극초음속 무기 : 시장과 기술 예측(-2034년)

The return of great power competition has placed hypersonic weapons firmly in the spotlight. With China asserting influence across the Indo-Pacific, Russia engaged in Ukraine and the High North, and high-speed strike technologies proliferating globally, hypersonic weapons have moved from experimental platforms to core elements of deterrence and precision strike strategies. In this environment, they are no longer simply advanced research projects but practical tools for penetrating layered air and missile defences and engaging time-sensitive, high-value targets.

Modern battlefields increasingly feature mobile launchers, hardened bunkers, and fast-moving naval forces, making traditional platforms more vulnerable. As a result, hypersonic weapons have become a priority for both offensive and defensive roles across major militaries. While the fundamental mission, such as rapid strike and deterrence, remains consistent, the underlying technologies are advancing rapidly. Key developments in propulsion, high-temperature materials, and autonomous guidance systems are enabling greater reliability and performance. The most significant emerging shift is toward affordable mass production, complemented by parallel efforts to develop effective hypersonic interceptors.

Not many countries are currently capable of producing operational hypersonic weapons; the number with genuine end-to-end capability can still be counted on one hand. A few more are expected to join this select group over the next decade, but a broad proliferation is unlikely. Instead, the trend points toward increased joint ventures and collaborative programmes, such as AUKUS and initiatives under the European Defence Fund. Most nations will prefer to leverage existing expertise rather than build sovereign capabilities from scratch. The hypersonic elements of the AUKUS submarine programme stand as a notable exception, driven by unique political and technological considerations.

Developing hypersonic weapons is a long-term endeavour. These programmes require years of sustained development, extensive and costly testing cycles, and careful life-cycle planning. Competition among manufacturers is intense, yet it differs markedly from typical commercial markets. National security imperatives consistently take precedence over short-term profit considerations. Ultimately, the winners in this domain will not be those with the strongest quarterly results, but those trusted by governments to deliver and sustain their most sensitive strategic capabilities.

Market Forecast’s study on hypersonic weapons has collected data on current inventories, ongoing programmes and analysed them to deliver a comprehensive forecast of the market, its subsystems, and evolving technologies over the 2026-2034 period.

Covered in this report

• Overview: Snapshot of the hypersonic weapons technology in the market during 2026-2034, including highlights of the demand drivers, trends, and challenges. It also provides a snapshot of the spending with respect to regions as well as segments and sheds light on the emergence of new technologies.
• Market Dynamics: Insights into the technological developments in the hypersonic weapons market and a detailed analysis of the changing preferences of governments around the world. It also analyses changing industry structure trends and the challenges faced by the industry participants.
• Segment Analysis: Insights into the various systems market from a segmental perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each segment.
• Regional Review: Insights into tech-defined patterns and budgetary allocation for top countries within a region.
• Regional Analysis: Insights into the systems market from a regional perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each region.
• Key Programme Analysis: Details of the top programmes in each segment expected to be executed during the forecast period.
• Competitive Landscape Analysis: Analysis of the competitive landscape of this industry. It provides an overview of key companies, together with insights such as key alliances and strategic initiatives.
• Emerging Opportunities: Insights into modelled export-grade programmes and future market entry points for allied and partner nations, highlighting how downgraded variants can expand the addressable market while navigating export control restrictions.

Segmentation

The market is segmented by Region, Launch Platform and System Type.

Region

• North America
• Europe
• APAC
• MEA
• CIS

Launch Platform

• Air-Launched
• Sea-Based
• Ground-Based
• Multi-Domain

System Type

• HGV (Hypersonic Glide Vehicle)
• HCM (Hypersonic Cruise Missile)
• ABM (Aeroballistic Missile)

Reasons to buy

• Insight on the elements comprising a hypersonic weapon system, as they form part of an extensive supply chain outlined in the report.
• In-depth understanding of the factors affecting the market, such as defence spending, operational requirements, challenges faced by manufacturers, among several others.
• Outlining the disruptions and the technology impacting the market, and how these could become an opportunity in the market.
• Clear overview of both Assessed Opportunities (firm domestic programmes) and Emerging Opportunities (modelled export-grade variants), helping readers identify where new revenue streams and partnerships are likely to emerge.
• Analysis of critical disruptions, including raw material bottlenecks, export control regimes, and the shift toward affordable mass production, along with how these factors can translate into tangible commercial opportunities.
• Forward-looking perspective on technology timelines, including the expected transition from current-generation systems to next-generation capabilities after 2030-2031.

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• Precision Guided Munitions - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033
• Ground Based Air Defence Systems - Market and Technology Forecast to 2032
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Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

• 1.1 Hypersonic Weapons market summary by Region
• 1.2 Hypersonic Weapons market summary by Launch Platform
• 1.3 Hypersonic Weapons market summary by System Type

2 Introduction

• 2.1 Scope
• 2.2 Methodology
• 2.3 Who will benefit from this study?

3 Technologies and Development Programmes

• 3.1 Hypersonics Technology Overview
• 3.2 Technologies
  • 3.2.1 Scramjet Propulsion
  • 3.2.2 Hypersonic Glide Vehicle (HGV) - Boost-Glide Technology
  • 3.2.3 Thermal Protection Systems
  • 3.2.4 Tracking Sensors
  • 3.2.5 Ultra-High Temperature Ceramics (UHTCs)
  • 3.2.6 Autonomous Guidance & Navigation
• 3.3 Research & Development Programmes
• 3.4 Technological transitions over the past two years
• 3.5 Current Hypersonic Disruptor Technologies

4 Critical Raw Materials

5 Market overview

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Main Market Players Overview
• 5.3 Leading products
• 5.4 Upcoming Hypersonic missile contracts and procurement pipeline overview
• 5.5 Joint Ventures and Partnerships Overview
• 5.6 Global Supply Chain Risks in the Hypersonic Weapons Industry
• 5.7 Hypersonic Supply Chain Resilience Comparison: US, China, and Russia
• 5.8 Impact of Western Sanctions on Russia’s Hypersonic Weapons Supply Chain
• 5.9 Russian Domestic Semiconductor Initiatives (June 2026)

6 Procurement Programmes Overview by Country

• 6.1 Overview
• 6.2 United States
• 6.3 France
• 6.4 Turkiye
• 6.5 United Kingdom
• 6.6 Australia
• 6.7 China
• 6.8 India
• 6.9 Indonesia
• 6.10 Japan
• 6.11 North Korea
• 6.12 Pakistan
• 6.13 South Korea
• 6.14 Taiwan
• 6.15 Vietnam
• 6.16 Other countries APAC
• 6.17 Algeria
• 6.18 Iran
• 6.19 Israel
• 6.20 United Arab Emirates
• 6.21 Russia

7 Market Dynamics

• 7.1 Drivers
• 7.2 Trends
• 7.3 Opportunities
• 7.4 Challenges

8 Market Segments & Forecast Notes

• 8.1 Segmentation Hypersonic Weapons Market
• 8.2 Forecast Factors and Notes

9 Hypersonic Weapons market to 2034 by Region

• 9.1 Hypersonic Weapons market by Region overview
• 9.2 Hypersonic Weapons market Region by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.1 North America market by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.2 Europe market by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.3 Asia Pacific market by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.4 Middle East & Africa market by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.5 Latin America market by Launch Platform overview
  • 9.2.6 CIS market by Launch Platform overview
• 9.3 Hypersonic Weapons market Region by System Type overview
  • 9.3.1 North America market by System Type overview
  • 9.3.2 Europe market by System Type overview
  • 9.3.3 Asia Pacific market by System Type overview
  • 9.3.4 Middle East & Africa market by System Type overview
  • 9.3.5 Latin America market by System Type overview
  • 9.3.6 CIS market by System Type overview

10 Hypersonic Weapons market to 2034 by Launch Platform

• 10.1 Hypersonic Weapons market by Launch Platform overview
• 10.2 Hypersonic Weapons market Launch Platform by Region overview
  • 10.2.1 Air-Launched market by Region overview
  • 10.2.2 Sea-Based market by Region overview
  • 10.2.3 Ground-Based market by Region overview
  • 10.2.4 Multi-Domain Systems market by Region overview
• 10.3 Hypersonic Weapons market Launch Platform by System Type overview
  • 10.3.1 Air-Launched market by System Type overview
  • 10.3.2 Sea-Based market by System Type overview
  • 10.3.3 Ground-Based market by System Type overview
  • 10.3.4 Multi-Domain Systems market by System Type overview

11 Hypersonic Weapons market to 2034 by System Type

• 11.1 Hypersonic Weapons market by System Type overview
• 11.2 Hypersonic Weapons market System Type by Region overview
  • 11.2.1 Hypersonic Glide Vehicles (HGVs) market by Region overview
  • 11.2.2 Hypersonic Cruise Missiles (HCMs) market by Region overview
  • 11.2.3 Aeroballistic Missiles (ABM) market by Region overview
• 11.3 Hypersonic Weapons market System Type by Launch Platform overview
  • 11.3.1 Hypersonic Glide Vehicles (HGVs) market by Launch Platform overview
  • 11.3.2 Hypersonic Cruise Missiles (HCMs) market by Launch Platform overview
  • 11.3.3 Aeroballistic Missiles (ABM) market by Launch Platform overview

12 Opportunity Analysis

• 12.1 Introduction
• 12.2 Compound Growth Rates (Value)
  • 12.2.1 Region
  • 12.2.2 Launch Platform
  • 12.2.3 System Type
• 12.3 Assessed and Emerging Opportunities
• 12.4 Inventory Analysis

13 Companies

• 13.1 Academy of Defence Sciences
  • 13.1.1 Introduction
  • 13.1.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.1.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
• 13.2 China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation (CASIC)
  • 13.2.1 Introduction
  • 13.2.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.2.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.2.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.2.5 SWOT Analysis
• 13.3 Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
  • 13.3.1 Introduction
  • 13.3.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.3.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.3.4 SWOT Analysis
• 13.4 Lingkong Tianxing Technology
  • 13.4.1 Introduction
  • 13.4.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.4.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.4.4 SWOT Analysis
• 13.5 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 13.5.1 Introduction
  • 13.5.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.5.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.5.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.5.5 SWOT Analysis
• 13.6 MBDA
  • 13.6.1 Introduction
  • 13.6.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.6.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.6.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.6.5 SWOT Analysis
• 13.7 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI)
  • 13.7.1 Introduction
  • 13.7.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.7.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.7.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.7.5 SWOT Analysis
• 13.8 Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 13.8.1 Introduction
  • 13.8.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.8.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
• 13.9 NPO Mashinostroyeniya (NPOM)
  • 13.9.1 Introduction
  • 13.9.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.9.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.9.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.9.5 SWOT Analysis
• 13.10 Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
  • 13.10.1 Introduction
  • 13.10.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.10.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.10.4 SWOT Analysis
• 13.11 Raytheon
  • 13.11.1 Introduction
  • 13.11.2 Hypersonic Weapons - Products and Services
  • 13.11.3 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Developments
  • 13.11.4 Hypersonic Weapons - Recent Contracts
  • 13.11.5 SWOT Analysis

14 Results and Conclusions

15 About Market Forecast

• 15.1 General
• 15.2 Contact us
• 15.3 Disclaimer
• 15.4 License