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그린 스틸 시장 : 제조 공정별, 제품 형태별, 용도별, 최종사용자별, 지역별 - 시장 규모, 업계 역학, 기회 분석 및 예측(2026-2035년)

Global Green Steel Market By Production Route, Product Form, Application, End User, Region - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis and Forecast for 2026-2035

발행일: | 리서치사: 구분자 Astute Analytica | 페이지 정보: 영문 240 Pages | 배송안내 : 1-2일 (영업일 기준)

    
    
    



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그린 스틸 시장은 제조업체, 정부 및 최종 수요 부문이 저탄소 생산 방식으로의 전환을 가속화함에 따라, 세계 철강 산업의 근본적인 변혁을 상징합니다. 2025년에는 약 50억 달러 규모로 예상되는 이 시장은 2035년까지 1,200억 달러 가까이까지 대폭 확대될 것으로 전망되며, 2026년부터 2035년까지의 예측 기간 동안 37.4%라는 놀라운 연평균 성장률(CAGR)을 기록할 것으로 보입니다.

이 시장 성장의 주요 원동력은 산업 부문의 온실가스 배출 감축을 목적으로 한 더욱 엄격한 환경 규제와 기후 정책의 도입입니다. 철강 생산은 전통적으로 석탄을 대량으로 소비하는 고로 공정에 의존해 왔으며, 이는 전 세계 탄소 배출량에 크게 기여해 왔습니다. 각국 정부가 탄소 가격 제도와 배출 감축 목표, 보다 청정한 제조를 촉진하기 위한 정책을 도입함에 따라, 철강 제조업체들은 지속가능한 생산 체제로의 전환을 위한 압박에 점점 더 직면하고 있습니다.

주목할 만한 시장 동향

세계 그린 스틸 시장은 탄소 집약형 제조에서 수소 기반 생산, 재생 가능 전력 도입 및 저배출 제강 기술로의 전환을 가속화하고 있는 몇몇 주요 철강 제조업체들에 의해 형성되고 있습니다. 이러한 변화를 주도하는 가장 영향력 있는 기업으로는 SSAB, 스테그라(구 H2 Green Steel), 아르셀로미탈, 티센크루프, 잘츠기터 AG 등이 있으며, 각사는 신흥 저탄소 철강 업계에서 리더십을 확립하기 위해 각각 독자적인 전략을 추구하고 있습니다.

SSAB는 기존의 석탄 연료 기반 철강 생산을 수소 기반 기술로 대체하는 데 초점을 맞춘 획기적인 공동 프로젝트 ‘HYBRIT’을 통해, 그린 스틸 분야의 주요 선구자 중 한 곳으로서의 입지를 확고히 했습니다. 한때 H2 Green Steel로 알려졌던 스테그라(Stegra)는 업계에서 가장 야심 찬 통합 생산 프로젝트 중 하나를 추진함으로써 그린 스틸 시장에서 혁신적인 존재로 부상하고 있습니다.

세계 최대 규모의 철강 제조사 중 하나인 아르셀로미탈은 광범위한 세계 네트워크와 산업 노하우를 활용하여 그린 스틸 기술 도입을 가속화하고 있습니다. 티센크루프는 ‘tkH2Steel’ 이니셔티브를 통해 독일 산업 탈탄소화 노력에서 중심적인 역할을 수행하고 있습니다. 이 이니셔티브는 수소를 이용한 직접 환원 기술을 통해 기존 철강 생산 방식을 혁신하는 데 초점을 맞추고 있습니다. 잘츠기터 AG는 ‘SALCOS(Salzgitter Low CO2 Steelmaking)’ 프로그램을 통해 그린 스틸 생산의 선구자로 자리매김하고 있습니다. 이 프로그램은 석탄을 연료로 하는 철강 생산을 줄이고, 궁극적으로는 폐지하는 것을 목표로 하고 있습니다.

주요 성장요인

정부의 규제는 산업계에 배출량 감축 및 탄소 집약적 생산 방식에서 벗어나도록 강력한 인센티브를 제공함으로써, 그린 스틸 시장의 성장을 견인하는 주요 요인이 되고 있습니다. 철강 제조는 역사적으로 석탄을 연료로 하는 고로 기술에 의존해 왔기 때문에 온실가스 배출의 최대 산업원 중 하나가 되었습니다. 각국 정부가 기후 정책을 강화하고 더 엄격한 환경 규제를 도입함에 따라, 철강 제조업체와 다운스트림 산업은 더욱 깨끗한 생산 공정을 채택해야 한다는 압박에 직면하고 있습니다. 이러한 정책 조치에 따라 수소를 연료로 사용하는 제강, 재생에너지로 가동되는 전기 아크로(EAF), 기타 저탄소 기술에 대한 투자가 가속화되고 있습니다.

새로운 기회의 동향

철강 업계가 기존의 탄소 집약적인 고로 생산 방식에서 전환을 가속화하는 가운데, 전기 아크로(EAF)는 그린 스틸 시장의 성장을 견인하는 중요한 동향으로 부상하고 있습니다. EAF 기술은 석탄을 주원료로 하는 환원법에 크게 의존하지 않고 전력을 이용해 철을 용해 및 가공함으로써, 더 유연하고 배출량이 적은 대안을 제공합니다. 정부, 제조업체 및 산업 고객이 탈탄소화를 점점 더 우선시하는 가운데, 재생 가능 전력을 사용하는 EAF 시스템의 도입은 배출량을 줄이고 장기적인 기후 목표를 지원하기 위한 현실적인 수단으로서 탄력을 받고 있습니다.

최적화의 장벽

친환경 철강 생산을 둘러싼 급속한 기술 진보와 투자 열기 이면에서는 원자재 확보가 저탄소 제철의 규모 확대를 위협하는 가장 중대한 과제 중 하나로 남아 있습니다. 수소를 이용한 직접환원철(H2-DRI)이나 전기아크로(EAF) 기술과 같은 첨단 생산 공정은 배출량을 대폭 감축할 가능성을 지니고 있지만, 그 도입의 성패는 적절한 철광석 자원에 대한 접근성에 크게 좌우됩니다. 확립된 선광법을 통해 다양한 품질의 철광석을 처리할 수 있는 기존의 고로 운영과 달리, 직접 환원 공정에서는 철분 함량이 높고 불순물 함량이 낮은, 일관되게 고품질의 원료가 필요합니다. 이러한 의존 관계는 계속 확대되고 있는 그린 스틸 산업에 있어 공급망상의 중대한 취약점으로 작용하고 있습니다.

목차

제1장 주요 요약 : 세계의 그린 스틸 시장

제2장 조사 방법 및 조사 프레임워크

제3장 세계의 그린 스틸 시장 개요

제4장 세계의 그린 스틸 시장 분석

제5장 세계의 그린 스틸 시장 분석

제6장 북미 시장 분석

제7장 유럽 시장 분석

제8장 아시아태평양 시장 분석

제9장 중동 및 아프리카 시장 분석

제10장 남미 시장 분석

제11장 기업 개요

제12장 부록

KSM

The green steel market represents a fundamental transformation of the global steel industry as manufacturers, governments, and end-use sectors accelerate the transition toward low-carbon production methods. Valued at approximately USD 5.0 billion in 2025, the market is projected to expand significantly to reach nearly USD 120 billion by 2035, registering an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37.4% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2035.

The primary driver behind this market growth is the implementation of stricter environmental regulations and climate policies aimed at reducing industrial greenhouse gas emissions. Steel production has traditionally relied on coal-intensive blast furnace processes, which contribute significantly to global carbon emissions. As governments introduce carbon pricing mechanisms, emissions reduction targets, and policies designed to encourage cleaner manufacturing, steel producers are facing increasing pressure to transition toward sustainable production pathways.

Noteworthy Market Developments

The global green steel market is being shaped by several leading steel producers that are accelerating the transition from carbon-intensive manufacturing toward hydrogen-based production, renewable electricity integration, and low-emission steelmaking technologies. Among the most influential players driving this transformation are SSAB, Stegra (formerly H2 Green Steel), ArcelorMittal, Thyssenkrupp, and Salzgitter AG, each pursuing distinct strategies to establish leadership in the emerging low-carbon steel industry.

SSAB has established itself as one of the leading pioneers in the green steel sector through its groundbreaking HYBRIT initiative, a collaboration focused on replacing traditional coal-based steel production with hydrogen-based technology. Stegra, formerly known as H2 Green Steel, has emerged as a disruptive force in the green steel market by pursuing one of the industry's most ambitious integrated production projects.

ArcelorMittal, one of the world's largest steel producers, is leveraging its extensive global footprint and industrial expertise to accelerate the adoption of green steel technologies. Thyssenkrupp is playing a central role in Germany's industrial decarbonization efforts through its tkH2Steel initiative, which focuses on transforming traditional steel production using hydrogen-based direct reduction technology. Salzgitter AG has positioned itself as an early mover in green steel production through its SALCOS (Salzgitter Low CO2 Steelmaking) program, which aims to reduce and eventually eliminate coal-based steel production.

Core Growth Drivers

Government mandates have become a major factor driving the growth of the green steel market by creating strong incentives for industries to reduce emissions and transition away from carbon-intensive production methods. Steel manufacturing is one of the largest industrial sources of greenhouse gas emissions due to its historical dependence on coal-based blast furnace technologies. As governments strengthen climate policies and introduce stricter environmental regulations, steel producers and downstream industries are facing increasing pressure to adopt cleaner production pathways. These policy measures are accelerating investments in hydrogen-based steelmaking, renewable electricity-powered electric arc furnaces, and other low-carbon technologies.

Emerging Opportunity Trends

Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) are emerging as a significant opportunity trend driving growth in the green steel market as the steel industry accelerates its transition away from traditional carbon-intensive blast furnace production. EAF technology offers a more flexible and lower-emission alternative by using electricity to melt and process steel rather than relying heavily on coal-based reduction methods. As governments, manufacturers, and industrial customers increasingly prioritize decarbonization, the adoption of renewable electricity-powered EAF systems is gaining momentum as a practical pathway for reducing emissions and supporting long-term climate goals.

Barriers to Optimization

Beneath the rapid technological progress and investment momentum surrounding green steel production, raw material availability remains one of the most significant challenges threatening the scalability of low-carbon steelmaking. While advanced production pathways such as hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (H2-DRI) and electric arc furnace (EAF) technologies offer substantial emissions reduction potential, their successful deployment depends heavily on access to suitable iron ore resources. Unlike conventional blast furnace operations, which can process a wider range of iron ore qualities through established beneficiation methods, direct reduction processes require consistently high-quality feedstock with higher iron content and lower levels of impurities. This dependency creates a critical supply chain vulnerability for the expanding green steel industry.

Detailed Market Segmentation

By production route, the Hydrogen Direct Reduced Iron combined with Electric Arc Furnace (H2-DRI + EAF) pathway holds the leading position in the green steel market, driven by its ability to deliver substantial emissions reductions compared with conventional steelmaking processes. This technology has emerged as one of the most promising solutions for decarbonizing the steel industry, which has historically depended on carbon-intensive blast furnace operations using coking coal as a primary reducing agent. As governments, steel producers, and industrial consumers accelerate efforts to achieve net-zero targets, H2-DRI + EAF technology is gaining widespread attention as a commercially viable route toward near-zero-emission steel production.

By product form, flat steel maintains the leading position in the green steel market, supported by strong and increasing demand from major end-use industries, particularly automotive manufacturing and consumer appliances. Flat steel products, including sheets, plates, and coils, are essential components across a wide range of industrial applications due to their strength, flexibility, surface quality, and suitability for high-volume manufacturing processes. As industries accelerate their transition toward low-carbon production models, demand for sustainably produced flat steel has increased significantly, positioning this product category as a major contributor to the overall expansion of the green steel market.

By application, the automotive segment represents the largest revenue contributor in the green steel market, driven by the industry's increasing focus on reducing lifecycle emissions and achieving ambitious sustainability targets. Automakers are undergoing a significant transformation in their material sourcing strategies as they face growing regulatory requirements, investor expectations, and consumer demand for lower-carbon vehicles. Since steel remains one of the most widely used materials in vehicle manufacturing, the transition from conventional steel to green steel has become a critical pathway for reducing the overall environmental impact of automotive production.

By end user, the global construction and infrastructure sector emerged as the largest consumer of green steel, accounting for approximately 44% of total market demand. This dominant position reflects the sector's increasing focus on reducing embodied carbon emissions associated with the production and use of construction materials. Steel remains one of the most widely used materials in buildings, transportation networks, industrial facilities, and large-scale infrastructure projects, making its decarbonization a critical priority for achieving global climate objectives. As governments, developers, and investors place greater emphasis on sustainable construction practices, demand for low-emission steel alternatives has increased significantly.

Segment Breakdown

By Production Route

  • H2-DRI + EAF
  • Scrap-Based EAF (Green-Powered)
  • Molten Oxide Electrolysis
  • CCUS-Abated BF-BOF

By Product Form

  • Flat Steel
  • Long Steel

By Application

  • Automotive
  • Construction & Infrastructure
  • Machinery & Equipment
  • Appliances & Packaging
  • Energy (Wind/Grid)

By End User

  • Automotive OEMs
  • Construction
  • Industrial Manufacturing

By Region

  • North America
  • The U.S.
  • Canada
  • Mexico
  • Europe
  • Western Europe
  • The UK
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Rest of Western Europe
  • Eastern Europe
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Rest of Eastern Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Australia & New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • ASEAN
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • UAE
  • Rest of MEA
  • South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Rest of South America

Geography Breakdown

  • Europe commanded the largest share of the global green steel market in 2025, supported by a combination of ambitious regulatory frameworks, substantial government-backed investments, and strong industrial decarbonization initiatives. The region has taken an early leadership position by establishing clear climate policies, creating incentives for low-carbon industrial transformation, and encouraging manufacturers to adopt cleaner production technologies.
  • A major factor strengthening Europe's market position has been the implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which introduced additional pressure on industries relying on high-carbon production methods. By applying carbon-related costs to certain imported goods, the mechanism encouraged domestic manufacturers and international suppliers to reduce emissions intensity and align with Europe's climate objectives.
  • Sweden has emerged as a leading force within Europe's green steel transition by leveraging its abundant renewable electricity resources, particularly hydropower, to support large-scale hydrogen production. The country's access to reliable low-carbon energy has provided a significant advantage for operating hydrogen electrolyzers required for fossil-free steel manufacturing.

Leading Market Participants

  • ArcelorMittal
  • Tata Steel
  • ThyssenKrupp AG
  • SSAB
  • Emirates Steel Arkan
  • Nucor Corporation
  • voestalpine AG
  • Nippon Steel Corporation
  • Outokumpu
  • Salzgitter AG
  • China BaoWu Steel Group Corporation Limited
  • Other Prominent Players

Table of Content

Chapter 1. Executive Summary: Global Green Steel Market

Chapter 2. Research Methodology & Research Framework

  • 2.1. Research Objective
  • 2.2. Product Overview
  • 2.3. Market Segmentation
  • 2.4. Qualitative Research
    • 2.4.1. Primary & Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Quantitative Research
    • 2.5.1. Primary & Secondary Sources
  • 2.6. Breakdown of Primary Research Respondents, By Region
  • 2.7. Assumption for Study
  • 2.8. Market Size Estimation
  • 2.9. Data Triangulation

Chapter 3. Global Green Steel Market Overview

  • 3.1. Industry Value Chain Analysis
    • 3.1.1. Green Hydrogen, Renewable Power & High-Grade Iron Ore Suppliers
    • 3.1.2. DRI, Electrolyzer & Electric Arc Furnace Equipment Providers
    • 3.1.3. Green Steel Producers (H2-DRI + EAF, Scrap-Based EAF, Electrolysis)
    • 3.1.4. Certification, CBAM Compliance & Offtake / Distribution Partners
    • 3.1.5. End Users (Automotive OEMs, Construction, Industrial Manufacturing)
  • 3.2. Industry Outlook
    • 3.2.1. Overview of the Global Green (Low-Emission) Steel Industry
    • 3.2.2. H2-DRI + EAF Scale-Up, Green-Hydrogen Cost Tipping Point & Near-Zero Emissions Standards
    • 3.2.3. CBAM Border Mechanism, Green-Premium Dynamics & Automotive/Construction Offtake
  • 3.3. PESTLE Analysis
  • 3.4. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 3.4.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 3.4.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 3.4.3. Threat of Substitutes
    • 3.4.4. Threat of New Entrants
    • 3.4.5. Degree of Competition
  • 3.5. Market Growth and Outlook
    • 3.5.1. Market Revenue Estimates and Forecast (US$ Mn), 2020-2035
    • 3.5.2. Price Trend Analysis, By Production Route

Chapter 4. Global Green Steel Market Analysis

  • 4.1. Competition Dashboard
    • 4.1.1. Market Concentration Rate
    • 4.1.2. Company Market Share Analysis (Value %), 2025
    • 4.1.3. Competitor Mapping & Benchmarking

Chapter 5. Global Green Steel Market Analysis

  • 5.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 5.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 5.1.2. Restraints
    • 5.1.3. Opportunity
    • 5.1.4. Key Trends
  • 5.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 5.2.1. By Production Route
      • 5.2.1.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.1.1.1. H2-DRI + EAF
        • 5.2.1.1.2. Scrap-Based EAF (Green-Powered)
        • 5.2.1.1.3. Molten Oxide Electrolysis
        • 5.2.1.1.4. CCUS-Abated BF-BOF
    • 5.2.2. By Product Form
      • 5.2.2.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.2.1.1. Flat Steel
        • 5.2.2.1.2. Long Steel
    • 5.2.3. By Application
      • 5.2.3.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.3.1.1. Automotive
        • 5.2.3.1.2. Construction & Infrastructure
        • 5.2.3.1.3. Machinery & Equipment
        • 5.2.3.1.4. Appliances & Packaging
        • 5.2.3.1.5. Energy (Wind/Grid)
    • 5.2.4. By End User
      • 5.2.4.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.4.1.1. Automotive OEMs
        • 5.2.4.1.2. Construction
        • 5.2.4.1.3. Industrial Manufacturing
    • 5.2.5. By Region
      • 5.2.5.1. Key Insights
        • 5.2.5.1.1. North America
          • 5.2.5.1.1.1. The U.S.
          • 5.2.5.1.1.2. Canada
          • 5.2.5.1.1.3. Mexico
        • 5.2.5.1.2. Europe
          • 5.2.5.1.2.1. Western Europe
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.1. The UK
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.2. Germany
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.3. France
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.4. Italy
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.5. Spain
            • 5.2.5.1.2.1.6. Rest of Western Europe
          • 5.2.5.1.2.2. Eastern Europe
            • 5.2.5.1.2.2.1. Poland
            • 5.2.5.1.2.2.2. Russia
            • 5.2.5.1.2.2.3. Rest of Eastern Europe
        • 5.2.5.1.3. Asia Pacific
          • 5.2.5.1.3.1. China
          • 5.2.5.1.3.2. India
          • 5.2.5.1.3.3. Japan
          • 5.2.5.1.3.4. Australia & New Zealand
          • 5.2.5.1.3.5. South Korea
          • 5.2.5.1.3.6. ASEAN
          • 5.2.5.1.3.7. Rest of Asia Pacific
        • 5.2.5.1.4. Middle East & Africa (MEA)
          • 5.2.5.1.4.1. Saudi Arabia
          • 5.2.5.1.4.2. South Africa
          • 5.2.5.1.4.3. UAE
          • 5.2.5.1.4.4. Rest of MEA
        • 5.2.5.1.5. South America
          • 5.2.5.1.5.1. Argentina
          • 5.2.5.1.5.2. Brazil
          • 5.2.5.1.5.3. Rest of South America

Chapter 6. North America Market Analysis

  • 6.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 6.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 6.1.2. Restraints
    • 6.1.3. Opportunity
    • 6.1.4. Key Trends
  • 6.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 6.2.1. Key Insights
      • 6.2.1.1. By Production Route
      • 6.2.1.2. By Product Form
      • 6.2.1.3. By Application
      • 6.2.1.4. By End User
      • 6.2.1.5. By Country

Chapter 7. Europe Market Analysis

  • 7.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 7.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 7.1.2. Restraints
    • 7.1.3. Opportunity
    • 7.1.4. Key Trends
  • 7.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 7.2.1. Key Insights
      • 7.2.1.1. By Production Route
      • 7.2.1.2. By Product Form
      • 7.2.1.3. By Application
      • 7.2.1.4. By End User
      • 7.2.1.5. By Country

Chapter 8. Asia Pacific Market Analysis

  • 8.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 8.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 8.1.2. Restraints
    • 8.1.3. Opportunity
    • 8.1.4. Key Trends
  • 8.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 8.2.1. Key Insights
      • 8.2.1.1. By Production Route
      • 8.2.1.2. By Product Form
      • 8.2.1.3. By Application
      • 8.2.1.4. By End User
      • 8.2.1.5. By Country

Chapter 9. Middle East & Africa Market Analysis

  • 9.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 9.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 9.1.2. Restraints
    • 9.1.3. Opportunity
    • 9.1.4. Key Trends
  • 9.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 9.2.1. Key Insights
      • 9.2.1.1. By Production Route
      • 9.2.1.2. By Product Form
      • 9.2.1.3. By Application
      • 9.2.1.4. By End User
      • 9.2.1.5. By Country

Chapter 10. South America Market Analysis

  • 10.1. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 10.1.1. Growth Drivers
    • 10.1.2. Restraints
    • 10.1.3. Opportunity
    • 10.1.4. Key Trends
  • 10.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020-2035 (US$ Mn)
    • 10.2.1. Key Insights
      • 10.2.1.1. By Production Route
      • 10.2.1.2. By Product Form
      • 10.2.1.3. By Application
      • 10.2.1.4. By End User
      • 10.2.1.5. By Country

Chapter 11. Company Profile (Company Overview, Financial Matrix, Key Product landscape, Key Personnel, Key Competitors, Contact Address, and Business Strategy Outlook)

  • 11.1. ArcelorMittal
  • 11.2. Tata Steel
  • 11.3. ThyssenKrupp AG
  • 11.4. SSAB
  • 11.5. Emirates Steel Arkan
  • 11.6. Nucor Corporation
  • 11.7. voestalpine AG
  • 11.8. Nippon Steel Corporation
  • 11.9. Outokumpu
  • 11.10. Salzgitter AG
  • 11.11. China BaoWu Steel Group Corporation Limited
  • 11.12. Other Prominent Players

Chapter 12. Annexure

  • 12.1. List of Secondary Sources
  • 12.2. Key Country Markets- Macro Economic Outlook/Indicators
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