세계의 에틸렌 시장, 수요 분석, 지역별, 용도별, 예측(-2034년)

Ethylene is a colorless, flammable gas and the simplest alkene, playing a crucial role in the global chemical industry. It serves as a fundamental building block for a wide array of chemicals and plastics, including polyethylene, ethylene glycol, vinyl acetate and ethylene oxide. Ethylene is primarily produced through the cracking of hydrocarbons such as natural gas, naphtha, and ethane.

The market for ethylene is strongly influenced by the demand for its derivatives, particularly polyethylene, which finds extensive use in packaging, automotive components, construction materials, agrochemicals, and textiles. The rising global working population fuels the need for packaged food and beverages, directly boosting the polyethylene market and consequently the ethylene market.

Ethylene Demand Analysis

The packaging sector dominates ethylene consumption, accounting for over half of the total demand. Polyethylene's lightweight and high compression strength make it the preferred material in packaging applications. Innovations in production processes and the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources are estimated to improve ethylene manufacturing efficiency and reduce costs, further driving market growth in the coming years.

Regional Analysis

Asia-Pacific holds dominates global ethylene market, on the back of high-growth economies such as China, India, Taiwan, and Thailand. The region is forecasted to remain the most attractive market globally due to expanding industrialization and urbanization.

Capacity and Industry Developments

Major chemical players are expanding ethylene production capacity to meet growing demand:

• ExxonMobil plans a new ethylene unit at Baytown, Texas (operational from 2023).
• Chevron Phillips Chemical is building an ethylene plant in Texas, targeting 2024 operation.
• SABIC is constructing a new ethylene facility in China, estimated to start in 2023.

In addition to conventional production, companies are increasingly focusing on bio-based and greener ethylene sources:

• SCGC and Braskem are collaborating to produce bio-based ethylene derived from sugarcane, enabling fully recyclable polyethylene with reduced greenhouse gas emissions.
• TotalEnergies plans a green hydrogen plant at La Mede refinery, France, to power ethylene production.
• INEOS is developing renewable energy-powered ethylene processes with potential greenhouse gas reductions of up to 70%.

Environmental and Regulatory Challenges

Ethylene production raises environmental concerns, including greenhouse gas emissions and safety risks due to its flammability and explosiveness. Regulatory pressures are mounting globally to reduce single-use plastics and promote sustainability:

• China banned plastic bags thinner than 0.025 mm.
• India mandates a shift from 0.04 mm to 0.05 mm thickness for plastic bags to reduce waste.

These regulations present challenges for ethylene producers but also create opportunities for innovation in recyclable and bio-based ethylene products.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

• Scope
• Market Coverage
  • Types
  • Applications
  • Regions
  • Countries
• Years Considered
  • Historical - 2018 - 2023
  • Base - 2024
  • Forecast Period - 2025 - 2034
• Research Methodology
  • Approach
  • Research Methodology
  • Prismane Consulting Market Models
  • Assumptions & Limitations
  • Abbreviations & Definitions
  • Conversion Factors
  • Data Sources

2. Market Synopsis

• Market Evolution
• Demand-Supply Overview
• Industry Structure
• Strategic Issues
• End-use Trends
• Growth Forecast

3. Economic & Energy Outlook

• GDP and Demographics
• Monetary & Fiscal Policies
• Crude Oil Production and prices
• Natural Gas
• Electricity Prices

4. End-use Sector Performance

• Packaging
• Automotive
• Construction
• Agrochemical
• Textile
• Others

5. Capacity (Plants & Projects) Analysis

• Capacity, by Company
• Capacity, by Country and by Region
• Capacity Overview, By Region and Country

6. Introduction to Ethylene and Market Overview

• Product Description
• Grades & Properties
• Raw Material
• Manufacturing Process
• Environmental Issues
• Value Chain
• Applications

7. Market Dynamics and Industry Trends

• Market Dynamics
  • Drivers
  • Restraints
  • Opportunities
  • Challenges

8. Global Ethylene Demand-Supply Analysis, By Types, By Applications (Volume, Value) (2018 - 2034)

• Strategic Issues
• Demand-Supply Analysis and Forecast (2018 - 2034)
  • Capacity
  • Capacity Utilization (%)
  • Production
  • Imports
  • Exports
  • Net Exports
  • Demand
  • Demand Growth Rate (%)
  • Driving Force Analysis
  • Global Ethylene Market, By Types
• Polyethylene
• Ethylene oxide
• Ethylbenzene
• Ethylene dichloride
  • Global Ethylene Market, By Applications
• Packaging
• Automotive
• Construction
• Agrochemical
• Textile
• Others

9. Demand-Supply Analysis and Market Review, By Region, By Country (Volume, Value), (2018 - 2034)

• Strategic Issues
• Capacity
• Capacity Utilization (%)
• Production
• Imports
• Exports
• Net Exports
• Demand
• Demand Growth Rate (%)
• Ethylene Market, By Types
• Ethylene Market, By Applications

Note: Demand-Supply Analysis has been provided for all major Regions / Countries as mentioned below. The demand (consumption) split by types and by applications has been provided for each of the countries / regions in Volume (Kilo tons) and Value (USD Million).

• North America
• USA
• Canada
• Mexico
• Western Europe
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• United Kingdom
• Spain
• Rest of Western Europe
• Central & Eastern Europe
• Russia
• Poland
• Rest of Central & Eastern Europe
• Asia-Pacific
• China
• Japan
• India
• South Korea
• Rest of Asia-Pacific
• Central & South America
• Middle East & Africa

Note: CAGR will be calculated for all types and applications to arrive at the regional / global Demand-Supply growth for the forecast period (2025 - 2034)

10. Pricing Analysis

• Average Ethylene Prices, USD/Kg
• Average prices, by region
• Price Forecast

11. Key Strategic Issues

12. Business Opportunity Assessment

• Market Attractiveness Assessment
• Prospective & Target Market Study

13. Strategic Recommendation & Suggestions

14. Company Analysis

• Ethylene Manufacturers Profiles/ Company Analysis
  • Basic Details
  • Headquarter, Key Markets
  • Ownership
  • Company Financial
  • Manufacturing Bases
  • Global Turnover
  • Total Employee
  • Product Portfolio / Services / Solutions
  • Key Business Strategies adopted and Prismane Consulting Overview
  • Recent Developments
  • Companies Covered -
• ExxonMobil Chemical
• SABIC
• Braskem Group
• LyondellBasell
• Royal Dutch Shell Plc
• Total SA
• Chevron Phillips Chemical Company
• Ineos
• Huntsman
• Other Manufacturers

Note: This section includes company information, company financials, manufacturing bases and operating regions. Company financials have been mentioned only for those companies where financials were available in SEC Filings, annual reports, or company websites. All the reported financials in this report are in U.S. Dollars. Financials reported in other currencies have been converted using average currency conversion rates. Company profiles may include manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors.

15. Appendices

• Demand-Supply - Regions
• Demand-Supply - Countries
• Capacities, 2018-2034