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세계의 EV용 전기 모터 시장(2020-2030년)

Electric Motors for Electric Vehicles: Land, Water, Air 2020-2030

리서치사 IDTechEx Ltd.
발행일 2019년 09월 상품 코드 408659
페이지 정보 영문 260 Slides
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세계의 EV용 전기 모터 시장(2020-2030년) Electric Motors for Electric Vehicles: Land, Water, Air 2020-2030
발행일 : 2019년 09월 페이지 정보 : 영문 260 Slides

EV용 전기 모터 시장에 대해 조사 분석했으며, 시장 개요, 주요 동향, 기술, 주요 기업 등에 대한 체계적인 정보를 제공합니다.

제1장 주요 요약과 결론

제2장 서론

제3장 전압 동향, 기술의 영향, 48V 마일드 하이브리드의 큰 기회

  • 현재 상황
  • 자동차 파라미터 : 카테고리별
  • "48V는 새로운 12V"
  • 5,000만을 넘어선 48V 마일드 하이브리드

제4장 중량비를 높여

  • 경량 항공기용 전기 모터의 경쟁
  • AVID EVO가 요구하는 10kW/kg : 7,000만 달러의 수주
  • Magnax의 축방향 자속

제5장 자동차용 트랙션 머신 동향

  • 다양한 EV용 전기 모터의 파워
  • 인휠/인트랜스미션 복수 모터의 사례
  • Schaeffler
  • Xtrac EV 트랜스미션
  • 유인 전기 항공기의 사례
  • Mercedes Vito minibus
  • 인휠 모터 vs. 니어휠 모터

제6장 모터 제어 기술

  • 개요
  • 사례
  • 증가가 단순화의 시도로 연결
  • 비용과 통합 문제
  • 미래의 48V 마일드 하이브리드 모터 컨트롤러

제7장 작동중인 다양한 트랙션 모터 기술

  • 48V 마일드 하이브리드 자동차의 전기 모터 종류 분석
  • 전기 버스의 전기 모터 종류 분석
  • 오프로드 산업용 EV
  • 작동중인 전기 항공기
KSM 19.01.30

이 페이지에 게재되어 있는 내용은 최신판과 약간 차이가 있을 수 있으므로 영문목차를 함께 참조하여 주시기 바랍니다. 기타 자세한 사항은 문의 바랍니다.

This report is of vital interest to all in the electric vehicle value chain from materials and component suppliers to parts and motor manufacturers a product integrators. Indeed there is much here for vehicle manufacturers and it is essential reading for planners. Electric motors are the only components that appear in all electric vehicles. Even batteries are sometimes replaced by supercapacitors. Every year, IDTechEx rewrites its definitive study of such motors. This year a new assessment is particularly important because so many things are changing. The chapters reflect these changes. Firstly, the Executive Summary and Conclusions, complete in itself, presents new conclusions about the sales and technology trends. The proliferation of applications is reflected in the world's most detailed forecasts for 101 categories of land, water and airborne vehicle over 12 years giving number, kWh and gross GWh for motors: 3,636 data points. Beyond that, the percentage of each motor technology for the 101 categories is given for 2020 and 2030 plus historical regional data. As an appendix, the motor activity of over 190 suppliers is appraised. See how the number of motors per vehicle is proliferating, making the motor demand grow faster than EV demand but that is partly offset by more vehicle manufacturers making their own motors.

The Introduction explains design choices in lucid new infograms. Learn how and why for such choices as external and internal rotor, synchronous vs asynchronous and subsets of that with the latest on which applications are winning and why and the issues.

Reflecting the new realities, there is a comprehensive chapter on 11 new trends in EV motors and their industry. A subsequent chapter focuses on the surge in adoption for axial flux motors - why and where - then one dives into 48V mild hybrids and soon 48V full hybrids becoming a massive market for complex starter-motor-generators and sometimes two motor architectures.

There is a chapter on the newly important large motors up to megawatts for land, water and air vehicle and we cover those essential controllers now so often costing more than the motor and integrated into it. Which motor technologies scale well here?

The 260 page report is replete with new graphs, tables, infograms and interview information, scoping around 200 organisations.

The report is based on over 20 years researching EV motors globally by PhD level analysts interviewing in local languages and distilling inputs from privileged databases including our own and our longstanding conferences and consultancy in the subject.

You even learn new principles of electric propulsion and their potential and the activities of a host of new start ups for this is truly the only up-to-date comprehensive report on the subject. The orientation is much more commercial than academic.

Companies covered include:

ABM Greiffenberger ; AC Induction Systems; A C Propulsion Inc, California, USA; Adata; Advanced Electric Machines; Advanced Marine Electric Propulsion; Agni Motors; Aisin AW (Toyota); Alcraft; American Electric Vehicles; Ansaldo Electric Drives; Apex Drive Labs, Oregon, USA; Asmo Marine; ATE; Aveox; AVID EVO; Bando Motor; Beijing Automotive Industry Holding Co., Ltd. (BAIC)/ Siemens; Bicimoto; Big Best Motor; BionX International Corporation; BMW; Bodine Electric; Bonmet Shenzhen CNC Equipment Co Ltd.; Borg Warner; Bosch ; Bosch Daimler; Brilliance Machinery Factory, China; Broad Ocean; Brusa Elektronik; CCE; Changzhou AOMA Motor Co., Ltd.; Changzhou Gold Link Cable Co., Ltd, China; Changzhou Huayu Xinfeng Motor Co., Ltd.; Changzhou Yucheng-Yake Motor Co Ltd; Chorus Motors; Chuan-Xin Enterprise Co., Ltd; Clean Mobile; Continental ; Cosmos Ocean Corp.; CPT (Controlled Power Technology) ; CRRC; Curtis Instruments; Cutler MAC (Shanghai) Brushless Motor Co., Ltd.; Dana Corporation; Danfoss; D&D Motor Systems; Dana Holding; Deep Sea Systems International; Delta; DeltaWing Technology Group and DHX Electric Machines; Denis de Ferranti ; DHX Electric Machines; dmg movement; Dongguan Jufeng Hydraulic Manufacturing Co., Ltd; Dynetic Systems; Ecity Power Co., Ltd, China; Eco Motor Works; Elaphe; Elco Motor Yachts Inc; Elebike Co., Ltd; Electric Marine Propulsion / Homewood Group ; Emerson Electric; EnerTrac Corporation; Enova Systems; Enstroj; Equipmake; eTraction; Evans Electric; EVO Electric; EVT Mobil, Germany; Falco e-Motors; Federal Mogul; Forsen Motor Corporation; Fukuta; General Electric; General Motors; Golden Island Machinery Co, Ltd, China; Golden Motor Technology Co Ltd; Guang Dong M&C Electric Power, China; Gwa Energy, Inc.; Hangzhou Weifeng Machinery Co., Ltd.; Heinzmann GmbH & Co. KG; Heng Tian Permanent Magnet Electric Motor Co.,; Higen Motors, South Korea; Hitachi; Hitachi Honda JV... And over 100 more

Analyst access from IDTechEx

All report purchases include up to 30 minutes telephone time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

  • 1.1.Purpose and scope of this report
  • 1.2.Methodology
  • 1.3.Primary conclusions: markets
  • 1.4.Primary conclusions: technology
  • 1.5.Motor needs by type of powertrain
  • 1.6.Forecasts 2019-2030
    • 1.6.1.Forecast overview 2019-2030 (applicational sectors) - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.2.Forecast overview 2019-2030 (applicational sectors) - bnW
    • 1.6.3.Forecasts 2019-2030: Construction - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.4.Forecasts 2019-2030: Construction - bnW
    • 1.6.5.Forecasts 2019-2030: Agriculture - number thousand
    • 1.6.6.Forecasts 2019-2030: Agriculture - bnW
    • 1.6.7.Forecasts 2019-2030: Mining - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.8.Forecasts 2019-2030: Mining - bnW
    • 1.6.9.Forecasts 2019-2030: Intralogistics - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.10.Forecasts 2019-2030: Intralogistics - bnW
    • 1.6.11.Forecasts 2019-2030: Airport & off-road - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.12.Forecasts 2019-2030: Airport & off-road - bnW
    • 1.6.13.Forecasts 2019-2030: Buses - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.14.Forecasts 2019-2030: Buses - bnW
    • 1.6.15.Forecasts 2019-2030: Trucks - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.16.Forecasts 2019-2030: Trucks - bnW
    • 1.6.17.Forecasts 2019-2030: Cars- vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.18.Forecasts 2019-2030: Cars- bnW
    • 1.6.19.Forecasts 2019-2030: Light Electric Vehicles - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.20.Forecasts 2019-2030: Light Electric Vehicles - bnW
    • 1.6.21.Forecasts 2019-2030: Military- vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.22.Forecasts 2019-2030: Military- bnW
    • 1.6.23.Forecasts 2019-2030: Drones - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.24.Forecasts 2019-2030: Drones - bnW
    • 1.6.25.Forecasts 2019-2030: Aircraft - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.26.Forecasts 2019-2030: Aircraft - bnW
    • 1.6.27.Forecasts 2019-2030: Trains - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.28.Forecasts 2019-2030: Trains - bnW
    • 1.6.29.Forecasts 2019-2030: Marine - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.30.Forecasts 2019-2030: Marine - bnW
    • 1.6.31.Forecasts 2019-2030: Home & other - vehicle number thousand
    • 1.6.32.Forecasts 2019-2030: Home & other - bnW
  • 1.7.EV motor technology split 2020 and 2030
    • 1.7.1.Construction sector
    • 1.7.2.Agriculture sector
    • 1.7.3.Mining and intralogistics sectors
    • 1.7.4.Buses and trucks
    • 1.7.5.Cars and car-like vehicles
    • 1.7.6.Two wheel, military, drone
    • 1.7.7.Manned aircraft, battery trains
    • 1.7.8.Marine, home robot, other
  • 1.8.Motor profitability by vehicle sector 2030 explained
  • 1.9.Neodymium cost trends spell trouble
    • 1.9.1.Boiling the frog
    • 1.9.2.Permanent magnets more popular but eventually unnecessary?
  • 1.10.Regional sales
    • 1.10.1.China
    • 1.10.2.Europe
    • 1.10.3.USA
  • 1.11.Motor technologies for cars: global EV market shares

2. INTRODUCTION

  • 2.1.Electric motor construction: mainly internal rotor
  • 2.2.Three operating principles compared
  • 2.3.Electric motor subtypes important for EVs
  • 2.4.EV motor benefits compared
  • 2.5.EV applications for the three motor types
  • 2.6.Motor choice for pure electric cars and vans
  • 2.7.Electric motors for other pure electric vehicles
  • 2.8.Technology choices - a closer look
    • 2.8.1.Spectrum of choice: benefits, challenges, uses
    • 2.8.2.PMAC vs BLDC technology
    • 2.8.3.Conductor format, optimisation, integration

3. ELEVEN IMPORTANT TRENDS IN EV MOTORS 2020-2030

  • 3.1.Overview
  • 3.2.Eleven trends
    • 3.2.1.Increasing percentage of vehicle cost
    • 3.2.2.Integration
    • 3.2.3.Multifunction
    • 3.2.4.Proliferation: vehicle has more motors
    • 3.2.5.Much bigger motors needed
    • 3.2.6.Vertical integration: Vehicle makers design their own motors
    • 3.2.7.Less cooling
    • 3.2.8.Voltage increase:
    • 3.2.9.New principles of electrical propulsion
    • 3.2.10.New materials: structural electronics
    • 3.2.11.Acquisitions and partnerships

4. MOTOR DESIGN ISSUES

  • 4.1.Trend to broad capability
  • 4.2.Dana Corporation - TM4
  • 4.3.Company experience and designer preferences
  • 4.4.Lessons from Tesla the automotive market leader
    • 4.4.1.Overview
    • 4.4.2.Trying to catch Tesla
    • 4.4.3.Tesla 3 Permanent Magnet Switched Reluctance Motor
    • 4.4.4.Motor design advice from Tesla
  • 4.5.Progress with switched reluctance
    • 4.5.1.Patent analysis
    • 4.5.2.Visedo synchronous reluctance assistant
    • 4.5.3.Advanced Electric Machines
    • 4.5.4.Eco Motor Works Canada
    • 4.5.5.Nidec Japan
  • 4.6.EV induction motor advances
    • 4.6.1.CCE Thyssen Krupp
    • 4.6.2.Tesla improves induction motors
  • 4.7.48V hybrid vehicles: very large motor market emerging
    • 4.7.1.Basic 48V mild hybrid: cleverer motor, stronger battery are key
    • 4.7.2.Examples and timeline for cars
    • 4.7.3.Ongoing incremental improvements at modest cost
    • 4.7.4.Functions vs architectures
    • 4.7.5.48V full hybrid can be primitive or maximum benefit
    • 4.7.6.Continental
    • 4.7.7.Eaton 48V full hybrid truck
    • 4.7.8.Mercedes integrated starter generator ISG mild hybrid
    • 4.7.9.Audi
    • 4.7.10.Bentley
    • 4.7.11.Jaguar Land Rover
    • 4.7.12.Schaeffler
    • 4.7.13.Valeo, Hyundai Mobis, Delphi, Tenneco, Bosch, IFEVS

5. AXIAL FLUX FOR HIGH POWER-TO-WEIGHT RATIO

  • 5.1.Chasing high power to weight ratio: history
  • 5.2.Patent analysis: axial flux motors
  • 5.3.Rolls Royce, Siemens, Yasa
  • 5.4.AVID EVO claim 10 kW/kg: lands $70 million of orders
  • 5.5.Equipmake reconfigured PM motor
  • 5.6.Magnax axial flux

6. IN-WHEEL MOTORS NOW POPULAR

  • 6.1.Overview
    • 6.1.1.Widespread adoption at last: BYD, Olli
    • 6.1.2.Protean 360 degree wheel
  • 6.2.Lightyear axial flux in-wheel
    • 6.2.1.Range sells cars
    • 6.2.2.Less battery with in-wheel motors
  • 6.3.Elaphe enabling 1000km on land
  • 6.4.Nidec Japan

7. HEAVY DUTY EV MOTORS OFF-ROAD

  • 7.1.Overview: Needs are different from on-road
  • 7.2.Takeuchi TB216H hybrid mini excavator
  • 7.3.All-electric Caterpillar excavator
  • 7.4.Hyundai electric excavator
  • 7.5.Asynchronous/ induction in mining vehicles
  • 7.6.What next?
  • 7.7.Military overview
  • 7.8.Vehicles by Balquon, Alke, Polaris, Columbia, Hummer, Green Wheel, Quantum FCT
  • 7.9.Larger military vehicles by BAE Systems, US DOD, Millenworks, Oshkosh
  • 7.10.Latest progress
    • 7.10.1.Autonomous off-road vehicles
    • 7.10.2.Otokar armored vehicle Turkey
    • 7.10.3.Nikola utility-task all-terrain vehicle USA
    • 7.10.4.TARDEC USA
    • 7.10.5.Arquus replacement for Humvee Sweden
    • 7.10.6.GE, DARPA and QinetiQ US UK
    • 7.10.7.GM Defense, Chevrolet Silverado USA
    • 7.10.8.Fuel cell main battle tanks?
  • 7.11.Electric boats and ships: a long history?
    • 7.11.1.Marine Market Segments
    • 7.11.2.Torqeedo: Moving Up to 100kW!
    • 7.11.3.Torqeedo Inboards and Outboards
    • 7.11.4.Key Growth Market: C&I Vessels
    • 7.11.5.Focus of emissions regulation
    • 7.11.6.Emission control areas (ECA)
    • 7.11.7.Unprecedented global cap on Sulphur
    • 7.11.8.World's First Pure Electric Container Ship

8. MOTOR CONTROL TECHNOLOGY

  • 8.1.Overview
  • 8.2.Major trends
  • 8.3.Direct drive or transmission
  • 8.4.View of Ultimate Transmissions
  • 8.5.Power semiconductors are key
  • 8.6.Examples
  • 8.7.Proliferation drives simplification
    • 8.7.1.Elimination of motor control
    • 8.7.2.Shared components: University of Berlin, Infineon
    • 8.7.3.Bidirectional Charge- and Traction-System (BCTS) Continental
    • 8.8.Future 48V mild hybrid motor controllers: TT/ AB Microelectronics

9. ELECTRIC MOTORS FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES DIRECTORY OF 194 COMPANIES

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