소방 항공기 시장 : 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the fire fighting aircraft market size is expected to grow from USD 7.78 billion in 2025 to USD 8.32 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 11.63 billion by 2031 at a 6.92% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Aircraft Type (Fixed-Wing Aircraft, and More), Tank Capacity (Less Than 10, 000 Litres, and More), End User (Government Agencies and Forestry Services, Military Operators, and More), Operational Range (Less Than 1, 000 Km, 1, 000 - 3, 000 Km, and More Than 3, 000 Km), and Geography (North America, Europe, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Fire Fighting Aircraft Market Trends and Insights

Escalating Frequency And Intensity Of Wildfires

Wildfire activity continues to challenge historical norms, transforming what was once a three-month issue into a threat that lingers throughout every season. Agencies now hold aircraft on alert all year because 2024 saw 7.5 million acres burn in the US and 18 million hectares in Canada, the worst totals ever logged. Climate research links the surge to a 25% increase in fire-weather days since 2000, resulting in longer contracts and higher fixed costs. Greece's 175,000-hectare loss stretched tanker leases into October, and Australia adopted permanent basing, moves that lengthen utilization windows and improve return on large-platform investments.

Expanding Government Aerial-Fire Budgets And Long-Term Contracts

Public spending is climbing at every tier. Washington raised its fiscal-2025 aerial-fire allocation to USD 534 million, 12% above the 2024 level, while California surpassed USD 400 million to finance 12 helicopters and two large tankers. North of the border, Ottawa pledged CAD 257.6 million (USD 185.06 million) over five years for amphibious aircraft that can scoop remote lakes. Brussels' rescEU program injected EUR 600 million (USD 648.40 million) to pre-position 24 platforms across the bloc, reducing costly spot leases. Spain's 15-year DHC-515 package, bundling training and maintenance, signals a pivot toward lifecycle contracting that stabilizes OEM revenue.

High Acquisition And Lifecycle Costs

Capital intensity remains the primary brake on expansion, especially in middle-income regions. A new DHC-515 lists at USD 37 million, while a converted B747 large air tanker, including structural work and delivery system, nears USD 50 million. Operational bills pile on: fuel, spares, and heavy checks burn USD 8,000-12,000 every flight hour, yet aircraft sit idle up to eight months, inflating the cost per gallon against ground crews. Brazil's federal budget only covered USD 24 million in 2025 leases, underscoring how emerging markets struggle to finance fixed-wing fleets despite worsening fire risk.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Next-Generation Airframes And Precision-Drop Technologies
2. Retired Narrow-Body Feedstock Enabling Low-Cost Tanker Conversions
3. Shortage Of Experienced Aerial-Fire Pilots And Mechanics

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Fixed-wing aircraft held a 52.50% market share in the fire fighting aircraft market in 2025, reflecting superior payload economics for large-area suppression. The segment's longevity is reinforced by the C-130 and S-2T fleets, which performed the majority of US drops in 2025. Unmanned systems, though nascent, are expanding at an 8.87% CAGR as Chinese certification of the EH216-F and FAA sandbox trials in the US validate autonomous operations. Rotorcraft excel in precision structure defense and vertical reference missions, and AW139 deliveries to Italy and Los Angeles advance urban interface capability.

Fleet modernization favors conversion programs that extend service life and integrate precision-drop avionics. Fixed-wing operators capitalize on retired jets that combine jet speed with moderate operating costs, keeping the fire fighting aircraft market competitive. UAS deployments, backed by lower crew risk, are widening mission envelopes into smoke-obscured canyons where manned flight is untenable. Rotorcraft growth is tied to year-round vegetation-management contracts from utilities that demand immediate dispatch capability.

Aircraft under 10,000 liters represented 47.80% of the fire fighting aircraft market size in 2025, led by Air Tractor AT-802F fleets across North America and Australia. The 10,000-30,000 liter class, anchored by CL-415s and DHC-515s, strikes a balance between payload and lake-scooping agility; however, backlog constraints slow its growth. Huge air tankers with capacities above 30,000 liters are expanding at a 7.74% CAGR, as single-pass coverage of 3-kilometer firelines enhances cost efficiency during mega-fires.

Mid-capacity assets remain indispensable for rapid turnaround from proximal water bodies; yet, agencies are procuring VLATs to reduce crew flight hours and sortie counts. The scarcity of suitable B747 and DC-10 airframes caps the absolute number of VLATs, maintaining pricing power for operators. Lightweight categories thrive in emerging markets where runway infrastructure or budgets limit the adoption of heavy aircraft.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Aircraft Type
  • Fixed-wing Aircraft
  • Rotorcraft
  • Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS)
• By Tank Capacity
  • Less than 10,000 liters
  • 10,000 - 30,000 liters
  • More than 30,000 liters
• By End User
  • Government Agencies and Forestry Services
  • Military Operators
  • Private Contractors and Aerial Firefighting Firms
• By Operational Range
  • Less than 1,000 km
  • 1,000 to 3,000 km
  • More than 3,000 km
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • Spain
    • Greece
    • Russia
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East and Africa
    • Middle East
      • Saudi Arabia
      • Rest of Middle East
    • Africa
      • South Africa
      • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America retained a 47.10% revenue share in 2025, as federal and state budgets surpassed USD 900 million; however, pilot shortages and airframe saturation moderated the regional CAGR. The US operated 23 large tankers, 8 VLATs, and more than 100 helicopters in 2025. Canada's CAD 257.6 million (USD 185.06 million) investment focuses on amphibious platforms, while Mexico modestly expands helicopter leases. Utilization rates below 250 hours per season constrain new capital deployment, leading to a shift in procurement toward service contracts that prioritize availability over ownership.

The Asia-Pacific region is the fastest-growing region, with a 7.45% CAGR through 2031. Australia's AUD 352.9 million (USD 236.37 million) plan builds sovereign capacity to cut reliance on leased North American assets. China has fielded the AG600 amphibious aircraft and has surpassed 50 fire fighting helicopters, with a concentration in Xinjiang and Heilongjiang. Japan, Indonesia, and Thailand expand helicopter fleets for mountainous and peatland fires, albeit from small bases.

Europe's rescEU fleet fragments North American export dominance. Spain operates 73 aircraft and ordered six DHC-515s in 2025. France's Securite Civile flies 23 amphibious aircraft and added three DHC-515s. Greece modernized its post-2024 fires with four new CL-415s. Russia's Avialesookhrana maintains over 60 aircraft but faces hurdles in modernization. The Middle East and Africa markets are emerging slowly, with Saudi Arabia investing in helicopter capacity to protect its energy infrastructure.

1. Lockheed Martin Corporation
2. De Havilland Aircraft of Canada Limited
3. ShinMaywa Industries, Ltd.
4. MD Helicopters Inc.
5. Textron Inc.
6. Airbus SE
7. Leonardo S.p.A.
8. HYNAERO SAS
9. Air Tractor, Inc.
10. Saab AB
11. Erickson Incorporated
12. Thrush Aircraft
13. Guangzhou EHang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd.
14. Russian Helicopters' JSC
15. United Aircraft Corporation

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Escalating frequency and intensity of wildfires
  • 4.2.2 Expanding government aerial-fire budgets and long-term contracts
  • 4.2.3 Next-gen airframes and precision-drop technologies
  • 4.2.4 Retired narrowbody feedstock enabling low-cost tanker conversions
  • 4.2.5 Utility-liability risk fuelling private-sector aircraft demand
  • 4.2.6 ICAO I4F initiative easing cross-border aircraft leasing
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High acquisition and lifecycle costs
  • 4.3.2 Shortage of experienced aerial-fire pilots and mechanics
  • 4.3.3 Tariff-driven avionics/airframe supply-chain disruptions
  • 4.3.4 Weather-smoke grounding limits annual utilization
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
  • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Aircraft Type
  • 5.1.1 Fixed-wing Aircraft
  • 5.1.2 Rotorcraft
  • 5.1.3 Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS)
• 5.2 By Tank Capacity
  • 5.2.1 Less than 10,000 liters
  • 5.2.2 10,000 - 30,000 liters
  • 5.2.3 More than 30,000 liters
• 5.3 By End User
  • 5.3.1 Government Agencies and Forestry Services
  • 5.3.2 Military Operators
  • 5.3.3 Private Contractors and Aerial Firefighting Firms
• 5.4 By Operational Range
  • 5.4.1 Less than 1,000 km
  • 5.4.2 1,000 to 3,000 km
  • 5.4.3 More than 3,000 km
• 5.5 By Geography
  • 5.5.1 North America
    • 5.5.1.1 United States
    • 5.5.1.2 Canada
    • 5.5.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.5.2 Europe
    • 5.5.2.1 Germany
    • 5.5.2.2 France
    • 5.5.2.3 Spain
    • 5.5.2.4 Greece
    • 5.5.2.5 Russia
    • 5.5.2.6 Rest of Europe
  • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.3.1 China
    • 5.5.3.2 Japan
    • 5.5.3.3 Australia
    • 5.5.3.4 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 5.5.4 South America
    • 5.5.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.5.4.2 Rest of South America
  • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.5.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.5.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.5.5.1.2 Rest of Middle East
    • 5.5.5.2 Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.5.5.2.2 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • 6.4.2 De Havilland Aircraft of Canada Limited
  • 6.4.3 ShinMaywa Industries, Ltd.
  • 6.4.4 MD Helicopters Inc.
  • 6.4.5 Textron Inc.
  • 6.4.6 Airbus SE
  • 6.4.7 Leonardo S.p.A.
  • 6.4.8 HYNAERO SAS
  • 6.4.9 Air Tractor, Inc.
  • 6.4.10 Saab AB
  • 6.4.11 Erickson Incorporated
  • 6.4.12 Thrush Aircraft
  • 6.4.13 Guangzhou EHang Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.14 Russian Helicopters' JSC
  • 6.4.15 United Aircraft Corporation

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment