단거리 방공 시스템(SHORAD) 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2025-2030년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the short-range air defense system (SHORAD) market size stood at USD 17.25 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 23.32 billion by 2030, reflecting a 6.22% CAGR that underscores defense agencies' pivot toward layered, cost-effective air-defense architectures capable of defeating high-volume, low-cost aerial threats.

This report is Segmented by Range (Very Short Range and Short Range), Platform (Land-Based, Sea-Based, and Air-Based), Mobility and Deployment (Stationary/Fixed-Site, and More), Guidance Technology (Radar-Guided, and More), End User (Military and Homeland Security), and Geography (North America, Europe, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Short-Range Air Defense System (SHORAD) Market Trends and Insights

Surge in Drone and Loitering-Munition Threats Expanding Mobile SHORAD Procurement

Russia's AI-assisted Shahed drone variants, able to navigate under jamming and autonomously prioritize targets, have exposed vulnerabilities in static defenses and compelled armies to prioritize mobile SHORAD market procurements that blend electronic warfare, guns, missiles, and lasers into a single, truck-borne package. Accelerated fielding of the US M-SHORAD and Norwegian NOMADS programs exemplifies the urgency, with acceptance trials truncated to place vehicles in European units ahead of scheduled milestones. Doctrinal updates now emphasize shoot-on-the-move tactics and distributed sensor nodes to counter saturation attacks, incentivizing industry to design plug-and-play architectures that accept new radars or effector pods without hull redesign. The economics favor this agility; intercepting a USD 2,000 drone with a USD 12 laser shot versus a USD 150,000 missile preserves magazine depth and reduces operations-and-support costs. Consequently, procurement cycles that once spanned a decade now compress into three- to five-year bursts, benefiting suppliers capable of rapid prototype maturation and spiral upgrades.

Modernization Roadmaps Unlocking Defense Budgets

The US incremental approach to M-SHORAD, moving from gun-and-Stinger loadouts toward Stinger-HELLFIRE hybrids, demonstrates how defined roadmaps sustain recurring orders and budget lines regardless of near-term performance setbacks. Europe's ESSI and EUR 500 million (USD 586.73 million) ammunition-production stimulus further cements long-run demand certainty, allowing tier-two contractors to invest in new propellant lines and qualified warhead casings that feed the SHORAD market. Governments endorse multiyear frameworks that reward on-time delivery with option tranches, reducing funding volatility and aligning contractor incentives with readiness targets. Standardization on Rheinmetall Skyranger 30 among five NATO nations illustrates cost savings through common spares and training pipelines. As a result, even smaller allies gain affordable access to advanced capabilities without bearing full non-recurring engineering expenses.

High Acquisition and Lifecycle Cost Amid Budget Ceilings

Flat defense toplines force ministries to prioritize across competing needs, and analysts warn that sustained high-intensity operations would exhaust current US missile inventories within one week, a pressure that curtails procurement of premium interceptors and channels money toward lower-cost options. European treasuries likewise juggle ammunition-production investments against immediately deployable capability gaps, prompting questions over whether short-range air defense systems industry programs can scale fast enough without cannibalizing other modernization plans. Lifecycle costs, training, spares, and depot-level maintenance often triple initial purchase prices, discouraging cash-constrained buyers from ordering state-of-the-art solutions. OEMs respond with performance-based logistics contracts and subscription-style software updates to flatten expenditure curves, yet skepticism persists among acquisition officers wary of vendor lock-in.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Networked C2/Sensor-Fusion Boosting SHORAD Effectiveness
2. Counter-UAS Layer Now Mandatory in Layered Air-Defense Architectures
3. Multi-Sensor Integration Complexity Causing Schedule Overruns

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Short-range batteries captured 61.40% of the SHORAD market share in 2024, reflecting decades-old investments in missile-gun hybrids optimized for maneuver brigades. Nevertheless, very short-range systems post an 8.45% CAGR through 2030 as infantry units demand agile, man-portable defenses that negate quadcopter and loitering-munition penetrations at sub-5 km envelopes. India's 20.5 kg VSHORADS prototype proved lethal against 400 m/s drones, validating lightweight dual-band seekers that close the performance gap with larger missiles. The short-range air defense system market size for VSHORADS thus expands beyond special forces to regular battalions, especially where air dominance is contested.

The surge stems from doctrinal emphasis on distributed operations requiring every platoon to self-protect rather than rely solely on brigade-level umbrellas. As soft-launch motors reduce back-blast and allow firing from enclosures, urban-operation suitability rises, further widening the addressable short-range air defense system market. Meanwhile, SHORAD incumbents preserve relevance by integrating proximity-fused airburst rounds and AI fire control, ensuring kill probability against swarms. Convergence between range classes will likely create hybrid procurement patterns where armies blend wrist-strap VSHORADS with truck-mounted SHORAD, mirroring combined-arms philosophy.

Land configurations commanded 64.68% of 2024 revenue, testifying to the enduring requirement to shield columns, bases, and depots. Yet air-based solutions grow 7.81% annually as rotary-wing and UAV carriers host podded launchers, extending protective bubbles ahead of convoys. Kongsberg's NOMADS air-transportable launcher offsets the limited deck space on light utility helicopters by using remote, ground-launched micro-missiles cued from airborne sensors, illustrating cross-domain synergy.

Sea-based programs move cautiously due to integration costs and shipboard power constraints, though Japan's destroyer-class lasers signal a coming upturn once megawatt-class generators proliferate. Air-mobility drives suppliers to reduce weight via composite canisters and GaN radars, innovations that feed back into land variants, making platform lines increasingly interdependent within the short-range systems industry.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Range
  • Very Short Range (VSHORAD)
  • Short Range (SHORAD)
• By Platform
  • Land-Based
  • Sea-Based
  • Air-Based
• By Mobility and Deployment
  • Stationary/Fixed-Site
  • Vehicle-Mounted Mobile
  • Man-Portable (MANPADS)
• By Guidance Technology
  • Radar-Guided
  • Electro-Optical/Infrared (EO/IR)
  • Command Link/Beam-Rider
  • Other
• By End User
  • Military
  • Homeland Security
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Germany
    • Russia
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East and Africa
    • Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Turkey
      • Rest of Middle East
    • Africa
      • South Africa
      • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America led with a 34.90% share in 2024, anchored by the US Army's accelerated fielding of M-SHORAD battalions to Europe and the Indo-Pacific. NORAD modernization funds buoy Canadian procurement of Stinger reloads and mobile launchers, while Mexico explores anti-drone jammer arrays for border infrastructure. High domestic R&D outlays nurture directed-energy prototypes, positioning regional primes to export second-generation laser modules as power-pack densities improve. However, specialty steel and solid-rocket motor bottlenecks may dampen future output unless bilateral supply-base initiatives materialize.

Asia-Pacific registers the fastest 7.57% CAGR through 2030, driven by India's indigenous VSHORADS rollout, Japan's shipboard laser deployments, and South Korea's M-SAM export surge. Regional tension over contested airspace stimulates multisource procurement strategies, blending US, Israeli, and domestic systems to hedge embargo risks. Australia's LAND 19 Phase 7B boosts joint intercept-network design, creating opportunities for data-link suppliers. With diverse climates from tropical archipelagos to Himalayan plateaus, platforms must tolerate temperature extremes, encouraging ruggedized designs unique to this theater.

Europe maintains robust demand through coordinated ESSI frameworks and Rheinmetall Skyranger deliveries, targeting 50-vehicle fleets among five NATO members by 2027. The EU's ammunition-production incentive accelerates propellant line expansion, strengthening regional autonomy from external suppliers. Operational lessons from Ukraine propel interim buys such as the UK's search for a Stormer replacement that favor available, proven platforms. Nordic countries pursue joint acquisitions to spread costs and ensure standard sustainment pipelines, reinforcing long-term growth for the continent's short-range air defense systems market.

1. RTX Corporation
2. Lockheed Martin Corporation
3. MBDA
4. Thales Group
5. Saab AB
6. Rheinmetall AG
7. Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG
8. Leonardo S.p.A.
9. Kongsberg Gruppen ASA
10. Northrop Grumman Corporation
11. Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
12. General Dynamics Land Systems (General Dynamics Corporation)
13. Bharat Dynamics Limited
14. ASELSAN A.S.
15. HENSOLDT AG
16. Elbit Systems Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Surge in drone and loitering-munition threats expanding mobile SHORAD procurement
  • 4.2.2 Modernization roadmaps (e.g., M-SHORAD, European ESSI) unlocking budgets
  • 4.2.3 Networked C2/sensor-fusion boosting SHORAD effectiveness
  • 4.2.4 Counter-UAS layer now mandatory in layered air-defense architectures
  • 4.2.5 Modular gun-missile turrets enabling affordable legacy-vehicle upgrades
  • 4.2.6 Directed energy interceptors lowering cost-per-kill and sustainment load
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High acquisition and lifecycle cost amid budget ceilings
  • 4.3.2 Multi-sensor integration complexity causing schedule overruns
  • 4.3.3 Export-control/ITAR barriers throttling technology transfer
  • 4.3.4 Shortage of trained SHORAD crews delaying operational readiness
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Range
  • 5.1.1 Very Short Range (VSHORAD)
  • 5.1.2 Short Range (SHORAD)
• 5.2 By Platform
  • 5.2.1 Land-Based
  • 5.2.2 Sea-Based
  • 5.2.3 Air-Based
• 5.3 By Mobility and Deployment
  • 5.3.1 Stationary/Fixed-Site
  • 5.3.2 Vehicle-Mounted Mobile
  • 5.3.3 Man-Portable (MANPADS)
• 5.4 By Guidance Technology
  • 5.4.1 Radar-Guided
  • 5.4.2 Electro-Optical/Infrared (EO/IR)
  • 5.4.3 Command Link/Beam-Rider
  • 5.4.4 Other
• 5.5 By End User
  • 5.5.1 Military
  • 5.5.2 Homeland Security
• 5.6 By Geography
  • 5.6.1 North America
    • 5.6.1.1 United States
    • 5.6.1.2 Canada
    • 5.6.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.6.2 Europe
    • 5.6.2.1 United Kingdom
    • 5.6.2.2 France
    • 5.6.2.3 Germany
    • 5.6.2.4 Russia
    • 5.6.2.5 Rest of Europe
  • 5.6.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.6.3.1 China
    • 5.6.3.2 India
    • 5.6.3.3 Japan
    • 5.6.3.4 South Korea
    • 5.6.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.6.4 South America
    • 5.6.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.6.4.2 Rest of South America
  • 5.6.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.6.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.6.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.6.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.6.5.1.3 Turkey
      • 5.6.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
    • 5.6.5.2 Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.2 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 RTX Corporation
  • 6.4.2 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 6.4.3 MBDA
  • 6.4.4 Thales Group
  • 6.4.5 Saab AB
  • 6.4.6 Rheinmetall AG
  • 6.4.7 Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG
  • 6.4.8 Leonardo S.p.A.
  • 6.4.9 Kongsberg Gruppen ASA
  • 6.4.10 Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 6.4.11 Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.
  • 6.4.12 General Dynamics Land Systems (General Dynamics Corporation)
  • 6.4.13 Bharat Dynamics Limited
  • 6.4.14 ASELSAN A.S.
  • 6.4.15 HENSOLDT AG
  • 6.4.16 Elbit Systems Ltd.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment