자율주행 버스 소프트웨어 시장 기회, 성장 촉진요인, 산업 동향 분석, 예측(2025-2034년)

The Global Autonomous Bus Software Market was valued at USD 855.1 million in 2024 and is projected to witness substantial growth, with an expected CAGR of 24.2% from 2025 to 2034. This robust market expansion is primarily driven by the surging demand for shared mobility and on-demand transportation services. As consumers increasingly seek flexible, cost-effective travel solutions, autonomous buses emerge as a perfect response. These buses adapt to shifting passenger demands by adjusting routes, unlike traditional public transit systems that rely on fixed paths. This adaptability ensures that passengers receive more convenient and affordable transportation options, positioning autonomous buses as an ideal choice for urban mobility.

The market for autonomous bus software is categorized based on functionality, which includes fleet management, autonomous driving, traffic management, passenger management, safety and security, and bus route design. In 2024, the fleet management software segment accounted for a 27.8% market share. This software is essential in enhancing the operational efficiency of self-driving buses. Through real-time remote monitoring, IoT-based maintenance forecasting, fuel consumption tracking, and route optimization, fleet management systems enable bus operators to boost productivity, minimize downtime, and ensure smoother operations.

Further, the autonomous bus software market is segmented by automation levels-Level 3, Level 4, and Level 5 automation. The Level 4 autonomous buses held 43% of the market share in 2024. These buses are fully autonomous within predefined areas, such as business districts or smart cities. They leverage advanced artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and predictive analytics to navigate through varying road conditions and traffic patterns, making them highly suitable for urban environments. With the continued refinement of AI technologies, the adoption of Level 4 autonomous buses is expected to surge, especially in densely populated metropolitan areas.

North America Autonomous Bus Software Market accounted for 38% of the global market share in 2024. The region's investments in autonomous technology, coupled with supportive government policies, are accelerating the development and deployment of self-driving buses. Several cities are already launching pilot projects with promising results, which are expected to fuel the wider adoption of autonomous bus systems. As these buses become more integrated into public transportation, they offer the potential to reduce emissions, alleviate traffic congestion, and improve overall efficiency in urban mobility, aligning with the broader trend toward more sustainable, smart transportation systems.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

• 1.1 Research design
  • 1.1.1 Research approach
  • 1.1.2 Data collection methods
• 1.2 Base estimates and calculations
  • 1.2.1 Base year calculation
  • 1.2.2 Key trends for market estimates
• 1.3 Forecast model
• 1.4 Primary research & validation
  • 1.4.1 Primary sources
  • 1.4.2 Data mining sources
• 1.5 Market definitions

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

• 2.1 Industry 360º synopsis, 2021 - 2034

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

• 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
• 3.2 Supplier landscape
  • 3.2.1 OEM
  • 3.2.2 Software provider
  • 3.2.3 Cloud service providers
  • 3.2.4 System integrators
  • 3.2.5 End Use
• 3.3 Profit margin analysis
• 3.4 Technology & innovation landscape
• 3.5 Patent analysis
• 3.6 Key news & initiatives
• 3.7 Regulatory landscape
• 3.8 Impact forces
  • 3.8.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.8.1.1 Rising demand for shared mobility and on-demand transport
    • 3.8.1.2 Improved safety and traffic management
    • 3.8.1.3 Growing public awareness and acceptance
    • 3.8.1.4 Rising interest in autonomous vehicles
  • 3.8.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
    • 3.8.2.1 Regulatory and legal challenges
    • 3.8.2.2 High development and operational costs
• 3.9 Growth potential analysis
• 3.10 Porter's analysis
• 3.11 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Company market share analysis
• 4.3 Competitive positioning matrix
• 4.4 Strategic outlook matrix

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Functionality, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Fleet management software
• 5.3 Autonomous driving
• 5.4 Traffic management
• 5.5 Passenger management
• 5.6 Safety & security
• 5.7 Bus route design

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Level of Automation, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Level 3
• 6.3 Level 4
• 6.4 Level 5

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Deployment Model, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 On-premises
• 7.3 Cloud-based
• 7.4 Hybrid

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 Public transport
• 8.3 Campus and corporate shuttles
• 8.4 Airport shuttles
• 8.5 Others

Chapter 9 Market Estimates & Forecast, By End Use, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 9.1 Key trends
• 9.2 Public transportation authorities
• 9.3 Private transport operators
• 9.4 Corporate fleets

Chapter 10 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn)

• 10.1 Key trends
• 10.2 North America
  • 10.2.1 U.S.
  • 10.2.2 Canada
• 10.3 Europe
  • 10.3.1 UK
  • 10.3.2 Germany
  • 10.3.3 France
  • 10.3.4 Spain
  • 10.3.5 Italy
  • 10.3.6 Russia
  • 10.3.7 Nordics
• 10.4 Asia Pacific
  • 10.4.1 China
  • 10.4.2 India
  • 10.4.3 Japan
  • 10.4.4 South Korea
  • 10.4.5 ANZ
  • 10.4.6 Southeast Asia
• 10.5 Latin America
  • 10.5.1 Brazil
  • 10.5.2 Mexico
  • 10.5.3 Argentina
• 10.6 MEA
  • 10.6.1 UAE
  • 10.6.2 South Africa
  • 10.6.3 Saudi Arabia

Chapter 11 Company Profiles

• 11.1 Aurora
• 11.2 Baidu Apollo
• 11.3 EasyMile
• 11.4 Imagry
• 11.5 ioki
• 11.6 Karsan
• 11.7 LILEE Systems
• 11.8 May Mobility
• 11.9 Mobileye
• 11.10 Navya
• 11.11 NVIDIA
• 11.12 Oxa
• 11.13 T-Hive
• 11.14 Via Transportation
• 11.15 Volvo Bus