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¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ½ÅÈï ±¹°¡ : Åë½Å ½ÃÀå µ¿Çâ°ú ¿¹Ãø(2024-2029³â)

Emerging Asia-Pacific: Telecoms Market Forecast 2024-2029

¹ßÇàÀÏ: | ¸®¼­Ä¡»ç: Analysys Mason | ÆäÀÌÁö Á¤º¸: ¿µ¹® 61 Slides | ¹è¼Û¾È³» : 1-2ÀÏ (¿µ¾÷ÀÏ ±âÁØ)

    
    



¡Ø º» »óǰÀº ¿µ¹® ÀÚ·á·Î Çѱ۰ú ¿µ¹® ¸ñÂ÷¿¡ ºÒÀÏÄ¡ÇÏ´Â ³»¿ëÀÌ ÀÖÀ» °æ¿ì ¿µ¹®À» ¿ì¼±ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Á¤È®ÇÑ °ËÅ並 À§ÇØ ¿µ¹® ¸ñÂ÷¸¦ Âü°íÇØÁֽñ⠹ٶø´Ï´Ù.

"¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ½ÅÈï ±¹°¡¿¡¼­ Åë½Å ±â¾÷ÀÇ ¼Ò¸Å ¸ÅÃâÀº °í°¡°Ý´ë Åë½Å ¼­ºñ½ºÀÇ º¸±Þ¿¡ ÀÇÇØ ±Þ¼ÓÈ÷ Áõ°¡ÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµË´Ï´Ù."

¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ½ÅÈï ±¹°¡(EMAP)ÀÇ Åë½Å ½ÃÀåÀº ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å ½ÃÀåÀÌ °íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å ½ÃÀ庸´Ù ¼º¼÷ÇϹǷΠ¾ÕÀ¸·Îµµ ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Áß½ÉÀ¸·Î ÃßÀÌÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Åë½Å ¼­ºñ½ºÀÇ ÃѼöÀÔÀº 2024-2029³â¿¡ 470¾ï ´Þ·¯ Áõ°¡Çϸç, 4,250¾ï ´Þ·¯¿¡ ´ÞÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ½ÅÈï ±¹°¡ Åë½Å ½ÃÀåÀÇ ÁÖ¿ä µ¿Çâ°ú ÃËÁø¿äÀÎÀ» °ËÁõÇϰí, Áö¿ª Àüü ¹× ÃÑ 13°³±¹ °³º° ´ë»ó±¹ÀÇ Á¾ÇÕÀû Åë½Å ½ÃÀå ¿¹ÃøÀ» Á¦°øÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

ÀÌ º¸°í¼­°¡ Á¦°øÇÏ´Â Á¤º¸ :

  • EMAP Áö¿ª Àüü ¹× ÁÖ¿ä 13°³±¹¿¡¼­ 200»ç ÀÌ»óÀÇ ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å¡¤°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½ÅÀÇ KPI : 5³â°£ ¿¹Ãø
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ¹× °íÁ¤ ¼­ºñ½º À¯Çüº° ¹× ÁÖ¿ä ±¹°¡ÀÇ µ¿Çâ, ÃËÁø¿äÀÎ, ¿¹ÃøÀÇ ÀüÁ¦Á¶°Ç »ó¼¼ ºÐ¼®
  • »ç¾÷ÀÚÀÇ Àü·«°ú °¢±¹ °íÀ¯ ÅäÇÈÀÇ °³¿ä¿Í °¢±¹°£ ºñ±³¸¦ ÅëÇØ À¯»çÁ¡°ú Â÷ÀÌÁ¡À» ºÎ°¢ÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
  • °á°ú ¿ä¾à°ú ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ¹× °íÁ¤ Åë½Å»ç¾÷ÀÚ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÁÖ¿ä ¿µÇâ

´ë»ó Áö¿ª

´ë»ó Áö¿ª Á¶»ç ´ë»ó±¹
(°³º° ¸®Æ÷Æ®)
Á¶»ç ´ë»ó±¹
(µ¥ÀÌÅ͸¸)

¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç ½ÅÈï ±¹°¡

  • Áß±¹
  • Àεµ
  • Àεµ³×½Ã¾Æ
  • ¸»·¹À̽þÆ
  • Çʸ®ÇÉ
  • ű¹
  • ¹æ±Û¶óµ¥½Ã
  • įº¸µð¾Æ
  • ³×ÆÈ
  • ½º¸®¶ûÄ«
  • º£Æ®³²


ÁÖ¿ä ½ÇÀû ÁöÇ¥

Á¢¼Ó °Ç¼ö

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è(ÈÞ´ëÆù£«¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå, IoT Á¦¿Ü), ÇÕ°è(IoT Æ÷ÇÔ), ºñÁî´Ï½º
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ½º¸¶Æ®Æù, ±âº», ´Ü¸»±â Àüü¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ½º¸¶Æ®ÆùÀÇ Á¡À¯À²
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • ÇÕ°è, ´Ü¸»±â¡¤ºê·Îµå¹êµå : 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)
  • ÇÕ°è, ´Ü¸»±â : ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ¼±ºÒÀÇ Á¡À¯À²
  • IoT
  • º¸±Þ·ü : Àüü, ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ´Ü¸»±â, ½º¸¶Æ®Æù, ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå, IoT

°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å

  • À½¼º ÅëÈ­ : Çù´ë¿ª, VoBB, ´ÙÀ̾ó ¾÷
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ ±â¼ú, ±â¾÷ÀÇ ÃÑÁ¢¼Ó °Ç¼ö
  • º¸±Þ·ü : À½¼º ÅëÈ­, ºê·Îµå¹êµå(±â¾÷¿ë, °¡Á¤¿ë)

À¯·á TV

  • »ç¾÷ÀÚ, ±âÁ¸Çü

Æ®·¡ÇÈ

  • ¹ß½Å ºÐ¼ö(°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å¡¤¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å), MoU
  • ÈÞ´ëÆù µ¥ÀÌÅÍ¡¤¸Þ½ÃÁö Æ®·¡ÇÈ

³×Æ®¿öÅ© °ü·Ã ÀÌ¿Ü ÁöÇ¥

  • GDP(±¹³»ÃÑ»ý»ê)
  • Àα¸
  • ¼¼´ë¼ö
  • »ç¾÷Àå ¼ö
  • ȯÀ²

¼öÀÔ /ARPU/ASPU

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è
  • ´ëGDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • ¼±ºÒ¡¤°è¾à, ¼±ºÒ Á¡À¯À²
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)

°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è(¼Ò¸Å¿Í µµ¸Å)
  • ´ëGDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£

¼Ò¸Å ¼öÀÔ

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è
  • ´ëGDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • 1GB´ç
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G( ¹× 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G Á¡À¯À²)
  • À½¼º ÅëÈ­ : 1ºÐ ´ç À½¼º
  • µ¥ÀÌÅÍ Åë½Å : 1GB´ç µ¥ÀÌÅÍ
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ÇÕ°è, À½¼º ÅëÈ­, ¸Þ½ÃÁö, µ¥ÀÌÅÍ Åë½Å, ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, ¼±ºÒ Á¡À¯À²
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • IoT

°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è
  • ´ëGDP Á¡À¯À²
  • 1ÀÎ´ç ¿ù°£
  • À½¼º ÅëÈ­
  • Àü¿ë Á¢¼Ó
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ ±â¼ú

ICT ¼­ºñ½º

À¯·á TV

  • ¿ÀÆÛ·¹ÀÌÅÍ, ±âÁ¸Çü

Ȧ¼¼ÀÏ ¼öÀÔ

  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å
  • °íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å

ASPU

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è
  • À½¼º ÅëÈ­
  • µ¥ÀÌÅÍ Åë½Å
  • ¸ð¹ÙÀÏ ºê·Îµå¹êµå
  • IoT
  • ´Ü¸»±â : ÅäÅ», ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à, À½¼º, ¸Þ½ÃÁö, µ¥ÀÌÅÍ Åë½Å

°íÁ¤È¸¼± Åë½Å

  • À½¼º ÅëÈ­
  • ºê·Îµå¹êµå ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, ÄÉÀÌºí ¸ðµ©, FWA, 5G FWA, ±âŸ ±â¼ú

ARPU

¸ð¹ÙÀÏ Åë½Å

  • ÇÕ°è
  • ¼±ºÒ, °è¾à
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
KSA 24.10.29

"Telecoms retail revenue in emerging Asia-Pacific will increase rapidly, driven by the growing adoption of pricier telecoms services."

The telecoms market in emerging Asia-Pacific (EMAP) will continue to be mobile-centric because the mobile market is more mature than the fixed market. Total telecoms service revenue will increase by USD47 billion between 2024 and 2029 to reach USD425 billion.

In this report, we examine key trends and drivers, and provide comprehensive telecoms market forecasts for the region and for 13 individually modelled countries for 2024-2029.

This report provides:

  • a 5 -year forecast of more than 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for the EMAP region as a whole and for 13 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage:

RegionIndividual countries
(separate reports)
Individual countries
(data only)

Emerging Asia-Pacific

  • China
  • India
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Philippines
  • Thailand
  • Bangladesh
  • Cambodia
  • Nepal
  • Sri Lanka
  • Vietnam


Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections
  • penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Revenue/ARPU/ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • voice
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
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