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세계의 위험 분석(4분기) : 2020년 2분기

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020

리서치사 GlobalData
발행일 2020년 09월 상품 코드 961655
페이지 정보 영문
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세계의 위험 분석(4분기) : 2020년 2분기 Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q2 2020
발행일 : 2020년 09월 페이지 정보 : 영문

본 상품은 영문 자료로 한글과 영문목차에 불일치하는 내용이 있을 경우 영문을 우선합니다. 정확한 검토를 위해 영문목차를 참고해주시기 바랍니다.

GlobalData가 만든 GCRI(국가 위험 지표)에 따르면, 2020년 2분기 현재, 스위스가 최상위에 랭크되었으며 싱가포르와 덴마크가 그 뒤를 잇고 있습니다. 보고서에 따르면, 21개국이 초저위험 영역, 22개국이 저위험 영역, 28개국이 관리 가능한 위험, 36개국이 고위험, 29개국이 초고위험 영역으로 구분되었습니다.

GCRI(GlobalData Country Risk Index) 분석 내용을 바탕으로, 최신 거시 경제의 기술과 국내/국제 통계 데이터를 활용하여 세계 각국이 안고있는 정치적·사회적·기술적·환경적·법적 위험을 질적 및 양적 방법으로 측정했으며, 세계 경제가 직면한 과제 및 잠재적 위험에 대한 고찰을 전해드립니다.



  • 세계 개요 : 주요 하이라이트
  • 세계 개요 : 요약
  • 플래시백(2020년 1-8월)
  • 향후 주요 이벤트 : 2020년 9-2021년 8월
  • MLCRI(국가 위험 지표) : 국가별 순위
  • MLCRI : 히트맵(2020년 2분기)
  • MLCRI : 세계 정세(2020년)
  • 신종 코로나 바이러스 감염(COVID-19)의 영향
    • COVID-19 세계 각지로 확대
    • 감염 확대 이전/이후의 예측(2020년) : 주요 거시 경제 지표
    • COVID-19가 체감 경기·소비자 마인드에 미치는 영향
    • COVID-19가 노동 시장에 미치는 영향
  • 지역 분석
    • 지역 분석-아시아 태평양
    • 지역 분석-유럽
    • 지역 분석-미주
    • 지역 분석-중동 및 아프리카

분석 방법 및 부록

LYJ 20.10.13

Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.


  • Asia-Pacific has the third highest risk score after the Americas in the Q2 2020 update of the GCRI. The region's risk score increased from 39.4 in Q4 2019 to 46.3 in Q2 2020. The outbreak of COVID-19, along with other risks such as geopolitical tensions, the controversial policies of the Indian and Chinese governments, spillover effects of the recession in Japan, and the increasing occurrence of environmental catastrophes, affected most of the countries in this region.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q2 2020 update of the global risk index owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control the spread of disease and risks associated with the pandemic by sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner. However, the region still faces high unemployment due to temporary furloughs and permanent job losses due the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the GCRI Q2 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 51.5 out of 100. The whole region has been battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 10 worst affected countries, six are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2020 Q2 update, with a regional risk score of 55.6 out of 100, up compared to 48.8 in the GCRI 2019 Q4 update and up compared to 47.6 in the GCRI 2018 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • The eleventh update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q2 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark.
  • 21 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low risk zone, 28 countries under manageable risk, 36 countries under high risk and 29 countries in the very high-risk zone in GCRI Q2 2020.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • Global Overview - Key Highlights
  • Global Overview - Summary
  • Flashback (January to August 2020)
  • Key Events: September 2020 - August 2021
  • MLCRI - Country Ranking
  • MLCRI Q2 2020 Heat Map
  • MLCRI: Global Landscape 2020
  • Impact of COVID-19
  • COVID-19 Spreads Globally
  • Pre Pandemic and Post Pandemic Forecast for 2020: Key Macroeconomic Indicators
  • Impact of COVID-19 on business and consumer sentiments
  • COVID-19 Impact on the Labour Market
  • Regional Analysis
  • Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific
  • Regional Analysis - Europe
  • Regional Analysis - Americas
  • Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa

Methodology and Appendix

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