보안 및 양자 안전 광섬유 백본 네트워크 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the secure and quantum-Safe fiber backbone network market size is projected to expand from USD 2.41 billion in 2025 and USD 3.14 billion in 2026 to USD 11.52 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 29.69% from 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Component (Hardware and More), Technology (Quantum Key Distribution, and More), Application (Telecommunications, Data Centers, and More), End-User Industry (Telecom Operators, Metro Fiber Networks, and More), Network Type (Terrestrial Fiber Networks, Metro Fiber Networks, and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Value (USD).

Global Secure and Quantum-Safe Fiber Backbone Network Market Trends and Insights

Rising Harvest-Now, Decrypt-Later Exposure

The harvest-now, decrypt-later model has moved beyond theory and now shapes how carriers and critical infrastructure operators view backbone security risk in the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market. Research published in 2026 found that storing even 1% of intercepted global encrypted traffic could cost nation-state actors around USD 1 billion per year under conservative commercial cloud pricing, which is a manageable level for high-value intelligence collection. Long-haul fiber routes are especially vulnerable because they carry heavy traffic along predictable physical paths, making bulk interception more practical through fiber taps or collection mandates. Archived 5G and future 6G control-plane records create a lasting vulnerability because they preserve session and authentication data that could be decrypted later if cryptographically relevant quantum systems emerge. This cost imbalance, where interception is cheap today and decryption can wait, is shortening procurement cycles across the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market even in countries without formal migration laws.

NIST Post-Quantum Migration Deadlines

The NIST standardization effort has shifted the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market from early evaluation into deadline-driven procurement. NIST finalized FIPS 203, FIPS 204, and FIPS 205 in August 2024, and then selected HQC in March 2025 to widen key-establishment options for future deployments. The White House then accelerated the pace in June 2026 through Executive Order 14412, which required federal agencies to migrate high-value assets to PQC key establishment by December 31, 2030, and digital signatures by December 31, 2031. OMB Memorandum M-26-15 also required agency migration plans within 120 days and placed total federal transition costs at USD 7.1 billion over a decade, providing suppliers and network operators with a clear budget signal. Because federal contractors and defense communications vendors must align with these rules, the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market is seeing demand spread well beyond government agencies into the broader backbone supply chain.

High CAPEX For Trusted-Node And QKD Rollouts

Capital intensity remains one of the clearest constraints on near-term expansion in the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market. QKD devices currently cost EUR 200,000 (USD 228,000) per unit, and point-to-point deployments usually require USD 250,000 to USD 500,000 in initial spending before operating costs are added. That pricing keeps early adoption concentrated among sovereign programs, Tier-1 carriers, and regulated financial institutions that can justify dedicated security budgets. In many emerging markets, QKD spending competes directly with existing optical security and backbone modernization budgets, slowing deployment in parts of the Middle East, Africa, and South America. The cost curve should improve as photonic integration advances, but the relief is still medium-term rather than immediate for much of the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Telecom Backbone Modernization For 5G And 6G
2. Sovereign Quantum Network Programs
3. Limited Fiber Reach Without Trusted Nodes

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Hardware held 56.29% of the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market share in 2025, making it the largest revenue contributor across current deployments. That lead came from direct procurement of DWDM systems, optical transport platforms, QKD terminals, and trusted-node equipment across backbone programs in China, Europe, the United States, South Korea, and the Middle East. The hardware position is structural because physical quantum links and secure optical nodes must be installed before higher software layers can operate at scale on those routes. Confirmed public and carrier programs, therefore, converted more quickly into hardware bookings than into any other component category. Within the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market, software is projected to expand at a 34.33% CAGR through 2031 as operators adopt crypto-agile key management, FIPS-compliant libraries, and quantum-readiness tools ahead of full hardware migration.

Software is gaining traction because it lowers the first spending threshold while preserving room for later hardware integration. That makes the software layer attractive for carriers and enterprises that want to map cryptographic exposure now and phase capital deployment over time. Services are also expanding as operators seek outside support for migration planning, architecture design, and system integration, especially where in-house quantum cryptography talent is limited. The broader direction of the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market still points toward tighter hardware and software integration, with smaller photonic designs and more flexible control platforms expected to narrow the cost gap over the forecast period.

Post-quantum cryptography accounted for a 51.10% share in 2025, making it the leading technology path by current adoption volume. Its position came from immediate deployability enabled by NIST-standardized algorithms and a cost structure that does not depend on dedicated QKD hardware or special-purpose fiber routes. That software-led approach also fits well with hyperscale cloud environments, where large providers have already begun embedding PQC into broader infrastructure security stacks. For buyers who needed faster action against long-retention exposure, PQC offered a practical migration step while physical quantum networking matured. This kept PQC at the center of early procurement across the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market.

QKD is projected to grow at a 33.61% CAGR through 2031 as sovereign and carrier programs move from pilot stages into live backbone deployments. The strongest QKD demand is tied to national infrastructure, defense communications, and high-value financial corridors where information-theoretic protection has strategic appeal. Hybrid quantum-safe solutions are becoming more common because they combine QKD on dedicated or high-priority fiber paths with PQC on wider network segments, thereby reducing the risk of relying entirely on a single approach during an active standards cycle. The pace of government-backed rollouts in 2025 and 2026 showed that the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market is no longer choosing between PQC and QKD in absolute terms, and is increasingly using both where network economics permit.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Component
  • Hardware (Includes Optical Transport Equipment (DWDM/CWDM Systems), Optical Transponders and Muxponders, ROADM (Reconfigurable Optical Add-Drop Multiplexer) Systems, Optical Line Systems (OLS), Coherent Optical Modules, Optical Amplifiers (EDFA/Raman))
  • Software (Includes Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) Software, Quantum-Safe Key Management Systems (KMS), Network Encryption Management Platforms, SDN Controllers with Security Orchestration, Network Management Systems (NMS))
  • Services (Includes Security Consulting, Quantum-Readiness Assessments, Cryptographic Risk Assessments, Network Security Architecture Design, Deployment and Integration of Quantum-Safe Solutions)
• By Technology
  • Quantum Key Distribution
  • Post-Quantum Cryptography
  • Hybrid Quantum-Safe Solutions
• By Application
  • Telecommunications
  • Data Centers
  • Government and Defense
  • BFSI
  • Healthcare
  • Energy and Utilities
• By End-User Industry
  • Telecom Operators
  • Hyperscalers and Cloud Providers
  • Financial Institutions
  • Public Sector Agencies
  • Critical Infrastructure Operators
• By Network Type
  • Terrestrial Fiber Networks
  • Metro Fiber Networks
  • Long-Haul Fiber Networks
  • Subsea and Cross-Border Fiber Links
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Rest of South America
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • Middle East
    • Saudi Arabia
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Rest of the Middle East
  • Africa
    • South Africa
    • Nigeria
    • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America held a 32.12% share in 2025, making it the largest region in the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market. That lead came from the strongest regulatory framework for PQC migration, especially in the United States, where Executive Order 14412 mandated a defined procurement schedule for planning. The order required high-value federal assets to move to PQC key establishment by December 31, 2030, and to use digital signatures by December 31, 2031, while OMB also framed the transition around USD 7.1 billion in spending over 10 years. That regulatory clarity pulled defense contractors, federal network operators, and regulated financial institutions into active buying cycles across the region. Canada also advanced quantum-safe infrastructure work through critical network initiatives and long-distance communication planning, while Mexico remained at an earlier stage but stood to benefit from North American standards alignment over time.

Europe continued to build one of the most coordinated regional ecosystems in the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market through EuroQCI and related national programs. Germany's 923 km DemoQuanDT deployment between Berlin and Bonn provided European operators with a live, carrier-grade model for long-distance QKD implementation. Deutsche Telekom T-Labs and Qunnect then achieved quantum teleportation over 30 km of commercial fiber in Berlin in January 2026, which showed that entanglement-based capabilities were moving into real operator environments. The United Kingdom added further weight by committing GBP 125 million (USD 159 million) to quantum networking and by launching a National Quantum Standards Network in June 2026, supported by GBP 10 million (USD 13.22 million) in government funding. Cross-border programs in broader Europe also showed that deployment was no longer limited to the region's largest western economies.

Asia-Pacific is projected to grow at a 32.89% CAGR through 2031, which makes it the fastest-expanding regional block in the secure and quantum-safe fiber backbone network market. China anchors that trajectory with a national QKD backbone of more than 12,000 km, 145 fiber backbone nodes, and 20 metropolitan networks across 17 provinces and 80 cities. India's 1,000 km QKD milestone in April 2026 confirmed that national-scale deployment had moved beyond the earliest research stage, while South Korean carriers also pushed quantum security closer to future 6G planning. Middle Eastern markets are emerging through live commercial dark-fiber deployments for sovereign and financial communications, while South America and Africa remain earlier-stage adopters, starting with software overlays before broader hardware rollout.

1. Toshiba Corporation
2. ID Quantique SA
3. Thales S.A.
4. Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
5. QuintessenceLabs Pty Ltd.
6. SK Telecom Co., Ltd.
7. Nokia Corporation
8. Ciena Corporation
9. Cisco Systems, Inc.
10. Juniper Networks, Inc. (HPE Ltd.)
11. NEC Corporation
12. Fujitsu Limited
13. Colt Technology Services Group Limited
14. Orange S.A.
15. BT Group plc
16. Deutsche Telekom AG
17. Telefonica, S.A.
18. Adtran Holdings, Inc.
19. LuxQuanta Technologies S.L.
20. Quantum Xchange, Inc.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Rising Harvest Now, Decrypt Later Exposure
  • 4.2.2 NIST Post-Quantum Migration Deadlines
  • 4.2.3 Telecom Backbone Modernization for 5G and 6G
  • 4.2.4 Sovereign Quantum Network Programs
  • 4.2.5 Quantum-Safe Data Retention for Critical Infrastructure
  • 4.2.6 Hybrid QKD and PQC Deployment Economics
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High CAPEX for Trusted-Node and QKD Rollouts
  • 4.3.2 Limited Fiber Reach Without Trusted Nodes
  • 4.3.3 Interoperability Gaps Across Vendor Stacks
  • 4.3.4 Quantum Hardware Supply Chain and Testbed Scarcity
• 4.4 Industry Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.6.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.6.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.6.5 Competitive Rivalry
• 4.7 Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Market

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Component
  • 5.1.1 Hardware (Includes Optical Transport Equipment (DWDM/CWDM Systems), Optical Transponders and Muxponders, ROADM (Reconfigurable Optical Add-Drop Multiplexer) Systems, Optical Line Systems (OLS), Coherent Optical Modules, Optical Amplifiers (EDFA/Raman))
  • 5.1.2 Software (Includes Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) Software, Quantum-Safe Key Management Systems (KMS), Network Encryption Management Platforms, SDN Controllers with Security Orchestration, Network Management Systems (NMS))
  • 5.1.3 Services (Includes Security Consulting, Quantum-Readiness Assessments, Cryptographic Risk Assessments, Network Security Architecture Design, Deployment and Integration of Quantum-Safe Solutions)
• 5.2 By Technology
  • 5.2.1 Quantum Key Distribution
  • 5.2.2 Post-Quantum Cryptography
  • 5.2.3 Hybrid Quantum-Safe Solutions
• 5.3 By Application
  • 5.3.1 Telecommunications
  • 5.3.2 Data Centers
  • 5.3.3 Government and Defense
  • 5.3.4 BFSI
  • 5.3.5 Healthcare
  • 5.3.6 Energy and Utilities
• 5.4 By End-User Industry
  • 5.4.1 Telecom Operators
  • 5.4.2 Hyperscalers and Cloud Providers
  • 5.4.3 Financial Institutions
  • 5.4.4 Public Sector Agencies
  • 5.4.5 Critical Infrastructure Operators
• 5.5 By Network Type
  • 5.5.1 Terrestrial Fiber Networks
  • 5.5.2 Metro Fiber Networks
  • 5.5.3 Long-Haul Fiber Networks
  • 5.5.4 Subsea and Cross-Border Fiber Links
• 5.6 By Geography
  • 5.6.1 North America
    • 5.6.1.1 United States
    • 5.6.1.2 Canada
    • 5.6.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.6.2 South America
    • 5.6.2.1 Brazil
    • 5.6.2.2 Argentina
    • 5.6.2.3 Rest of South America
  • 5.6.3 Europe
    • 5.6.3.1 Germany
    • 5.6.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.6.3.3 France
    • 5.6.3.4 Rest of Europe
  • 5.6.4 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.6.4.1 China
    • 5.6.4.2 Japan
    • 5.6.4.3 India
    • 5.6.4.4 South Korea
    • 5.6.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.6.5 Middle East
    • 5.6.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.6.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.6.5.3 Rest of the Middle East
  • 5.6.6 Africa
    • 5.6.6.1 South Africa
    • 5.6.6.2 Nigeria
    • 5.6.6.3 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Toshiba Corporation
  • 6.4.2 ID Quantique SA
  • 6.4.3 Thales S.A.
  • 6.4.4 Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.5 QuintessenceLabs Pty Ltd.
  • 6.4.6 SK Telecom Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.7 Nokia Corporation
  • 6.4.8 Ciena Corporation
  • 6.4.9 Cisco Systems, Inc.
  • 6.4.10 Juniper Networks, Inc. (HPE Ltd.)
  • 6.4.11 NEC Corporation
  • 6.4.12 Fujitsu Limited
  • 6.4.13 Colt Technology Services Group Limited
  • 6.4.14 Orange S.A.
  • 6.4.15 BT Group plc
  • 6.4.16 Deutsche Telekom AG
  • 6.4.17 Telefonica, S.A.
  • 6.4.18 Adtran Holdings, Inc.
  • 6.4.19 LuxQuanta Technologies S.L.
  • 6.4.20 Quantum Xchange, Inc.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment