만성신장병(CKD) : 역학 예측(-2033년)

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), or chronic renal disease (International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision [ICD-10] code = N18), is a condition characterized by a gradual loss of kidney function over time. This leads to the accumulation of excess fluid and waste in the body. In the early stages, CKD is a largely asymptomatic condition. As the disease progresses, symptoms worsen and eventually lead to kidney failure (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2024a). Advanced chronic kidney disease can lead to dangerous levels of fluid, electrolytes, and waste accumulating in the body (Bentall, 2023). The glomerular filtration rate (GFR), a key measure of kidney function, is determined by the amount of creatinine in the blood. The Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) classification system is considered to be the standard for GFR measurement and the diagnosis of CKD (Levin et al., 2013).

In the 7MM, the total prevalent cases of CKD are expected to increase from 110,299,913 cases in 2023 to 121,072,673 cases in 2033, at an annual growth rate (AGR) of 0.98%. In 2033, the US will have the highest number of total prevalent cases of CKD in the 7MM, with 45,087,454 cases, and Italy will have the fewest total prevalent cases of CKD with 3,778,783 cases. The diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD are expected to increase from 21,087,380 cases in 2023 to 22,975,558 cases in 2033, at an AGR of 0.90%. In 2033, the US will have the highest number of diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD in the 7MM, with 5,834,008 cases, and Italy will have the fewest diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD with 933,881 cases. GlobalData epidemiologists attribute the increase in the total and diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD to changes in population dynamics and the diagnosis rate in each market.

Scope

• This report provides an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and global and historical trends for CKD in the seven major pharmaceutical markets (7MM: US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan). It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the total prevalent cases and diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD. The total and diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD are further segmented by age (18-29 years, 30-39 years, and by 10-year age groups up to 80 years and older), sex, and stage (stage I, stage II, stage IIIa, stage IIIb, stage IV, and stage V) in these markets.
• The diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD are further segmented by dialysis-dependent (including both hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis) and non-dialysis dependent. The model associated with the report also provides the diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD by comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, and CVD) in the 7MM markets.
• This epidemiology forecast for CKD is supported by data obtained from peer-reviewed articles and population-based studies. The forecast methodology was kept consistent across the 7MM to allow for a meaningful comparison of the forecast diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD across these markets.

Reasons to Buy

• The Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) epidemiology series will allow you to:
• Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the global MM market.
• Quantify patient populations in the global CKD market to improve product design, pricing, and launch plans.
• Organize sales and marketing efforts by identifying the age groups that present the best opportunities for CKD therapeutics in each of the markets covered.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Chronic Kidney Disease: Executive Summary

• 1.1 Catalyst
• 1.2 Related reports
• 1.3 Upcoming reports

2 Epidemiology

• 2.1 Disease background
• 2.2 Risk factors and comorbidities
• 2.3 Global and historical trends
• 2.4 7MM forecast methodology.
  • 2.4.1 Sources
  • 2.4.2 Forecast assumptions and methods.
  • 2.4.3 Total prevalent cases of CKD
  • 2.4.4 Total prevalent cases of CKD by stage
  • 2.4.5 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD.
  • 2.4.6 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD by stage.
  • 2.4.7 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD based on dialysis dependence.
• 2.5 Epidemiological forecast for CKD (2023-33)
  • 2.5.1 Total prevalent cases of CKD
  • 2.5.2 Total prevalent cases of CKD by stage
  • 2.5.3 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD.
  • 2.5.4 Age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD
  • 2.5.5 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD
  • 2.5.6 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD by stage.
  • 2.5.7 Diagnosed prevalent cases of CKD by dialysis dependence.
• 2.6 Discussion
  • 2.6.1 Epidemiological forecast insight
  • 2.6.2 COVID-19 impact.
  • 2.6.3 Limitations of the analysis
  • 2.6.4 Strengths of the analysis

3 Appendix

• 3.1 Bibliography
• 3.2 About the authors
  • 3.2.1 Epidemiologist
  • 3.2.2 Reviewers
  • 3.2.3 Vice President of Disease Intelligence and Epidemiology
  • 3.2.4 Global Head of Pharma Research, Analysis, and Competitive Intelligence
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