세계의 혼농임업용 탄소 상쇄 시장 예측(-2032년) : 유형별, 탄소 상쇄 유형별, 프로젝트 규모별, 인증 기준별, 기술별, 최종 사용자별, 지역별 분석

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market is accounted for $357.03 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $760.17 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 11.4% during the forecast period. Agroforestry carbon offset are the quantifiable reduction of greenhouse gas emissions achieved through integrated land-use practices that combine trees with crops or livestock. These systems enhance carbon sequestration in biomass and soil while promoting biodiversity and sustainable agriculture. Verified offsets generated from agroforestry projects can be traded in carbon markets, offering environmental and economic benefits. This approach supports climate mitigation by capturing atmospheric CO2 and contributes to rural development through improved land productivity and ecosystem resilience.

According to article published in Water, Air, & Soil Pollution, agroforestry systems are practiced globally by more than 1.2 billion people across approximately 1 billion hectares of land, with India contributing around 25.32 million hectares under agroforestry.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Growing demand for credible and verifiable carbon credits

Agroforestry projects not only sequester carbon but also deliver co-benefits such as soil restoration, biodiversity conservation, and sustainable livelihoods for local communities, making them more attractive to investors and corporations seeking robust ESG compliance. As voluntary and compliance carbon markets mature, stakeholders are placing greater emphasis on credits backed by transparent methodologies, third-party verifications, and measurable ecological outcomes. This growing preference for credible, high-integrity carbon credits is expected to be a key driver for the expansion of agroforestry carbon offset markets.

Restraint:

Lack of a uniform and scientifically robust MRV system

Current MRV approaches in agroforestry projects vary widely across geographies, making it difficult to ensure consistency in measuring carbon sequestration benefits and social impacts. Many smallholder-driven projects face difficulties in deploying advanced technologies like satellite monitoring or AI-based carbon modeling due to resource and cost barriers. This heterogeneity not only discourages large-scale institutional investors but also creates uncertainty in pricing, as the perceived quality of offsets differs across regions risks fragmentation and limited investor confidence.

Opportunity:

Scaling up aggregation platforms and digital cooperatives

Aggregation models supported by blockchain technologies, IoT-based monitoring, and mobile-first solutions can help standardize data collection, enhance transparency, and simplify credit verification. Digital cooperatives give farmers easier access to marketplaces, enabling collective bargaining and reducing transaction costs for project validation and certification. Moreover, innovative fintech integrations are beginning to link carbon credits with decentralized finance opportunities, enhancing liquidity and broadening investor participation. These scalable digital ecosystems not only address challenges of project fragmentation but also unlock broader inclusion of rural communities into the carbon economy.

Threat:

Lack of clear land tenure rights, political instability, and inconsistent policy

Political instability and policy shifts further increase uncertainty, as changing regimes may alter carbon taxation, offset recognition frameworks, or incentive mechanisms. These risks discourage long-term financial commitments from investors and disrupt project continuity on the ground. Furthermore, inconsistent national policies in regulating voluntary vs. compliance markets contribute to uncertainty on credit eligibility in global trading platforms. Unless regulatory clarity and governance reforms are introduced, these factors represent a significant threat to the market's stable expansion.

Covid-19 Impact:

The COVID-19 pandemic had a dual impact on the agroforestry carbon offset market. Initially, global lockdowns led to interruptions in project implementation, reduced access to field monitoring, and slowed verification timelines, temporarily disrupting credit generation. On the other hand, the pandemic brought a surge in global awareness of climate resilience and sustainable development as governments and corporations revisited their environmental commitments in recovery strategies. Many corporate buyers increased their focus on voluntary carbon markets as part of broader sustainability frameworks, creating opportunities for agroforestry-led offsets.

The silvopasture segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The silvopasture segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period as this model enhances carbon sequestration capacity while also improving soil fertility, controlling erosion, and providing diversified income streams for farmers. By optimizing land use efficiency and improving livestock productivity, silvopasture systems are increasingly recognized for their dual capacity to generate climate and socioeconomic benefits. Its scalability across different geographies makes it a preferred choice among project developers and investors.

The voluntary carbon offsets segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the voluntary carbon offsets segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by a surge in private sector commitments to carbon neutrality and consumer-driven environmental accountability. Corporations are increasingly supplementing internal emissions reductions with voluntary offsets to achieve ambitious net-zero targets. With corporate ESG disclosure frameworks tightening worldwide, the voluntary segment have become a hotbed for innovation, offering premium-priced, nature-based credits supported by digital traceability tools.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to strong policy support, advanced carbon trading mechanisms, and widespread adoption of sustainable agricultural practices. The United States and Canada have robust frameworks encouraging nature-based offset projects, with companies actively investing in land restoration and afforestation initiatives. Moreover established MRV technologies and access to financing ecosystems makes North America leader in generating reliable offsets.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR rising adoption of agroforestry systems, and heightened climate financing inflows. Countries such as India, Indonesia, and Vietnam are implementing large-scale reforestation and agroforestry programs aligned with their national climate commitments. Growing interest from international offset buyers in Asia Pacific's cost-effective, large-scale sequestration potential is accelerating project development will fuel the region's double-digit growth trajectory throughout the forecast period.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market include Agroforestry Systems Inc., Weyerhaeuser, Green Resources, Rainforest Alliance, EcoPlanet Bamboo, TerraCarbon LLC, ArborGen LLC, BioCarbon Partners, Ecotrust Forest Management, Forest Carbon Works, Wildlife Works Carbon, South Pole Group, Pachama, Carbon Tanzania, Sylvera, Everland, and Finite Carbon.

Key Developments:

In April 2025, EFM announced a new fund launched in partnership with Sojitz to scale climate-smart forestry and carbon solutions in the U.S. (announced as a $200M initiative). It frames the fund as a vehicle to expand climate-smart forest investments, drive conservation outcomes and scale carbon projects.

In April 2025, TerraCarbon announced a scientific collaboration with The Nature Conservancy to improve trust and transparency in REDD+ and carbon markets. The announcement describes a joint research/collaboration program to validate methods, increase transparency and build scientific confidence in REDD+ project approaches.

In March 2025, BioCarbon Partners announced the official launch of the Kafue-Zambezi Community Forest Project (Zambia), described as a major community forest carbon initiative. The release summarized community benefits, conservation aims, and the project's role in channeling carbon revenue to local communities.

Types Covered:

• Silvopasture
• Agrisilviculture
• Agrosilvopastoral Systems
• Riparian Buffer Strips
• Windbreaks & Shelterbelts
• Multistrata Agroforestry
• Other Types

Carbon Offset Types Covered:

• Voluntary Carbon Offsets
• Compliance Carbon Offsets

Project Size & Scales Covered:

• Smallholder Agroforestry Projects
• Community-Based Projects
• Large-Scale Commercial Agroforestry Projects

Certification Standards Covered:

• Verified Carbon Standard (VCS)
• Gold Standard
• Climate, Community & Biodiversity Standards (CCB)
• Other Certification Standards

Technologies Covered:

• Remote Sensing & GIS
• MRV Platforms
• Blockchain & Smart Contracts
• Agroforestry Modeling Tools
• Other Technologies

End Users Covered:

• Corporate Sustainability Programs
• Government Offset Schemes
• NGOs & Conservation Groups
• Carbon Trading Platforms

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

• 2.1 Abstract
• 2.2 Stake Holders
• 2.3 Research Scope
• 2.4 Research Methodology
  • 2.4.1 Data Mining
  • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
  • 2.4.3 Data Validation
  • 2.4.4 Research Approach
• 2.5 Research Sources
  • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
  • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
  • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

• 3.1 Introduction
• 3.2 Drivers
• 3.3 Restraints
• 3.4 Opportunities
• 3.5 Threats
• 3.6 Technology Analysis
• 3.7 End User Analysis
• 3.8 Emerging Markets
• 3.9 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

• 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
• 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
• 4.3 Threat of substitutes
• 4.4 Threat of new entrants
• 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Type

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Silvopasture
• 5.3 Agrisilviculture
• 5.4 Agrosilvopastoral Systems
• 5.5 Riparian Buffer Strips
• 5.6 Windbreaks & Shelterbelts
• 5.7 Multistrata Agroforestry
• 5.8 Other Types

6 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Carbon Offset Type

• 6.1 Introduction
• 6.2 Voluntary Carbon Offsets
• 6.3 Compliance Carbon Offsets

7 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Project Size & Scale

• 7.1 Introduction
• 7.2 Smallholder Agroforestry Projects
• 7.3 Community-Based Projects
• 7.4 Large-Scale Commercial Agroforestry Projects

8 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Certification Standard

• 8.1 Introduction
• 8.2 Verified Carbon Standard (VCS)
• 8.3 Gold Standard
• 8.4 Climate, Community & Biodiversity Standards (CCB)
• 8.5 Other Certification Standards

9 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Technology

• 9.1 Introduction
• 9.2 Remote Sensing & GIS
• 9.3 MRV Platforms
• 9.4 Blockchain & Smart Contracts
• 9.5 Agroforestry Modeling Tools
• 9.6 Other Technologies

10 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By End User

• 10.1 Introduction
• 10.2 Corporate Sustainability Programs
• 10.3 Government Offset Schemes
• 10.4 NGOs & Conservation Groups
• 10.5 Carbon Trading Platforms

11 Global Agroforestry Carbon Offset Market, By Geography

• 11.1 Introduction
• 11.2 North America
  • 11.2.1 US
  • 11.2.2 Canada
  • 11.2.3 Mexico
• 11.3 Europe
  • 11.3.1 Germany
  • 11.3.2 UK
  • 11.3.3 Italy
  • 11.3.4 France
  • 11.3.5 Spain
  • 11.3.6 Rest of Europe
• 11.4 Asia Pacific
  • 11.4.1 Japan
  • 11.4.2 China
  • 11.4.3 India
  • 11.4.4 Australia
  • 11.4.5 New Zealand
  • 11.4.6 South Korea
  • 11.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
• 11.5 South America
  • 11.5.1 Argentina
  • 11.5.2 Brazil
  • 11.5.3 Chile
  • 11.5.4 Rest of South America
• 11.6 Middle East & Africa
  • 11.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 11.6.2 UAE
  • 11.6.3 Qatar
  • 11.6.4 South Africa
  • 11.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

12 Key Developments

• 12.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
• 12.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
• 12.3 New Product Launch
• 12.4 Expansions
• 12.5 Other Key Strategies

13 Company Profiling

• 13.1 Agroforestry Systems Inc.
• 13.2 Weyerhaeuser
• 13.3 Green Resources
• 13.4 Rainforest Alliance
• 13.5 EcoPlanet Bamboo
• 13.6 TerraCarbon LLC
• 13.7 ArborGen LLC
• 13.8 BioCarbon Partners
• 13.9 Ecotrust Forest Management
• 13.10 Forest Carbon Works
• 13.11 Wildlife Works Carbon
• 13.12 South Pole Group
• 13.13 Pachama
• 13.14 Carbon Tanzania
• 13.15 Sylvera
• 13.16 Everland
• 13.17 Finite Carbon