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시장보고서
상품코드
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항비만제 : 시장 인사이트, 경쟁 구도 및 시장 예측(2034년)Anti-Obesity Drugs - Market Insights, Competitive Landscape, and Market Forecast - 2034 |
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DelveInsight
항비만제는 비만이나 과체중 치료에 사용되는 약리학적 제제로, 일반적으로 저칼로리 식단이나 운동량 증가와 병행하여 피하 주사 또는 경구 투여로 투여됩니다. 그 범주에는 노보 노디스크의 ‘웨고비(세마글루타이드)’ 및 ‘삭센다(릴라글루타이드)’를 포함한 단일 GLP-1 수용체 작용제,이중 및 삼중 작용제(Eli Lilly의 GIP/GLP-1 수용체 이중 작용제 ‘제프바운드(tirzepatide)’ 등)와,일라이 릴리의 ‘레타토르티드’나 보링거 인겔하임 및 젤랜드 파마의 ‘서보두티드’와 같은 개발 중인 후보 약물; GLP-1/아밀린 병용제에는 노보 노르디스크의 임상시험용 약물 ‘카그리세마(CagriSema)’ 등이 포함됩니다;멜라노코르틴-4 수용체(MC4R) 작용제에는 희귀 유전성 비만 증후군을 대상으로 한 리듬 파마슈티컬스(Rhythm Pharmaceuticals)의 ‘임시브리(Imcivree, 세토멜라노티드)’ 등이 포함됩니다;비인크레틴계 병용 경구약으로는 Currax Pharmaceuticals의 ‘Qsymia(펜터민·토피라메이트)’ 및 ‘Contrave(날트렉손·부프로피온)’;리파제 억제제로는 오르리스타트; 그리고 성장호르몬 방출 인자 아날로그로는 Theratechnologies의 ‘Egrifta(테사모렐린)’ 등이 있습니다. 이 시장은 만성 체중 관리, 심혈관 및 대사 위험 감소, 폐쇄성 수면무호흡증, 그리고 희귀 유전성 비만의 적응증을 포괄합니다.
항비만제 시장의 주요 성장요인
항비만제 시장 성장에 기여하는 요인
시장 촉진요인
세계 비만 및 과체중 유병률의 증가
항비만제 시장의 근본적인 촉진요인은 전 세계 비만 및 과체중 유병률의 상승입니다. 세계보건기구(WHO)의 추정에 따르면, 전 세계 성인의 약 8명 중 1명이 비만을 앓고 있습니다. 비만은 2형 당뇨병, 심혈관질환, 폐쇄성 수면 무호흡 증후군 및 기타 수많은 동반 질환과 밀접한 관련이 있으며, 효과적인 약물을 통한 체중 관리는 단순한 선택적 개입이 아닌 공중 보건상의 우선 과제로 그 중요성이 커지고 있습니다. 도시화, 식생활의 변화, 앉아 있는 생활 방식을 배경으로 전 세계 비만 및 과체중 유병률이 계속 증가함에 따라, 약물 기반 체중 관리의 대상이 되는 인구도 이에 따라 확대되고 있으며, 예측 기간 동안 시장의 모든 약물 군에 걸쳐 수요가 유지될 것으로 전망됩니다.
GIP/GLP-1 이중 작용제 및 삼중 작용제 요법의 상업적 부상
GIP/GLP-1 이중 작용제 및 새로운 삼중 작용제 요법의 상업적 부상은 항비만제 시장에서 결정적인 구조적 변화를 나타냅니다. Eli Lilly의 ‘제프바운드(tirzepatide)’는 2025년에 229억 달러의 매출을 기록하며 전년 대비 188.7% 증가했습니다. 이로써 2025년 매출액이 186억 달러에 달한 노보 노르디스크(Novo Nordisk)의 ‘웨고비(Wegovy)’를 제치고, 매출 기준 항비만제 시장 1위로 도약했습니다. 이러한 순위 변동은 2024년 12월에 보고된 SURMOUNT-5 임상시험을 포함한 직접 비교 임상 데이터에 의해 뒷받침되고 있습니다. 해당 임상시험에서 72주 동안 ‘제프바운드’는 평균 20.2%의 체중 감소를 달성한 반면, ‘웨고비’는 13.7%에 그쳤습니다. Eli Lilly와 Novo Nordisk가 Eli Lilly의 트리플 작용제 ‘레타톨티드’와 Novo Nordisk의 아밀린 복합제 ‘카그리세마’ 등,차세대 다중 수용체 작용제 후보에 대한 투자를 지속하고 있는 만큼, 듀얼 및 트리플 작용제의 작용기전은 예측 기간 동안 시장에서 가장 규모가 크고 역동적인 약물 군으로서의 지위를 유지할 것으로 예상됩니다.
시장 제약요인
비만 치료제 시장은 성장을 둔화시키는 몇 가지 상호 연관된 제약요인에 직면해 있습니다. 브랜드 GLP-1, 이중 작용제 및 다중 수용체 작용제 요법의 높은 비용에 더해, 특히 체중 관리 적응증에 대한 보험 적용 범위가 제각각이고 일관성이 부족하다는 점이 더 광범위한 보급을 방해하고, 환자에게 막대한 본인 부담금을 안겨주고 있습니다. 환자의 복약 순응도 및 치료 지속과 관련된 과제는 시장 전체에 영향을 미치고 있으며, 실제 임상 데이터에 따르면 상당수의 환자가 치료 시작 후 1년 이내에 항비만제 치료를 중단하고 있는데, 그 대부분은 위장관 부작용, 비용, 또는 치료에 대한 피로감과 관련이 있습니다. 브랜드 제품인 세마글루티드 및 틸제파티드 제품의 조제 의약품이나 무허가 모방품이 범람하고 있는 것은 안전상의 우려를 야기하고, 원개발사에 상업적 혼란을 초래하며, 브랜드 제품 공급이 부족한 기간 동안의 시장 역학을 복잡하게 만들고 있습니다. 2027년 미국에서 발효될 노보 노르디스크의 세마글루타이드에 대한 향후 정부의 약가 협상은 가격 책정 및 수익 예측에 상업적 불확실성을 초래하고 있습니다. 치료 중단 후 체중이 다시 증가하는 경향이 충분히 입증된 점을 감안할 때, 체중 감량 효과를 유지하기 위해서는 장기간에 걸친 지속적인 치료가 필요하기 때문에 장기적인 치료 순응도, 비용의 지속가능성, 그리고 의료 제도 예산에 미치는 영향에 대한 의문이 제기되고 있습니다. 이러한 요인들이 복합적으로 작용하여 도입 속도가 완만해지고 있으며, 제약사는 성장을 유지하기 위해 합리적인 가격, 안정적인 공급, 그리고 장기적인 치료 순응도 지원을 입증해야 할 필요가 있습니다.
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Summary
Anti-obesity drugs are pharmacological agents used to treat obesity and overweight, typically in conjunction with a reduced-calorie diet and increased physical activity, delivered via subcutaneous injection or oral administration. The scope encompasses single GLP-1 receptor agonists, including Novo Nordisk's Wegovy (semaglutide) and Saxenda (liraglutide); dual and triple agonists, including Eli Lilly's Zepbound (tirzepatide), a dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist, and pipeline candidates such as Eli Lilly's retatrutide and Boehringer Ingelheim and Zealand Pharma's survodutide; GLP-1/amylin combinations, including Novo Nordisk's investigational CagriSema; melanocortin-4 receptor (MC4R) agonists, including Rhythm Pharmaceuticals' Imcivree (setmelanotide) for rare genetic obesity syndromes; non-incretin combination oral drugs, including Currax Pharmaceuticals' Qsymia (phentermine-topiramate) and Contrave (naltrexone-bupropion); lipase inhibitors, including orlistat; and growth hormone-releasing factor analogs, including Theratechnologies' Egrifta (tesamorelin). The market spans chronic weight management, cardiometabolic risk reduction, obstructive sleep apnea, and rare genetic obesity indications.
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Key Growth Drivers
Key Companies in Anti-Obesity Drugs Market
The leading participants in the anti-obesity drugs market include the following:
Factors Contributing to the Growth of the Anti-Obesity Drugs Market
Market Drivers
Rising Global Prevalence of Obesity and Overweight
The foundational driver of the anti-obesity drugs market is the rising global prevalence of obesity and overweight, with the World Health Organization estimating that nearly 1 in 8 adults worldwide are living with obesity. Obesity is strongly associated with type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, obstructive sleep apnea, and numerous other comorbidities, positioning effective pharmacological weight management as a growing public health priority rather than an elective intervention. As the global prevalence of obesity and overweight continues to rise, driven by urbanization, dietary shifts, and sedentary lifestyles, the population eligible for pharmacological weight management expands correspondingly, sustaining demand across the market's full range of drug classes throughout the forecast period.
Commercial Ascent of Dual GIP/GLP-1 and Triple Agonist Therapies
The commercial ascent of dual GIP/GLP-1 and emerging triple agonist therapies represents the defining structural development in the anti-obesity drugs market. Eli Lilly's Zepbound (tirzepatide) generated USD 22.9 billion in sales in 2025, a 188.7% increase over the prior year, overtaking Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, which reached USD 18.6 billion in 2025 sales, as the leading obesity drug by revenue. This shift reflects head-to-head clinical evidence, including the SURMOUNT-5 trial reported in December 2024, in which Zepbound achieved 20.2% average weight loss compared to 13.7% for Wegovy over 72 weeks. As Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk continue to invest in next-generation multi-receptor agonist candidates, including Eli Lilly's triple agonist retatrutide and Novo Nordisk's amylin-combination CagriSema, dual and triple agonist mechanisms are expected to sustain their position as the market's largest and most dynamic drug class across the forecast period.
Market Restraints
The anti-obesity drugs market faces several interrelated restraints that temper its growth. The high cost of branded GLP-1, dual agonist, and multi-receptor agonist therapies, combined with variable and inconsistent insurance coverage for weight management indications specifically, constrains broader adoption and creates substantial patient out-of-pocket cost burden. Patient adherence and persistence challenges affect the market broadly, with real-world data indicating that a meaningful share of patients discontinue anti-obesity drug therapy within the first year of treatment, often related to gastrointestinal side effects, cost, or treatment fatigue. The proliferation of compounded and unauthorized copies of branded semaglutide and tirzepatide products has introduced safety concerns and created commercial disruption for originator manufacturers, complicating market dynamics during periods of branded product supply constraint. Upcoming government drug pricing negotiations for Novo Nordisk's semaglutide, effective in the United States in 2027, create commercial uncertainty for pricing and revenue projections. The requirement for continued long-term therapy to sustain weight loss outcomes, given the well-documented pattern of weight regain following treatment discontinuation, raises questions about long-term treatment adherence, cost sustainability, and health system budget impact. Together, these factors moderate the pace of adoption and require manufacturers to demonstrate affordability, supply reliability, and long-term adherence support to sustain growth.
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Segment Analysis
The global anti-obesity drugs market by drug class (single GLP-1 receptor agonists, dual/triple agonists, GLP-1/amylin combinations, melanocortin-4 receptor (MC4R) agonists, non-incretin combination oral drugs, lipase inhibitors, and others), by route of administration (subcutaneous/injectable and oral), by indication (chronic weight management [obesity/overweight], obesity with cardiometabolic risk reduction, obstructive sleep apnea with obesity, rare genetic obesity syndromes, and others), by distribution channel (retail pharmacy, hospital pharmacy, and online/telehealth pharmacy), and by geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Rest of the World).
By Drug Class
Dominant Subsegment: Dual/Triple Agonists.
The dual/triple agonist category is expected to dominate the market. The segment accounted for a 48% share of the anti-obesity drugs market in 2025. This class, led by Eli Lilly's Zepbound (tirzepatide), a dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist, is the leading drug class because it has demonstrated superior weight loss efficacy relative to single GLP-1 receptor agonist therapy in head-to-head clinical trials, translating directly into commercial share gains, with Zepbound's 2025 sales growth of 188.7% substantially outpacing the growth of single-agonist competitors. The dominance of the segment reflects the scale of Eli Lilly's commercial investment, the depth of clinical evidence supporting superior efficacy, and the continued advancement of triple agonist candidates such as retatrutide that extend the mechanism further. While single GLP-1 receptor agonists, led by Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, remain a substantial and clinically important category, and GLP-1/amylin combinations and MC4R agonists serve important complementary and niche roles respectively, the demonstrated efficacy advantage and commercial momentum of dual and triple agonist mechanisms sustain the leadership of the segment across the forecast period.
By Route of Administration
Dominant Subsegment: Subcutaneous/Injectable.
The subcutaneous/injectable category is expected to dominate the market. The subcutaneous/injectable segment accounted for an 88% share of the anti-obesity drugs market in 2025. Injectable therapy, including both leading commercial products, Wegovy and Zepbound, is the leading route of administration because weekly self-injection remains the standard formulation for the highest-efficacy, highest-revenue anti-obesity drugs currently marketed. The dominance of the segment reflects the continued predominance of injectable delivery among the top-selling branded anti-obesity drugs and the fact that the newly approved oral semaglutide formulation and Eli Lilly's investigational oral orforglipron remain in the earliest stages of commercial rollout or clinical development, respectively. The oral route of administration represented the fastest-growing route in 2025, driven by the late-2025 FDA approval of an oral semaglutide pill for chronic weight management and the anticipated future launch of orforglipron, and is expected to gain share progressively as additional oral candidates reach the market across the forecast period.
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Region Analysis
Dominant Region: North America
North America accounted for a 62% share of the global anti-obesity drugs market in 2025, representing the highest regional market share globally. The leadership of the region reflects the concentration of Wegovy and Zepbound commercial revenue in the United States, driven by high obesity prevalence, expanding commercial and government insurance coverage for weight management indications, and the aggressive direct-to-consumer and telehealth commercial strategies both Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly have built around their franchises. The United States is the largest national market, supported by high healthcare expenditure, the concentration of leading manufacturers, and the depth of FDA regulatory activity extending anti-obesity drug indications into cardiovascular and sleep apnea comorbidities. The concentration of commercial revenue, reimbursement structures, and manufacturer investment reinforce the position of North America as the largest regional market across the forecast period.
Fastest Growing Region: Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific is projected to register the fastest compound annual growth rate through 2034. The region faces a rapidly escalating obesity burden alongside expanding healthcare access and rising disposable income, with China, Japan, and India representing substantial addressable populations for anti-obesity drug therapy. Novo Nordisk launched Wegovy in India in June 2025, marking the drug's first approval in the country both for chronic weight management and for cardiovascular risk reduction, while Eli Lilly's Mounjaro has seen strong early uptake in the Indian market. As regional manufacturing partnerships, government healthcare investment, and rising consumer awareness of pharmacological weight management continue to develop, the region increases its adoption of anti-obesity drugs from a growing base, positioning Asia-Pacific as the fastest-growing regional market across the forecast period.
Regional Commentary
North America
North America leads the market, supported by the concentration of Wegovy and Zepbound commercial revenue, expanding insurance coverage, and aggressive direct-to-consumer commercial strategies. The United States dominates the region through its concentration of manufacturers and its outsized share of global anti-obesity drug revenue.
Europe
Europe is a significant market shaped by national health technology assessment pathways, rising obesity prevalence, and the presence of leading manufacturers including Novo Nordisk, Boehringer Ingelheim, and Zealand Pharma. Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Spain are the principal national markets, and the region continues to navigate reimbursement negotiations that shape the pace of anti-obesity drug adoption relative to the more commercially permissive United States market.
Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region, driven by the scale of the obesity-affected population in China and India, expanding healthcare access, and recent market entries such as Novo Nordisk's 2025 launch of Wegovy in India.
Rest of World
The Rest of World, spanning Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa, represents an emerging opportunity as obesity prevalence rises and healthcare access expands, though adoption of advanced, higher-cost drug classes remains concentrated in leading urban centers and private healthcare systems.
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Competitive Landscape
The global anti-obesity drugs market is classified as Consolidated. Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly together hold a dominant share of commercial revenue, effectively forming a duopoly at the center of the market, while a broader group of pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies advance differentiated pipeline candidates targeting novel mechanisms, dosing intervals, and administration routes. Competition centers on the breadth and depth of the multi-receptor agonist pipeline, clinical evidence supporting comorbidity-specific indications, manufacturing capacity to meet sustained demand, and the pace of oral and less-frequent-dosing formulation development. The competitive landscape is evaluated across the following dimensions:
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Recent Developmental Activities
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Segmentation
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Assessment by Drug Class
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Assessment by Route of Administration
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Assessment by Indication
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Assessment by Distribution Channel
Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Assessment by Geography
Key Takeaways from the Anti-Obesity Drugs Market Report Study
Target audience who can benefit from this anti-obesity drugs market report study
Q1. At what rate is the anti-obesity drugs market expected to grow?
The global anti-obesity drugs market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 14.0% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2034.
Q2. What is the current and projected size of the anti-obesity drugs market?
The global anti-obesity drugs market was valued at USD 45.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 148.6 billion by 2034.
Q3. Which region dominates the anti-obesity drugs market?
North America dominated the anti-obesity drugs market with a 62% share in 2025, driven by the concentration of Wegovy and Zepbound commercial revenue and expanding insurance coverage. Asia-Pacific is projected to record the fastest compound annual growth rate through 2034, driven by the scale of the obesity-affected population in China and India and recent market entries such as the 2025 launch of Wegovy in India.
Q4. What are the key factors driving growth in the anti-obesity drugs market?
The principal drivers are the rising global prevalence of obesity and overweight; the commercial ascent of dual GIP/GLP-1 and emerging triple agonist therapies; expanding regulatory indications into cardiovascular risk reduction and obstructive sleep apnea; continued pipeline investment in less-frequent-dosing and oral formulations; and the growth of direct-to-consumer and telehealth distribution channels.
Q5. Who are the major players in the anti-obesity drugs market?
The market is consolidated and led by Novo Nordisk A/S and Eli Lilly and Company, which together dominate commercial revenue, alongside Amgen Inc., Roche Holding AG, Boehringer Ingelheim, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Viking Therapeutics, Inc., Structure Therapeutics Inc., Zealand Pharma A/S, and Currax Pharmaceuticals LLC.
For illustrative purposes, only the top 10 companies are listed in the Table of Contents. The report may include analysis and references to additional companies where relevant to the market assessment.