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The Future of Personal ID to 2029

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KSA 24.10.14

Features:

  • The global market for personal IDs is valued at $10.31 billion in 2024, having grown by 2.0% CAGR since 2019
  • Demand will continue to grow, with market value reaching $11.60 billion by 2029

The personal ID industry encompasses a wide variety of identity documents, including national ID cards, driving licences, voter ID cards, health cards, and birth certificates; and international travel documents such as passports and visas. The personal ID industry is driven by the need to continue to improve the security of these documents to make them less susceptible to counterfeiting activity, with national and regional initiatives to standardise formats of key types of personal ID to ensure that they embrace enhanced security measures.

Initiatives around digital IDs, along with the potential and challenges they face, are discussed in detail in this report; including the European Union's eIDAS Regulation. The continuing growth of digital IDs is inevitable over the next five years; however, they will complement, rather than replace, physical documents.

Key Questions:

  • What new and emerging technologies are impacting the personal ID market?
  • What are the key drivers of demand for passports and secure documents?
  • Who are the key players in the personal ID industry and how will the competitive landscape change over the next five years?
  • How regulations will affect this market - specifically the EU's eIDAS Regulation
  • How can organisations tackle the ongoing challenge of data security and privacy issues?

This report benefits:

  • Suppliers of security components, inks and substrates
  • High security printers
  • Consumables, equipment and machinery suppliers

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and methodology

  • Introduction
  • Report scope
  • Report objectives
  • Methodology
  • Data

Key drivers and trends

  • Introduction
  • Global trends
    • Economic trends
    • Geopolitical trends
    • Global population trends
  • Digital personal IDs
  • Multipurpose IDs
  • Immigration trends
  • Automation of borders
  • Identity theft
  • Digital onboarding
  • Sustainability drivers
  • Personal ID retail trends
    • e-Commerce
    • Instore retail
    • Disadvantages and risks of facial recognition

Digital IDs and the impact on physical personal ID documents

  • Introduction
  • Digital government-issued IDs
    • Countries with governmentissued digital ID systems
  • Digital wallets
    • Digital wallets in the European Union
  • Self-Sovereign Identity (SSI)
  • Challenges of digital ID
    • Additional challenges for digital wallets
  • Impact of digital identities on the personal ID market

Regulatory landscape

  • Introduction
  • National ID legislation
    • European Union
  • eIDAS
  • eIDAS and the UK
  • Other parts of the world
    • USA - REAL ID
  • STORK project
  • FIDO alliance
  • ICAO
  • ISO/IEC
  • Legislation of migration and travel
    • Europe
    • iUSA
  • Data privacy regulations
    • Europe
    • USA
    • Others
      • Brazil
      • Canada
      • China
      • India
      • Japan
      • South Africa
  • Regulatory working groups

Cutting-edge technologies

  • Overview
  • Physical document technologies
    • Holography
    • Polymers
  • Digital identities
    • Web 3.0
    • iBlockchain
      • Non-fungible tokens
    • The metaverse
  • Authentication technologies
    • Optical machine authentication
    • Biometric authentication
      • Trends in biometric authentication
      • Challenges for biometric authentication
    • Other authentication technologies

Consumable materials and processes

  • Overview
  • Substrates
    • Security papers
    • Polymeric materials
      • Polycarbonate
      • PVC
      • Composites
      • Teslin
      • Other synthetic materials
    • Security laminates and overlays
  • Security inks
  • DOVIDs
  • Machine-readable features
    • Biometrics
    • Fingerprint
    • Iris recognition
    • Facial recognition
    • Voice recognition
    • Behavioural recognition
  • Personalisation

Personal ID market by enduse

  • Overview
  • Passports
    • Machine-readable passports
    • e-Passports
  • Identity cards
  • National ID (NID) cards
  • Military ID cards
  • Non-governmental ID cards
    • Traditional ID cards
    • e-ID cards
  • Driving licences
    • Traditional driving licences
    • e-Driving licence
    • Mobile driving licences
  • Visas
    • Traditional visas
    • e-Visas
  • Health cards
  • Voter ID
  • Birth certificates

Personal ID by geography

  • Overview
  • Western Europe
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Eastern Europe
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • North America
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Latin America
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Asia
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Middle East
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Africa
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences
  • Australasia
    • Passports and visas
    • National ID
    • Driving licences

Tables

  • Security printing for personal ID by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Substrates: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Substrates: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Security inks: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Security inks: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • DOVIDs: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • DOVIDs: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Machine-readable features: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Machine-readable features: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Biometrics: Personal ID market by end use-sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Biometrics: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Personalisation print: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Personalisation print: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Security printing for personal ID by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • The world's most and least powerful passports
  • Passports: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Passports: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • National ID cards: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • National ID cards: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Driving licences: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Driving licences: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Visas: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Visas: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Health cards: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Health cards: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Electoral registration systems: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Electoral registration systems: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Birth certificates: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Birth certificates: Personal ID market by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Security printing for personal ID by region ($ million), 2019-29
  • Western Europe: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Western Europe: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Eastern Europe: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Eastern Europe: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • North America: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • North America: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • South/Central America: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • South/Central America: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Asia: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Asia: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Middle East: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Middle East: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Africa: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Africa: Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29
  • Australasia: Personal ID market by technology ($ million), 2019-29
  • Personal ID market by end-use sector ($ million), 2019-29

Figures

  • Economic growth in selected countries/ regions (%)
  • Migrants as a share of total population by region (%)
  • Airport procedures requiring improved queue management (% of respondents)
  • In-store facial recognition technology solution
  • Thales Group: Gemalto Color Laser Shield
  • Presence of data protection legislation by region (%)
  • Evolution of the internet since the early 1990s
  • IDEMIA: OneLook multi-biometric ID verification solution
  • Global prevalence of compulsory voting (%)
  • Prevalence of birth registrations for children under 5 by region (%)
  • Users of e-government services in selected Western European countries (% of internet users)
  • Vehicle ownership in selected Western European countries (cars per 1,000 inhabitants)
  • Users of e-government services in selected Eastern European countries (% of internet users)
  • Vehicle ownership in selected Eastern European countries (cars per 1,000 inhabitants)
  • Percentage of Africans requiring a visa to travel within the region (%)
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