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세계의 정유 시장 기회와 동향 : 예측(-2023년)

Opportunities and Trends in the Global Refining Market, Forecast to 2023

리서치사 Frost & Sullivan
발행일 2020년 01월 상품 코드 515385
페이지 정보 영문 42 Pages
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세계의 정유 시장 기회와 동향 : 예측(-2023년) Opportunities and Trends in the Global Refining Market, Forecast to 2023
발행일 : 2020년 01월 페이지 정보 : 영문 42 Pages

세계 정유 시장은 자동차용 석유화학제품과 연료의 높은 수요를 특징으로 하고 있으며, 향후 10년간 시장 성장이 지속될 것으로 예측됩니다. 인구 증가, 가격 적정도 향상, 높은 자동차 보급률, 원유 가격 하락, 세계 개발도상 지역 기업의 증자가 새로운 정유소 건설과 낡은 시설 개선을 지원합니다. 자동차 보급률이 높아지면 주로 아시아와 아프리카에서 가솔린과 디젤 수요가 높아지며, 수요 증가에 대응하기 위해서 정유소의 정유능력을 높일 필요성이 발생합니다. 세계 정유 시장은 2018년 일간 9,970만 배럴에서 2023년에는 일간 약 1억 650만 배럴까지 증가하고 연평균 복합 성장률(CAGR) 1.3%를 나타낼 전망입니다.

세계의 정유(Refining) 시장에 대해 조사 분석했으며, 시장 개요, 성장 촉진요인과 억제요인, 예측과 동향, 성장 기회 등에 대해 체계적인 정보를 제공합니다.

목차

주요 요약

시장 개요

  • 조사 범위
  • 조사 내용

시장 성장 촉진요인 및 억제요인 - 전체 시장

  • 시장 성장 촉진요인
  • 시장 성장 촉진요인 설명
  • 시장 성장 억제요인
  • 시장 성장 억제요인 설명

예측과 동향 - 전체 시장

  • 정유소 정유능력 예측
  • 정유소 정유능력 예측 검토
  • 정유소 정유능력 비율 예측 : 지역별
  • 정유소 정유능력 예측 : 지역별
  • 정유소 정유능력 예측 검토 : 지역별

성장 기회와 추천 행동(C2A)

  • 성장 기회 1 - 정유 장비 및 서비스
  • 성장 기회 2 - 투자 : 업스트림(Upstream) 메이저별
  • 성장 기회 3 - 단일 정유 제품
  • 성공 및 성장을 위한 필수사항

결론

부록

Frost & Sullivan에 대해

LSH 20.02.12

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Increasing Demand from Developing Regions of the World to Drive Demand for Refinery Investments

The global refining market is characterised by a high demand for petrochemicals and fuels for automobiles, which will keep the market growing for the next decade. Expanding population, increasing affordability, higher automobile penetration, lower oil prices, and increasing investments by companies in the developing regions of the world will aid in new refinery construction and upgrade of old facilities. Increasing automobile penetration will drive the demand for gasoline and diesel, mainly in Asia and Africa, which drives the need to expand refinery capacity to cater to expanding demand.

Asia is expected to be the key hub for refinery expansion, as the region invests heavily in new capacities and upgrading old ones to meet domestic demand and take advantage of export opportunities. China and the Middle East are expected to lead the way for refinery expansion, followed by India and Southeast Asia. These regions are expected to drive global growth, as they add more consumers to the market, which will drive demand for oil-based products.

Satisfying domestic demand is a key concern for most countries, as demand exceeds supply in many developing regions, especially in the Middle East, where countries and companies are focusing more on downstream activities after years of focus on upstream. Middle Eastern companies are also looking at other geographies to invest in new refinery capacity, as they are keen to tap into growing global demand for petrochemical products. South and Southeast Asia and Africa will be key beneficiaries of such Middle Eastern investments.

Africa will see the highest growth in refinery expansion on the back of a low base, as the region tries to move away from imports and be self-sufficient. Many such refinery programs are expected to get strong local government support in Africa. North America will see large expansion and upgrade programs, as it tries to accommodate more shale oil in its refineries and also cater to export markets of Europe and Asia. Russia and CIS are expanding refineries to cater to the main export market of Europe and Asia.

The market will see headwinds in the form of increased penetration of electric vehicles (EVs), which will decrease fuel demand as well as pollution concerns, which will see a shift away from diesel and other polluting fuels. Many countries and cities are expected to completely eliminate or limit fossil fuel vehicles and replace them with EVs. The move toward stricter emission requirements for diesel gensets is expected to lead to the installation of more gas-based gensets. Increasing usage of biodiesel and alternative types of fuel will impact oil consumption, as countries move toward more green fuels. Frost & Sullivan expects the market to grow from 99.7 million barrels per day in 2018 to nearly 106.5 million barrels per day in 2023, at a CAGR of 1.3%.

Research Highlights:

This study addresses the future and present market opportunities across the globe, as well as challenges faced in a rapidly changing environment. It forecasts refinery expansion as well as provides regional splits for refinery growth. Market metrics are provided for the United States and Canada, Latin America, Africa, Europe, Russia and CIS, the Middle East, China, and other APAC countries.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What is the status of the global refining market? Which are the emerging regions?
  • Which are the regions where new capacity additions are taking place?
  • What are some of the various trends impacting the global refining market?
  • How much new capacity is coming online and in which regions?
  • What are the investment trends in the global refining market?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Key Findings

Market Overview

  • Research Scope
  • Research Scope (continued)
  • Key Questions this Study will Answer

Drivers and Restraints-Total Refining Market

  • Market Drivers
  • Drivers Explained
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Drivers Explained (continued)
  • Market Restraints
  • Restraints Explained
  • Restraints Explained (continued)
  • Restraints Explained (continued)

Forecast and Trends-Total Refining Market

  • Refinery Capacity Forecast
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast Discussion
  • Percent Refinery Capacity Forecast by Region
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast by Region
  • Refinery Capacity Forecast Discussion by Region

Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action

  • Growth Opportunity 1-Refining Equipment and Services
  • Growth Opportunity 2-Investments by Upstream Majors
  • Growth Opportunity 3-Single Refinery Product
  • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth

Conclusion

  • Conclusion
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits

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