세계의 그린 메탄올 시장 예측(-2032년) : 제품별, 재료별, 기술별, 최종사용자별, 지역별 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Green Methanol Market is accounted for $2.98 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $21.25 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 32.4% during the forecast period. A sustainable fuel made from renewable resources including biomass, green hydrogen, and collected carbon dioxide is called "green methanol." Green methanol provides a low-carbon substitute that drastically lowers greenhouse gas emissions in contrast to traditional methanol made from fossil sources. It is employed in many different processes, including as shipping, power generating, transportation, and as a feedstock for chemicals. It facilitates the shift to a circular and decarbonised economy because it burns cleanly. It is an essential part of international efforts to fight climate change and lessen environmental impact because its manufacture incorporates renewable energy technologies.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the transportation industry alone was responsible for over one-third of the carbon emissions in 2021; thus, finding an alternate solution is crucial. E-methanol reduces the carbon emission and can be used without making any changes to existing infrastructure.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising demand in maritime & transport

The minimal carbon footprint of green methanol makes it a viable substitute as international limits on naval fuel emissions tighten. It is being adopted by shipping firms more and more in order to meet the IMO 2030 and 2050 emission targets. Green methanol is a cleaner fuel alternative for trucks, buses, and hybrid cars in the transportation industry. The shift is also made easier by its compatibility with current infrastructure. Global market expansion is being accelerated by this increasing use across transportation modes.

Restraint:

High production and capital cost

The necessity for renewable feedstocks like CO2 and green hydrogen, as well as the intricate synthesis process, raise operating costs. Production plant establishment necessitates significant expenditures in carbon capture and electrolysis technologies. Scalability is restricted and new market participants are discouraged by these high upfront expenses. Furthermore, green methanol is more expensive than traditional fuels due to the costly infrastructure. Cost competitiveness thus continues to be a significant obstacle to broad adoption.

Opportunity:

Scale economies & tech innovations

Costs per unit go down as production volumes rise, which promotes wider market acceptance. Technological advancements increase output and sustainability by improving conversion efficiencies in electrolysis, CO2 capture, and biomass. Optimising the process and using advanced catalysts increase yield while consuming less energy. Methanol's green profile is further enhanced by the incorporation of renewable energy sources. When combined, these elements hasten the green methanol market's commercialisation and worldwide growth.

Threat:

Shifting regulatory support or subsidies

Inconsistent policies might interfere with long-term planning and cause delays in project approvals. Reducing or eliminating subsidies raises production costs, which lowers the competitiveness of green methanol relative to alternatives derived from fossil fuels. Changes in regulations may also result in contracts being cancelled or infrastructure construction being stopped. Innovation and adoption by sectors and end users are discouraged by this unpredictability. All things considered, market confidence is weakened and the shift to sustainable fuels is slowed by policy uncertainty.

Covid-19 Impact

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly stalled the green methanol market by disrupting manufacturing and supply chains, delaying plant construction, and reducing demand from core sectors like maritime, transportation, and industrial fuels cf. reports. Investment diversion toward healthcare also deferred funding for renewable energy projects. Although short-term demand waned, companies used the pause to advance pilot and feasibility studies. As lockdowns eased, momentum returned, setting the stage for robust post-pandemic growth.

The building systems segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The building systems segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period by driving demand for sustainable construction materials and energy solutions. Green methanol serves as a clean-burning fuel and feedstock for producing eco-friendly insulation, adhesives, and coatings. Its low carbon footprint aligns with green building certifications and environmental regulations. Integration of green methanol into HVAC and power systems enhances energy efficiency in buildings. This growing adoption supports the transition toward net-zero emission structures, boosting market growth.

The solar power integration segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the solar power integration segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the renewable energy source for methanol production. It reduces reliance on fossil fuels, thereby minimizing carbon emissions and enhancing the environmental benefits of green methanol. This integration also lowers operational costs over time, making green methanol more economically viable. Technological advancements in solar panels and electrolysis systems further boost production efficiency. As countries push for decarbonization, solar-integrated methanol plants gain traction in the global energy transition.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to increasing demand for low-emission fuels, particularly in the maritime sector seeking to meet decarbonization targets. China leads regional consumption and production with significant capacity expansion plans and supportive government policies promoting sustainable energy. India and Japan are also emerging as key players with new projects. While high production costs, inconsistent feedstock availability, and infrastructural limitations pose challenges, national incentives and advancements in carbon capture and green hydrogen technologies are accelerating adoption, positioning APAC as a dominant force in the global green methanol landscape.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to stringent decarbonization targets and significant investments in renewable energy. The region, particularly the U.S., holds a leading market share, driven by supportive government policies like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which offers tax credits for clean fuel production. Increasing demand from the maritime and chemical sectors, seeking sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, further propels this expansion. While high production costs remain a challenge, ongoing technological advancements in carbon capture and green hydrogen are enhancing viability and fostering a dynamic market landscape.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players profiled in the Green Methanol Market include Carbon Recycling International (CRI), Climeworks, Johnson Matthey plc, thyssenkrupp Uhde GmbH, KBR, Inc., Methanex Corporation, OCI N.V., Enerkem, BASF SE, Proman, SunGas Renewables Inc., ABEL Energy Pty Ltd, Avaada Group, Cepsa, Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company, Carbon Clean Solutions and Veolia.

Key Developments:

In March 2025, BASF and Forestal signed an Early Disclosure Agreement (EDA) to advance e-methanol production using BASF's proprietary OASE(R) blue technology for efficient CO2 removal. This partnership supports Forestal's Triskelion project in Galicia, Spain, which aims to produce 156 metric tons of e-methanol per day by capturing CO2 from turbine exhaust and combining it with renewable hydrogen. BASF will provide technical input for the project's Front End Engineering Design.

In January 2025, CRI signed a major agreement with China's Tianying Group to supply its proprietary CO2-to-methanol technology for one of the world's largest e-methanol plants in Liaoyuan, China. The agreement covers technology licensing, engineering design, proprietary equipment supply, and operational support, marking the third commercial-scale CRI plant in China and the first large-scale deployment of its technology in the country.

In March 2023, CRI completed a feasibility study for a methanol-to-jet (e-SAF) pathway at Iceland's largest planned e-fuel facility (IdunnH2, 300MW). The project aims to produce up to 70,000 tons of sustainable aviation fuel annually from 2029, combining green hydrogen from wind energy with recycled CO2.

Products Covered:

• Exterior Products
• Interior Products
• Building Systems
• Solar Products
• Smart Building Materials
• Other Products

Materials Covered:

• Recycled Materials
• Rapidly Renewable Materials
• Low-emission Materials
• Insulation Materials
• Structural Materials
• Finishing Materials
• Other Materials

Technologies Covered:

• Green Roofs and Walls
• Solar Power Integration
• Smart Energy Management Systems
• Water-efficient Plumbing
• Energy-efficient HVAC
• Smart Lighting Systems
• Building Information Modeling (BIM)
• Other Technologies

End Users Covered:

• Private Sector
• Public Sector
• Mixed Use
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Product Analysis
• 3.7 Technology Analysis
• 3.8 End User Analysis
• 3.9 Emerging Markets
• 3.10 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Green Methanol Market, By Product

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Exterior Products
• 5.3 Interior Products
• 5.4 Building Systems
• 5.5 Solar Products
• 5.6 Smart Building Materials
• 5.7 Other Products

6 Global Green Methanol Market, By Material

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Recycled Materials
• 6.3 Rapidly Renewable Materials
• 6.4 Low-emission Materials
• 6.5 Insulation Materials
• 6.6 Structural Materials
• 6.7 Finishing Materials
• 6.8 Other Materials

7 Global Green Methanol Market, By Technology

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Green Roofs and Walls
• 7.3 Solar Power Integration
• 7.4 Smart Energy Management Systems
• 7.5 Water-efficient Plumbing
• 7.6 Energy-efficient HVAC
• 7.7 Smart Lighting Systems
• 7.8 Building Information Modeling (BIM)
• 7.9 Other Technologies

8 Global Green Methanol Market, By End User

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Private Sector
• 8.3 Public Sector
• 8.4 Mixed Use
• 8.5 Other End Users

9 Global Green Methanol Market, By Geography

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 US
  • 9.2.2 Canada
  • 9.2.3 Mexico
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 Germany
  • 9.3.2 UK
  • 9.3.3 Italy
  • 9.3.4 France
  • 9.3.5 Spain
  • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 Japan
  • 9.4.2 China
  • 9.4.3 India
  • 9.4.4 Australia
  • 9.4.5 New Zealand
  • 9.4.6 South Korea
  • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 9.5 South America
  • 9.5.1 Argentina
  • 9.5.2 Brazil
  • 9.5.3 Chile
  • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
• 9.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.2 UAE
  • 9.6.3 Qatar
  • 9.6.4 South Africa
  • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

• 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 10.3 New Product Launch
• 10.4 Expansions
• 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

• 11.1 Carbon Recycling International (CRI)
• 11.2 Climeworks
• 11.3 Johnson Matthey plc
• 11.4 thyssenkrupp Uhde GmbH
• 11.5 KBR, Inc.
• 11.6 Methanex Corporation
• 11.7 OCI N.V.
• 11.8 Enerkem
• 11.9 BASF SE
• 11.10 Proman
• 11.11 SunGas Renewables Inc.
• 11.12 ABEL Energy Pty Ltd
• 11.13 Avaada Group
• 11.14 Cepsa
• 11.15 Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company
• 11.16 Carbon Clean Solutions
• 11.17 Veolia