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Europe Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market: Focus on Application, Propulsion, Vehicle Type, Level of Autonomy, Sensor Type, and Country - Analysis and Forecast, 2024 - 2033

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ksm 25.05.23

Introduction to Europe Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market

The Europe heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market was estimated $44.64 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $555.43 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 32.33% during the forecast period 2024-2033. AI, machine learning, and advanced automation are driving the heavy-duty autonomous vehicle sector in Europe, allowing trucks, buses, and off-road equipment to function with little assistance from humans. These vehicles, which are outfitted with sensors, IoT connectivity, and predictive analytics, increase safety, reduce operating expenses, and improve productivity in the fields of agricultural, public transportation, logistics, and construction. Growth is fuelled by the need for automation, EU sustainability regulations, and continuous technical advancement. The models are divided between semi-autonomous (SAE Levels 1-2) and fully autonomous (Levels 3-5).

Market Introduction

KEY MARKET STATISTICS
Forecast Period2024 - 2033
2024 Evaluation$44.64 Billion
2033 Forecast$555.43 Billion
CAGR32.33%

The market for heavy-duty autonomous vehicles in Europe is expanding rapidly as a result of the convergence of sophisticated AI, machine learning, and strong sensor suites, which allow for dependable Level 2+ through Level 4 autonomy in trucks, buses, and off-road equipment. As OEMs and fleet operators look to solve severe driver shortages, growing labour costs, and strict EU emissions and safety regulations, the market, which is currently valued in the tens of billions, is expected to grow at a high double-digit CAGR over the next ten years.

The impending Euro 7 emissions regulations and Vision Zero safety measures are important regulatory forces that are pressuring stakeholders to embrace autonomous systems that offer reduced fuel usage, less downtime, and improved operational safety. LiDAR-radar-vision sensor fusion, AI-powered predictive analytics, 5G-enabled V2X connectivity, and digital twin simulation are examples of rapidly developing technological enablers that support use cases ranging from remote-controlled mining and agriculture operations to coordinated platooning on highways.

The localisation of autonomy software for various European road regulations and weather situations is being accelerated by strategic partnerships amongst Tier 1 suppliers, international OEMs, and specialised tech firms. In the meantime, standardised cybersecurity frameworks and teleoperation fallback capabilities are developing to address safety and liability issues. In the areas of logistics, public transportation, construction, and agriculture, Europe's heavy-duty vehicle landscape is expected to become greener, smarter, and significantly more efficient as electrification and hydrogen fuel technologies combine with autonomous.

Market Segmentation

Segmentation 1: by Application

  • Logistics
  • Public Transportation
  • Construction and Mining
  • Others

Segmentation 2: Global Conventional Heavy-Duty Vehicle Market (by Application)

  • Construction and Mining
  • Public Transport
  • Agriculture
  • Freight And Logistics
  • Others

Segmentation 3: by Propulsion Type

  • Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) Vehicles
  • Electric Vehicles (EVs)
    • Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)
    • Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV)
    • Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV)

Segmentation 4: by Vehicle Type

  • Heavy Trucks
  • Heavy Buses
  • Robo Shuttles

Segmentation 5: by Level of Autonomy

  • Semi-Autonomous Vehicles
  • Autonomous Vehicles

Segmentation 6: by Sensor Type

  • LiDAR
  • RADAR
  • Camera
  • Others

Segmentation 7: Global Conventional Heavy-Duty Vehicle Market (by Vehicle Type)

  • Heavy Trucks
  • Heavy Buses

Segmentation 8: by Region

  • Europe (Germany, France, U.K., Italy, Rest-of-Europe)

Europe Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicles Market Trends, Drivers and Challenges

Trends

  • Growing deployment of Level 2+ and Level 4 autonomous systems in heavy trucks and off-road machinery
  • Convergence of autonomy with vehicle electrification and hydrogen fuel technologies
  • Advanced sensor fusion (LiDAR, radar, vision) paired with AI-driven predictive analytics
  • Emergence of digital-twin platforms for real-time simulation and fleet optimization
  • Development of teleoperation and remote-driving fallback capabilities
  • 5G-enabled V2X connectivity for coordinated platooning and traffic management
  • Strategic collaborations between OEMs, Tier 1 suppliers and technology startups

Drivers

  • Stringent EU emissions targets and safety mandates (e.g., Euro 7, Vision Zero)
  • Acute driver shortages and rising labor costs across transport and logistics
  • Pressure to cut operating expenses via fuel savings, downtime reduction and optimized utilization
  • Corporate ESG commitments accelerating adoption of green autonomous fleets
  • Maturation of AI, machine-learning algorithms and ruggedized sensor hardware
  • Expansion of high-bandwidth connectivity infrastructure (5G, edge computing)

Challenges

  • High upfront capital expenditure and uncertain total-cost-of-ownership models
  • Technology reliability and validation under diverse European geographies and weather
  • Incomplete 5G/charging infrastructure interoperability across member states
  • Cybersecurity vulnerabilities in connected and autonomous systems
  • Regulatory fragmentation among EU countries delaying harmonized approvals
  • Public acceptance and liability frameworks for on-road autonomous operations

How can this report add value to an organization?

This report adds value to an organization by providing in-depth insights into the Europe heavy-duty autonomous vehicle (HDAV) market, enabling data-driven decision-making and strategic growth planning. It highlights key market trends, technological innovations, and competitive dynamics, helping businesses identify emerging opportunities and potential challenges. The report's detailed segmentation by application, propulsion type, vehicle type, level of autonomy, and region allows organizations to target specific markets and optimize their business strategies. Additionally, its coverage of regulatory frameworks, sustainability initiatives, and cybersecurity concerns ensures companies stay compliant with evolving autonomous vehicle policies and safety standards. By leveraging this report, organizations can enhance operational efficiency, make informed investment decisions in automation and AI-driven logistics, and gain a competitive edge in the rapidly transforming heavy-duty transportation sector, ensuring long-term growth and industry leadership.

Key Market Players and Competition Synopsis

The companies that are profiled in the Europe heavy-duty autonomous vehicle market have been selected based on inputs gathered from primary experts who have analyzed company coverage, product portfolio, and market penetration.

Some of the prominent names in this market are:

  • AB Volvo
  • BMW Group
  • Renault Trucks
  • Traton Group
  • ZF Friedrichshafen AG
  • Schaeffler AG
  • HOLON GmbH

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

Scope and Definition

1 Markets

  • 1.1 Trends: Current and Future Impact Assessment
    • 1.1.1 Growing Heavy-Duty Vehicle Driver Shortage
    • 1.1.2 Rising Role of Autonomous Vehicles in the Era of Logistics 4.0
  • 1.2 Supply Chain Overview
    • 1.2.1 Value Chain Analysis
    • 1.2.2 Pricing Forecast
  • 1.3 Regulatory Landscape
  • 1.4 Advance Driver Assistance System (ADAS)
    • 1.4.1 Overview
    • 1.4.2 ADAS Feature
  • 1.5 Ecosystem of Autonomous Driving
  • 1.6 Stakeholder Analysis
    • 1.6.1 Use Case
    • 1.6.2 End User and Buying Criteria
  • 1.7 Impact Analysis for Key Global Events
  • 1.8 Market Dynamics Overview
    • 1.8.1 Business Drivers
      • 1.8.1.1 Escalating Transportation Costs
      • 1.8.1.2 Advancing Technological Innovations
    • 1.8.2 Business Challenges
      • 1.8.2.1 Heightened Risk of Cyberattacks
      • 1.8.2.2 High Initial Development and Deployment Costs
    • 1.8.3 Business Opportunities
      • 1.8.3.1 Emerging Business Models Revolutionizing the Heavy-Duty Autonomous Vehicle Market
      • 1.8.3.2 Delivering Higher Levels of Automation

2 Regions

  • 2.1 Regional Summary
  • 2.2 Europe
    • 2.2.1 Regional Overview
    • 2.2.2 Driving Factors for Market Growth
    • 2.2.3 Factors Challenging the Market
    • 2.2.4 Application
    • 2.2.5 Product
    • 2.2.6 Europe (Country Level Analysis)
      • 2.2.6.1 Germany
        • 2.2.6.1.1 Application
        • 2.2.6.1.2 Product
      • 2.2.6.2 France
        • 2.2.6.2.1 Application
        • 2.2.6.2.2 Product
      • 2.2.6.3 U.K.
        • 2.2.6.3.1 Application
        • 2.2.6.3.2 Product
      • 2.2.6.4 Italy
        • 2.2.6.4.1 Application
        • 2.2.6.4.2 Product
      • 2.2.6.5 Rest-of-Europe
        • 2.2.6.5.1 Application
        • 2.2.6.5.2 Product

3 Markets - Competitive Benchmarking & Company Profiles

  • 3.1 Next Frontiers
  • 3.2 Geographic Assessment
  • 3.3 Company Profiles
    • 3.3.1 AB Volvo
      • 3.3.1.1 Overview
      • 3.3.1.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.1.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.1.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.1.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.1.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.1.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.2 BMW Group
      • 3.3.2.1 Overview
      • 3.3.2.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.2.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.2.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.2.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.2.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.2.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.3 Renault Trucks
      • 3.3.3.1 Overview
      • 3.3.3.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.3.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.3.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.3.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.3.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.3.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.4 Traton Group
      • 3.3.4.1 Overview
      • 3.3.4.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.4.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.4.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.4.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.4.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.4.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.5 2getthere B.V.
      • 3.3.5.1 Overview
      • 3.3.5.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.5.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.5.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.5.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.5.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.5.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.6 ZF Friedrichshafen AG
      • 3.3.6.1 Overview
      • 3.3.6.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.6.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.6.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.6.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.6.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.6.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.7 Schaeffler AG
      • 3.3.7.1 Overview
      • 3.3.7.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.7.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.7.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.7.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.7.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.7.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.8 HOLON GmbH
      • 3.3.8.1 Overview
      • 3.3.8.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.8.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.8.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.8.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.8.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.8.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.9 Daimler Truck AG
      • 3.3.9.1 Overview
      • 3.3.9.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.9.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.9.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.9.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.9.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.9.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.10 Navya ARMA
      • 3.3.10.1 Overview
      • 3.3.10.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.10.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.10.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.10.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.10.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.10.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.11 EasyMile
      • 3.3.11.1 Overview
      • 3.3.11.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.11.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.11.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.11.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.11.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.11.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.12 Einride
      • 3.3.12.1 Overview
      • 3.3.12.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.12.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.12.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.12.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.12.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.12.7 Market Share, 2023
    • 3.3.13 Oxa Autonomy Limited
      • 3.3.13.1 Overview
      • 3.3.13.2 Top Products/Product Portfolio
      • 3.3.13.3 Top Competitors
      • 3.3.13.4 Target Customers
      • 3.3.13.5 Key Personnel
      • 3.3.13.6 Analyst View
      • 3.3.13.7 Market Share, 2023

4 Research Methodology

  • 4.1 Data Sources
    • 4.1.1 Primary Data Sources
    • 4.1.2 Secondary Data Sources
    • 4.1.3 Data Triangulation
  • 4.2 Market Estimation and Forecast
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