주거용 히트펌프 산업(2025-2035년)

The global residential heat pump (HP) market is forecast to reach 21.2 million units by 2035, up from 11.4 million in 2025. Market definitions are important to the market forecast, and Frost & Sullivan excludes the sale of HPs for air conditioning. Market revenues are forecast to reach $113.79 billion by 2035, up from $43.86 billion in 2025. In 2025, APAC was the largest region in terms of sales, and this is forecast to continue to be the case by 2025, although Europe and North America will have higher growth rates. HPs offer several advantages, including higher efficiency and the acceleration of heat decarbonization, as renewable electricity powers them. However, challenges include market- and site-dependent suitability and factors such as the age of households and insulation that require evaluation. Installation costs, especially for existing properties, are significant, and HPs have higher capital costs than gas boilers. Additionally, wider investment is necessary to ensure that HPs do not strain local electricity grids. Skilled installers and consultants are lacking in some markets, and the public is hesitant because of their familiarity with boiler technology.

Table of Contents

Scope and Segmentation

• Scope of Analysis
• Market Overview and Definitions
• Segmentation: Heat Pumps by Technology

Transformation in Residential Heat Pumps

• Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8TM
• The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Residential Heat Pump (HP) Industry

Growth Opportunity Analysis

• Key Insights

Growth Environment in Residential Heat Pumps

• Growth Metrics

Ecosystem of Residential Heat Pumps

• Distribution Channels
• Competitive Environment
• Key Competitors

Growth Generator in Residential Heat Pumps

• Heat-as-a-Service
• Fossil-Fuel Bans Across Europe
• Support Mechanisms by Country for HPs in New Buildings
• Support Mechanisms by Country for HPs in Renovated Buildings

Growth Drivers

• Growth Restraints
• Forecast Considerations
• The European Race for Heat Pumps
• Heat Pumps Installed Base-Europe
• Residential HP Revenue & Unit Shipment Forecast
• Residential HP Unit Shipment Forecast by Technology
• Residential HP Revenue Forecast by Technology
• ASHP (ATA) Application Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
• ASHP (ATW) Application Unit Shipment and Revenue Forecast
• Residential HP Unit Shipment Forecast by Region
• Residential HP Revenue Forecast by Region
• Revenue and Unit Shipment Forecast Analysis by Region
• Residential HP Unit Shipment Forecast by Country
• ASHP Unit Shipment Forecast by Country
• ASHP (Air-to-Air) Application Unit Shipment Forecast by Country
• ASHP (Air-to-Water) Application Unit Shipment Forecast by Country
• GSHP Unit Shipment Forecast by Country
• Residential HP Revenue Forecast by Country
• ASHP Revenue Forecast by Country
• ASHP (Air-to-Air) Application Revenue Forecast by Country
• ASHP (Air-to-Water) Application Revenue Forecast by Country
• GSHP Revenue Forecast by Country
• Residential HP Market-France
• Residential HP Market-United Kingdom
• Residential HP Market-Germany
• Residential HP Market-Italy
• Residential HP Market-Sweden
• Residential HP Market-Denmark
• Residential HP Market-Finland
• Residential HP Market-Spain
• Residential HP Market-Netherlands
• Residential HP Market-Belgium
• Residential HP Market-Norway
• Residential HP Market-Poland
• Residential HP Market-United States

Competitive Landscape

• Revenue Share
• Revenue Share Analysis

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1: Life Cycle Heating Solutions (Heat-as-a-Service & Recurring Services)
• Growth Opportunity 2: Residential Energy Ecosystem Integration
• Growth Opportunity 3: Intelligent & Grid-Interactive Heat Pumps
• Growth Opportunity 4: Next-Generation Residential Heat Pumps
• Growth Opportunity 5: Residential Retrofit & Electrification

Appendix & Next Steps

• Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
• Next Steps

List of Exhibits

• Legal Disclaimer