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E-Fuel Market: Current Analysis and Forecast (2023-2030)

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¼¼°èÀÇ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀå ±Ô¸ð´Â ¿¹Ãø ±â°£ µ¿¾È CAGR 57.1%¿¡¼­ °­·ÂÇÏ°Ô ¼ºÀåÇÒ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹ÃøµË´Ï´Ù. ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ¾÷°è´Â Áö³­ 10³â°£ ¾öû³­ ¼ºÀåÀ» ÀÌ·ç°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ÇâÈÄ ¼ö³â°£ ´õ¿í ±Þ¼ÓÇÑ ¼ºÀåÀÌ ¿¹»óµÊ¿¡ µû¶ó ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀå µµÀÔÀÌ Áõ°¡Çϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)Àº ±âÁ¸ÀÇ È­¼®¿¬·á¸¦ ´ëüÇÏ´Â º¸´Ù Áö¼Ó°¡´ÉÇϰí ȯ°æÄ£È­ÀûÀÎ ¿¬·áÀ̱⠶§¹®¿¡ ÀÚµ¿Â÷, È­ÇÐ, Ç×°ø µîÀÇ ÃÖÁ¾»ç¿ëÀÚ ¾÷°è°¡ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)ÀÇ ÁÖ¿ä ¼ÒºñÀÚ°¡ µÇ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.

¼¼°èÀÇ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀåÀº Áö¼Ó°¡´ÉÇÑ ¿î¼Û¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¼ö¿ä Áõ°¡, ±â¼ú Áøº¸, ûÁ¤ ¿¡³ÊÁö ÅõÀÚ Áõ°¡, ¿¡³ÊÁö ¾Èº¸ ¹è·Á µî ¸î °¡Áö Áß¿äÇÑ ¿äÀο¡ ÀÇÇØ °ßÀεǰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. Áö¼Ó°¡´ÉÇÑ ¿î¼Û¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÁÖ¸ñÀÌ ³ô¾ÆÁö°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)Àº ¿î¼ÛÀ̳ª Ç×°ø°ú °°Àº Àü±â°¡ ¾î·Á¿î ºÐ¾ß¸¦ Żź¼ÒÈ­ÇÏ´Â ¹æ¹ýÀ¸·Î ÁÖ¸ñ¹Þ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ½ÃÀåÀº ¾ÆÁ÷ Ãʱ⠴ܰ迡 ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)À» ¼Ò·® »ý»êÇÏ´Â °øÀåÀº ¸î ±ºµ¥¹Û¿¡ ¼³¸³µÇÁö ¾Ê¾Ò½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·¯³ª ´Ù¾çÇÑ ±â¾÷°ú Á¤ºÎ Á¶Á÷ÀÇ ±Þ¼ÓÇÑ ÅõÀÚ°¡ ÀÌ Æ´»õ ½ÃÀåÀ» Å©°Ô µÞ¹ÞħÇϰí ÀÖÀ¸¸ç ¿¹Ãø ±â°£ µ¿¾È °¡Àå ºü¸£°Ô ¼ºÀåÇÏ´Â Áö¼Ó°¡´ÉÇÑ ¿¡³ÊÁö ½ÃÀå Áß Çϳª°¡ µÇ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.

ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀåÀº ¿¬·á À¯Çüº°·Î ¾Ï¸ð´Ï¾Æ, ÇÕ¼º ¿¬·á, ¸Þź¿Ã µîÀ¸·Î ³ª´¹´Ï´Ù. ÇÕ¼º ¿¬·á ºÎ¹®Àº ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀå¿¡¼­ ´ëºÎºÐÀÇ Á¡À¯À²À» ȹµæÇϰí ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ¿¹Ãø±â°£ µ¿¾È Å« ¼ºÀå·üÀ» º¸ÀÏ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµË´Ï´Ù. ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ÇÁ·ÎÁ§Æ®ÀÇ ´ëºÎºÐÀÇ ¼ºÀå·üÀº ¾Ï¸ð´Ï¾ÆÀ̸ç, ÀüÇØ¼ö¼Ò¸¦ ÀÌ¿ëÇÑ ¼ö¼Ò°è Á¦Ç° »ý»êÀÇ ÁÖ¿ä ¿øµ¿·ÂÀº ¿¬·á·Î¼­ÀÇ ÀáÀçÀû ¿ëµµ°¡ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó ¾Ï¸ð´Ï¾ÆÀÇ »ê¾÷¿ëµµ¿¡¼­ ³ª¿É´Ï´Ù. ºñ·á »ê¾÷Àº ¾Ï¸ð´Ï¾Æ°¡ »ç¿ëµÇ´Â °¡Àå Å« ¿ëµµ Áß ÇϳªÀÔ´Ï´Ù. e-¾Ï¸ð´Ï¾Æ »ý»êÀ» ¸ñÇ¥·Î ÇÏ´Â ÇÁ·ÎÁ§Æ®ÀÇ »ý»ê ´É·ÂÀÇ ¾à 1/4Àº ƯÈ÷ ºñ·á »ê¾÷¿¡¼­ÀÇ »ç¿ëÀ» ¸ñÇ¥·Î Çϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.

½ÅÀç»ý ¿¡³ÊÁö¿øÀ» ¹ÙÅÁÀ¸·Î ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀåÀº ž籤 ¹ßÀü, dz·Â ¹ßÀü, ÇÏÀ̺긮µå ¹ßÀüÀ¸·Î ³ª´¹´Ï´Ù. ÇÏÀ̺긮µå ºÎ¹®Àº ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀåÀÇ ´ëºÎºÐÀ» Â÷ÁöÇϰí ÀÖÀ¸¸ç ¿¹Ãø ±â°£ µ¿¾È »ó´çÇÑ ¼ºÀå·üÀ» º¸ÀÏ °ÍÀ¸·Î ¿¹»óµË´Ï´Ù. ž籤 ¹ßÀüÀº dz·Â ¹ßÀü¿¡ ºñÇØ º¸´Ù ¸¹Àº Áö¿ª¿¡¼­ µµÀÔ °¡´ÉÇÏ¸ç ½ÅÀç»ý ¿¡³ÊÁö Áß °¡Àå ºñ¿ë È¿À²ÀûÀÎ ¹æ¹ýÀÇ ÇϳªÀ̱⠶§¹®¿¡ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ºÐ¾ßÀÇ ¼ºÀåÀ» Áö¹èÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ¼¼°è °¢±¹ÀÇ Á¤ºÎ´Â °¢ Áö¿ª¿¡¼­ ž翡³ÊÁö¸¦ ÃËÁøÇϱâ À§ÇØ ´Ù¾çÇÑ Á¤Ã¥°ú ÀÌ´Ï¼ÅÆ¼ºê¸¦ µµÀÔÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. IEA¿¡ µû¸£¸é ž籤 ¹ßÀüÀÇ ¼³ºñ ¿ë·®Àº 2027³â±îÁö ¼®ÅºÀ» ³Ñ¾î ¼¼°è ÃÖ´ë°¡ µÉ Àü¸ÁÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ÇöÀç »óǰ °¡°Ý »ó½ÂÀ¸·Î ÅõÀÚ ºñ¿ëÀÌ »ó½ÂÇϰí ÀÖÀ½¿¡µµ ºÒ±¸ÇÏ°í ¼¼°è ´ëºÎºÐÀÇ ±¹°¡¿¡¼­´Â ½Å±Ô ¹ßÀüÀÇ ¼±ÅÃÀ¸·Î¼­ ½Ç¿ë ±Ô¸ðÀÇ Å¾籤 ¹ßÀüÀÌ °¡Àå Àú·ÅÇÑ ºñ¿ëÀÇ ¼±ÅÃÀÌ µÇ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.

ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ¾÷°è ½ÃÀå µµÀÔ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÀÌÇØ¸¦ ³ôÀ̱â À§ÇØ ½ÃÀåÀº ¾Æ¸Þ¸®Ä«(¹Ì±¹, ºê¶óÁú, ±âŸ ¾Æ¸Þ¸®Ä« Áö¿ª), À¯·´(µ¶ÀÏ, ½ºÆäÀÎ, ¿µ±¹, ±âŸ À¯·´), ¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç(Áß±¹, Àεµ, ±âŸ ¾Æ½Ã¾ÆÅÂÆò¾ç) ¹× ±âŸ Áö¿ª¿¡¼­ ¼¼°èÀÇ Á¸À縦 ±â¹ÝÀ¸·Î ºÐ¼®µË´Ï´Ù. À¯·´Àº ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀå¿¡¼­ ´ëºÎºÐ ½ÃÀå Á¡À¯À²À» ¾ò°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç ¿¹Ãø ±â°£ µ¿¾È ¿µÇâ·Â ÀÖ´Â CAGRÀ» ³ªÅ¸³¾ °ÍÀ¸·Î ±â´ëµË´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ ¼ºÀåÀº ·¯½Ã¾Æ, µ¶ÀÏ, ½ºÆäÀÎ, ½º¿þµ§, ³ë¸£¿þÀÌ, Çɶõµå, µ§¸¶Å©, ¾ÆÀ̽½¶õµå, ¿À½ºÆ®¸®¾Æ, ½ºÀ§½º¿¡¼­ÀÇ Ã»Á¤ ¿¡³ÊÁö, ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)ÀÇ º¸±Þ, ÇâÈÄ Ç÷£Æ® °Ç¼³À» À§ÇÑ ÀÚ±Ý Áõ°¡·Î ÀÎÇÑ °ÍÀÔ´Ï´Ù. µ¶ÀÏÀº ´Ù¾çÇÑ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) °øÀå°ú ½ÅÀç»ý ¿¡³ÊÁö ºÐ¾ß¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ´ë±Ô¸ð ÅõÀÚ·Î ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ½ÃÀå¿¡¼­ Å« Á¡À¯À²À» ¾ò°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ Áö¿ªÀº Norsk ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) µî ´Ù¾çÇÑ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) ±â¾÷ÀÇ º»»çÀ̱⵵ ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Norsk ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel)Àº ¼¼°è ÃÖ´ëÀÇ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) Á¦Á¶¾÷ü·Î 2030³â±îÁö 2¾ï 5,000¸¸ ¸®ÅÍÀÇ ÀÌÇ»¾ó(E-Fuel) »ý»êÀ» ¸ñÇ¥·Î Çϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ È¸»ç´Â ³ë¸£¿þÀÌ¿¡ º»»ç¸¦ µÎ°í Ç×°ø »ê¾÷À» ´ë»óÀ¸·Î ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ È¸»ç´Â ³ë¸£¿þÀÌÀÇ Vefsn ÁöÀÚü Mosjoen/Nesbruket¿¡ ¿¬°£ 5,000¸¸ ¸®ÅÍÀÇ »ý»ê ´É·ÂÀ» °¡Áø Alpha °øÀåÀÇ °Ç¼³À» °èȹÇϰí ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, 2026³â±îÁö ¿ÏÀü »ý»êÀ» °³½ÃÇÑ´Ù°í ÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

ÀÌ ½ÃÀå¿¡ ÁøÀÔÇÏ´Â ÁÖ¿ä ±â¾÷À¸·Î´Â Norsk E-Fuel, Sunfire GmbH, Siemens Energy, Advanced Chemical Technologies, BASF SE, Carbon Recycling International, Enerkem, Fraunhofer, OCI NV, Uniper SE µîÀÌ ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.

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  • Norsk E-Fuel
  • Sunfire GmbH
  • Siemens Energy
  • Advanced Chemical Technologies
  • BASF SE
  • Carbon Recycling International
  • Enerkem
  • Fraunhofer
  • OCI NV
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AJY 24.02.28

E-fuels, also known as electrofuels, are synthetic fuels produced from renewable energy sources, such as solar or wind power, using a process called power-to-liquid (PtL). They can be in the form of gas or liquid and include e-Synfuel, e-kerosene, and e-methanol. E-fuels are considered a carbon-neutral alternative to traditional fossil fuels because the carbon dioxide emitted during their combustion is balanced by the carbon captured during their production. They can be used in existing internal combustion engines without the need for modifications, making them a potential substitute for petrol or diesel in the transportation sector. They can be blended with conventional fuels in any ratio and can be used climate-neutrally worldwide.

The E-Fuel Market is expected to grow at a strong CAGR of 57.1 % during the forecast. The E-Fuel industry experienced tremendous growth in the past decade and is further anticipated to grow rapidly in upcoming years has led to the increasing adoption of E-Fuel in the market. End-user industries such as automotive, chemical, aviation, and others are becoming the major consumers of E-fuels, as it is a more sustainable and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional fossil fuels.

The global E-fuel market is driven by several key factors, including the Rising Demand for Sustainable Transportation, Technological Advancements Increased Investments in clean energy, and Energy Security Considerations. There is an increased focus on sustainable transportation, and e-fuels are seen as a way to decarbonize hard-to-electrify sectors such as transportation and aviation. The market is still in its early stages and only a few plants have been set up which produce e-fuel in small quantities. However, the rapid investments by various companies and government organizations have given a substantial boost to the niche market making it one of the fastest-growing sustainable energy markets during the forecast period.

Based on Fuel Type, the E-Fuel Market is divided into Ammonia, Synfuel, methanol and Others. The Synfuel segment acquired a majority share in the E-Fuel Market and is expected to showcase a substantial growth rate during the forecast period. The majority growth rate of E-fuel projects is for ammonia as the main driver for the production of hydrogen-based products using electrolytic hydrogen is coming from ammonia's industrial applications instead of its potential use as a fuel. The fertilizer industry is one of the biggest applications where this ammonia is utilized. Around one-quarter of the capacity of projects aiming to produce e-ammonia specifically target its use in the fertilizer industry..

Based on Renewable Sources, the E-Fuel Market is divided into Solar PV, Wind, and Hybrid. The Hybrid segment acquired a majority share in the E-Fuel Market and is expected to showcase a substantial growth rate during the forecast period. Solar PV dominated the growth in the E-fuel sector as it can be deployed in more areas as compared to wind power and is one of the most cost-effective ways to make renewable energy. Governments worldwide have introduced various policies and initiatives to promote solar energy in their region. According to IEA, Solar PV's installed power capacity is poised to surpass that of coal by 2027, becoming the largest in the world. Despite current higher investment costs due to elevated commodity prices, utility-scale solar PV is the least costly option for new electricity generation in a significant majority of countries worldwide.

For a better understanding of the market adoption of the E-Fuel industry, the market is analyzed based on its worldwide presence in countries such as North & South America (U.S.A., Brazil, Rest of North & South America), Europe (Germany, Spain, United Kingdom, and Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, India, and Rest of Asia-Pacific), Rest of World. Europe acquired the majority market share in the E-Fuel Market and is expected to witness an influential CAGR in the forecasted period. The growth is due to the increasing funds in clean energy, the promotion of E-fuel and upcoming plants in Russia, Germany, Spain, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Austria and Switzerland. Germany Acquired a significant share in the E-fuel market on account of various E-fuel plants as well as huge investments in the renewable energy sector. The region is also the headquarters of various E-fuel companies such as Norsk E-Fuel. Norsk E-Fuel is one of the biggest E-fuel manufacturers in the world and aims to produce 250 million litres of E-fuel operational by 2030. Their target base is the aviation industry and the company is situated in Norway. The company is planning to build Alpha Plant in Mosjøen/Nesbruket, Vefsn Municipality, Norway with a production capacity of 50 million litres a year which is said to start complete production by 2026 and would be one of the biggest plants in the region.

Some of the major players operating in the market include Norsk E-Fuel, Sunfire GmbH, Siemens Energy, Advanced Chemical Technologies¸ BASF SE¸ Carbon Recycling International, Enerkem, Fraunhofer, OCI N.V., and Uniper SE.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 MARKET INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1. Market Definitions
  • 1.2. Main Objective
  • 1.3. Stakeholders
  • 1.4. Limitation

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY OR ASSUMPTION

  • 2.1. Research Process of the E-Fuel Market
  • 2.2. Research Methodology of the E-Fuel Market
  • 2.3. Respondent Profile

3 MARKET KEY INSIGHTS

4 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

5 GLOBAL E-FUEL MARKET REVENUE, 2020-2030F

6 MARKET INSIGHTS BY FUEL TYPE

  • 6.1. Ammonia
  • 6.2. Synfuel
  • 6.3. Methanol
  • 6.4. Others

7 MARKET INSIGHTS BY RENEWABLE SOURCE

  • 7.1. Solar PV
  • 7.2. Wind
  • 7.3. Hybrid

8 MARKET INSIGHTS BY REGION

  • 8.1. North & South America
    • 8.1.1. United States
    • 8.1.2. Brazil
    • 8.1.2. Rest of North & South America
  • 8.2. Europe
    • 8.2.1. Germany
    • 8.2.2. Spain
    • 8.2.3. United Kingdom
    • 8.2.4. Rest of Europe
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific
    • 8.3.1. China
    • 8.3.2. India
    • 8.3.3. Rest of APAC
  • 8.4. Rest of World

9 E-FUEL MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 9.1. Market Drivers
  • 9.2. Market Challenges
  • 9.3. Impact Analysis

10 E-FUEL MARKET OPPORTUNITIES

11 E-FUEL MARKET TRENDS

12 DEMAND AND SUPPLY-SIDE ANALYSIS

  • 12.1. Demand Side Analysis
  • 12.2. Supply Side Analysis

13 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS

14 GOVERNMENT POLICIES AND REGULATIONS

15 COMPETITIVE SCENARIO

  • 15.1. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

16 COMPANY PROFILED

  • 16.1. Norsk E-Fuel
  • 16.2. Sunfire GmbH
  • 16.3. Siemens Energy
  • 16.4. Advanced Chemical Technologies
  • 16.5. BASF SE
  • 16.6. Carbon Recycling International
  • 16.7. Enerkem
  • 16.8. Fraunhofer
  • 16.9. OCI N.V.
  • 16.10. Uniper SE

17 DISCLAIMER

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