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Àεµ³×½Ã¾ÆÀÇ Åë½Å ½ÃÀå : ¿¹Ãø(2024-2029³â)

Indonesia: Telecoms Market Forecast 2024-2029

¹ßÇàÀÏ: | ¸®¼­Ä¡»ç: Analysys Mason | ÆäÀÌÁö Á¤º¸: ¿µ¹® 5 Slides | ¹è¼Û¾È³» : 1-2ÀÏ (¿µ¾÷ÀÏ ±âÁØ)

    
    



¡Ø º» »óǰÀº ¿µ¹® ÀÚ·á·Î Çѱ۰ú ¿µ¹® ¸ñÂ÷¿¡ ºÒÀÏÄ¡ÇÏ´Â ³»¿ëÀÌ ÀÖÀ» °æ¿ì ¿µ¹®À» ¿ì¼±ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Á¤È®ÇÑ °ËÅ並 À§ÇØ ¿µ¹® ¸ñÂ÷¸¦ Âü°íÇØÁֽñ⠹ٶø´Ï´Ù.

Àεµ³×½Ã¾ÆÀÇ Åë½Å ½ÃÀå¿¡¼­´Â ARPU°¡ ´äº¸ »óÅ·Π¿¹»óµÇ±â ¶§¹®¿¡ °íÁ¤ ¹× ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Á¢¼Ó¼ö Áõ°¡°¡ ¼Ò¸Å ÃѸÅÃâ Áõ°¡ ÁÖ¿ä ¿äÀÎÀÌ µË´Ï´Ù.

¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç, ƯÈ÷ Àεµ³×½Ã¾ÆÀÇ Åë½Å ½ÃÀå¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÇô 5³â°£ »ó¼¼ÇÑ ¿¹ÃøÀ» Á¦°øÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Åë½Å»ç¾÷ÀÚ ÄÚ¾î Åë½Å ¼­ºñ½º¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃß¾ú½À´Ï´Ù.

´ë»ó Áö¿ª

¸ðµ¨ Áö¿ª

  • ½ÅÈï ¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç(EMAP)

°³º°ÀûÀ¸·Î ¸ðµ¨È­ÇÑ ±¹°¡

  • Àεµ³×½Ã¾Æ

ÁÖ¿ä ÆÛÆ÷¸Õ½º ÁöÇ¥

Á¢¼Ó¼ö

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ

  • ÇÕ°è(ÈÞ´ëÆù£«¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå, IoT¸¦ Á¦¿ÜÇÏ´Ù), IoT¸¦ Æ÷ÇÔÇÑ ÇÕ°è
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ½º¸¶Æ®Æù, º£ÀÌÁ÷, ´Ü¸»±â¿¡ Â÷ÁöÇÏ´Â ½º¸¶Æ®Æù Á¡À¯À²
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ¡¤ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • ´Ü¸»±â¿Í ºê·Îµå¹êµå ÇÕ°è : 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ
  • ÇÕ°è ¹× ´Ü¸»±â : ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ¼±ºÒ Á¡À¯À²
  • IoT
  • º¸±Þ·ü : ÇÕ°è, ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ´Ü¸»±â, ½º¸¶Æ®Æù, ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ¡¤ºê·Îµå¹êµå, IoT

°íÁ¤

  • À½¼º : Çù´ë¿ª, VoBB, ´ÙÀ̾ó ¾÷
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ Å×Å©³î·¯Áö, ±â°¡ºñÆ® ´ëÀÀ Á¢¼Ó
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ
  • Àü¿ë Á¢¼Ó
  • º¸±Þ·ü(»ç¾÷Àå ¹× °¡Á¤) : À½¼º, ºê·Îµå¹êµå(ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, ±âŸ Å×Å©³î·¯Áö)

À¯·á TV

  • »ç¾÷ÀÚ, ±âÁ¸
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ

Æ®·¡ÇÈ

  • ¹ß½Å ºÐ¼ö(°íÁ¤ ¹× ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ), MoU
  • ¼¿·ê·¯ µ¥ÀÌÅÍ ¹× ¸Þ½Ã¡ Æ®·¡ÇÈ

³×Æ®¿öÅ©¿¡ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÏÁö ¾Ê´Â ÁöÇ¥

  • GDP(±¹³»ÃÑ»ý»ê)
  • Àα¸
  • ¼¼´ë¼ö
  • »ç¾÷Àå ¼ö
  • ȯÀ²

¼­ºñ½º ¸ÅÃâ

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ

  • ÇÕ°è
  • GDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • ÁÖÅÃ, ºñÁî´Ï½º
  • ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ¼±ºÒ Á¡À¯À²
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)

°íÁ¤

  • ÇÕ°è(¼Ò¸Å£«µµ¸Å)
  • ´ëGDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1¿ù´ç/1Àδç

¼Ò¸Å ¸ÅÃâ

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ

  • ÇÕ°è
  • GDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ
  • GB´ç
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)
  • À½¼º, 1ºÐ´ç À½¼º
  • µ¥ÀÌÅÍ, µ¥ÀÌÅÍ/GB
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ÇÕ°è, À½¼º, ¸Þ½Ã¡, µ¥ÀÌÅÍ, ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ¼±ºÒ Á¡À¯À²
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • IoT Ä¿³ØÆ¼ºñƼ

°íÁ¤

  • ÇÕ°è
  • GDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ
  • À½¼º : Çù´ë¿ª, VoBB
  • Àü¿ë Á¢¼Ó
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå °íÁ¤ ¼Ò¸Å ¸ÅÃâ¿¡ Â÷ÁöÇÏ´Â ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ ±â¼ú

ICT ¼­ºñ½º

À¯·á TV

  • »ç¾÷ÀÚ, ±âÁ¸
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ

µµ¸Å ¸ÅÃâ

  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ
  • °íÁ¤

ASPU

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ

  • ÇÕ°è
  • À½¼º
  • µ¥ÀÌÅÍ
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • IoT
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ÅäÅ», ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, À½¼º, ¸Þ½Ã¡, µ¥ÀÌÅÍ
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ

°íÁ¤

  • À½¼º
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ Å×Å©³î·¯Áö
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ

ARPU

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ

  • ÇÕ°è
  • ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à
  • ºñÁî´Ï½º, ÁÖÅÃ
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
LSH 24.10.17

"Growth in the number of fixed and mobile connections will be the primary driver of increased total retail revenue, as ARPU is expected to remain flat."

Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in Asia-Pacific. This report focuses on operators' core telecoms services in Indonesia.

This report and the associated data provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for Indonesia
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

  • Emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP)

Countries modelled individually

  • Indonesia

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • business, residential
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
  • business, residential
  • dedicated connections
  • penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • residential, business
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT connectivity

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • voice: narrowband, VoBB
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
  • business, residential

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
  • business, residential

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • business, residential
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
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