시멘트 산업용 대체 연료 및 원료(AFR) 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 산업 동향 및 통계 데이터, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the alternate fuel and raw materials market for cement industry size is projected to expand from USD 10.31 billion in 2025 and USD 11.32 billion in 2026 to USD 16.36 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 7.64% between 2026 and 2031.

This report is Segmented by Fuel Type (RDF, SRF, and Others), Raw Material Type (Fly Ash, Blast Furnace Slag, and Others), Application (Primary Firing, and Other Applications), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and the Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value in USD.

Insights and Trends of Alternate Fuel and Raw Materials (AFR) Market For Cement Industry

Decarbonization Targets and Fossil-Fuel Substitution

Carbon pricing is changing fuel switching from an environmental objective into a financial operating requirement for cement producers, particularly where carbon allowances influence the relative cost of coal, petcoke, and prepared waste fuels. The alternate fuel and raw materials for the cement market benefit when fossil fuel use carries a higher direct cost at the kiln and when operators can account for the avoided emissions from fuel replacement. The European Union Emissions Trading System and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism raise the commercial importance of lowering fuel-related emissions in European production, which gives procurement teams a clearer financial reason to diversify fuel sources. Cement groups, therefore, have a stronger reason to secure waste-derived fuel volumes before they commit to higher thermal substitution rates, since new burner systems and material handling equipment need dependable feedstock. The Global Cement and Concrete Association reported a global thermal substitution rate below 10%, compared with its 22% target for 2030, leaving substantial room for fuel replacement. Policy direction in India and Southeast Asia is also creating stronger planning signals for cement producers, waste operators, and logistics providers, although each location will need its own collection and pre-processing model.

Landfill Diversion, Waste Volumes, and Resource Recovery

Landfill restrictions redirect residual waste toward recovery pathways and improve the economics of alternative fuel preparation, because disposal options become less attractive for waste holders and municipalities. This supports the alternate fuel and raw materials for cement market, even where carbon prices are limited or absent, since the value of treating and diverting waste can provide a separate economic basis for co-processing. Construction and demolition waste rules in India, which take effect from April 2026, establish recycling targets that rise from 25% in 2025-26 to 100% in 2028-29, increasing the need for practical recovery routes. Europe's proposed Circular Economy Act would strengthen binding circularity requirements and improve longer-term visibility for waste recovery investments . Vicat recovered 1.7 million tonnes of waste worldwide in 2025, while its European operations reached a 76.1% substitution rate . Large urban waste volumes create potential supply, but collection, sorting, drying, storage, and transport capacity must be in place before material becomes a dependable kiln input.

Feedstock Variability and Kiln-Stability Risk

Fuel heterogeneity limits the ability of cement plants to increase co-processing rates without additional investment in preparation, storage, and process control. RDF moisture can shift between seasons, while biomass calorific value can change as material sources, weather, and storage conditions change. These variations make it harder to maintain stable combustion using conventional process controls and can require plants to adjust feed rates more often. Chlorine-rich fuel batches can cause cyclone blockages, kiln build-up, corrosion, and declines in clinker quality, which can disrupt production as well as increase maintenance needs. The alternate fuel and raw materials for the cement market faces its greatest operational constraint where fuel preparation is immature, and quality checks are inconsistent. Plants that seek thermal substitution above 30% need greater control over material preparation, storage, dosing, and combustion settings before they can rely on diverse waste streams at scale.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Consistent High-Calorific Fuel and Kiln Compatibility
2. Digital Sorting and Fuel-Quality Traceability
3. Waste Segregation, Permitting, and Feedstock Competition

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

RDF held 33.8% of the alternate fuel and raw materials for the cement market share in the fuel segment during 2025, reflecting established mechanical and biological treatment capacity in Europe. SRF is forecast to grow at an 8.4% CAGR through 2031, faster than the overall market. This difference indicates that cement operators are seeking fuel grades with clearer quality documentation and more stable operating performance. EN 15359 classification gives SRF a defined framework for calorific value, moisture, ash, and chlorine. The alternate fuel and raw materials for the cement market size for SRF are supported by customer demand for supply arrangements that can be audited and used in financing discussions.

Biomass and waste plastics remain smaller but strategically useful fuel streams. India's framework for non-recyclable plastic waste identifies cement kiln co-processing as a disposal pathway alongside incineration, expanding the material eligible for co-firing. Scientific work on biomass and industrial wastes supports their compatibility with precalciner conditions because their thermal breakdown occurs within a suitable temperature range. Tire-derived fuel, sewage sludge, and industrial solvents also contribute, where hazardous waste co-processing rules are well established in Germany, Japan, and South Korea. The alternate fuel and raw materials for cement market will continue to use RDF widely, but higher-quality SRF is becoming more important where kilns require predictable combustion behavior.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Fuel Type
  • Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF)
  • Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF)
  • Biomass
  • Waste Plastics
  • Other Fuel Types
• By Raw Material Type
  • Fly Ash
  • Blast Furnace Slag
  • Foundry Sand
  • Steel Slag
  • Other Raw Material Types
• By Application
  • Primary Firing
  • Secondary Firing
  • Other Applications
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • Italy
    • Spain
    • United Kingdom
    • Poland
    • Russia
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Australia
    • Indonesia
    • Vietnam
    • Thailand
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East
    • Saudi Arabia
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Egypt
    • South Africa
    • Morocco
    • Rest of Middle East and Africa

Geography Analysis

Europe held 41.5% of the alternate fuel and raw materials for cement market share in 2025. The region's role reflects decades of carbon regulation, landfill taxation, waste separation requirements, established co-processing capacity, and commercial arrangements that connect waste treatment facilities with major kiln operators. European cement plants averaged 52% thermal substitution, while Slovakia reached 75% across its cement industry in 2024, according to the source draft. Vicat reported a 76.1% substitution rate in its European operations during 2025. These conditions make Europe a leading location for specification-grade SRF, traceable supply chains, and long-term plant offtake agreements, while also raising the quality and documentation threshold for suppliers that seek to serve major cement groups.

Heidelberg Materials opened a new kiln line at Airvault, France, in May 2026 after an investment exceeding EUR 350 million (~USD 402.55 million), with the facility designed to use up to 90% alternative fuels. The plant has a dry-process clinker capacity of 1.25 million tonnes per year and is intended to reduce site carbon dioxide intensity by nearly 30%, linking a major capital project with long-term demand for alternative fuels. Such investments establish demand infrastructure that can support alternative fuel suppliers for extended periods. Europe's forthcoming Circular Economy Act and EN 15359 classification framework will further affect procurement standards and documentation needs. The alternate fuel and raw materials for cement market in Europe is more mature, but it also requires higher fuel quality than less developed co-processing locations.

Asia-Pacific is projected to grow at a 9.4% CAGR through 2031, the fastest rate among regions. India and Southeast Asia combine rising cement demand with policy efforts to improve waste recovery and alternative fuel use, while Japan and Australia are increasing co-processing adoption and demonstrate different stages of waste management maturity. China's dual-carbon targets and restrictions on new kiln permits are directing attention toward fuel substitution, while Huaxin Cement's Diwei clinker line achieved substitution above 60% using waste tires, rubber, and textiles, according to the source draft. North America, South America, and the Middle East and Africa need stronger feedstock preparation, while Brazil's Xambioa plant reached nearly 65% thermal substitution, and Geminor is developing a South African SRF hub with Norad support.

1. Andusia Recovered Fuels Limited
2. Averda International Limited
3. BEUMER Group GmbH & Co. KG
4. Biffa Limited
5. Blue Phoenix Group B.V.
6. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.
7. DCC Group
8. Ecoserv
9. EEW Energy from Waste GmbH
10. Enva Group Limited
11. Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.
12. Geminor AS
13. Geocycle SA
14. Heidelberg Materials AG
15. Indaver NV
16. Komptech GmbH
17. PAPREC Group
18. PreZero International GmbH
19. Ragn-Sells AB
20. REMONDIS SE & Co. KG
21. Renewi plc
22. SARIA SE & Co. KG
23. SUEZ S.A.
24. Veolia Environnement S.A.
25. Vicat SA
26. Viridor Limited

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Decarbonization Targets and Fossil-Fuel Substitution
  • 4.2.2 Landfill Diversion and Circular-Economy Mandates
  • 4.2.3 Industrial Demand for Consistent High-Calorific Fuel
  • 4.2.4 Rising Waste Volumes and Local Resource Recovery
  • 4.2.5 Cement-Kiln Compatibility with Mineral-Rich Waste Streams
  • 4.2.6 AI-Enabled Sorting and Fuel-Quality Traceability
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Feedstock Variability and Kiln-Stability Risk
  • 4.3.2 Inconsistent Waste Segregation and Collection Infrastructure
  • 4.3.3 Permitting and Cross-Border Waste-Movement Complexity
  • 4.3.4 Competition for High-Biogenic Residual Waste
• 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Technological Outlook
• 4.6 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS

• 5.1 By Fuel Type
  • 5.1.1 Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF)
  • 5.1.2 Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF)
  • 5.1.3 Biomass
  • 5.1.4 Waste Plastics
  • 5.1.5 Other Fuel Types
• 5.2 By Raw Material Type
  • 5.2.1 Fly Ash
  • 5.2.2 Blast Furnace Slag
  • 5.2.3 Foundry Sand
  • 5.2.4 Steel Slag
  • 5.2.5 Other Raw Material Types
• 5.3 By Application
  • 5.3.1 Primary Firing
  • 5.3.2 Secondary Firing
  • 5.3.3 Other Applications
• 5.4 By Geography
  • 5.4.1 North America
    • 5.4.1.1 United States
    • 5.4.1.2 Canada
    • 5.4.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.4.2 Europe
    • 5.4.2.1 Germany
    • 5.4.2.2 France
    • 5.4.2.3 Italy
    • 5.4.2.4 Spain
    • 5.4.2.5 United Kingdom
    • 5.4.2.6 Poland
    • 5.4.2.7 Russia
    • 5.4.2.8 Rest of Europe
  • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.3.1 China
    • 5.4.3.2 India
    • 5.4.3.3 Japan
    • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
    • 5.4.3.5 Australia
    • 5.4.3.6 Indonesia
    • 5.4.3.7 Vietnam
    • 5.4.3.8 Thailand
    • 5.4.3.9 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.4.4 South America
    • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
    • 5.4.4.3 Chile
    • 5.4.4.4 Rest of South America
  • 5.4.5 Middle East
    • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.4.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.4.5.3 Egypt
    • 5.4.5.4 South Africa
    • 5.4.5.5 Morocco
    • 5.4.5.6 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share (%)/Ranking Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Andusia Recovered Fuels Limited
  • 6.4.2 Averda International Limited
  • 6.4.3 BEUMER Group GmbH & Co. KG
  • 6.4.4 Biffa Limited
  • 6.4.5 Blue Phoenix Group B.V.
  • 6.4.6 CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.
  • 6.4.7 DCC Group
  • 6.4.8 Ecoserv
  • 6.4.9 EEW Energy from Waste GmbH
  • 6.4.10 Enva Group Limited
  • 6.4.11 Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.
  • 6.4.12 Geminor AS
  • 6.4.13 Geocycle SA
  • 6.4.14 Heidelberg Materials AG
  • 6.4.15 Indaver NV
  • 6.4.16 Komptech GmbH
  • 6.4.17 PAPREC Group
  • 6.4.18 PreZero International GmbH
  • 6.4.19 Ragn-Sells AB
  • 6.4.20 REMONDIS SE & Co. KG
  • 6.4.21 Renewi plc
  • 6.4.22 SARIA SE & Co. KG
  • 6.4.23 SUEZ S.A.
  • 6.4.24 Veolia Environnement S.A.
  • 6.4.25 Vicat SA
  • 6.4.26 Viridor Limited

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment