|
시장보고서
상품코드
1889031
합성 연료 시장 : 시장 규모, 점유율 및 동향 분석 보고서 - 원료별, 연료별, 지역별, 부문별 예측(2025-2033년)Synthetic Fuels Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Feedstock (Natural Gas, Coal), By Fuel (Synthetic Diesel, Synthetic Gasoline, Synthetic Jet Fuel), By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2025 - 2033 |
||||||
합성 연료 시장 요약
세계의 합성 연료 시장 규모는 2024년에 약 67억 달러로 평가되었고, 2033년까지 258억 5,000만 달러에 이를 것으로 예측됩니다.
2025-2033년 CAGR 16.3%로 성장할 전망입니다. 이러한 성장은 저탄소 에너지 시스템으로의 세계 전환 가속화, 지속가능한 항공 및 선박용 연료 수요 증가, 그리고 운송 및 산업 분야에서 지속적인 탈탄소화 노력을 통해 추진되고 있습니다.
재생가능한 수소, 회수된 CO2 및 기타 원료로 제조되는 합성 연료는 기존 연료 인프라를 활용하면서 탄소 중립을 달성하는 현실적인 경로를 제공합니다. 파워 투 리퀴드(PtL) 기술 및 피셔 트로프슈 합성 기술에 대한 투자 증가, 클린 연료에 관한 정부 규제, 기업의 넷 제로 공약이 합쳐져 대규모 상업화가 촉진되고 있습니다. 게다가 전해 효율 향상, 탄소 포집 기술과의 통합, 연료 합성 공정의 지속적인 진보에 의해 생산 비용이 저하되고, 항공, 해운, 중량물 수송 등의 배출 감축이 곤란한 분야에 있어서, 합성 연료가 종래의 화석 연료를 대신하는 실용적인 옵션으로서 대두되고 있습니다.
북미의 시장에서는 강력한 연방 청정 연료 기준, 확대되는 재생 가능 수소 생산 능력, 지속 가능한 항공 연료(SAF)에 대한 수요 증가가 성장을 지원하고 있습니다. 미국은 에너지부(DOE) 자금에 의한 프로젝트, 주 수준의 저탄소 연료 프로그램, e-연료 생산 확대를 목표로 하는 민간 부문과의 제휴를 통해 지역 개발을 주도하고 있습니다. 항공사, 석유 메이저, 기술 개발자 간의 연계 강화에 더해, 인플레이션 억제법(IRA)의 세제 우대 조치나 재생 가능 연료 크레딧이 합쳐져, 합성 연료 정제소에 대한 투자가 가속하고 있습니다. 캐나다도 지역 확대에 기여하고 있으며, 주 수준의 청정 연료 규제, 탄소 가격 제도, 산업 탈탄소화 목표가 도로 운송 및 오프 그리드 에너지 용도 분야에서 탄소 중립 액체 연료에 대한 관심을 높입니다.
유럽은 유럽연합의 'Fit for 55' 패키지, ReFuelEU Aviation 이니셔티브, 화석연료 단계적 폐지를 위한 각국의 강력한 노력을 배경으로 또 하나의 주요 성장거점이 되고 있습니다. 독일, 영국, 노르웨이와 같은 국가들은 대규모 e-연료 파일럿 플랜트와 통합된 Power-to-X 프로젝트를 통해 조기 상업화를 이끌고 있습니다. 그린 수소, 탄소 포집 및 재생에너지 통합을 지원하는 정책 인센티브가 합성 연료의 견고한 밸류체인을 육성하고 있습니다. 정유소, 에너지 기업, 기술 혁신자 간의 전략적 제휴도 생산 능력을 확대하고 있습니다. 2050년까지 기후 중립 달성을 위한 노력이 가속화됨에 따라 합성 연료는 장거리 수송의 탈탄소화와 유럽의 진화하는 에너지 환경에서의 유연하고 저장 가능한 재생에너지 공급에 필수적인 것으로 인식되고 있습니다.
자주 묻는 질문
목차
제1장 조사 방법 및 범위
제2장 주요 요약
제3장 시장 변수, 동향 및 범위
- 시장 계보의 전망
- 침투율 및 성장 전망의 매핑
- 밸류체인 분석
- 규제 프레임워크
- 기준 및 컴플라이언스
- 규제의 영향 분석
- 시장 역학
- Porter's Five Forces 분석
- PESTLE 분석
제4장 합성 연료 시장 : 원료의 추정 및 동향 분석
- 합성 연료 시장 : 원료 변동 분석(2024년, 2033년)
- 석탄
- 천연가스
- 바이오매스
- CO2 수소
제5장 합성 연료 시장 : 연료별 추정 및 동향 분석
- 합성 연료 시장 : 연료 변동 분석(2024년, 2033년)
- 합성 디젤
- 합성 가솔린
- 합성항공연료(SAF)
- 기타
제6장 합성 연료 시장 : 지역별 추정 및 동향 분석
- 지역별 분석(2024년, 2033년)
- 북미
- 미국
- 캐나다
- 멕시코
- 유럽
- 독일
- 영국
- 프랑스
- 아시아태평양
- 중국
- 인도
- 일본
- 한국
- 라틴아메리카
- 브라질
- 중동 및 아프리카
- 사우디아라비아
- 아랍에미리트(UAE)
Synthetic Fuels Market Summary
The global synthetic fuels market size was estimated at approximately USD 6.70 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 25.85 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.3% from 2025 to 2033. Growth is being propelled by the accelerating global transition toward low-carbon energy systems, increasing demand for sustainable aviation and marine fuels, and ongoing decarbonization efforts across the transport and industrial sectors.
Synthetic fuels produced from renewable hydrogen and captured CO2 or other feedstocks offer a viable pathway to achieve carbon neutrality while leveraging existing fuel infrastructure. Rising investments in Power-to-Liquids (PtL) and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis technologies, combined with government mandates for cleaner fuels and corporate net-zero pledges, are fostering large-scale commercialization. Moreover, ongoing advancements in electrolysis efficiency, carbon capture integration, and fuel synthesis processes are driving down production costs, enabling synthetic fuels to emerge as a practical alternative to conventional fossil-based fuels in hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation, shipping, and heavy transport.
In North America, market growth is supported by robust federal clean fuel standards, expanding renewable hydrogen capacity, and the growing demand for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The U.S. leads regional development through Department of Energy (DOE) funded projects, state-level low-carbon fuel programs, and private-sector partnerships aimed at scaling e-fuel production. Increasing collaboration between airlines, oil majors, and technology developers, coupled with Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) tax incentives and renewable fuel credits, is accelerating investment in synthetic fuels refineries. Canada is also contributing to regional expansion, with provincial clean fuel regulations, carbon pricing mechanisms, and industrial decarbonization targets driving interest in carbon-neutral liquid fuels for both on-road and off-grid energy applications.
Europe represents another key growth hub, underpinned by the European Union's "Fit for 55" package, ReFuelEU Aviation initiative, and strong national commitments to phase out fossil fuels. Countries such as Germany, the UK, and Norway are leading early commercialization through large-scale e-fuel pilot plants and integrated Power-to-X projects. Policy incentives supporting green hydrogen, carbon capture, and the integration of renewable energy are fostering a robust value chain for synthetic fuels. Strategic partnerships between refineries, energy companies, and technology innovators are also expanding production capacity. As the region accelerates efforts to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, synthetic fuels are increasingly being recognized as essential to decarbonizing long-haul transport and providing flexible, storable renewable energy for Europe's evolving energy landscape.
Global Synthetic Fuels Market Report Segmentation
This report forecasts revenue growth at global, regional, and country levels and provides an analysis of the latest industry trends in each of the sub-segments from 2021 to 2033. For this study, Grand View Research has segmented the global synthetic fuels market report based on feedstock, fuel, and region.
- Feedstock Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
- Coal
- Natural Gas
- Biomass
- CO2 + Hydrogen
- Fuel Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
- Synthetic Diesel
- Synthetic Gasoline
- Synthetic Jet Fuel (SAF)
- Others
- Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million, 2021 - 2033)
- North America
- U.S.
- Canada
- Mexico
- Europe
- Germany
- UK
- France
- Asia Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- South Korea
- Latin America
- Brazil
- Middle East & Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE
Table of Contents
Chapter 1. Methodology and Scope
- 1.1. Market Segmentation & Scope
- 1.2. Market Definition
- 1.3. Information Procurement
- 1.3.1. Information Analysis
- 1.3.2. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
- 1.3.3. Data Validation & Publishing
- 1.4. Research Scope and Assumptions
- 1.4.1. List of Data Feedstocks
Chapter 2. Executive Summary
- 2.1. Market Snapshot
- 2.2. Segmental Outlook
- 2.3. Competitive Outlook
Chapter 3. Market Variables, Trends, and Scope
- 3.1. Market Lineage Outlook
- 3.2. Penetration & Growth Prospect Mapping
- 3.3. Value Chain Analysis
- 3.4. Regulatory Framework
- 3.4.1. Standards & Compliance
- 3.4.2. Regulatory Impact Analysis
- 3.5. Market Dynamics
- 3.5.1. Market Driver Analysis
- 3.5.2. Market Restraint Analysis
- 3.5.3. Market Opportunities
- 3.5.4. Market Challenges
- 3.6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
- 3.6.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
- 3.6.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
- 3.6.3. Threat of Substitution
- 3.6.4. Threat of New Entrants
- 3.6.5. Competitive Rivalry
- 3.7. PESTLE Analysis
- 3.7.1. Political
- 3.7.2. Economic
- 3.7.3. Social Landscape
- 3.7.4. Technology
- 3.7.5. Environmental
- 3.7.6. Legal
Chapter 4. Synthetic Fuels Market: Feedstock Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 4.1. Synthetic Fuels Market: Feedstock Movement Analysis, 2024 & 2033
- 4.2. Coal
- 4.2.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 4.3. Natural Gas
- 4.3.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 4.4. Biomass
- 4.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 4.5. CO2 + Hydrogen
- 4.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
Chapter 5. Synthetic Fuels Market: Fuel Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 5.1. Synthetic Fuels Market: Fuel Movement Analysis, 2024 & 2033
- 5.2. Synthetic Diesel
- 5.2.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.3. Synthetic Gasoline
- 5.3.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.4. Synthetic Jet Fuel (SAF)
- 5.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.5. Others
- 5.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
Chapter 6. Synthetic Fuels Market: Regional Estimates & Trend Analysis
- 6.1. Regional Analysis, 2024 & 2033
- 6.2. North America
- 6.2.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.4. U.S.
- 6.2.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.5. Canada
- 6.2.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.5.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.5.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.6. Mexico
- 6.2.6.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.6.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.2.6.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3. Europe
- 6.3.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.4. Germany
- 6.3.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.5. UK
- 6.3.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.5.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.5.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.6. France
- 6.3.6.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.6.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3.6.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4. Asia Pacific
- 6.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.4. China
- 6.4.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.5. India
- 6.4.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.5.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.5.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.6. Japan
- 6.4.6.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.6.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.6.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.7. South Korea
- 6.4.7.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.7.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.4.7.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5. Latin America
- 6.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5.4. Brazil
- 6.5.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.5.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6. Middle East & Africa
- 6.6.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.4. Saudi Arabia
- 6.6.4.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.4.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.4.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.5. UAE
- 6.6.5.1. Market estimates and forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.5.2. Market estimates and forecasts, by feedstock, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.6.5.3. Market estimates and forecasts, by fuel, 2021 - 2033 (USD Million)
