자율형 항공기 시장 : 기회, 성장 촉진 요인, 산업 동향 분석, 예측(2025-2034년)

The Global Autonomous Aircraft Market was valued at USD 7.4 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 22.1% to reach USD 54.7 billion by 2034, fueled by a combination of rising demand for urban air mobility solutions, the expansion of last-mile delivery channels, and increasing investments from both private and commercial sectors. With advancements in artificial intelligence, sensing technologies, and battery efficiency, autonomous aircraft are gaining traction across logistics, emergency response, and passenger transport. Governments and private entities support innovation through substantial funding for R&D, prototyping, and mass production efforts. Adopting AI-powered autonomous systems is helping overcome logistical challenges in densely populated urban settings, driving interest in aerial transport alternatives.

This shift toward autonomy in aviation is also accelerating due to the need for safer, faster, and more efficient alternatives to traditional transport systems. Additionally, increased interest in environmentally responsible transport is steering development toward electric and hybrid systems, further reinforcing the push for autonomous flight capabilities. As global regulatory bodies impose stricter emission standards and climate policies, the aviation industry shifts toward cleaner propulsion technologies. Electric and hybrid-electric propulsion systems are gaining widespread attention for their potential to significantly reduce carbon emissions, noise pollution, and operating costs.

The eVTOL segment is projected to reach USD 11.7 billion by 2034, as urban air mobility gains momentum. These aircraft, capable of vertical take-off and landing, are useful in space-constrained urban centers. Innovations in electric propulsion and battery technology continue to enhance their performance, range, and viability for commercial use. As cities become more congested, eVTOLs emerge as a critical solution for short-distance, intra-city travel. Their compact design and ability to operate without long runways make them ideal for on-demand transportation, medical emergencies, airport shuttles, and cargo delivery.

The remotely piloted aircraft segment is anticipated to hold a 41.5% share in 2024. The widespread integration of AI, machine learning, and advanced sensors in unmanned systems has transformed their operational capability. These aircraft are increasingly vital in surveillance, agriculture, logistics, and emergency services-delivering precise, data-driven results with enhanced safety and efficiency. Their ability to carry out complex tasks in hazardous or inaccessible environments makes them indispensable across various industries.

United States Autonomous Aircraft Market was valued at USD 2.3 billion in 2024, supported by developments in AI, automation, and sensor systems that enhance aircraft safety and autonomy. Rising urban congestion and demand for flexible mobility options are encouraging UAM innovations. Additionally, the defense sector is making large-scale investments in autonomous drones for tactical operations, reconnaissance, and surveillance, further accelerating domestic market expansion.

Key players in the Global Autonomous Aircraft Market include Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation, AeroVironment Inc., Airbus S.A.S., and Northrop Grumman Corporation. To strengthen their position, leading companies in the autonomous aircraft industry invest in AI-driven flight systems, autonomous navigation software, and advanced sensor platforms. Collaborative partnerships with defense agencies, commercial transport providers, and tech startups are becoming a cornerstone of strategic growth. Several companies are expanding their portfolios with electric-powered and hybrid autonomous aircraft tailored for civil and military use. They focus on obtaining regulatory certifications, participating in pilot programs, and ramping production facilities to scale commercialization.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

• 1.1 Market scope & definitions
• 1.2 Base estimates & calculations
• 1.3 Forecast calculations
• 1.4 Data sources
  • 1.4.1 Primary
  • 1.4.2 Secondary
    • 1.4.2.1 Paid sources
    • 1.4.2.2 Public sources

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

• 2.1 Industry synopsis, 2021 - 2034

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

• 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
• 3.2 Trump administration tariffs
  • 3.2.1 Impact on trade
    • 3.2.1.1 Trade volume disruptions
    • 3.2.1.2 Retaliatory measures
  • 3.2.2 Impact on the industry
    • 3.2.2.1 Supply-side impact (raw materials)
      • 3.2.2.1.1 Price volatility in key materials
      • 3.2.2.1.2 Supply chain restructuring
      • 3.2.2.1.3 Production cost implications
    • 3.2.2.2 Demand-side impact (selling price)
      • 3.2.2.2.1 Price transmission to end markets
      • 3.2.2.2.2 Market share dynamics
      • 3.2.2.2.3 Consumer response patterns
  • 3.2.3 Key companies impacted
  • 3.2.4 Strategic industry responses
    • 3.2.4.1 Supply chain reconfiguration
    • 3.2.4.2 Pricing and product strategies
    • 3.2.4.3 Policy engagement
  • 3.2.5 Outlook and future considerations
• 3.3 Industry Impact forces
  • 3.3.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.3.1.1 Surge in demand for air mobility solutions
    • 3.3.1.2 Growth in private and commercial investments
    • 3.3.1.3 Rise advancements in sensor technologies:
    • 3.3.1.4 Rapid urbanization in emerging economies
    • 3.3.1.5 Increasing investment in research and development
  • 3.3.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
    • 3.3.2.1 Safety and reliability concerns
    • 3.3.2.2 Cybersecurity risks
• 3.4 Growth potential analysis
• 3.5 Regulatory landscape
• 3.6 Technology landscape
• 3.7 Future market trends
• 3.8 Gap analysis
• 3.9 Porter's analysis
• 3.10 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Company market share analysis
• 4.3 Competitive analysis of major market players
• 4.4 Competitive positioning matrix
• 4.5 Strategic dashboard

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Aircraft Type, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Units)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Fixed-wing aircraft
• 5.3 Rotary-wing aircraft
• 5.4 eVTOL aircraft

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Technology, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Units)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Fully autonomous aircraft
• 6.3 Remotely piloted aircraft
• 6.4 Optionally piloted aircraft
• 6.5 Semi-Autonomous aircraft

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Component, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Units)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 Flight management computers
• 7.3 Air data inertial reference units
• 7.4 Sensors
• 7.5 Actuation systems
• 7.6 Software
• 7.7 Radars & transponders
• 7.8 Propulsion systems
• 7.9 Others

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By End Use, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Units)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 Commercial
  • 8.2.1 Cargo delivery
  • 8.2.2 Passenger transport (urban air mobility)
• 8.3 Military & Defense
  • 8.3.1 ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance)
  • 8.3.2 Combat missions
  • 8.3.3 Others
• 8.4 Civil & government
  • 8.4.1 Border surveillance
  • 8.4.2 Environmental monitoring
  • 8.4.3 Emergency response
  • 8.4.4 Aerial surveying & mapping
  • 8.4.5 Others
• 8.5 Others

Chapter 9 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million & Units)

• 9.1 Key trends
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 U.S.
  • 9.2.2 Canada
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 UK
  • 9.3.2 Germany
  • 9.3.3 France
  • 9.3.4 Italy
  • 9.3.5 Spain
  • 9.3.6 Russia
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 China
  • 9.4.2 India
  • 9.4.3 Japan
  • 9.4.4 South Korea
  • 9.4.5 Australia
• 9.5 Latin America
  • 9.5.1 Brazil
  • 9.5.2 Mexico
• 9.6 MEA
  • 9.6.1 South Africa
  • 9.6.2 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.3 UAE

Chapter 10 Company Profiles

• 10.1 AeroVironment Inc.
• 10.2 Airbus
• 10.3 Anduril Industries
• 10.4 BAE Systems
• 10.5 Boeing
• 10.6 EHang
• 10.7 Elbit Systems
• 10.8 General Atomics Aeronautical Systems
• 10.9 Honeywell International Inc.
• 10.10 Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
• 10.11 Lockheed Martin
• 10.12 Northrop Grumman
• 10.13 Pyka
• 10.14 Textron Inc.
• 10.15 Thales Group
• 10.16 Wisk Aero