선진 아시아태평양 : 통신 시장 예측(2026-2031년)

"Telecoms revenue in developed Asia–Pacific will return to modest growth, supported by higher customer spending."

This report focuses on operators’ core telecoms services in developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP). It provides a comprehensive telecoms market forecast for the region and for seven individually modelled countries for 2026–2031.

This report provides:

• a 5-year forecast of more than 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for DVAP, as a whole and for seven key countries
• an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
• an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
• a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

• Region
  • Developed Asia–Pacific
• Individual countries (separate reports)
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • Singapore
• Individual countries (data only)
  • Hong Kong
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Taiwan
  • Key performance indicators

Key performance indicators

Connections

• Mobile:
  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT
• Fixed:
  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections
  • penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)
• Pay TV
  • operator, traditional

Traffic

• Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
• Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

• GDP
• Population
• Households
• Business sites
• Exchange rates

Service revenue

• Mobile:
  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
• Fixed:
  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

• Mobile:
  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
• Fixed:
  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • voice
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
• ICT services
• Pay TV
  • operator, traditional

Wholesale revenue

• Mobile
• Fixed

ASPU

• Mobile:
  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
• Fixed:
  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ARPU

• Mobile:
  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G