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시장보고서
상품코드
1866406
세계의 버스 시장 예측(2025-2030년)Global Bus Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
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버스 시장은 2025년 802억 1,300만 달러에서 2030년에는 1,053억 8,300만 달러에 달하고, CAGR 5.61%를 나타낼 전망입니다.
급속한 도시화, 지속가능한 대중교통에 대한 수요 증가, 특히 개발도상국의 교통 인프라에 대한 정부 투자를 배경으로 세계의 버스 시장은 크게 성장할 것으로 예측됩니다. 도시 교통, 도시간 장거리 버스, 스쿨 버스를 포함한 버스는 도시의 이동 과제 해결, 교통 정체의 완화, 배출 가스의 삭감에 있어서 매우 중요합니다. 전기 버스 및 하이브리드 버스 기술의 발전으로 환경 성능과 운영 효율성이 향상되고 시장은 계속 진화하고 있습니다. 주요 동향으로는 승객의 쾌적성과 안전성을 우선하는 버스 전동화, BRT(버스 고속 운송 시스템), MaaS(Mobility-as-a-Service)와의 통합 등을 들 수 있습니다. 전기 버스의 고비용이나 일부 지역에서의 디젤로부터의 이행에 대한 저항감과 같은 과제가 성장의 방해가 될 가능성이 있습니다.
시장 성장 촉진요인
주요 성장 촉진요인은 2050년까지 68%를 나타낼 것으로 예측되는 세계적인 도시 인구 증가입니다. 추가 25억 명의 도시 거주자의 90%가 아시아와 아프리카에 집중할 것으로 예상됩니다(유엔). 이 인구 급증은 교통 시스템에 부담을 주며 특히 중국과 인도와 같은 인구 밀집 지역에서 버스 수요를 증가시키고 있습니다. 개발도상국의 대중교통 인프라 확충을 위한 정부의 이니셔티브도 시장 성장을 더욱 촉진하고 있습니다. 지속가능성에 대한 노력이 전기버스의 도입을 촉진하고 있으며, 엄격한 배출규제와 정부의 인센티브가 이를 뒷받침하고 세계적인 탈탄소화의 목표를 따릅니다.
시장 성장 억제요인
전기 버스의 도입에는 초기 비용이 높고, 인프라 정비가 필요하기 때문에 특히 개발 도상 지역의 소규모 교통기관에 있어서는 장벽이 됩니다. 또한 기존 관습과 비용면에서 우려로 디젤버스에서의 전환에 저항이 있어 시장 확대에 방해가 되고 있습니다. 또한 다양한 시장에서 일관된 안전성과 신뢰성 기준을 확보하는 것도 과제입니다.
The Bus Market is set to climb from USD 80.213 billion in 2025 to USD 105.383 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 5.61%.
The global bus market is poised for significant growth, driven by rapid urbanization, increasing demand for sustainable public transportation, and government investments in transit infrastructure, particularly in developing nations. Buses, encompassing city transit, intercity coaches, and school buses, are critical for addressing urban mobility challenges, reducing traffic congestion, and lowering emissions. The market is evolving with advancements in electric and hybrid bus technologies, enhancing environmental performance and operational efficiency. Key trends include bus electrification, bus rapid transit (BRT) systems, and mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) integrations, which prioritize passenger comfort and safety. Challenges such as high costs of electric buses and reluctance to shift from diesel in some regions may hinder growth.
Market Drivers
The primary driver is the global rise in urban population, projected to reach 68% by 2050, with 90% of the 2.5 billion additional urban dwellers in Asia and Africa (United Nations). This population surge strains transportation systems, increasing demand for buses, particularly in densely populated regions like China and India. Government initiatives in developing countries to expand public transport infrastructure further propel market growth. The push for sustainability drives electric bus adoption, supported by stringent emission regulations and government incentives, aligning with global decarbonization goals.
Market Constraints
High initial costs and infrastructure requirements for electric buses pose barriers, particularly for smaller transit agencies in developing regions. Resistance to transitioning from diesel buses, due to established conventions and cost concerns, also limits market expansion. Additionally, ensuring consistent safety and reliability standards across diverse markets remains a challenge.
Market Segmentation
The bus market is segmented by type, application, and geography. By type, it includes diesel, electric, and other fuel types like compressed natural gas and hybrids, with electric buses expected to grow rapidly due to regulatory support. By application, the market covers transit buses, school buses, and others, with transit buses holding a significant share due to their role in urban commuting. Geographically, the market spans North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, and the Middle East and Africa, with regional growth tied to urbanization and policy support.
Geographical Outlook
The Asia Pacific region dominates the market, driven by high reliance on public transportation in low- and middle-income households, particularly in China and India. Rapid urbanization and government investments in transit infrastructure fuel growth. North America and Europe maintain substantial shares, supported by advanced infrastructure and sustainability initiatives. South America and the Middle East and Africa are expected to see steady growth as public transport systems expand.
Competitive Landscape
Key players are focusing on electrification and innovative technologies to enhance passenger experience and meet environmental standards. Companies are investing in electric and hydrogen-powered buses and integrating advanced safety features like ADAS. Strategic partnerships and government collaborations are common to address infrastructure challenges and scale operations.
Opportunities and Challenges
Opportunities lie in expanding electric bus fleets and leveraging MaaS to enhance urban mobility. Challenges include overcoming cost barriers for electric bus adoption and addressing infrastructure gaps in developing regions. Industry experts should prioritize cost-effective electrification strategies and policy advocacy to capitalize on the bus market's growth potential in a rapidly urbanizing, sustainability-focused global landscape.
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The Global Bus Market is analyzed into the following segments: