양자 컴퓨팅 시장 보고서 : 동향, 예측, 경쟁 분석(-2031년)

The future of the global quantum computing market looks promising with opportunities in the optimization, simulation, and machine learning applications. The global quantum computing market is expected to reach an estimated $10.6 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 36.8% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the growing need for high-performance computing and the rising demand for quantum computing solutions from various industries.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the deployment category, the cloud is expected to witness higher growth over the forecast period due to its increasing usage among users, owing to its flexibility and powerful systems.
• Within the application category, optimization will remain the largest segment due to the growing use of quantum algorithms to optimize problems and solve them in a faster and more efficient manner.
• In terms of regions, APAC will remain the largest region over the forecast period due to the widespread applications of quantum computing across various sectors, such as defense, medical care, pharmaceuticals, and energy & power in the region.

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Emerging Trends in the Quantum Computing Market

The market of quantum computing is undergoing a number of trends that reflect advancements in technology and changing market dynamics that can be regarded as emergent. These trends impact both how quantum computing is made and applied, resulting in enhanced and new innovations and investments. Understanding these trends indicates the general direction in which the quantum computing industry will develop and identifies the opportunities and constraints that will influence market growth.

• More Investment and Funding: Growth in expenditure and funding is propelling the quantum computing market. Extensive quantum research and development has been initiated by both governments and private companies, as well as venture capitalists. For example, the National Quantum Initiative Act of the U.S. government and the large amounts of money the Chinese government allocates for research in quantum computing are clear indications of this trend. Investments are geared toward improving quantum hardware, software, and algorithms, thus speeding up the development of usable quantum computing systems and applications. This trend enhances the development and establishment of infrastructure and human capital for quantum computing, which consequently boosts innovation and market competitiveness.
• Quantum Hardware Development at a Glance: Quantum hardware development is one of the essential developments in the quantum computing market. The qubit technologies, including superconducting qubits and trapped ions, are aiding the enhancement and expansion capabilities of quantum computers. IBM and Google are also making improvements in qubit coherence and error correction that have resulted in the development of never-before-seen quantum hardware. These improvements are essential in the quest for bigger and more powerful quantum systems that contribute to the vision of practical applications for quantum computing, as well as improving the quantum technology landscape.
• Quantum Algorithms Evolution: The evolution of quantum algorithms is one of the major trends concerning the development of the quantum computing market. New efficient algorithms targeting problems that cannot be solved efficiently with classical computers are being developed. Some of these include quantum algorithms for optimization, cryptography, and simulation. Algorithm development focuses on the potential of quantum computing to provide solutions to some of the biggest challenges in the modern world for both companies and research institutions. As such, this trend is critical in facilitating the everyday use of quantum computing technologies in most sectors.
• Interfacing Quantum Computing with AI and Machine Learning: Hybrid approaches that combine quantum computing and machine learning or artificial intelligence (AI) are also starting to gain traction in the industry. AI and ML models, in particular, could be improved with the help of quantum algorithms by introducing novel methods for data and pattern analysis. The purpose of this integration is to make use of quantum computing power in a more effective and concentrated manner in AI and ML applications. Organizations are exploring how these same properties of quantum computing can be utilized in speeding up certain machine learning processes or fine-tuning AI algorithms, thus contributing to the progress of these technologies.
• Emergence of Quantum Communication and Security: An increasing emphasis on quantum communication and security is evident in the trends of quantum computing technology. There are initiatives toward developing quantum key distribution (QKD) and quantum encryption methods, which aim to ensure data protection and anonymity. Quantum communication technology development has become a strategic national security interest for countries like China and companies such as IBM, which seek to safeguard sensitive data from quantum-enabled intrusion. This trend indicates that the secure and reliable exchange of information is an issue of concern, and quantum technology is the solution to the problem of cybersecurity.

In the quantum computing market, trends such as increased investment, development of quantum hardware, advancement of quantum algorithms, integration with artificial intelligence, and major concerns regarding quantum communication and security are redefining the market. These trends spur development and offer new avenues for quantum computing usage, which, in turn, will impact the policies and strategies for the market's growth and development.

Recent Developments in the Quantum Computing Market

The quantum computing market has been an area of notable development over the past few years as more business and non-business stakeholders have continued to invest in the technology, reflecting both the investments made and the developments achieved. These developments are changing the world as far as quantum computing is concerned. Some of the main developments are those related to hardware, software, and application improvements that are leading to growth in the field of quantum technology.

• The Quantum System One by IBM: One of the notable developments in quantum computing hardware is IBM's Quantum System One. This one-piece computer encases superconducting qubits and includes the latest cryogenic capabilities for quantum computing. This milestone represents an important step in the commercialization of quantum computers. The subsequent upgrades and modifications of IBM's quantum systems are pushing the limits of quantum computing performance and dependability, raising expectations for the market's development.
• Google Attains an Achievement in Quantum Supremacy: Google's achievement of quantum supremacy, made possible with its Sycamore processor, is a breakthrough in the realm of quantum computing. This milestone marks the introduction of quantum computing systems that surpass classical computing in terms of capabilities. Google's ongoing research and development in this field aim to improve quantum computers and explore their potential applications, thus propelling the market forward.
• China's Satellite for Quantum Communication: China's establishment of Micius, the first satellite for quantum communication, represents a revolution in the field of quantum communication. Micius has achieved quantum key distribution (QKD) over long distances, connecting satellites with ground stations. This achievement illustrates China's position as a leading nation in the field of quantum communication and highlights the potential of quantum technologies to enhance data security. Micius's success paves the way for further developments in communication networks based on quantum technologies.
• European Initiatives in Quantum Computing: Europe has made significant progress in quantum computing by sponsoring and participating in various activities and cooperation programs. The European Union's Quantum Flagship program, launched in 2018, aims to promote activities related to quantum technology research and development. Additionally, intra-European collaborations, such as the partnership between IBM and the Fraunhofer Society, are advancing innovations in quantum hardware and software. These initiatives aim to make Europe a key player in the rapidly growing quantum computing market.
• National Quantum Mission of India: The National Quantum Mission of India, launched in 2020, is a mission-oriented program focused on promoting quantum research. The mission seeks to establish a quantum computing ecosystem that includes quantum hardware, computational algorithms, and applications. Major players such as the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) and the National Institute of Technology (NIT) are also involved in this mission. As India develops its quantum research capabilities and forms collaborations with other countries, it is positioning itself as a key player in this field.

Recent developments in the quantum computing market encompass significant milestones in technology and research, such as IBM's Quantum System One, Google's quantum supremacy breakthrough, China's quantum communication satellite, European efforts, and the National Quantum Mission of India. These developments are pushing the field forward, opening new horizons, and shaping the future of quantum computing.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Quantum Computing Market

There are several strategic growth opportunities within the quantum computing market across various application areas. As quantum technology advances, there are numerous areas for growth and evolution. Addressing these gaps will not only help expand the market but also help realize the potential of quantum computing.

• Optimization and Supply Chain Management: The use of quantum computing presents a strategic growth opportunity in optimization and supply chain management. Quantum algorithms can efficiently solve complex optimization tasks, such as route planning and inventory control, surpassing classical techniques. Many companies in various industries are using quantum computing to improve their supply chains and reduce losses. The application of quantum technology to optimize logistics can produce better efficiencies and enhance market competition, driving growth in this sector.
• Drug Discovery and Materials Science: Quantum computing can have a transformative impact on drug development and materials science. Quantum computations allow simulations of molecular interactions and chemical reactions, facilitating the development of novel drugs or materials. Pharmaceutical companies and research institutions are adopting quantum computing to improve drug discovery and design better materials. This area holds significant growth potential, as quantum technology creates opportunities for advances in science and technology.
• Financial Services and Risk Analysis: The financial services sector is expected to benefit from quantum computing, particularly in areas such as risk analysis and financial modeling. Quantum algorithms can process vast amounts of data and perform complex calculations more efficiently than traditional methods. Other applications include portfolio optimization, risk assessment, and fraud detection. The financial sector is exploring quantum computing to gain a competitive edge and improve decision-making, creating opportunities for growth in this business area.
• Cryptography and Data Security: Quantum computing poses both challenges and opportunities in the fields of cryptography and data security. Quantum technology is expected to render current encryption methods obsolete, but it also offers new ways to encrypt data securely, resistant to quantum-enabled attacks. As a result, organizations and governments are investing in quantum-secure encryption to protect sensitive information. Research and development in quantum communication and encryption, and its application to emerging security challenges, represent significant growth opportunities.
• Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning: The fusion of quantum computing with artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) presents enormous growth potential. Quantum algorithms can enhance AI and ML techniques, improving data processing and pattern recognition. Organizations are exploring how quantum computing can impact machine learning, including training model performance and algorithm optimization. This area has significant growth potential, which will drive the development of quantum computing and AI technologies.

Strategic growth opportunities in the quantum computing market, encompassing optimization, drug development, financial services, cryptography, and AI, highlight the diverse applications of quantum technology. With these opportunities, institutions and companies can innovate, enhance their capabilities, and position themselves to benefit from the expanding quantum computing market.

Quantum Computing Market Driver and Challenges

The quantum computing market is influenced by a range of drivers and challenges that shape its expansion and evolution. These factors include emerging technologies, the economic environment of different regions, and the regulations governing the industry. Understanding these drivers and challenges is essential for assessing the quantum computing market and its dynamics.

The factors driving the quantum computing market include:

• Technological Advancement of Quantum Hardware: Technological advances in quantum hardware, including breakthroughs in qubit coherence and error rates, are significant drivers of the quantum computing market. These improvements enable quantum computers to operate with higher reliability, scalability, and performance, leading to market growth.
• Increasing Demand for Better Computational Power: There is a growing demand for better computational power to address complex problems. Quantum computing presents a solution to problems in industries such as pharmaceuticals, aerospace, and logistics, thus driving its adoption. As industries look for ways to enhance their capabilities, the demand for quantum computing continues to rise.
• Increased Government Funding and Support: Government funding and support for quantum research and development are critical drivers of growth in the quantum computing market. Initiatives such as the National Quantum Initiative Act in the United States and the EU Quantum Flagship Program provide financial backing and resources to accelerate the development of quantum technologies.

On the other hand, challenges facing the quantum computing market include:

• High Costs and Infrastructure Requirements: The development of quantum computing technology requires substantial investment in research and development, along with the establishment of costly infrastructure. The expense of building quantum computing systems and maintaining the required equipment, such as cryogenic chambers, represents a challenge in the market.
• Complexity of Quantum Algorithms: Quantum algorithms remain a complex area of research, with many algorithms still in the early stages of development. There is a need for more efficient and scalable quantum algorithms, as many existing algorithms are too limited for commercial use. This presents a challenge for the market in terms of making quantum computing viable for widespread applications.
• Talent Shortage: A shortage of skilled talent is another key challenge facing the quantum computing industry. Developing quantum systems and algorithms requires highly specialized knowledge, and there is a growing demand for skilled professionals in the field. This talent shortage could slow the progress of the quantum computing industry and limit its growth.

The drivers of the quantum computing market include technological advances, increasing demand for computational power, and governmental support. However, challenges such as high costs, complexity, and talent shortages must be overcome for the market to reach its full potential. Addressing these challenges will be essential for the continued development of quantum computing and its wide adoption across industries.

List of Quantum Computing Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies quantum computing companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the quantum computing companies profiled in this report include-

• IBM
• D-Wave Quantum
• Microsoft
• Amazon Web Services
• Rigetti Computing
• Fujitsu
• Hitachi

Quantum Computing by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global quantum computing market by deployment, technology, application, end use, and region.

Quantum Computing Market by Deployment [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• On-Premises
• Cloud

Quantum Computing Market by Technology [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Trapped Ions
• Quantum Annealing
• Superconducting Qubits
• Others

Quantum Computing Market by Application [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Optimization
• Simulation
• Machine Learning
• Others

Quantum Computing Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Space & Defense
• Transportation & Logistics
• Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
• Chemicals
• Banking & Finance
• Energy & Power
• Academia
• Government
• Others

Quantum Computing Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Quantum Computing Market

The quantum computing market has seen significant activity due to domestic investments, government research and development, technological progress, and growing interest from both the public and private sectors. Quantum computing holds the promise of solving many problems across various industries that traditional computational methods cannot address. However, as the United States, China, Germany, India, and Japan explore the frontiers of quantum technology, each is making unique contributions to this rapidly changing industry. These developments are not only influencing the future of computing but also shaping national policies and international relations.

• US: The United States remains far ahead of other countries in the field of quantum computing, due to substantial government and private sector support. Companies such as IBM, Google, and Microsoft continue to develop their quantum technologies. IBM's Quantum System One, the first commercial quantum computer in the world, is being improved, while Google's Sycamore processor has achieved quantum supremacy by performing tasks that classical computers cannot accomplish. Furthermore, the U.S. government has pledged significant funding for quantum science under initiatives like the National Quantum Initiative Act to help build quantum infrastructure and capacity.
• China: China has made significant strides in quantum computing technology, supported by funding and continuous backing from the government and other organizations. The 13th Five-Year Plan of the Chinese government allocates substantial funds to quantum research, and private companies such as Alibaba and Baidu are advancing world-class technologies. Alibaba's DAMO Academy has developed a 9-qubit quantum processor, while Baidu's Quantum Computing Institute focuses on quantum algorithms and hardware development. Additionally, China has achieved notable successes in quantum communication and quantum key distribution, positioning itself as a leader and key competitor in the quantum computing arena.
• Germany: Germany is also making substantial progress in quantum computing, particularly on the empirical side. Major organizations involved in quantum research include the Max Planck Institute and the Fraunhofer Society. Notably, IBM and the German company IQM are collaborating to develop superconducting processing units, which are essential for quantum computation. Germany's emphasis also extends to building a quantum computing ecosystem that integrates basic science, industry, and support from the national government. The country is also advancing in communication-based quantum technologies and developing quantum-enhanced sensors, which are expected to further strengthen its position in the quantum computing field.
• India: India is rapidly growing in the quantum computing market, driven by various government and institutional efforts. The National Mission on Quantum Technologies and Applications is a key initiative aimed at promoting quantum technologies and applications in India. Institutions such as the Indian Institute of Science (IISc) and the National Institute of Technology (NIT) are actively engaged in research on quantum algorithms and hardware development. Cryptography and materials science are also part of India's focus on developing quantum computational technologies. Increased cooperation between Indian institutions and foreign organizations is positioning India as a strong player in the global quantum computing race.
• Japan: Japan has made significant progress and investment in quantum computing, with both government and corporate involvement. Major companies such as NEC and Toshiba are developing quantum technologies, with specific focuses on superconducting qubits for NEC and quantum key derivation for Toshiba. Additionally, the Japanese government has outlined plans to encourage the development of quantum sciences, including providing resources for public-private partnerships. Japan's strategy also seeks to extend the scope of quantum computing to applications in Artificial Intelligence, secure communication, and solving optimization problems, to become a key player in the global quantum computing market.

Features of the Global Quantum Computing Market

Market Size Estimates: Quantum computing market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Quantum computing market size by various segments, such as by deployment, technology, application, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Quantum computing market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different deployments, technologies, applications, end uses, and regions for the quantum computing market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the quantum computing market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the quantum computing market by deployment (on-premises and cloud), technology (trapped ions, quantum annealing, superconducting qubits, and others), application (optimization, simulation, machine learning, and others), end use (space & defense, transportation & logistics, healthcare & pharmaceuticals, chemicals, banking & finance, energy & power, academia, government, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Quantum Computing Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Quantum Computing Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Quantum Computing Market by Deployment
  • 3.3.1: On-Premises
  • 3.3.2: Cloud
• 3.4: Global Quantum Computing Market by Technology
  • 3.4.1: Trapped Ions
  • 3.4.2: Quantum Annealing
  • 3.4.3: Superconducting Qubits
  • 3.4.4: Others
• 3.5: Global Quantum Computing Market by Application
  • 3.5.1: Optimization
  • 3.5.2: Simulation
  • 3.5.3: Machine Learning
  • 3.5.4: Others
• 3.6: Global Quantum Computing Market by End Use
  • 3.6.1: Space & Defense
  • 3.6.2: Transportation & Logistics
  • 3.6.3: Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
  • 3.6.4: Chemicals
  • 3.6.5: Banking & Finance
  • 3.6.6: Energy & Power
  • 3.6.7: Academia
  • 3.6.8: Government
  • 3.6.9: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Quantum Computing Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Quantum Computing Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Deployment: On-Premises and Cloud
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by Application: Optimization, Simulation, Machine Learning, and Others
• 4.3: European Quantum Computing Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Deployment: On-Premises and Cloud
  • 4.3.2: European Market by Application: Optimization, Simulation, Machine Learning, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Quantum Computing Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Deployment: On-Premises and Cloud
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by Application: Optimization, Simulation, Machine Learning, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Quantum Computing Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Deployment: On-Premises and Cloud
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by Application: Optimization, Simulation, Machine Learning, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Quantum Computing Market by Deployment
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Quantum Computing Market by Technology
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Quantum Computing Market by Application
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Quantum Computing Market by End Use
  • 6.1.5: Growth Opportunities for the Global Quantum Computing Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Quantum Computing Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Quantum Computing Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Quantum Computing Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: IBM
• 7.2: D-Wave Quantum
• 7.3: Microsoft
• 7.4: Amazon Web Services
• 7.5: Rigetti Computing
• 7.6: Fujitsu
• 7.7: Hitachi