자동차용 드라이브 샤프트 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 산업 동향, 성장 예측(2025-2030년)

The Automotive Drive Shaft Market size is estimated at USD 79.12 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 108.60 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.54% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Over the medium term, with the rising population and disposable income, the demand for automobiles, such as passenger cars and commercial vehicles, is expected to grow worldwide. The increasing production and manufacturing of automobiles are fueling the demand for drive shafts globally.

The market will likely be the focus of attention during the forecast period, driven by the growing demand for commercial vehicles and buses, both of which are expected to drive global vehicle production and sales. This trend is primarily due to the growing demand for electric vehicles. In addition, automakers are putting all their efforts into making the most energy-efficient electric vehicles as their demand grows. Driveshaft manufacturers are updating their product lines to meet the constantly shifting needs of OEMs and expand their market share.

Considering the future of electric vehicles, the major OEM companies, including Volkswagen and General Motors, are investing majorly in new technology, establishing supply chains, and increasing the production capacity of EVs and their components, such as battery packs and motors. For instance:

Key Highlights

• In June 2023, Mercedes-Benz announced an investment of billions in its European assembly plants to equip them for the shift to electric cars by the end of the decade. This move involves the production of vehicles on the new electric platforms and their components to be introduced in 2025.

The automotive drive shaft market is anticipated to grow in the coming years, driven by trends such as the rising demand for lightweight components and the increasing sales of all-wheel-drive vehicles. One notable factor that is anticipated to impact the overall growth of the automotive drive shaft market in the coming years is the sharp increase in utility vehicle sales worldwide. Asia-Pacific is distinguished by the presence of emerging economies and accounts for about half of global vehicle sales.

The Asia-Pacific automotive drive shaft market is expected to hold the largest share and register the highest growth rate in the coming years. Asia-Pacific is characterized by the presence of emerging economies and accounts for a major share of global vehicle sales, which may continue over the forecast period.

Countries such as China, the United States, and Norway are continuing to see stronger demand for electric vehicles. Automakers are planning to launch more EV models in the coming years. The majority of the present and upcoming EV models are all-wheel drives (AWD) or rear-wheel drives (RWD), which may generate the demand for lightweight drive shafts during the forecast period.

Automotive Drive Shaft Market Trends

Passenger Cars Hold the Highest Share in the Market

Passenger car sales are high in the automotive market due to features such as stylish design, size, and economic value. High demand for luxury SUVs with high performance propels this growth. Therefore, many companies are focusing on the launch of various new passenger car models. For instance:

• In May 2023, Land Rover released details about its most powerful and fastest production SUV yet. The new Range Rover Sport SV packs 635 hp with a supercharged 5-liter V8 engine.

Electric vehicles have become an integral part of the automotive industry, and they represent a pathway toward achieving energy efficiency, along with reduced emissions of pollutants and other greenhouse gases. The growing environmental concerns and favorable government initiatives are the major factors driving this growth.

According to the International Energy Agency, in Q1 2024, electric car sales grew by around 25% compared to Q1 2023, with China holding the largest share of 45%, followed by Europe with 25%.

Emission laws at the governmental and regional levels have been one of the key causes propelling the EV industry in general. Road transport is commonly acknowledged as the single-largest source of air pollution in Europe. To combat air pollution, the EU Council adopted "Directive 96/62/EC on ambient air quality assessment and management," which establishes emission targets for various harmful compounds in the atmosphere. The most important pollutants produced by cars are nitrogen oxides (NOx) and fine dust (particulate matter - PM), both of which are now capped at 40 g/ m3 per year.

Europe has set a lofty target of being climate-neutral by 2050. The European Commission plans to publish several new legislative proposals over the next few years to meet this goal, many of which are aimed at improving mobility. By the end of this decade, the European Commission aims to have at least 30 million electric vehicles on the road, a tremendous increase from the current 1.4 million EVs on European roads. To achieve this aim, a set of policies and targets must be in place to guide states, businesses, and consumers on the correct path.

The demand for passenger cars may also boost the demand for sophisticated drive shafts. Manufacturers of drive shafts are researching novel materials and manufacturing procedures to build drive shafts that can handle the requirements of these vehicles. Some producers, for example, use carbon fiber instead of steel to minimize weight, while others use innovative composite materials that can withstand high torque levels. For instance:

• In January 2023, Kalyani Mobility Drivelines (KMD), a manufacturer of driveline components, introduced a lineup of constant-velocity (CV) driveshafts for EVs and other specialty vehicles.

Owing to such factors and the expansion of the electric and hybrid vehicle market, the automotive drive shaft market will likely continue to grow and evolve.

Asia-Pacific is Expected to Hold a Significant Share in the Market

China and India are the prominent countries in terms of vehicle manufacturing in Asia-Pacific. The countries have a major presence of automotive manufacturers, which may create lucrative opportunities for the market during the forecast period.

The governments in the region have introduced many incentive plans to bolster auto sales. They are also offering subsidies on the purchase of electric vehicles to encourage the expansion of the region's automotive industry. For instance:

• With the growing sales and production of passenger cars, the Indian automotive industry has been witnessing exponential growth Y-o-Y. For instance, sales of passenger cars increased from 14,67,039 to 17,47,376 units, utility vehicles from 14,89,219 to 20,03,718 units, and vans from 1,13,265 to 1,39,020 units in FY 2022-23 compared to the previous financial year.

The Indian economy is expanding as there is a rise in the disposable income of middle-income consumers. This factor, in turn, has a favorable impact on the demand for automobiles. Vehicle manufacturing has increased rapidly over the last five years due to the country's cheap production costs. The automotive sensor market is gaining traction as vehicle manufacturing increases.

The vehicular fleet in Indian cities is much younger than in EU nations and the United States, where the average age of cars is eight years and 11 years, respectively.

Major automotive component manufacturers are expanding their manufacturing facilities and introducing new products across the region. They are expected to witness major growth in the market during the forecast period. For example, KYB Corporation (KYB) announced plans to develop electric oil pumps for eAxle drive motor systems in electric vehicles (EVs) by March 2023. The company also announced plans to build oil pumps for lubricating and cooling eAxles and develop them as a new business for the era of electrification.

Thus, considering such developments and trends in the market, the Asia-Pacific automotive drive shaft market is expected to have significant growth during the forecast period.

Automotive Drive Shaft Industry Overview

The automotive drive shaft market is consolidated and led by global and regionally established players. These companies adopt strategies such as new product launches, collaborations, and mergers to sustain their market positions. For instance:

• In September 2023, JTEKT North America manufactured a broad range of products under the JTEKT Automotive Systems, Koyo Bearings, and Toyoda Machine Tools brands. By adding seven new machine lines, two new assembly lines, and additional processes to machine components internally, JTEKT North America expanded its capability to produce front drive shafts.

Some of the major players in the market include GKN PLC (Melrose Industries PLC), Yamada Manufacturing Co. Ltd, American Axle & Manufacturing Inc., JTEKT Corporation, and Dana Incorporated.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

• 4.1 Market Drivers
  • 4.1.1 Increasing Government Policies to Promote EV Sales
• 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.2.1 High Cost of Maintenance Related to Drive Shafts
• 4.3 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
  • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
  • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size in Value - USD)

• 5.1 By Design Type
  • 5.1.1 Hollow Shaft
  • 5.1.2 Solid Shaft
• 5.2 By Position Type
  • 5.2.1 Rear Axle
  • 5.2.2 Front Axle
• 5.3 By Vehicle Type
  • 5.3.1 Passenger Cars
  • 5.3.2 Commercial Vehicles
• 5.4 By Sales Channel
  • 5.4.1 OEM
  • 5.4.2 Aftermarket
• 5.5 By Geography
  • 5.5.1 North America
    • 5.5.1.1 United States
    • 5.5.1.2 Canada
    • 5.5.1.3 Rest of North America
  • 5.5.2 Europe
    • 5.5.2.1 Germany
    • 5.5.2.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.5.2.3 France
    • 5.5.2.4 Rest of Europe
  • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.3.1 India
    • 5.5.3.2 China
    • 5.5.3.3 Japan
    • 5.5.3.4 South Korea
    • 5.5.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.5.4 Rest of the World
    • 5.5.4.1 South America
    • 5.5.4.2 Middle East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Vendor Market Share
• 6.2 Company Profiles
  • 6.2.1 GKN PLC (Melrose Industries PLC)
  • 6.2.2 JTEKT Corporation
  • 6.2.3 Dana Holding Corporation
  • 6.2.4 Hyundai Wia Corporation
  • 6.2.5 Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd
  • 6.2.6 Showa Corporation
  • 6.2.7 Yamada Manufacturing Co. Ltd
  • 6.2.8 American Axle & Manufacturing Co. Ltd
  • 6.2.9 Wanxiang Qianchao Co. Ltd
  • 6.2.10 NTN Corporation

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS