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시장보고서
상품코드
1800239
니들 코크스 시장 : 예측(2025-2030년)Needle Coke Market - Forecasts fom 2025 to 2030 |
니들 코크스 시장은 2025년 41억 9,100만 달러에서 2030년에는 57억 4,100만 달러에 이르고, CAGR 6.49%를 보일 것으로 예측됩니다.
세계 니들 코크스 시장은 전기자동차(EV) 및 철강 생산(특히 전기로(EAF) 기술에 의한) 수요 증가로 인해 2025년부터 2030년까지 강력한 성장세를 보일 것으로 예측됩니다. 니들 코크스는 석유와 콜타르에서 추출한 고품질 탄소 재료로, EAF 제철 및 EV용 리튬 이온 배터리 음극에 사용되는 흑연 전극 제조에 필수적인 소재입니다. 이 시장은 지속 가능한 철강 생산을 촉진하는 엄격한 환경 규제와 전 세계적인 운송의 전동화 추진으로 활성화되고 있습니다. 문제는 원료 공급의 제약과 높은 생산비용을 꼽을 수 있습니다.
시장 성장 촉진요인
전기차 수요 증가
니들 코크스는 리튬 이온 배터리의 흑연 음극 생산에 필수적이기 때문에 전기자동차의 보급은 니들 코크스 시장의 주요 촉진요인이 되고 있습니다. 국제에너지기구(IEA)는 2024년 세계 전기차 판매량이 2023년 대비 25% 증가한 1,700만 대에 달할 것으로 전망하고 있습니다. 이러한 성장, 특히 중국에서의 성장은 배터리 생산 수요를 충족시키기 위한 고품질 니들 코크스에 대한 수요를 주도하고 있습니다. 미국이 2035년까지 100% 무공해 자동차 의무화, 인도가 2030년까지 자가용 전기차 30% 보급 목표 등 정부 정책이 배터리용 니들 코크스 수요를 더욱 촉진하고 있습니다.
EAF를 통한 철강 생산량 증가
환경 규제 강화를 배경으로 한 세계 EAF 제철로의 전환은 흑연 전극의 주요 원료인 니들 코크스에 대한 수요를 증가시키고 있습니다. 기존 고로보다 탄소 배출량이 적은 EAF 기술이 보급되고 있습니다. JFE스틸은 2023년 11월 일본 쿠라시키 플랜트에 대규모 EAF를 건설할 계획을 발표했으며, 2027년까지 연간 260만 톤의 배출량 감축을 목표로 하고 있습니다. 마찬가지로, HEG Limited는 2023년 11월에 흑연 전극 생산 능력을 연간 100kg으로 확대하여 니들 코크스에 대한 수요 증가에 대응하고 있습니다. 2022년에 발표된 중국의 산업 탄소 피크 계획은 2030년까지 EAF 제철이 철강 생산량의 20% 이상을 차지하게 될 것이며, 스크랩 처리 능력은 연간 1억 8,000만 톤을 초과할 것으로 예측했습니다.
시장 성장 억제요인
니들 코크스 시장은 한정된 원료의 가용성과 높은 생산 비용으로 인해 공급을 제한하고 가격을 상승시킬 수 있는 문제에 직면해 있습니다. 또한, 일부 지역의 규제 불일치 및 인프라 제한도 시장 성장을 저해하는 요인으로 작용하고 있습니다. 또한, 경제의 불확실성과 공급망의 혼란은 특히 신흥 시장에서 일관된 생산과 유통에 위험을 초래할 수 있습니다.
The needle coke market is expected to grow from USD4.191 billion in 2025 to USD5.741 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 6.49%.
The global needle coke market is projected to experience robust growth from 2025 to 2030, driven by increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and steel production, particularly through electric arc furnace (EAF) technology. Needle coke, a high-quality carbon material derived from petroleum or coal tar, is critical for manufacturing graphite electrodes used in EAF steelmaking and lithium-ion battery anodes for EVs. The market is fueled by stringent environmental regulations promoting sustainable steel production and the global push for electrification in transportation. Challenges include raw material supply constraints and high production costs.
Market Drivers
Rising Demand for Electric Vehicles
The surge in EV adoption is a primary driver of the needle coke market, as needle coke is essential for producing graphite anodes in lithium-ion batteries. The International Energy Agency reported significant EV sales growth, with global sales reaching 17 million in 2024, a 25% increase from 2023. This growth, particularly in China, drives demand for high-quality needle coke to meet battery production needs. Government policies, such as the U.S. mandate for 100% zero-emission vehicles by 2035 and India's target for 30% EV penetration in private cars by 2030, further boost demand for needle coke in battery applications.
Increasing Steel Production via EAF
The global shift toward EAF steelmaking, driven by stricter environmental regulations, is increasing demand for needle coke, a key raw material for graphite electrodes. EAF technology, which emits less carbon than traditional blast oxygen furnaces, is gaining traction. In November 2023, JFE Steel announced plans to build a large-scale EAF at its Kurashiki plant in Japan, aiming to reduce emissions by 2.6 million tons annually by 2027. Similarly, HEG Limited expanded its graphite electrode capacity to 100 kilotons per annum in November 2023, reinforcing the growing need for needle coke. China's Industrial Carbon Peaking plan, issued in 2022, projects EAF steelmaking to account for over 20% of steel production by 2030, with an annual scrap processing capacity exceeding 180 million metric tons.
Market Restraints
The needle coke market faces challenges due to limited raw material availability and high production costs, which can constrain supply and increase prices. Regulatory discrepancies and infrastructural limitations in some regions also hinder market growth. Additionally, economic uncertainties and supply chain disruptions pose risks to consistent production and distribution, particularly in emerging markets.
Market Segmentation
By Application
The market is segmented into graphite electrodes, lithium-ion batteries, and other applications like specialty carbon and ferroalloys. Graphite electrodes dominate, holding over 55% of the market share in 2023, driven by their critical role in EAF steelmaking. Lithium-ion battery applications are growing rapidly, fueled by EV production and energy storage demands, with needle coke used in high-performance anode materials.
By Grade
The market includes intermediate, premium, and super-premium grades. Intermediate-grade needle coke held over 50% of the market revenue in 2023 due to its cost-effectiveness and versatility in steel and battery applications. Super-premium grades are gaining traction for their low sulfur content and high performance in advanced applications.
By Geography
The Asia-Pacific region dominates, accounting for 63.5% of global market revenue in 2024, with China leading due to its robust steel and EV industries. China's needle coke market is expected to reach $2.47 billion by 2030, driven by its position as the world's largest steel producer, with 67.4 million metric tons produced in 2023. India is the fastest-growing market in the region, with its lithium-ion battery market projected to grow at a CAGR of 50% to 220 GWh by 2030. North America and Europe are also significant, driven by EV adoption and steel industry modernization.
Key Industry Developments
In January 2025, Chevron Lummus Global and TAQAT signed an agreement to enhance needle coke production for steel and battery applications, emphasizing technological advancements. In November 2023, Nippon Steel Corporation acquired a 20% stake in Elk Valley Resources to secure raw materials for needle coke production. These developments highlight the industry's focus on capacity expansion and sustainability.
The needle coke market is set for strong growth from 2025 to 2030, driven by EV battery production and EAF steelmaking. Asia-Pacific, particularly China, leads due to its dominant steel and EV sectors. Despite challenges like raw material scarcity, strategic investments and technological innovations will drive market expansion. Industry players must focus on sustainable production and supply chain stability to capitalize on growing demand.
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