아프리카의 쌀 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the africa rice market size is projected to grow from USD 29.98 billion in 2025 to USD 31.23 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 38.30 billion by 2031 at a 4.17% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Geography (Nigeria, Tanzania, Cote D'Ivoire, and More). The Report Includes Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Value and Volume), Import Analysis (Value and Volume), Export Analysis (Value and Volume), Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast, Regulatory Framework, and More. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Metric Tons).

Africa Rice Market Trends and Insights

Exploding Urban Demand for Calorie-dense Staples

Disposable incomes in Africa's megacities climbed steadily between 2020 and 2025, and higher-income households in Lagos increased the share of their food budgets allocated to rice over the period. Parboiled formats dominate because they tolerate humid storage conditions and cook quickly on limited electricity, making them the default grain in convenience-driven diets. Milling capacity located within 50 kilometers of Abidjan, Dar es Salaam, and Accra expanded significantly between 2024 and 2025, trimming inbound logistics costs by up to 14%. Integrated operators that control aggregation, processing, and branded distribution, therefore secure both supply stability and higher margins. Retail demand spikes during festive seasons have prompted processors to build silo storage for de-seasonalizing throughput. Financiers increasingly favor such vertically integrated models because consistent cash flow reduces credit risk.

Expansion of Small-scale Gravity and Solar Irrigation Schemes

Off-grid solar pumps costing about USD 800 to USD 1,200 per kit enable Tanzanian smallholders to cultivate a second rice crop during the dry season, lifting annual farm output per holding. Pay-as-you-go financing distributes capital costs over time, enabling the kits to irrigate small plot sizes and transform previously rain-fed fields into commercial farmland. In Mali's Office du Niger, additional gravity-fed canals came online, eliminating diesel expenses and lowering per-ton production costs, placing the region among the continent's most competitive benchmarks. These infrastructure upgrades sharply reduce yield variability linked to erratic rainfall, boosting farmer confidence to invest in higher-value seed and mechanization. Irrigated acreage thus serves as a platform for input retailers, mechanization service providers, and micro-lenders to expand their addressable market. The combined effect enhances the medium-term growth trajectory of the Africa rice market by improving both volumes and cost competitiveness.

Post-harvest Losses from Rudimentary Drying and Storage Systems

Across sub-Saharan Africa, 15% to 18% of harvested paddy spoils before reaching mills. Sun-drying on tarpaulins prolongs exposure to humidity, moisture content often remains above 14% during rainy months, enabling mold and aflatoxin. Millers accordingly discount such paddy by up to 20%, eroding farm income and discouraging investment in yield-enhancing inputs. Woven polypropylene bags permit insect and rodent damage, a 2025 survey in northern Nigeria found 23% of stored paddy downgraded in less than six weeks. Hermetic bags and mechanical dryers could cut losses to single digits but remain unaffordable for most smallholders who face interest rates on asset-finance loans. Cooperative ownership models lower per-farmer cost, yet require strong governance that many fragmented producer groups lack. Until affordable post-harvest technology scales, the Africa rice market forfeits a significant share of potential supply, dampening growth.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Tariff Cuts Accelerating Intra-Africa Paddy Trade
2. Public Fertilizer and Seed Subsidy Programs Reviving Yields
3. Domestic Cost of Production still above Asian Import Parity

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Exploding Urban Demand for Calorie-dense Staples
  • 4.2.2 Expansion of Small-scale Gravity and Solar Irrigation Schemes
  • 4.2.3 African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Tariff Cuts Accelerating Intra-Africa Paddy Trade
  • 4.2.4 Public Fertilizer and Seed Subsidy Programs Reviving Yields
  • 4.2.5 Adoption of Flood-tolerant, Early-maturing Rice Genetics
  • 4.2.6 Monetising Paddy-methane Abatement via Voluntary Carbon Credits
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Post-harvest Losses from Rudimentary Drying and Storage Systems
  • 4.3.2 Domestic Cost of Production still above Asian Import Parity
  • 4.3.3 Currency and Diesel-price Volatility Squeezing Milling Margins
  • 4.3.4 Land-tenure Insecurity Limiting Long-term On-farm Investment
• 4.4 Opportunities
• 4.5 Challenges
• 4.6 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.7 Technologies and Usage of AI in the Industry
• 4.8 Input Market Analysis
  • 4.8.1 Seeds
  • 4.8.2 Fertilizers
  • 4.8.3 Crop Protection Chemicals
• 4.9 Distribution Channel Analysis
• 4.10 Market Sentiment Analysis
• 4.11 PESTLE Analysis

5 Market Segmentation

• 5.1 Geography
  • 5.1.1 Nigeria
    • 5.1.1.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.1.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.1.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.1.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.1.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.1.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.1.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.1.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.1.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.2 Tanzania
    • 5.1.2.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.2.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.2.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.2.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.2.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.2.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.2.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.2.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.2.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.3 Cote d'Ivoire
    • 5.1.3.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.3.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.3.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.3.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.3.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.3.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.3.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.3.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.3.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.4 Madagascar
    • 5.1.4.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.4.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.4.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.4.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.4.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.4.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.4.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.4.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.4.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.5 Mali
    • 5.1.5.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.5.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.5.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.5.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.5.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.5.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.5.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.5.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.5.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.6 Ghana
    • 5.1.6.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.6.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.6.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.6.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.6.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.6.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.6.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.6.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.6.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.7 Senegal
    • 5.1.7.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.7.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.7.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.7.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.7.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.7.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.7.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.7.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.7.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.8 Cameroon
    • 5.1.8.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.8.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.8.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.8.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.8.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.8.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.8.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.8.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.8.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.9 Guinea
    • 5.1.9.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.9.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.9.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.9.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.9.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.9.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.9.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.9.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.9.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.10 Sierra Leone
    • 5.1.10.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.10.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.10.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.10.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.10.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.10.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.10.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.10.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.10.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.11 Niger
    • 5.1.11.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.11.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.11.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.11.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.11.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.11.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.11.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.11.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.11.9 Seasonality Analysis
  • 5.1.12 South Africa
    • 5.1.12.1 Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
    • 5.1.12.2 Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
    • 5.1.12.3 Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
    • 5.1.12.4 Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
    • 5.1.12.5 Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
    • 5.1.12.6 Regulatory Framework
    • 5.1.12.7 List of Key Players
    • 5.1.12.8 Logistics and Infrastructure
    • 5.1.12.9 Seasonality Analysis

6 End Use Applications and Industries

• 6.1 Primary Applications and Emerging Applications
• 6.2 Consumption Breakdown by Industries

7 Competitive Landscape

• 7.1 Overview of the Competition
• 7.2 Recent Developments
• 7.3 Market Concentration Analysis

8 Market Opportunities and Future Trends