세계의 변속기유 시장 예측(-2029년) : 유형별, 베이스 오일별, 첨가제 유형별, 용도별, 최종 용도 산업별, 지역별

In terms of value, the transmission fluids market is estimated to grow from USD 15.67 billion in 2024 to USD 19.70 billion by 2029, at a CAGR of 4.7%. The increasing demand for automatic and hybrid vehicles is revolutionizing the transmission fluids industry, as such advanced systems require transmission fluids designed to suit their specific needs. Automatic transmissions and hybrid drivetrains demand fluids with specific attributes, including superior friction control, thermal stability, and energy efficiency in contrast to conventional manual transmissions. High-performance transmission fluids are in greater demand as people choose automatic and hybrid vehicles for their convenience, smoother driving, and fuel efficiency. Additionally, this evolution pushes producers to create novel formulations that fulfill the changing technological specifications of contemporary transmissions.

"Manual transmission fluids segment is expected to be the third fastest-growing type of the transmission fluids market, in terms of value, during the forecast period."

One of the most important benefits of manual transmissions is that they are less expensive to maintain than the automatic systems. They contain fewer sophisticated components and are less susceptible to costly malfunctions or failures. This simplicity also applies to the transmission fluids employed, which are usually of longer service life and cheaper to replace. In areas where vehicle maintenance expenses are a major factor for consumers, this affordability enables consistent demand for manual transmission fluids, which will continue to be used across personal and commercial vehicles.

"Semi-synthetic oil is expected to be the second fastest-growing segment of the transmission fluids market, in terms of value, during the forecast period."

Semi-synthetic transmission fluids fill the gap between mineral and full synthetic lubricants by providing longer drain intervals at a cost that is less than premium synthetic products. Their enhanced oxidation stability and thermal stability reduce oil degradation, enabling vehicles to run efficiently for longer intervals before fluid replacement is needed. This minimizes direct maintenance costs and indirect costs of vehicle downtime, which is especially advantageous to fleet operators handling multiple vehicles. This convergence of performance and affordability is responsible for their increasing popularity globally.

"Automotive industry is expected to be the fastest-growing segment of the transmission fluids market, in terms of value, during the forecast period."

Urbanization has immensely boosted car ownership levels, especially in developing areas where increased incomes and better infrastructure make personal vehicles more affordable. As cities grow and populations shift to urban areas, the need for easy and dependable personal mobility increases, with a corresponding rise in the passenger car sales. In highly populated urban areas, congested stop-and-go traffic imposes additional stress on transmission systems, accelerating wear. This leads to an increased rate of fluid replacements and maintenance to provide seamless performance. This growing urban fleet of vehicles creates steady demand for transmissions fluids, cementing the automotive sector's market leadership.

"Middle East & Africa is projected to be the second-fastest growing region, in terms of value, during the forecast period in the transmission fluids market."

The adverse climatic conditions in the Middle East & African region, especially the hot temperatures of Gulf nations and the dry desert climates of places such as parts of North Africa, pose considerable stress on the transmission systems of vehicles. The high ambient temperatures cause the degradation of transmission fluids at a faster rate, which results in poor lubrication efficiency, higher friction, and even overheating. This leads to more frequent fluid changes to keep the vehicle operating efficiently and avoid expensive repairs. This creates an increasing demand for heat-resistant, specialty transmission fluids designed to endure extreme temperatures, leading to durability and steady market expansion.

• By Company Type: Tier 1 - 55%, Tier 2 - 25%, and Tier 3 - 20%
• By Designation: Managers - 30%, Director Level - 50%, and Others - 20%
• By Region: North America - 40%, Europe - 35%, Asia Pacific - 20%, RoW- 5%

The key players in this market include ExxonMobil Corporation (US), Shell plc (UK), BP plc (UK), TotalEnergies SE (France), and Chevron Corporation (US), Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS) (Malaysia), FUCHS SE (Germany), Valvoline Inc. (US), LUKOIL (Russia), Motul (France), and others.

Research Coverage

This report segments the market for transmission fluids based on type, base oil, end-use industry, and region and provides estimations of value (USD Million) and volume (Million Liters) for the overall market size across various regions. A detailed analysis of key industry players has been conducted to provide insights into their business overviews, services, key strategies, associated with the market for transmission fluids.

Reasons to Buy this Report

This research report is focused on various levels of analysis - industry analysis (industry trends), market share analysis of top players, and company profiles, which together provide an overall view on the competitive landscape; emerging and high-growth segments of the transmission fluids market; high-growth regions; and market drivers, restraints, and opportunities.

The report provides insights on the following pointers:

• Market Penetration: Comprehensive information on transmission fluids offered by top players in the global market
• Analysis of key drivers: (Expanding automotive industry, advancements in transmission technologies, implementation of stringent emission regulations, and growing vehicle longevity and expansion of aftermarket services), restraints (Fluctuating crude oil prices and environmental concerns and growing challenge of fluid disposal), opportunities (Rising demand for electric and hybrid vehicles, growing demand in emerging markets, and developments of fluids for autonomous vehicles), and challenges (Increasing complexity of modern transmission systems and competition from alternative lubricants) influencing the growth of transmission fluids market.
• Product Development/Innovation: Detailed insights on upcoming technologies, research & development activities, and new product & service launches in the transmission fluids market
• Market Development: Comprehensive information about lucrative emerging markets - the report analyzes the markets for transmission fluids across regions
• Market Diversification: Exhaustive information about new products, untapped regions, and recent developments in the global transmission fluids market
• Competitive Assessment: In-depth assessment of market shares, strategies, products, and manufacturing capabilities of leading players in the transmission fluids market

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES
• 1.2 MARKET DEFINITION
• 1.3 STUDY SCOPE
  • 1.3.1 MARKETS COVERED AND REGIONAL SCOPE
  • 1.3.2 INCLUSIONS AND EXCLUSIONS
  • 1.3.3 YEARS CONSIDERED
  • 1.3.4 CURRENCY CONSIDERED
  • 1.3.5 UNIT CONSIDERED
• 1.4 STAKEHOLDERS
• 1.5 SUMMARY OF CHANGES

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

• 2.1 RESEARCH DATA
  • 2.1.1 SECONDARY DATA
    • 2.1.1.1 Key data from secondary sources
  • 2.1.2 PRIMARY DATA
    • 2.1.2.1 Key primary participants
    • 2.1.2.2 Key industry insights
    • 2.1.2.3 Breakdown of primary interviews
• 2.2 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION
  • 2.2.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH
  • 2.2.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH
• 2.3 DATA TRIANGULATION
• 2.4 GROWTH FORECAST
  • 2.4.1 SUPPLY-SIDE ANALYSIS
  • 2.4.2 DEMAND-SIDE ANALYSIS
• 2.5 RESEARCH ASSUMPTIONS
• 2.6 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS
• 2.7 RISK ASSESSMENT

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS

• 4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PLAYERS IN TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET
• 4.2 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY REGION
• 4.3 ASIA PACIFIC TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY END-USE INDUSTRY AND COUNTRY
• 4.4 REGIONAL TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY TYPE
• 4.5 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY COUNTRY

5 MARKET OVERVIEW

• 5.1 INTRODUCTION
• 5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS
  • 5.2.1 DRIVERS
    • 5.2.1.1 Expanding automotive industry
    • 5.2.1.2 Advancements in transmission technologies
    • 5.2.1.3 Implementation of stringent emission regulations
    • 5.2.1.4 Growing vehicle longevity and expansion of aftermarket services
  • 5.2.2 RESTRAINTS
    • 5.2.2.1 Fluctuating crude oil prices
    • 5.2.2.2 Growing environmental concerns and challenge of fluid disposal
  • 5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES
    • 5.2.3.1 Rising demand for electric and hybrid vehicles
    • 5.2.3.2 Growing demand in emerging markets
    • 5.2.3.3 Development of fluids for autonomous vehicles
  • 5.2.4 CHALLENGES
    • 5.2.4.1 Increasing complexity of modern transmission systems
    • 5.2.4.2 Competition from alternative lubricants
• 5.3 PORTER'S FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
  • 5.3.1 THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS
  • 5.3.2 THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES
  • 5.3.3 BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS
  • 5.3.4 BARGAINING POWER OF BUYERS
  • 5.3.5 INTENSITY OF COMPETITIVE RIVALRY
• 5.4 KEY STAKEHOLDERS AND BUYING CRITERIA
  • 5.4.1 KEY STAKEHOLDERS IN BUYING PROCESS
  • 5.4.2 BUYING CRITERIA
• 5.5 MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
  • 5.5.1 GDP TRENDS AND FORECAST OF MOST PROMINENT ECONOMIES

6 INDUSTRY TRENDS

• 6.1 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS
• 6.2 PRICING ANALYSIS
  • 6.2.1 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND OF KEY PLAYERS, BY APPLICATION, 2023
  • 6.2.2 AVERAGE SELLING PRICE TREND, BY REGION, 2021-2029
• 6.3 TRENDS/DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS
• 6.4 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS
• 6.5 TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
  • 6.5.1 KEY TECHNOLOGIES
    • 6.5.1.1 Synthetic fluid technology
    • 6.5.1.2 Friction modifier technology
  • 6.5.2 COMPLEMENTARY TECHNOLOGIES
    • 6.5.2.1 Advanced transmission cooling systems
    • 6.5.2.2 Additive package technology
• 6.6 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS
  • 6.6.1 ECO-FRIENDLY TRANSMISSION FLUIDS: ADDRESSING ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES THROUGH INNOVATION
  • 6.6.2 ENHANCING TRANSMISSION FLUID COOLING EFFICIENCY IN MINI-CHANNEL HEAT EXCHANGERS
  • 6.6.3 NON-NEWTONIAN BEHAVIOR OF AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION FLUID AT SUB-ZERO CONDITIONS: IMPROVING FILTER DESIGN ACCURACY
• 6.7 TRADE ANALYSIS
  • 6.7.1 IMPORT SCENARIO (HS CODE 2710)
  • 6.7.2 EXPORT SCENARIO (HS CODE 2710)
• 6.8 REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
  • 6.8.1 REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
  • 6.8.2 REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
    • 6.8.2.1 American Petroleum Institute (API) Standards for Transmission Fluids
    • 6.8.2.2 Association des Constructeurs Europeens d'Automobiles (ACEA) Standards for Transmission Fluids
    • 6.8.2.3 Japanese Automobile Standards Organization (JASO) Standards for Transmission Fluids
    • 6.8.2.4 International Organization for Standardization (ISO) Standards for Transmission Fluids
    • 6.8.2.5 EPA and Clean Air Act Standards for Transmission Fluids
• 6.9 KEY CONFERENCES AND EVENTS, 2025
• 6.10 INVESTMENT AND FUNDING SCENARIO
• 6.11 PATENT ANALYSIS
  • 6.11.1 APPROACH
  • 6.11.2 PATENT TYPES
  • 6.11.3 TOP APPLICANTS
  • 6.11.4 JURISDICTION ANALYSIS
• 6.12 IMPACT OF AI/GEN AI ON TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET

7 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY TYPE

• 7.1 INTRODUCTION
• 7.2 AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION FLUIDS (ATFS)
  • 7.2.1 DEVELOPMENTS IN TRANSMISSION FLUID TECHNOLOGY TO DRIVE MARKET
• 7.3 MANUAL TRANSMISSION FLUIDS (MTFS)
  • 7.3.1 CONTINUOUS DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL AND HEAVY-DUTY VEHICLES TO PROPEL MARKET
• 7.4 OTHER TYPES
  • 7.4.1 DUAL-CLUTCH TRANSMISSION FLUIDS (DCTFS)
  • 7.4.2 CONTINUOUSLY VARIABLE TRANSMISSION FLUIDS (CVTFS)

8 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY BASE OIL

• 8.1 INTRODUCTION
• 8.2 MINERAL OIL
  • 8.2.1 COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND AFFORDABILITY OF MINERAL OILS TO DRIVE DEMAND
• 8.3 SYNTHETIC OIL
  • 8.3.1 COMPATIBILITY OF SYNTHETIC OILS WITH ADVANCED TRANSMISSION TECHNOLOGIES TO BOOST DEMAND
• 8.4 SEMI-SYNTHETIC OIL
  • 8.4.1 RISING REQUIREMENT FOR ENHANCING FUEL EFFICIENCY TO DRIVE DEMAND

9 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY ADDITIVE TYPE

• 9.1 INTRODUCTION
• 9.2 ANTI-FOAM & ANTI-RUST AGENTS
• 9.3 ANTIOXIDANTS
• 9.4 ANTI-WEAR AGENTS
• 9.5 DISPERSANTS
• 9.6 FRICTION MODIFIERS
• 9.7 POURPOINT DEPRESSANTS

10 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY APPLICATION

• 10.1 INTRODUCTION
• 10.2 ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT (OE)
• 10.3 AFTERMARKET

11 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY END-USE INDUSTRY

• 11.1 INTRODUCTION
• 11.2 AUTOMOTIVE
  • 11.2.1 INCREASING VEHICLE PRODUCTION AND SALES TO FUEL DEMAND
    • 11.2.1.1 Passenger vehicle
    • 11.2.1.2 Commercial vehicle
• 11.3 OFF-ROAD VEHICLE
  • 11.3.1 GROWING AGRICULTURAL MECHANIZATION TO DRIVE DEMAND
    • 11.3.1.1 Construction & mining
    • 11.3.1.2 Agriculture

12 TRANSMISSION FLUIDS MARKET, BY REGION

• 12.1 INTRODUCTION
• 12.2 ASIA PACIFIC
  • 12.2.1 CHINA
    • 12.2.1.1 Rising industrial growth to drive market
  • 12.2.2 INDIA
    • 12.2.2.1 Rising awareness regarding vehicle maintenance to fuel market growth
  • 12.2.3 JAPAN
    • 12.2.3.1 Dynamic automotive sector to drive market
  • 12.2.4 SOUTH KOREA
    • 12.2.4.1 Highly developed manufacturing sector to drive market
• 12.3 EUROPE
  • 12.3.1 GERMANY
    • 12.3.1.1 Booming automotive industry to boost demand
  • 12.3.2 FRANCE
    • 12.3.2.1 Technological advancements in fluid formulations to drive market
  • 12.3.3 ITALY
    • 12.3.3.1 Popularity of manual transmission vehicles to boost market growth
  • 12.3.4 UK
    • 12.3.4.1 Growing investments in R&D to propel market
  • 12.3.5 SPAIN
    • 12.3.5.1 Increasing popularity of automatic transmission vehicles to drive demand
• 12.4 NORTH AMERICA
  • 12.4.1 US
    • 12.4.1.1 Continuous population growth and improving living standards to drive market
  • 12.4.2 MEXICO
    • 12.4.2.1 Rising demand for aftermarket maintenance services to drive market
  • 12.4.3 CANADA
    • 12.4.3.1 Industrial expansion to boost demand
• 12.5 MIDDLE EAST & AFRICA
  • 12.5.1 IRAN
    • 12.5.1.1 Expanding industrial base to drive market
  • 12.5.2 SOUTH AFRICA
    • 12.5.2.1 Growing mining sector to present immense growth opportunities for market players
• 12.6 SOUTH AMERICA
  • 12.6.1 BRAZIL
    • 12.6.1.1 Expanding automotive industry to drive market
  • 12.6.2 ARGENTINA
    • 12.6.2.1 Growing adoption of modern transmissions to drive market

13 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 13.1 OVERVIEW
• 13.2 KEY PLAYER STRATEGIES/RIGHT TO WIN
• 13.3 MARKET SHARE ANALYSIS
• 13.4 REVENUE ANALYSIS
• 13.5 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX: KEY PLAYERS, 2023
  • 13.5.1 STARS
  • 13.5.2 EMERGING LEADERS
  • 13.5.3 PERVASIVE PLAYERS
  • 13.5.4 PARTICIPANTS
  • 13.5.5 COMPANY FOOTPRINT: KEY PLAYERS, 2023
    • 13.5.5.1 Company footprint
    • 13.5.5.2 Region footprint
    • 13.5.5.3 Type footprint
    • 13.5.5.4 Base oil footprint
    • 13.5.5.5 End-use industry footprint
• 13.6 COMPANY EVALUATION MATRIX: STARTUPS/SMES, 2023
  • 13.6.1 PROGRESSIVE COMPANIES
  • 13.6.2 RESPONSIVE COMPANIES
  • 13.6.3 DYNAMIC COMPANIES
  • 13.6.4 STARTING BLOCKS
  • 13.6.5 COMPETITIVE BENCHMARKING: STARTUPS/SMES, 2023
    • 13.6.5.1 Detailed list of key startups/SMEs
    • 13.6.5.2 Competitive benchmarking of key startups/SMEs
• 13.7 BRAND/PRODUCT COMPARISON
• 13.8 COMPANY VALUATION AND FINANCIAL METRICS
• 13.9 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO
  • 13.9.1 PRODUCT LAUNCHES
  • 13.9.2 DEALS

14 COMPANY PROFILES

• 14.1 KEY PLAYERS
  • 14.1.1 EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
    • 14.1.1.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.1.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.1.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.1.3.1 Product launches
    • 14.1.1.4 MnM view
      • 14.1.1.4.1 Key strengths/Right to win
      • 14.1.1.4.2 Strategic choices
      • 14.1.1.4.3 Weaknesses/Competitive threats
  • 14.1.2 CHEVRON CORPORATION
    • 14.1.2.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.2.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.2.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.2.3.1 Product launches
    • 14.1.2.4 MnM view
      • 14.1.2.4.1 Key strengths/Right to win
      • 14.1.2.4.2 Strategic choices
      • 14.1.2.4.3 Weaknesses/Competitive threats
  • 14.1.3 SHELL PLC
    • 14.1.3.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.3.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.3.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.3.3.1 Product launches
      • 14.1.3.3.2 Deals
    • 14.1.3.4 MnM view
      • 14.1.3.4.1 Key strengths/Right to win
      • 14.1.3.4.2 Strategic choices
      • 14.1.3.4.3 Weaknesses/Competitive threats
  • 14.1.4 TOTALENERGIES SE
    • 14.1.4.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.4.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.4.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.4.3.1 Product launches
      • 14.1.4.3.2 Deals
    • 14.1.4.4 MnM view
      • 14.1.4.4.1 Key strengths/Right to win
      • 14.1.4.4.2 Strategic choices
      • 14.1.4.4.3 Weaknesses/Competitive threats
  • 14.1.5 BP P.L.C.
    • 14.1.5.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.5.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.5.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.5.3.1 Product launches
      • 14.1.5.3.2 Deals
    • 14.1.5.4 MnM view
      • 14.1.5.4.1 Key strengths/Right to win
      • 14.1.5.4.2 Strategic choices
      • 14.1.5.4.3 Weaknesses/Competitive threats
  • 14.1.6 PETROLIAM NASIONAL BERHAD (PETRONAS)
    • 14.1.6.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.6.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.6.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.6.3.1 Product launches
  • 14.1.7 FUCHS SE
    • 14.1.7.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.7.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.7.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.7.3.1 Product launches
  • 14.1.8 VALVOLINE INC.
    • 14.1.8.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.8.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
  • 14.1.9 LUKOIL
    • 14.1.9.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.9.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
    • 14.1.9.3 Recent developments
      • 14.1.9.3.1 Product launches
  • 14.1.10 MOTUL
    • 14.1.10.1 Business overview
    • 14.1.10.2 Products/Solutions/Services offered
• 14.2 OTHER PLAYERS
  • 14.2.1 ENEOS HOLDINGS, INC.
  • 14.2.2 IDEMITSU KOSAN CO., LTD.
  • 14.2.3 ENOC COMPANY
  • 14.2.4 PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A. (PETROBRAS)
  • 14.2.5 ENI S.P.A.
  • 14.2.6 GAZPROMNEFT-SM LLC
  • 14.2.7 GULF OIL INTERNATIONAL LTD.
  • 14.2.8 PHILLIPS 66
  • 14.2.9 INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED
  • 14.2.10 COSMO OIL LUBRICANTS CO., LTD.
  • 14.2.11 HINDUSTAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED (HPCL)
  • 14.2.12 AMALIE OIL CO.
  • 14.2.13 KEMIPEX
  • 14.2.14 PETRO-CANADA LUBRICANTS INC.
  • 14.2.15 CRP INDUSTRIES INC.

15 ADJACENT AND RELATED MARKETS

• 15.1 INTRODUCTION
• 15.2 LIMITATIONS
• 15.3 AUTOMOTIVE TRANSMISSION MARKET
  • 15.3.1 MARKET DEFINITION
  • 15.3.2 MARKET OVERVIEW
• 15.4 AUTOMOTIVE TRANSMISSION MARKET, BY REGION

16 APPENDIX

• 16.1 DISCUSSION GUIDE
• 16.2 KNOWLEDGESTORE: MARKETSANDMARKETS' SUBSCRIPTION PORTAL
• 16.3 CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
• 16.4 RELATED REPORTS
• 16.5 AUTHOR DETAILS