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Decarbonization Means Drastic Changes for the Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Value Chain

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LSH 24.01.31

Moving away from the internal combustion engine (ICE) is the biggest change that the truck manufacturing industry will likely ever experience. More so than mass production or regulation, decarbonization takes an established and mature industry and turns it on its head. These changes will reverberate along the entire industry value chain.

This report assesses the impact of decarbonization and electrification on the

medium and heavy duty (MHD) truck value chain for three specific stakeholder groups-OEMs, truck fleets, and dealers-and considers the viability of the current industry business model moving forward.

Table of Contents

Spark

Context

Recommendation

Decarbonizing and Electrifying the MHD Trucking Industry Will Create Significant Revenue Shortfalls

OEMs Will See Substantial Reductions in Aftermarket Revenues

Truck Fleets Will Save on Costs but Lose Fuel Surcharge Revenues

Dealers Will Be the Hardest Hit by Aftermarket Revenue Losses

A Coherent Plan for the Transition to Electrification Is a Strategic Priority for the MHD Trucking Industry

OEMs May Have to Offer Support to the Network in the Medium Term

OEMs May Need to Consider Taking Distribution In-House

The Trucking Industry Needs a New Business Model

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