프랑스의 조력발전 시장 : 점유율 분석, 업계 동향과 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the france tidal power market size in terms of installed base is expected to grow from 240 megawatt in 2025 to 270 megawatt in 2026 and is forecast to reach 490 megawatt by 2031 at 12.63% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Generation Method (Tidal Barrage, Floating Tidal Platform, Tidal Stream, Dynamic Tidal Power), Energy Converters (Horizontal Axis Turbine, Vertical Axis Turbine, Other), Application (Power Generation, Desalination, Marine Propulsion, and More), End-User (Utilities and IPPs, Industrial, Commercial), and Geography (France). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (MW).

France Tidal Power Market Trends and Insights

Robust State-Backed Tidal R&D Funding

France has spent years building the France tidal power market through public support that moved step by step from isolated device trials toward larger arrays that can test installation, maintenance, and revenue models under real operating conditions. The NH1 project alone received EUR 31.3 million, or USD 34.1 million, from the EU Innovation Fund, and that support sits alongside France 2030 backing, which lowers the burden on a first-of-a-kind commercial pilot and gives lenders a stronger public policy signal.The same project also received independent validation from the European Investment Bank on its cost reduction path, which matters because future projects in the France tidal power market will be judged not only on turbine design but also on how credible their path to lower power costs looks to investors. Public funding is also creating a wider benefit because environmental and operating data gathered at Raz Blanchard can be reused by later arrays, which reduces duplicated study work and shortens the learning cycle for each new development. This matters in the France tidal power market because early projects carry a high information burden, and every dataset that becomes reusable makes the next project easier to permit and finance. Over time, this approach turns state support from simple capital aid into a shared knowledge base that improves the sector's overall risk profile.

Forthcoming Commercial-Scale Projects at Raz Blanchard and Paimpol-Brehat

The strongest near-term growth driver in the France tidal power market is the move from prototypes to pre-commercial arrays at Raz Blanchard and the continued role of Paimpol-Brehat as a qualification site. FloWatt's 17 MW farm is progressing with 6 HQ 2.8 turbines being built at CMN's Cherbourg facility, backed by EUR 75 million, or USD 81.8 million, in French government support and a 20-year feed-in tariff, while commissioning is targeted for 2028. NH1 adds another 12 MW at the same broad development corridor and is also targeted for operation in 2028, which means the France tidal power market will soon be assessed on real array performance rather than only on pilot turbine data. These projects matter beyond their megawatt totals because they are giving domestic manufacturers, subsea suppliers, and marine service companies repeatable work packages that can support lower unit costs on future arrays. Paimpol-Brehat continues to strengthen this transition because it offers a grid-connected site where developers can validate power curves and operating behavior under French marine conditions before moving into larger projects. As a result, the France tidal power market is starting to look less like a collection of isolated engineering experiments and more like a pipeline with linked testing, manufacturing, and deployment stages.

High Levelised Cost Versus Offshore Wind

High power cost remains the main brake on the France tidal power market because current tidal projects still need support structures that reflect early-stage deployment risk and limited installed volume. The supplied material places current tidal LCOE in a EUR 150 to EUR 350 per MWh range, or USD 163 to USD 381 per MWh, and that level is still well above the cost base expected from more mature offshore renewable technologies. Independent work referenced through Tethys Engineering and ORE Catapult showed that meaningful cost reduction depends on cumulative deployment, with at least 783 MW in France needed to push the cost path below EUR 116 per MWh by 2030. That threshold is important because the current 250 MW policy target helps the France tidal power market, but it is still below the level at which stronger manufacturing learning and supply chain scale effects would be expected to show fully. FloWatt's feed-in tariff structure suggests policymakers recognize this issue and are protecting early arrays from direct cost competition while the sector builds volume. Until more megawatts are installed and operated, cost will continue to shape which projects move first and how quickly private capital becomes comfortable with the sector.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Coastal Grid-Congestion Relief Opportunities
2. Maritime Cluster Decarbonisation Mandates
3. Lengthy Environmental Approval Cycles

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Tidal barrage accounted for 42.3% of installed capacity in 2025, which made it the largest power generation method in the France tidal power market because France still carries a legacy base of barrage infrastructure. That installed base gives the segment a lead that is rooted in existing assets rather than in the strongest future project flow. Tidal stream generation ranked behind barrage, but it is a part of the France tidal power industry that is receiving the clearest commercial momentum from the Raz Blanchard pipeline. Dynamic tidal power remained at a conceptual stage in France, with no meaningful installed position in the current capacity mix. Floating tidal power platforms are forecast to expand at 19.4% CAGR through 2031, which makes them the strongest growth pocket within this split. Their appeal comes from the ability to work in deeper and faster-flowing waters where bottom-fixed designs are harder to deploy, maintain, or scale. This matters at sites such as Raz Blanchard, where water depth and operating conditions can limit the practical use of conventional foundations. As a result, floating systems are moving from a niche engineering idea toward a real growth lever for the France tidal power market.

The second part of the story is operational rather than purely technical, because floating systems can be assembled and checked onshore before tow-out, which reduces the time crews need to spend in harsh marine conditions. That matters in high-energy channels where weather windows are short and vessel costs are high, since a smaller offshore work scope can visibly change project economics. EEL Energy is targeting in-situ marine testing for its 1 MW biomimetic tidal generator by 2026, which shows that new platform approaches are still entering the field even as the market begins to consolidate around larger array developers. France Energies Marines has also highlighted hydrodynamic and environmental research at Raz Blanchard through its tidal stream programs, and those data will support better array layout decisions for future platform deployments. In practical terms, the floating segment expands site accessibility for the France tidal power market rather than simply adding another device category. It also gives developers more flexibility on maintenance strategy because some interventions can be done with tow-back procedures instead of full offshore heavy-lift work. That combination of broader site access and shorter marine installation windows explains why the growth outlook is stronger here than in the more mature barrage segment. It also suggests that future capacity additions will be shaped more by deployability and serviceability than by installed legacy infrastructure.

Horizontal axis turbines held 61.5% of installed capacity in 2025 and are also projected to grow at 17.4% CAGR through 2031, which gives them a rare position as both the largest and the fastest-growing converter type in the France tidal power market size. That lead reflects a mix of technical maturity, wider lender familiarity, and direct alignment with flagship French projects that are now moving toward commercial operation. The NH1 project is built around Proteus AR3000 turbines rated at 3 MW each with a 24-meter rotor diameter, and the project's cost pathway received independent validation through the European Investment Bank process. This gives the horizontal axis category a strong reference point at a time when the France tidal power market is starting to value bankability and standardization more heavily than novelty alone. The category also benefits from the fact that larger projects can source more structured performance evidence from these machines than from less mature alternatives. In an early commercial market, that matters because developers need technologies that can satisfy insurers, public funders, and debt providers at the same time. For now, horizontal-axis turbines sit closest to that requirement set. Their continued scale-up should therefore shape both the supply chain and the financing standards applied across future projects.

Vertical axis turbines still retain a meaningful role, largely because HydroQuest's design is the basis of the FloWatt farm and has already been tested at Paimpol-Brehat under demanding operating conditions. FloWatt reported full availability over a 2-year campaign at the test site, which gives the vertical axis concept a practical operating credential, even though its market position is smaller than that of horizontal axis turbines. Other tidal energy converters, including biomimetic systems, remain small in installed terms but still matter because they expand the innovation base of the France tidal power industry. EEL Energy's work on a membrane-based device shows that alternative architectures are still being pursued where developers see potential gains in flow capture, durability, or maintenance handling. Even so, qualification standards and investor expectations continue to favor converters with stronger testing histories and clearer operating records. This is why the near-term market will likely stay centered on the more established turbine families. Over time, alternative converters may find room in specialized applications or difficult site conditions rather than in the first wave of larger arrays. The balance of evidence still points to horizontal axis machines as the reference design for the France tidal power market over the current forecast period.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Power Generation Method
  • Tidal Barrage
  • Floating Tidal Power Platform
  • Tidal Stream Generation
  • Dynamic Tidal Power
• By Tidal Energy Converters
  • Horizontal Axis Turbine
  • Vertical Axis Turbine
  • Other Tidal Energy Converters
• By Application
  • Power Generation
  • Desalination
  • Marine Propulsion
  • Data & Telecom Platforms
• By End-User
  • Utilities and IPPs
  • Industrial
  • Commercial

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Sabella SAS
2. HydroQuest SAS
3. EEL Energy
4. Guinard Energies Nouvelles
5. Naval Energies
6. Nova Innovation Ltd
7. SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd
8. Orbital Marine Power Ltd
9. Minesto AB
10. Andritz Hydro GmbH
11. Voith Hydro GmbH & Co. KG
12. EDF Renewables
13. ENGIE SA
14. GE Vernova (ex-Alstom Ocean Energy)
15. Tocardo BV
16. Verdant Power Inc.
17. HydroWing Ltd
18. Seaturns SAS
19. Blue Shark Power System
20. Hydrokinetic Energy Corp.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Installed Capacity & Forecast (MW)
• 4.3 Market Drivers
  • 4.3.1 Robust state-backed tidal R&D funding
  • 4.3.2 Forthcoming commercial-scale projects (Raz Blanchard, Paimpol-Brehat)
  • 4.3.3 Coastal grid-congestion relief opportunities
  • 4.3.4 Maritime cluster decarbonisation mandates
• 4.4 Market Restraints
  • 4.4.1 High levelised cost versus offshore wind
  • 4.4.2 Lengthy environmental approval cycles
  • 4.4.3 Limited bankable track record deterring financiers
  • 4.4.4 Mining of rare-earth magnets facing NGO opposition
• 4.5 Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.6 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.7 Technological Outlook
• 4.8 PESTLE Analysis
• 4.9 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.9.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.9.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.9.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.9.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.9.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

• 5.1 By Power Generation Method
  • 5.1.1 Tidal Barrage
  • 5.1.2 Floating Tidal Power Platform
  • 5.1.3 Tidal Stream Generation
  • 5.1.4 Dynamic Tidal Power
• 5.2 By Tidal Energy Converters
  • 5.2.1 Horizontal Axis Turbine
  • 5.2.2 Vertical Axis Turbine
  • 5.2.3 Other Tidal Energy Converters
• 5.3 By Application
  • 5.3.1 Power Generation
  • 5.3.2 Desalination
  • 5.3.3 Marine Propulsion
  • 5.3.4 Data & Telecom Platforms
• 5.4 By End-User
  • 5.4.1 Utilities and IPPs
  • 5.4.2 Industrial
  • 5.4.3 Commercial

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles {(includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)}
  • 6.4.1 Sabella SAS
  • 6.4.2 HydroQuest SAS
  • 6.4.3 EEL Energy
  • 6.4.4 Guinard Energies Nouvelles
  • 6.4.5 Naval Energies
  • 6.4.6 Nova Innovation Ltd
  • 6.4.7 SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd
  • 6.4.8 Orbital Marine Power Ltd
  • 6.4.9 Minesto AB
  • 6.4.10 Andritz Hydro GmbH
  • 6.4.11 Voith Hydro GmbH & Co. KG
  • 6.4.12 EDF Renewables
  • 6.4.13 ENGIE SA
  • 6.4.14 GE Vernova (ex-Alstom Ocean Energy)
  • 6.4.15 Tocardo BV
  • 6.4.16 Verdant Power Inc.
  • 6.4.17 HydroWing Ltd
  • 6.4.18 Seaturns SAS
  • 6.4.19 Blue Shark Power System
  • 6.4.20 Hydrokinetic Energy Corp.

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment