박막 태양전지 시장 보고서 : 동향, 예측, 경쟁 분석(-2031년)

The future of the global thin-film photovoltaic market looks promising with opportunities in the residential, commercial & industrial, and utility markets. The global thin-film photovoltaic market is expected to reach an estimated $18 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the growing demand for renewable energy, the rising need to reduce carbon emissions, and the increasing adoption of thin-film-based photovoltaic devices.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the component category, the module is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
• In terms of regions, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

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Emerging Trends in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Emerging trends in the thin-film photovoltaic market reflect ongoing innovations and shifts in technology, consumer preferences, and regulatory environments. These trends are influencing the direction and growth of the sector.

• High-efficiency thin-film technologies: Innovations in high-efficiency thin-film technologies, such as advanced CdTe and CIGS, are driving market growth. Enhanced efficiency increases the energy yield of thin-film PV systems, making them more competitive with traditional silicon-based panels.
• Integration with building materials: The integration of thin-film PV with building materials is gaining traction. This trend involves embedding solar technology into building facades, windows, and roofing materials, enhancing the aesthetics and functionality of buildings while generating renewable energy.
• Cost reduction innovations: Technological advancements and streamlined manufacturing processes are leading to significant cost reductions in thin-film PV production. Lower costs make thin-film PV more accessible and attractive for large-scale projects and residential applications.
• Government incentives and policies: Supportive government policies and incentives are crucial for the growth of the thin-film PV market. Policies such as subsidies, tax credits, and renewable energy mandates encourage adoption and investment in thin-film technologies.
• Expansion into emerging markets: The expansion of thin-film PV technologies into emerging markets is driving growth. These markets offer new opportunities for deployment, particularly in regions with high solar potential and growing energy demands.

Emerging trends such as high-efficiency technologies, integration with building materials, cost reductions, government incentives, and expansion into emerging markets are reshaping the thin-film photovoltaic market. These trends are driving technological innovation, reducing costs, and expanding the applications of thin-film PV technologies.

Recent Developments in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Recent developments in the thin-film photovoltaic market highlight significant advancements in technology, production, and application. These developments are shaping the market's future and driving growth.

• Advanced material research: Research into new materials, such as perovskite-based thin-film PV cells, is advancing rapidly. These materials promise higher efficiency and better performance compared to traditional thin-film technologies, potentially transforming the market landscape.
• Manufacturing innovations: Innovations in manufacturing processes, including roll-to-roll techniques and improved deposition methods, are reducing costs and increasing production efficiency. These advancements help scale up production and make thin-film PV more competitive.
• Increased deployment in urban areas: Thin-film PV is increasingly being deployed in urban environments, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and urban solar farms. This trend reflects a growing interest in integrating solar technologies into everyday infrastructure.
• Focus on durability and reliability: Enhancements in the durability and reliability of thin-film PV panels are a key focus. Improved weather resistance and longer lifespans increase the attractiveness of thin-film technologies for both residential and commercial applications.
• Global expansion of production facilities: The expansion of thin-film PV production facilities worldwide is supporting market growth. New factories and increased production capacity are meeting the rising demand and facilitating the global distribution of thin-film technologies.

Recent developments such as advanced material research, manufacturing innovations, urban deployment, focus on durability, and global expansion of production facilities are significantly impacting the thin-film photovoltaic market. These developments are driving technological progress, reducing costs, and expanding market reach.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Strategic growth opportunities in the thin-film photovoltaic market are emerging from advancements in technology, expanding applications, and evolving market dynamics. These opportunities are shaping the future of thin-film PV technologies.

• Building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV): The integration of thin-film PV into building materials, such as facades and roofs, offers significant growth potential. BIPV systems provide both aesthetic and functional benefits, driving adoption in residential and commercial buildings.
• Portable solar solutions: Thin-film PV's flexibility and lightweight properties make it ideal for portable solar applications, such as solar chargers and camping equipment. This segment is expanding as consumer demand for portable, renewable energy solutions grows.
• Commercial and industrial applications: The adoption of thin-film PV in commercial and industrial settings is increasing. Applications include large-scale solar farms, industrial rooftops, and off-grid solutions, offering opportunities for significant market growth.
• Emerging market penetration: Expanding into emerging markets with high solar potential presents growth opportunities. Tailoring thin-film PV solutions to local needs and regulatory environments can drive market entry and development.
• Technological innovations: Continued innovation in thin-film technologies, such as improved efficiency and new materials, presents growth opportunities. Advances in technology enhance performance and competitiveness, supporting market expansion.

Strategic growth opportunities in BIPV, portable solar solutions, commercial applications, emerging market penetration, and technological innovations are driving the thin-film photovoltaic market. These opportunities are fostering market expansion, technological advancement, and broader adoption of thin-film PV technologies.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Driver and Challenges

The thin-film photovoltaic market is shaped by various drivers and challenges, including technological advancements, economic factors, and regulatory conditions. Understanding these factors is essential for navigating the market landscape.

The factors responsible for driving the thin-film photovoltaic market include:

• Technological advancements: Advances in thin-film PV technologies, including new materials and manufacturing processes, enhance efficiency and performance. These innovations drive market growth by making thin-film PV more competitive and attractive.
• Cost reduction: Reductions in manufacturing and production costs make thin-film PV more affordable. Cost-effective solutions expand market reach and increase adoption in both residential and commercial applications.
• Government incentives: Supportive policies and incentives, such as subsidies and tax credits, encourage the adoption of thin-film PV technologies. These measures reduce financial barriers and promote investment in solar energy.
• Growing environmental awareness: Increasing consumer and corporate focus on sustainability drives demand for renewable energy solutions. Thin-film PV technologies offer an eco-friendly alternative to traditional energy sources, supporting market growth.
• Expansion of solar installations: The growing deployment of solar energy systems, including large-scale solar farms and urban installations, supports the demand for thin-film PV. Expansion in this sector creates opportunities for market growth.

Challenges in the thin-film photovoltaic market are:

• Efficiency limitations: Thin-film PV technologies generally have lower efficiency compared to traditional silicon-based panels. Addressing efficiency limitations is crucial for improving competitiveness and market appeal.
• Durability concerns: Durability and longevity of thin-film PV panels can be a challenge. Enhancing the reliability and lifespan of these panels is essential for increasing adoption and market acceptance.
• Infrastructure and supply chain issues: The development of supporting infrastructure and supply chain logistics can be a barrier. Efficient supply chains and infrastructure are necessary to support large-scale deployment and market expansion.

Major drivers of the thin-film photovoltaic market include technological advancements, cost reductions, government incentives, growing environmental awareness, and expansion of solar installations. Key challenges include efficiency limitations, durability concerns, and infrastructure issues. Addressing these factors is essential for the continued growth and success of the thin-film PV market.

List of Thin-Film Photovoltaic Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies thin-film photovoltaic companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the thin-film photovoltaic companies profiled in this report include-

• First Solar
• Kaneka
• Ascent Solar Technologies
• Oxford PV
• Hanwha Q CELLS
• Sharp
• JA Solar Technology

Thin-Film Photovoltaic by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global thin-film photovoltaic market by material, component, end use, and region.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
• Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
• Perovskite
• Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
• Organic PV
• Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
• Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
• All-Silicon Tandem

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Module
• Inverter
• Balance of System (BOS)

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Residential
• Commercial & Industrial
• Utilities

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

The thin-film photovoltaic (PV) market is witnessing notable advancements driven by technological innovations, increased investments, and evolving regulatory frameworks. These developments are reshaping the industry across major markets, including the United States, Indian, German, Indian, and Japanese markets, where countries are focusing on enhancing efficiency, reducing costs, and expanding applications of thin-film PV technologies.

• United States: In the U.S. recent developments in thin-film PV technology include breakthroughs in increasing efficiency and reducing manufacturing costs. Companies are investing in research to improve the performance of cadmium telluride (CdTe) and copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) technologies. Additionally, there is growing interest in integrating thin-film PV with building materials and smart grids, supported by federal incentives and funding.
• India: India continues to lead in the thin-film PV sector with substantial investments in production capacity and technological advancements. Recent progress includes enhancements in the efficiency of CdTe and CIGS panels and significant reductions in production costs. The government's support through subsidies and favorable policies is accelerating the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in various applications, including large-scale solar farms.
• German: Germany is advancing thin-film PV technology through research and development aimed at improving efficiency and durability. Recent developments focus on integrating thin-film PV into architectural designs and energy-efficient buildings. German companies are also exploring new materials and manufacturing processes to enhance performance and reduce costs, bolstered by strong government support for renewable energy.
• India: India is making strides in adopting thin-film PV technologies to address energy needs and enhance sustainability. Recent developments include pilot projects and partnerships aimed at integrating thin-film PV into rural and urban infrastructure. The Indian government is promoting these technologies through incentives and initiatives, focusing on improving efficiency and scaling up production capabilities.
• Japan: Japan is focusing on integrating thin-film PV into various applications, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and portable solar solutions. Recent advancements include improvements in the efficiency and durability of amorphous silicon (a-Si) panels. Japan's strong emphasis on technological innovation and government support is driving the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in both residential and commercial sectors.

Features of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Market Size Estimates: Thin-film photovoltaic market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market size by material, component, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different material, component, end use, and regions for the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the thin-film photovoltaic market by material (cadmium telluride (CDTE), amorphous silicon (A-SI), perovskite, copper indium gallium selenide (CGIS), organic PV, copper zinc tin sulfide (CZTS), quantum dot thin film solar cells, and all-silicon tandem), component (module, inverter, and balance of system (BOS)), end use (residential, commercial & industrial, and utilities), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market: Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 3.3.1: Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
  • 3.3.2: Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
  • 3.3.3: Perovskite
  • 3.3.4: Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
  • 3.3.5: Organic PV
  • 3.3.6: Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
  • 3.3.7: Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
  • 3.3.8: All-Silicon Tandem
• 3.4: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 3.4.1: Module
  • 3.4.2: Inverter
  • 3.4.3: Balance of System (BOS)
• 3.5: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 3.5.1: Residential
  • 3.5.2: Commercial & Industrial
  • 3.5.3: Utilities

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.2.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.3: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.3.1: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.3.2: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.4: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.4.2: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.5: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.5.2: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: First Solar
• 7.2: Kaneka
• 7.3: Ascent Solar Technologies
• 7.4: Oxford PV
• 7.5: Hanwha Q CELLS
• 7.6: Sharp
• 7.7: JA Solar Technology