자율주행 바이크 시장 예측(-2030년) : 유형별, 자율주행 레벨별, 배터리 유형별, 기술별, 용도별, 최종사용자별, 지역별 세계 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Bike Market is accounted for $1.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $8.2 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 32.9% during the forecast period. An autonomous bike, also known as a self-driving or robotic bicycle, is equipped with various sensors like cameras, LiDAR, radar, and ultrasonic sensors, which allow it to perceive the environment and navigate safely. Advanced AI and machine learning algorithms process this data to make real-time decisions for path planning, obstacle avoidance, and speed control. Actuators manage the bike's steering, pedaling, and braking, while connectivity features like GPS and wireless communication enable route planning and interaction with traffic infrastructure.

According to data publicized by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), a total of 6,756,000 police-reported motor vehicle traffic crashes were recorded in 2019.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Increasing urban congestion and last-mile connectivity needs

There is an increasing need for efficient transportation alternatives to alleviate traffic woes as cities become more crowded. Autonomous bikes offer a promising solution by providing a seamless and eco-friendly option for short-distance travel. Additionally, the integration of autonomous technology enhances the user experience, making these bikes an attractive choice for urban commuters. The growing interest in smart city initiatives further amplifies the demand for autonomous bikes as they align with the goals of reducing carbon emissions and improving urban mobility.

Restraint:

High development & production costs

The advanced technologies required for autonomy, including sensors and artificial intelligence, drive up the manufacturing expenses. Additionally, the costs associated with research and development for ensuring safety and reliability add to the financial burden. These high costs can make autonomous bikes less accessible to a broader audience, limiting their market penetration. Thus, despite the promising potential, the high development and production costs of autonomous bikes present a significant restraint.

Opportunity:

Rise of autonomous delivery services and bike-sharing platforms

The growing popularity of e-commerce, efficient and timely delivery solutions are in high demand. Autonomous bikes can play a crucial role in enhancing last-mile delivery services by offering a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative. Furthermore, bike-sharing platforms can leverage autonomous bikes to provide users with a convenient and hassle-free riding experience. The integration of autonomous technology in these services can lead to improved operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

Threat:

Limited infrastructure & technical challenges

Successful deployment of autonomous bikes relies heavily on robust infrastructure, including dedicated bike lanes and smart city technologies. Inadequate infrastructure can hinder the smooth operation and safety of these bikes, deterring potential users. Additionally, technical challenges related to navigation, obstacle detection, and battery life need to be addressed to ensure the reliability of autonomous bikes which hampers the growth of the market.

Covid-19 Impact

During the pandemic, the demand for contactless delivery services surged, highlighting the potential of autonomous bikes in ensuring safe and efficient deliveries. However, the pandemic also disrupted supply chains and delayed the development and deployment of autonomous bike technologies. On the brighter side, the increased focus on health and sustainability has driven interest in autonomous bikes as a clean and safe mode of transportation.

The electric bikes segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The electric bikes segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to compelling combination of convenience and efficiency. Electric bikes provide an eco-friendly alternative to traditional transportation modes, aligning with the growing emphasis on sustainability. The advancements in battery technology and the increasing availability of charging infrastructure further support the growth of this segment. As urban areas seek cleaner and more efficient mobility solutions, electric autonomous bikes are poised to lead the market.

The level 5 (full automation) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the level 5 (full automation) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by the desire to achieve maximum safety, efficiency, and user convenience. Technological advancements and rigorous testing are paving the way for the commercialization of level 5 autonomous bikes. As these bikes become more reliable and affordable, their adoption is expected to accelerate, contributing to the segment's robust growth.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to the region's well-developed infrastructure, high technological readiness, and supportive regulatory environment contribute to its dominant position. North America's focus on smart city initiatives and sustainable transportation solutions further drives the adoption of autonomous bikes. With increasing investments in urban mobility solutions, North America is poised to lead the market.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR attributed to the demand for innovative transportation solutions. Governments in the region are actively promoting smart city projects and sustainable mobility, creating a favorable environment for the adoption of autonomous bikes. Additionally, the strong manufacturing capabilities and technological advancements in the region support the development and production of autonomous bikes. As a result, Asia Pacific is set to experience significant growth in this market.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Autonomous Bike market include Flo Mobility Private Limited, BMW Group, Go X Apollo, Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd., Refraction AI, Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., Tortoise, Tesla, Zebra Technologies, BikeHow, Trek Bicycle Components, Waymon and Auro Robotics.

Key Developments:

In February 2025, BMW Group revealed revolutionary electric drive concept with 800V technology for the Neue Klasse. The first Neue Klasse model will go into series production later this year at Plant Debrecen in Hungary.

In February 2025, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. partnered with the United Nations Road Safety Fund (UNRSF) to contribute to global initiatives to reduce fatalities from traffic collisions, including a previously announced commitment of US$3 million over 5 years.

Types Covered:

• Electric Bikes
• Fully Autonomous Bikes
• Hybrid Autonomous Bikes
• Other Types

Level of Autonomies Covered:

• Level 1 (Driver Assistance)
• Level 2 (Partial Automation)
• Level 3 (Conditional Automation)
• Level 4 (High Automation)
• Level 5 (Full Automation)

Battery Types Covered:

• Lithium-Ion Batteries
• Solid-State Batteries
• Swappable Battery Systems
• Other Battery Types

Technologies Covered:

• Sensor Technology
• Artificial Intelligence (AI) & Machine Learning
• Connectivity & IoT
• Other Technologies

Applications Covered:

• Personal Commuting
• E-commerce & Parcel Delivery
• Tourist Services
• Shared Mobility & Bike-Sharing Systems
• Public Transportation Integration
• Workplace & Campus Transportation
• Other Applications

End Users Covered:

• Commuters
• Cycling Enthusiasts
• Commercial
• Public & Shared Mobility
• Governments & Municipalities
• Healthcare Providers
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026, and 2030
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Technology Analysis
• 3.7 Application Analysis
• 3.8 End User Analysis
• 3.9 Emerging Markets
• 3.10 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Type

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Electric Bikes
• 5.3 Fully Autonomous Bikes
• 5.4 Hybrid Autonomous Bikes
• 5.5 Other Types

6 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Level of Autonomy

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Level 1 (Driver Assistance)
• 6.3 Level 2 (Partial Automation)
• 6.4 Level 3 (Conditional Automation)
• 6.5 Level 4 (High Automation)
• 6.6 Level 5 (Full Automation)

7 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Battery Type

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Lithium-Ion Batteries
• 7.3 Solid-State Batteries
• 7.4 Swappable Battery Systems
• 7.5 Other Battery Types

8 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Technology

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Sensor Technology
  • 8.2.1 Lidar
  • 8.2.2 Radar
  • 8.2.3 Cameras
  • 8.2.4 Ultrasonic Sensors
• 8.3 Artificial Intelligence (AI) & Machine Learning
• 8.4 Connectivity & IoT
• 8.5 Other Technologies

9 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Application

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 Personal Commuting
• 9.3 E-commerce & Parcel Delivery
• 9.4 Tourist Services
• 9.5 Shared Mobility & Bike-Sharing Systems
• 9.6 Public Transportation Integration
• 9.7 Workplace & Campus Transportation
• 9.8 Other Applications

10 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By End User

• 10.1 Introduction
• 10.2 Commuters
• 10.3 Cycling Enthusiasts
• 10.4 Commercial
• 10.5 Public & Shared Mobility
• 10.6 Governments & Municipalities
• 10.7 Healthcare Providers
• 10.8 Other End Users

11 Global Autonomous Bike Market, By Geography

• 11.1 Introduction
• 11.2 North America
  • 11.2.1 US
  • 11.2.2 Canada
  • 11.2.3 Mexico
• 11.3 Europe
  • 11.3.1 Germany
  • 11.3.2 UK
  • 11.3.3 Italy
  • 11.3.4 France
  • 11.3.5 Spain
  • 11.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 11.4 Asia Pacific
  • 11.4.1 Japan
  • 11.4.2 China
  • 11.4.3 India
  • 11.4.4 Australia
  • 11.4.5 New Zealand
  • 11.4.6 South Korea
  • 11.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 11.5 South America
  • 11.5.1 Argentina
  • 11.5.2 Brazil
  • 11.5.3 Chile
  • 11.5.4 Rest of South America
• 11.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 11.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 11.6.2 UAE
  • 11.6.3 Qatar
  • 11.6.4 South Africa
  • 11.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

12 Key Developments

• 12.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 12.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 12.3 New Product Launch
• 12.4 Expansions
• 12.5 Other Key Strategies

13 Company Profiling

• 13.1 Flo Mobility Private Limited
• 13.2 BMW Group
• 13.3 Go X Apollo
• 13.4 Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
• 13.5 Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd.
• 13.6 Refraction AI
• 13.7 Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd.
• 13.8 Tortoise
• 13.9 Tesla
• 13.10 Zebra Technologies
• 13.11 BikeHow
• 13.12 Trek Bicycle Components
• 13.13 Waymon
• 13.14 Auro Robotics