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¼¼°èÀÇ ÅºÈ¼ö¼Ò ½ÃÀå ¿¹Ãø : À¯Çüº°, °ø±Þ¿øº°, ¿ëµµº°, Áö¿ªº° ºÐ¼®(-2030³â)Hydrocarbon Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Aliphatic Hydrocarbons, Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Other Types), Source, Application and By Geography |
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Hydrocarbon Market is accounted for $438.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $628.6 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.2% during the forecast period. Hydrocarbons are organic compounds made up of hydrogen and carbon atoms, essential in the energy sector as primary components of fossil fuels like crude oil, natural gas, and coal. They can be aliphatic or aromatic, with aliphatic hydrocarbons being alkanes, alkenes, and alkynes, and aromatic hydrocarbons having aromatic rings. Hydrocarbons can exist in gaseous, liquid, or solid states at room temperature, depending on their molecular structure and size. These hydrocarbons are used in energy production and manufacturing products like plastics and solvents.
According to Oxford Economics, it is estimated that the global construction industry output increase by 85% to reach US$ 15.5 Tn by 2030, with the three major countries -the U.S., China, and India.
Increasing global energy demand
Hydrocarbons are crucial in sectors like transportation, manufacturing, and power generation. The increasing demand for petrochemical products from hydrocarbons, essential in construction, electronics, and automotive, further expands the scope of hydrocarbon applications. This growth in energy demand attracts investments in the hydrocarbon sector, leading to the development of new fields and technological innovations improving extraction and production efficiency.
Environmental concerns
Stricter laws are being put in place by governments all over the world to lower carbon emissions from hydrocarbons. These laws include restrictions on extraction, carbon taxes, and the promotion of greener energy sources limiting their ability to expand. Further, environmental concerns have raised public scrutiny of hydrocarbon corporations, which could lead to social license difficulties and pushback from stakeholders and communities, making project approvals and expansions more difficult.
Innovations in extraction and production technologies
Advances in technology such as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have greatly increased the efficiency of hydrocarbon extraction, making it possible to recover previously unreachable oil and gas deposits, particularly in shale formations. As a result, shale oil and gas production has surged in nations like the US due to higher output levels and reduced operating costs boosting the global market presence.
Competition from renewables
The demand for fossil fuels is expected to decrease as nations switch to cleaner energy sources like hydropower, wind, and solar, according to the International Energy Agency. This change, which is motivated by climate goals, is anticipated to have an effect on the market share of hydrocarbons, especially in the transportation and power generating industries where renewable energy sources are being utilized more and more hampering the market growth.
The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted the hydrocarbon market, leading to a dramatic decline in global demand due to lockdowns and reduced economic activity. Production cuts were implemented by major oil-producing nations to stabilize prices, while investments in new projects slowed significantly. As economies gradually reopened, demand began to recover, but the shift towards renewable energy sources and increased regulatory scrutiny of fossil fuels raised long-term concerns for the hydrocarbon sector.
The aliphatic hydrocarbons segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The aliphatic hydrocarbons segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period because in many different sectors, aliphatic hydrocarbons are essential raw materials. They are mostly employed in the production of chemical intermediates, lubricants, and solvents. In addition their adaptability fuels substantial demand in industries like construction, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, hence reinforcing their significance in the hydrocarbon industry.
The liquefied petroleum gas segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The liquefied petroleum gas segment is projected to witness substantial growth during the projection period as it is a versatile energy source used in various sectors, including residential heating, cooking, industrial processes, and transportation. It's also a key feedstock for petrochemicals, enhancing its importance in the hydrocarbon market. Its lower carbon emissions make it an attractive option for sustainability targets, aligning with global decarbonization efforts thereby encouraging in further market growth.
During the estimation period, the North America region is expected to capture the largest market share owing to technological innovations like horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, the US shale gas sector has greatly expanded the supply of hydrocarbons. As a result, domestic production has increased. Hydrocarbons are essential for heating, power production, and transportation in North America due to the region's expanding population, urbanization, and industrialization.
Over the forecasted timeframe, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to government policies and investments in energy infrastructure and regulatory frameworks are crucial for securing energy supply and promoting exploration and production activities in the region. The increasing demand for petrochemicals in industries like packaging, construction, and healthcare further stimulates hydrocarbon demand, enhancing market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Hydrocarbon Market include Celanese Corporation, Chevron Corporation, China Petrochemical Corporation, Dow, DuPont, Eastman Chemical Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Indian Oil Corporation Ltd., Lesco Chemical Limited, LyondellBasell Industries Holdings B.V, Recochem Corporation, Reliance Industries Limited., Royal Dutch Shell, Saudi Arabian Oil Co and TotalEnergies.
In April 2024, Celanese Corporation announced several strategic milestones at its Clear Lake, Texas, and Nanjing, China, plants to enhance the competitive cost position, sustainable footprint and operational flexibility of the Acetyl Chain (AC) business and allow it to meet future demand growth.
In October 2024, DuPont announced the successful completion of a significant expansion for photoresist manufacturing capacity at the DuPont Sasakami Site in Agano-shi, Niigata, Japan. The project was celebrated with a traditional Japanese Tamagushi Houten Ceremony, symbolizing wishes for continued success, prosperity and peace.
In October 2024, Exxon Mobil Corporation has executed the largest offshore carbon dioxide (CO2) storage lease in the U.S. with the Texas General Land Office (GLO). The over 271,000-acre site complements the onshore CO2 storage portfolio ExxonMobil is developing, and further solidifies the U.S. Gulf Coast as a carbon capture and storage (CCS) leader.