전쟁의 미래 : 기술적 관점

Balancing Advancements with Cybersecurity Measures, International Regulatory Developments, and Ethical Considerations

The evolution of technology is fundamentally reshaping the warfare landscape, introducing new methodologies, weapons systems, and strategic paradigms. Key trends and implications characterize this transformation, which will define future conflicts.

Securing military infrastructure, critical systems, and sensitive information will become paramount as cyber threats increase in sophistication and frequency. The pursuit of advanced military technologies will trigger a global technological arms race among nations. This race will not only strain valuable resources but also fuel diplomatic tensions. Interplay of emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence (AI), cyber, and space capabilities, will introduce complex strategic risks. Integrating AI and autonomous systems into modern warfare will raise profound ethical concerns.

Future conflicts will feature weapons that are more accurate, have longer ranges, and can deliver greater destruction. The integration of AI into military operations will likely lead to the development of autonomous systems capable of performing complex tasks with minimal human intervention. The intensification of global virtual warfare marks the critical importance of robust cybersecurity measures.

Technologies such as AI and cyber warfare will follow well-defined trajectories supported by ongoing advancements, industry investments, and a proven track record of military effectiveness. These technologies exhibit significant commercial potential, attracting substantial investments from the public and private sectors.

Modern technologies will influence military capabilities across diverse regions. The strategic importance of these technologies ensures their integration into the military doctrines of nations worldwide, irrespective of regional differences. As a result, militaries worldwide are adapting to these technologies, leading to changes in tactics, logistics, and overall operational methodologies.

Key Issues Addressed

This study highlights the role of technology in driving the future warfare landscape.

• How will emerging technologies transform the future warfare landscape?
• What ethical challenges will emerge due to the use of modern and autonomous weapons?
• How will cyber warfare evolve?
• How will nations adapt to the technological disparities?   
• What are the growth opportunities arising from this trend?
• What are the critical success factors for companies seeking to cater to this trend?

Table of Contents

Transformational Growth Driving the Future of Warfare

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8™
• Our Megatrend Universe-Overview
• Our Megatrend Universe-Future of Warfare: A Technology Perspective
• Key Findings
• Growth Opportunities Critical to Future Success

Ecosystem: Technological Trends

• AI and Autonomous Systems
• Cyberwarfare
• Big Data
• Human Machine Teaming
• Biotechnology

Ecosystem: Emerging Technologies

• Quantum Technology
• Advanced Materials and Manufacturing
• Nanotechnology
• Cognitive Technologies and Brain-machine Interfaces

Ecosystem: Challenges and Ethical Considerations

• Challenges and Ethical Considerations

Ecosystem: Future Scenarios

• Future Scenarios

Ecosystem: Regional Trends

• Regional Exposure

Growth Opportunity Analysis

• Trend Opportunity Impact and Certainty Analysis
• Trend Opportunity Disruption Index
• Trend Disruption Attractiveness Score
• Trend Opportunity Growth Index
• Trend Growth Attractiveness Score
• BEETS Implications for the Future of Warfare

Growth Opportunity Analysis: Critical Success Factors

• Critical Success Factors for Growth
• Conclusion

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1: Blockchain to Fortify Military Strategy
• Growth Opportunity 2: Cybersecurity Solutions
• Growth Opportunity 3: AI as a Class of Disruptive Technologies

Appendix & Next Steps

• Our Megatrend Universe
• Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
• Next Steps
• List of Exhibits
• Legal Disclaimer