drivers
• Robust modelling by the globally recognised POLES-Enerdata Model
• Designed and maintained by energy demand experts
• Transparency of modelling methodology

Key Features

DETAILED DATA

• Energy demand forecasts by country up to 2050 with one-year steps
• Forecasts of oil, gas, coal and electricity consumption by sector:
  • Industry
  • Services (including data centres: consumption by type (generative AI, hyperscaler, cloud, enterprise))
  • Transport (including electric vehicles)
  • Residential
• Calibration update to consider recent trends in energy demand
• Detailed down to end-uses: electric vehicles, modal changes in transport, air conditioning in buildings, etc.

USER-FRIENDLY SOLUTION

• Intuitive interface accessible via web browser
• Access to demand drivers and key indicators

Scenarios

EnerBase

• Continuation of existing policies and trends, leading to a temperature rise around 3°C.

EnerBlue

• Achievement of new NDCs submitted up to the end of 2025, leading to a temperature increase between 2 and 2.5°C.

EnerGreen

• Ambitious GHG emissions budget in line with the Paris Agreement, keeping a temperature rise well below 2°C.

Unrivalled Granular Coverage

Demand by Energy

• Transport
  • Passenger/freight
  • By mode
  • By type of vehicle
  • By type of energy/motor for road vehicles
• Residential
  • By type of building
  • By end-use: space heating, water heating, cooking, space cooling, appliances and lighting
  • Several technologies per energy vector
• Industry
  • By branch: Iron and Steel, Cement, Chemicals and much more
  • For Cement and Steel: physical production by process
  • 3 types of uses: thermal uses, specific electricity, non-energy uses
• Services
  • By end-use: space heating, water heating, cooking, space cooling, appliances and lighting
  • Several technologies per energy vector
  • Data centres: consumption by type (generative AI, hyperscaler, cloud, enterprise) and end-use (server, storage, network, infrastructure)

Outputs

• Demand by Energy
  • Electricity
  • Oil
  • Gas
  • Coal
  • Renewables
• Specific Consumption
  • Energy intensive products
  • Vehicle types
  • End-uses
  • Appliances
• Socio-economics
  • Industrial outputs
  • Vehicle stocks
  • Road traffic
  • Dwellings, equipments
• Indicators
  • Energy intensity
  • Energy expenses
  • CO₂ emissions

Country List

Countries Covered

• 9 countries and regions currently available
• France, Ireland, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom and the European Union
• Other countries towards the world available on-demand (if applicable).