인도의 상용차 성장 기회

Alternative Powertrains and New Business Models Will Ensure Transformational Growth

The Indian trucking industry includes a diverse range of vehicles, operators, and logistics services and is a critical driver of economic growth and development. Following years of axle load regulation and the implementation of Bharat Stage 6 emission norms, the industry faced stagnant volumes made worse by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the industry is in the recovery and growth phase now. In 2022, total truck shipment was 0.87 million units. The largest share of the market remains with the light-duty segment, with 0.56 million trucks sold in 2022, followed by the heavy-duty segment with 0.22 trucks, and the medium-duty segment with 0.09 million trucks. With pivotal initiatives such as Bharatmala focusing on road infrastructure and Sagarmala on the modernization of ports, a comprehensive national logistics policy, and a national infrastructure pipeline, the outlay for development is high and will boost the demand for truck deployment.

Despite elevated diesel prices, sales of compressed natural gas (CNG) trucks have increased in the medium-duty segment, accounting for 27.8% of the overall powertrain. Revised CNG pricing will boost sales. The dedicated liquified natural gas (LNG) policy will increase LNG usage in trucks, especially in the heavy-duty segment, as LNG offers a longer range and performance similar to that of diesel. Leading OEMs have showcased their LNG models as prototypes, with launches expected in 2024. Truck electrification will start with light-duty trucks, target last-mile operations, and expand to other segments when charging infrastructure and acquisition cost improves. Electrification in commercial vehicles is further bolstered by subsidies from the central and state governments. In addition, production-linked incentives (PLI) are also available for OEMs. The rise in connectivity and telematics solutions by third-party players and OEMs is improving fleet management for customers; however, more regulation is expected. The overall growth trajectory of the Indian commercial vehicle sector will remain strong.

Table of Contents

Strategic Imperatives

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8™
• The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Indian Commercial Vehicle Industry
• Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Study Scope

• Scope of Analysis
• Product and Powertrain Segmentation
• Research Aims and Objectives
• Key Questions This Study Will Answer

Growth Environment

• Pivotal Government Initiatives Focusing on Boosting the Indian Economy
• Key Trends Driving the Indian Commercial Vehicle Market
• Truck Applications Overview
• Freight Transport Categories and Types, India
• Truck Ecosystem in India
• Snapshot of Global Commercial Vehicles in 2022
• OEM Landscape, 2023
• Regulations and Policies, 2023-2027 Outlook
• Electric Vehicle (EV) Incentives and Subsidies, 2023

Growth Opportunity Analysis

• Key Growth Metrics
• Forecast Criteria
• Growth Drivers for the Indian Commercial Vehicle Market
• Growth Restraints for the Indian Commercial Vehicle Market

Application Usage and Sector Outlook

• Truck Sales by Application
• Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Logistics
• Consumer Durables, Retail, and eCommerce
• FMCG, Pharma, and Documents
• Road Construction and Real Estate
• Planned Road Construction
• Fruit, Vegetables, and Milk
• Agricultural Products

Historic Unit Sales Performance Review

• LD Truck Sales Cycles
• LD Truck Market Share Comparison for CY 2018-2022
• MD Truck Sales Cycles
• MD Truck Market Share Comparison for CY 2018-2022
• HD Truck Sales Cycles
• HD Truck Market Share Comparison for CY 2018-2022

Unit Sales and Powertrain Forecast

• Indian Commercial Vehicle Unit Sales Forecast, 2022-2035
• LD Truck Unit Sales Forecast
• LD Truck Powertrain Forecast
• MD Truck Unit Sales Forecast
• MD Truck Powertrain Forecast
• HD Truck Unit Sales Forecast
• HD Truck Powertrain Forecast
• Forecast Discussion

Alternative Fuels Ecosystem

• LNG
• CNG
• NG for the Transportation Sector
• Hydrogen Ecosystem

Truck Technology Systems

• Truck Technology Road Map
• Cabin Ergonomics
• Fuel Efficiency Improvements, 2021-2035

Safety and Telematics Systems

• Truck Safety Systems
• Truck Safety System Adoption, 2022-2035
• Truck Telematics Installed Base
• Truck Telematics Market Share
• Truck Telematics Feature by OEM
• Truck Telematics Installed Base Forecast

OEM Profiles

• Tata Motors-OEM Profile
• Tata Motors-OEM Models, 2023
• Ashok Leyland-OEM Profile
• Ashok Leyland-OEM Models, 2023
• Eicher-OEM Profile
• Eicher-OEM Models, 2023
• Mahindra-OEM Profile
• Mahindra-OEM Models, 2023

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1-Adoption of Low- and Zero-emission Trucks
• Growth Opportunity 2-New Truck Ownership and Business Models
• Growth Opportunity 3-Improved Safety and Connected Telematics Solutions

Next Steps

• Your Next Steps
• Why Frost, Why Now?
• List of Exhibits
• Legal Disclaimer