승객용 드론 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the passenger drones market size is projected to expand from USD 0.88 billion in 2025 and USD 1.13 billion in 2026 to USD 3.99 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 28.64% during the forecast period.

This report is Segmented by Drone Type (Multicopter, Tilt-Rotor, and More), Seating Capacity (Single Seater, and More), Mode of Operation (Piloted, Semi-Autonomous, and More), Propulsion Type (Full-Electric, and More), Application (Urban Air Taxi, Inter-City Shuttle, and More), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Passenger Drones Market Trends and Insights

Urban Traffic Congestion Catalyzing Demand for Urban Air Mobility

Urban congestion is creating a stronger economic case for short-range air mobility in large cities, helping the passenger drones market move closer to regular commercial use. Route planning is no longer shaped solely by aircraft developers, as airport authorities, transit agencies, and property developers are now influencing where passenger pickup, landing, and charging assets will be located. The strongest near-term signal is that infrastructure is being built before fleets reach broad scale, which reduces the gap between certification and service launch in the passenger drones market. Dubai's Roads and Transport Authority and Skyports Infrastructure announced the technical completion of the world's first commercial vertiport at Dubai International Airport in April 2026, which is tied to a 4-node network that includes Dubai Marina, Dubai Mall, and Palm Jumeirah. Cities that move first on these networks are building operating advantages that will be difficult for slower markets to match once traffic rights, real estate access, and partner ecosystems are already in place.

Advances in Battery Energy Density and Cost Reductions

Battery improvement remains the most important technical lever for the passenger drones market because route economics, payload, turnaround time, and aircraft configuration all depend on it. Better energy density also makes full-electric platforms more practical for urban service because it extends useful range without requiring a shift away from zero-emission drivetrains. EHang stated that it completed the world's first eVTOL solid-state battery flight test in November 2024, using an EH216-S aircraft with an energy density of 480 Wh/kg. That result matters because higher-density battery systems can widen the commercial window for short urban routes and can also strengthen the position of manufacturers already close to certification. The passenger drones market is likely to feel this driver first in geographies where battery supply chains, aircraft manufacturing, and certification activity are already moving in parallel.

Certification and Safety-Standard Uncertainties

Certification remains the heaviest structural brake on the passenger drones market because aircraft developers still face different technical pathways across major jurisdictions. A manufacturer that advances in 1 regulatory system cannot assume a smooth or rapid transfer into another, which raises costs and delays market entry. EASA's 2025 operating framework was an important step for Europe, but the coexistence of separate FAA, EASA, CAAC, and JCAB approaches still keeps compliance burdens high for global programs. The result is that manufacturers often move through sequential approval queues rather than launching across multiple major markets simultaneously. That slows fleet deployment, strains capital needs, and keeps the passenger drones market dependent on a smaller group of companies that can carry long certification cycles.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Supportive Regulatory Sandboxes and Pilot Programs
2. Real-Estate-Backed Vertiport Ecosystems
3. Cold-Weather Battery Performance Degradation

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Multicopters held 42.24% of the passenger drones market share in 2025, and that lead reflected a simpler mechanical layout, shorter validation cycles, and lower training complexity for early commercial operations. Their configuration is better aligned with short urban routes, where stable takeoff and landing behavior matter more than long cruise efficiency. That has given multicopters a practical certification advantage in the near term because regulators are closely examining powered-lift failure points and operational safety. EHang's EH216-S supports this pattern because it is a multicopter design and became the first eVTOL platform to secure commercial type certification and production certification from the CAAC.

Tilt-rotors are the fastest-growing drone type in the passenger drones market, with a projected CAGR of 30.12% over 2026 to 2031. Their advantage lies in better cruise efficiency at higher speeds, making them more suitable for corridor routes that extend beyond short urban hops. Joby advanced into FAA-conforming TIA flight testing in 2026, which keeps tilt-rotor architectures central to the Western certification race. Archer is also pushing the same configuration through commercial launch preparation, which shows that large parts of the passenger drone industry still see tilt-rotors as the design best suited to longer, denser route networks. Fixed-wing hybrid aircraft remain the smallest sub-segment because their use case is narrower and better fits inter-city and specialized transport missions than early urban deployment.

More than 4-seater aircraft accounted for 49.23% of the passenger drone market in 2025, indicating that operators and manufacturers are still targeting formats where seat economics improve with higher occupancy. This segment fits urban air taxi, inter-city shuttle, VIP movement, and emergency support use cases better than smaller personal mobility concepts. Larger cabin layouts also appeal to corporate users because they can move delegations rather than single travelers. EHang's VT35, unveiled in October 2025 with a target range of 200 km and compatibility with existing EH216-S vertiport infrastructure, reinforces the push toward higher-capacity mobility programs.

The 2- to 4-seater segment is the fastest-growing part of the passenger drones market, with a 31.16% CAGR through 2031. This format sits in a practical middle ground because it can serve constrained urban vertiports while still generating enough revenue per flight to support commercial operations. Archer's Midnight is built around this logic, with a pilot-plus-four-passenger layout and a route profile designed for dense airport-to-city links. Smaller personal aircraft remain the least developed commercial segment, even though new regulatory pathways in the US may make light two-occupant powered-lift formats easier to enter over time. Across seating classes, the passenger drone industry is balancing per-flight economics with infrastructure constraints, route length, and certification timing rather than simply chasing maximum passenger count.

Geography Analysis

North America held 38.77% of the market share in 2025, reflecting the region's deep private capital base, active certification work, and broad infrastructure foundation. The US remains the center of that position because the FAA's commercial framework and the country's capital ecosystem continue to attract the leading Western programs. Joby's selection under the White House eIPP in March 2026 turned early US commercialization from a future objective into an active operating pathway across as many as 10 states. That shift matters because the passenger drones market in North America now has clearer links between federal support, aircraft readiness, and route-level deployment planning.

Europe is the fastest-growing regional segment, with a projected CAGR of 29.91% over 2026 to 2031. EASA's 2025 decisions under the new VTOL regulatory framework provided Europe with a more comprehensive operating framework and helped reduce uncertainty for developers and operators. The UK is also relevant because Vertical Aerospace is progressing on a track that can support later cross-border fleet movement once approvals are in place.

Asia-Pacific hosts the most commercially advanced operations in the passenger drones market, as China is already operating ticketed autonomous passenger services in 2026. EHang launched EH216-S commercial services in Guangzhou and Hefei in March 2026, making China the first market to have revenue-generating autonomous passenger drone operations at this scale. Japan is also moving forward, and SkyDrive became the country's first eVTOL developer to receive Approved Design Organization certification from JCAB in April 2026. South Korea added another infrastructure signal when the first Seoul metro UAM vertiport, KINTEX, broke ground in March 2026 under the national demonstration program. The Middle East is developing rapidly, with Dubai's completed vertiport and the UAE's pathway for Archer's Midnight under a Restricted Type Certificate approach. South America remains small, but Brazil's dense urban structure and familiarity with helicopter mobility keep it relevant as a future adoption market once bilateral recognition and the availability of certified aircraft improve.

1. Joby Aero, Inc.
2. Volocopter GmbH
3. Guangzhou EHang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd.
4. Archer Aviation Inc.
5. Vertical Aerospace Group Ltd.
6. Wisk Aero LLC
7. Airbus SE
8. Aurora Flight Sciences (The Boeing Company)
9. Supernal, LLC (Hyudai Motor Group)
10. Textron Inc.
11. Eve Holding, Inc. (Embraer S.A.)
12. AutoFlight Co. Ltd.
13. SkyDrive Inc.
14. BETA Technologies, Inc.
15. Ascendance Flight Technologies S.A.S

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Urban traffic congestion catalyzing demand for UAM
  • 4.2.2 Advances in battery energy density and cost reductions
  • 4.2.3 Supportive regulatory sandboxes and pilot programs
  • 4.2.4 Real-estate-backed vertiport ecosystems
  • 4.2.5 Defense-derived autonomous flight-control breakthroughs
  • 4.2.6 Corporate environmental, social, and governance -driven demand for zero-emission executive mobility
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Certification and safety-standard uncertainties
  • 4.3.2 Cold-weather battery performance degradation
  • 4.3.3 Payload-range trade-offs driven by battery mass
  • 4.3.4 Social-media driven reputational risk on incidents
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Drone Type
  • 5.1.1 Multicopter
  • 5.1.2 Tilt-rotor
  • 5.1.3 Fixed-wing Hybrid
• 5.2 By Seating Capacity
  • 5.2.1 Single Seater
  • 5.2.2 2 to 4 Seater
  • 5.2.3 More than 4 Seater
• 5.3 By Mode of Operation
  • 5.3.1 Piloted
  • 5.3.2 Semi-Autonomous
  • 5.3.3 Fully Autonomous
• 5.4 By Propulsion Type
  • 5.4.1 Full-Electric
  • 5.4.2 Hybrid-Electric
  • 5.4.3 Hydrogen Fuel Cell
• 5.5 By Application
  • 5.5.1 Urban Air Taxi
  • 5.5.2 Inter-City Shuttle
  • 5.5.3 Air Tourism
  • 5.5.4 Emergency Medical Services
  • 5.5.5 VIP Transport
• 5.6 By Geography
  • 5.6.1 North America
    • 5.6.1.1 United States
    • 5.6.1.2 Canada
    • 5.6.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.6.2 Europe
    • 5.6.2.1 United Kingdom
    • 5.6.2.2 France
    • 5.6.2.3 Germany
    • 5.6.2.4 Russia
    • 5.6.2.5 Rest of Europe
  • 5.6.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.6.3.1 China
    • 5.6.3.2 India
    • 5.6.3.3 Japan
    • 5.6.3.4 Australia
    • 5.6.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.6.4 South America
    • 5.6.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.6.4.2 Rest of South America
  • 5.6.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.6.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.6.5.1.1 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.6.5.1.2 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.6.5.1.3 Rest of Middle East
    • 5.6.5.2 Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.2 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Joby Aero, Inc.
  • 6.4.2 Volocopter GmbH
  • 6.4.3 Guangzhou EHang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.4 Archer Aviation Inc.
  • 6.4.5 Vertical Aerospace Group Ltd.
  • 6.4.6 Wisk Aero LLC
  • 6.4.7 Airbus SE
  • 6.4.8 Aurora Flight Sciences (The Boeing Company)
  • 6.4.9 Supernal, LLC (Hyudai Motor Group)
  • 6.4.10 Textron Inc.
  • 6.4.11 Eve Holding, Inc. (Embraer S.A.)
  • 6.4.12 AutoFlight Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.13 SkyDrive Inc.
  • 6.4.14 BETA Technologies, Inc.
  • 6.4.15 Ascendance Flight Technologies S.A.S

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment