세계의 자동차 변속기 시장 규모, 점유율, 예측 및 동향 분석 : 유형별, 엔진 유형별, 차종별, 판매 채널별 - 예측(-2031년)

Automotive Transmission Market by Type (Manual Transmission, Automated Manual Transmission, and Semi-automated Manual Transmission), Engine Type (Petrol Engine and Diesel Engine), Vehicle Type, Sales Channel, and Geography-Global Forecast to 2031.

The research report titled 'Automotive Transmission Market by Type (Manual Transmission, Automated Manual Transmission, and Semi-automated Manual Transmission), Engine Type (Petrol Engine and Diesel Engine), Vehicle Type, Sales Channel, and Geography-Global Forecast to 2031' provides an in-depth analysis of global automotive transmission market across five major geographies and emphasizes on the current market trends, market sizes, market shares, recent developments, and forecasts till 2031.

The global automotive transmission market is projected to reach $146.2 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.4% from 2024-2031.

The growth of the automotive transmission market is driven by increasing advancements in automotive transmission technology and stringent regulatory standards and emission norms. However, the complexity of transmission systems and fluctuations in raw material prices may restrain market growth.

Furthermore, the rising focus on lightweight and highly efficient materials among automakers, coupled with the integration of AI and machine learning with automotive transmission systems, is expected to create market growth opportunities. However, supply chain disruptions pose a significant challenge to the market's growth.

The global automotive transmission market is segmented into type (manual transmission, automated manual transmission {automatic transmission, continuously variable transmission, and dual-clutch transmission}, and semi-automated manual transmission), engine type (petrol engine and diesel engine), vehicle type (passenger cars, light commercial vehicles, and heavy commercial vehicles {trucks and buses}, and sales channel (original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket). The study also evaluates industry competitors and analyzes the market at the regional and country levels.

Based on type, the global automotive transmission market is segmented into manual transmission, automated manual transmission, and semi-automated manual transmission. Furthermore, the automated manual transmission segment is sub-segmented into automatic transmission, continuously variable transmission, and dual-clutch transmission. In 2024, the manual transmission segment is expected to account for the largest share of over 48.0% of the global automotive transmission market. This segment's large market share can be attributed to the higher fuel efficiency offered by manual transmissions compared to automatic alternatives. With growing concerns regarding fuel economy and environmental sustainability, some consumers opt for manual transmissions to optimize fuel efficiency and reduce their carbon footprint. This trend is particularly pronounced in regions with high fuel prices or a strong emphasis on environmental consciousness, potentially driving market growth in these areas. Moreover, manual transmissions are generally simpler in design and have fewer components compared to automatic transmissions. This simplicity often translates to lower maintenance and repair costs over the lifespan of the vehicle.

However, the automated manual transmission segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period. The growth of this segment can be attributed to the benefits offered by automated transmissions, which combine the convenience of automatic transmissions with the engagement and control of manual transmissions. Furthermore, various key players are launching various automated manual transmissions, contributing to the market's growth. For instance, in February 2024, ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germany) announced the launch of the first PowerLine 8-speed automatic transmissions at its South Carolina manufacturing facility. As part of a USD 200 million investment unveiled in 2021, the company aims to increase production to 200,000 transmissions per year by 2025 to meet demand from US commercial vehicle manufacturers. Additionally, in January 2024, Tata Motors (India) launched the first-ever CNG cars equipped with automatic manual transmission (AMT) technology.

Based on engine type, the global automotive transmission market is segmented into petrol engines and diesel engines. In 2024, the petrol engines segment is expected to account for the larger share of over 56.0% of the global automotive transmission market. This segment's growth can be attributed to the compatibility of different types of automated transmissions, such as automatic transmissions and continuously variable transmissions (CVTs), with petrol engines. Automated transmissions play a crucial role in enhancing the performance of petrol engines by optimizing gear shifts for maximum power delivery and fuel efficiency. Moreover, features like dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs) offer quick gear changes, thereby improving acceleration and overall driving dynamics. These performance benefits are particularly appealing to enthusiasts and drivers who prioritize responsive and engaging driving experiences. These factors drive the demand for petrol engine vehicles equipped with automated transmissions.

Moreover, the petrol engines segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period.

Based on vehicle type, the global automotive transmission market is segmented into passenger cars, light commercial vehicles, and heavy commercial vehicles. Furthermore, the heavy commercial vehicles segment is sub-segmented into trucks and buses. In 2024, the passenger cars segment is expected to account for the largest share of over 47.0% of the global automotive transmission market. The large market share of this segment can be attributed to the ongoing advancements in the automotive industry, which is experiencing rapid technological progress, particularly in transmission systems. Emerging transmission technologies like continuously variable transmissions (CVTs), dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs), and automatic transmissions are gaining prominence in passenger cars due to their higher efficiency, performance, and comfort over traditional manual transmissions. Furthermore, passenger cars constitute the largest segment of the automotive market in terms of both production and sales volume. As a result, the demand for transmissions for passenger cars is significantly higher than that of other vehicle segments, such as commercial vehicles or off-road vehicles.

Moreover, the passenger cars segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period.

Based on sales channel, the global automotive transmission market is segmented into original equipment manufacturers and aftermarket. In 2024, the original equipment manufacturers segment is expected to account for the larger share of over 85.0% of the global automotive transmission market. The large market share of this segment can be attributed to increased expansion efforts by original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) by targeting emerging markets and diversifying their geographic footprint in the automated transmission market. These efforts involve adapting transmission offerings to align with regional preferences, regulatory environments, and infrastructure conditions. Moreover, OEMs may establish local manufacturing facilities, distribution networks, and marketing strategies to effectively penetrate new markets. Additionally, OEMs frequently collaborate with transmission component suppliers and technology companies to integrate cutting-edge features into their vehicles. Such partnerships enable OEMs to access specialized expertise, reduce development costs, and expedite time-to-market for new transmission technologies.

Moreover, the original equipment manufacturers segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period.

Based on geography, the automotive transmission market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa. In 2024, Asia-Pacific is expected to account for the largest share of over 41.0% of the global automotive transmission market. The Asia-Pacific region is undergoing rapid urbanization and economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and expanding middle-class populations. These factors contribute to increased vehicle ownership and replacement cycles, driving demand for both passenger and commercial vehicles. The increase in vehicle sales is increasing the demand for automotive transmissions.

Furthermore, in Asia-Pacific countries, there is a growing preference for automatic transmissions due to factors such as increasing traffic congestion in urban areas, the convenience of driving in stop-and-go traffic, and a desire for smoother driving experiences. This trend is driving demand for automatic transmission systems in passenger vehicles, particularly in larger cities.

Stringent regulations across Asia-Pacific have also incentivized companies to adopt more efficient transmission systems. Moreover, the increasing automotive sales, especially in countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea, are anticipated to positively impact the growth of the automotive transmission market in Asia-Pacific during the forecast period.

Additionally, key market players are constantly innovating and launching new products, contributing to the market's growth. For instance, in September 2023, Aisin Corporation (Japan) showcased a range of electrification technologies and innovations at the 2023 Detroit Auto Show. These include advanced axles for enhanced energy efficiency, a 1-motor Hybrid Transmission, and a 2-motor Hybrid System for improved performance.

Moreover, the market in Asia-Pacific is projected to register the highest CAGR of 7.0% during the forecast period.

The key players operating in the global automotive transmission market include ZF Friedrichshafen AG (Germany), Magna International Inc. (Canada), BorgWarner Inc. (U.S.), Continental AG (Germany), Eaton Corporation plc (U.S.), Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (U.S.), Marelli Holdings Co., Ltd. (Japan), AISIN Group (Japan), Bonfiglioli S.P.A (China), Hyundai Transys Inc. (South Korea), Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd. (Japan), Schaeffler AG (Germany), Vietesco Technologies Group AG (Germany), GKN plc (U.K.), and KATE LLC (Russia).

Key Questions Answered in the Report:

• What are the high-growth market segments in terms of type, engine type, vehicle type, and sales channel?
• What is the historical market size for the global automotive transmission market?
• What are the market forecasts and estimates for 2024-2031?
• What are the major drivers, restraints, opportunities, challenges, and trends in the global automotive transmission market?
• Who are the major players in the global automotive transmission market, and what are their market shares?
• What is the competitive landscape like?
• What are the recent developments in the global automotive transmission market?
• What are the different strategies adopted by major market players?
• What are the trends and high-growth countries?
• Who are the emerging players in the global automotive transmission market, and how do they compete with other players?

Scope of the Report:

Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Type

• Manual Transmission (MT)
  • Automated Manual Transmission (AMT)
  • Automatic Transmission (AT)
  • Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT)
• Dual-clutch Transmission (DCT)
• Semi-automated Manual Transmission

Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Engine Type

• Petrol Engines
• Diesel Engines

Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Vehicle Type

• Passenger Cars
• Light Commercial Vehicles
• Heavy Commercial Vehicles
  • Trucks
  • Buses

Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Sales Channel

• Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
• Aftermarket

Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Geography

• North America
  • U.S.
  • Canada
• Europe
  • Germany
  • U.K.
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Netherlands
  • Switzerland
  • Sweden
  • Denmark
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia-Pacific
  • China
  • Japan
  • India
  • South Korea
  • Australia & New Zealand
  • Indonesia
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam
  • Malaysia
  • Singapore
  • Rest of Asia- Pacific
• Latin America
  • Mexico
  • Brazil
  • Rest of Latin America
• Middle East & Africa
  • UAE
  • Israel
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Introduction

• 1.1 Market Definition & Scope
• 1.2 Currency & Limitations
  • 1.2.1 Currency
  • 1.2.2 Limitations

2. Research Methodology

• 2.1 Research Approach
• 2.2 Data Collection & Validation Process
  • 2.2.1 Secondary Research
  • 2.2.2 Primary Research/Interviews with Key Opinion Leaders from the Industry
• 2.3 Market Sizing and Forecasting
  • 2.3.1 Market Size Estimation Approach
  • 2.3.2 Growth Forecast Approach
• 2.4 Assumptions for the Study

3. Executive Summary

• 3.1 Market Overview
• 3.2 Market Analysis, by Type
• 3.3 Market Analysis, by Engine Type
• 3.4 Market Analysis, by Vehicle Type
• 3.5 Market Analysis, by Sales Channel
• 3.6 Market Analysis, by Geography
• 3.7 Competitive Analysis

4. Market Insights

• 4.1 Overview
• 4.2 Factors Affecting Market Growth
  • 4.2.1 Drivers
    • 4.2.1.1 Advancements in Automotive Transmission Technology
    • 4.2.1.2 Stringent Regulatory Standards and Emission Norms
  • 4.2.2 Restraints
    • 4.2.2.1 Complexity of Transmission Systems
    • 4.2.2.2 Fluctuations in Raw Material Prices
  • 4.2.3 Opportunities
    • 4.2.3.1 Rising Focus on Lightweight and Highly Efficient Materials Among Automakers
    • 4.2.3.2 Integration of AI and Machine Learning With Automotive Transmission Systems
  • 4.2.4 Challenges
    • 4.2.4.1 Supply Chain Disruptions
  • 4.2.5 Trends
    • 4.2.5.1 Growing Demand for Stepped Automatic Transmission
    • 4.2.5.2 Growing Adoption of Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT) in ASEAN Countries
• 4.3 Case Studies
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Porter's Five Forces Analysis

5. Global Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Type

• 5.1 Overview
• 5.2 Manual Transmission (MT)
• 5.3 Automated Manual Transmission (AMT)
  • 5.3.1 Automatic Transmission (AT)
  • 5.3.2 Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT)
  • 5.3.3 Dual-clutch Transmission (DCT)
• 5.4 Semi-automated Manual Transmission

6. Global Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Engine Type

• 6.1 Overview
• 6.2 Petrol Engine
• 6.3 Diesel Engines

7. Global Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Vehicle Type

• 7.1 Overview
• 7.2 Passenger Cars
• 7.3 Light Commercial Vehicles
• 7.4 Heavy Commercial Vehicles
  • 7.4.1 Trucks
  • 7.4.2 Buses

8. Global Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Sales Channel

• 8.1 Overview
• 8.2 Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
• 8.3 Aftermarket

9. Automotive Transmission Market Assessment-by Geography

• 9.1 North America
  • 9.1.1 U.S.
  • 9.1.2 Canada
• 9.2 Europe
  • 9.2.1 Germany
  • 9.2.2 U.K.
  • 9.2.3 France
  • 9.2.4 Italy
  • 9.2.5 Spain
  • 9.2.6 Netherlands
  • 9.2.7 Switzerland
  • 9.2.8 Sweden
  • 9.2.9 Denmark
  • 9.2.10 Rest of Europe
• 9.3 Asia-Pacific
  • 9.3.1 China
  • 9.3.2 Japan
  • 9.3.3 India
  • 9.3.4 South Korea
  • 9.3.5 Australia & New Zealand
  • 9.3.6 Indonesia
  • 9.3.7 Thailand
  • 9.3.8 Vietnam
  • 9.3.9 Malaysia
  • 9.3.10 Singapore
  • 9.3.11 Rest of Asia- Pacific
• 9.4 Latin America
  • 9.4.1 Mexico
  • 9.4.2 Brazil
  • 9.4.3 Rest of Latin America
• 9.5 Middle East & Africa
  • 9.5.1 UAE
  • 9.5.2 Israel
  • 9.5.3 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10. Global Automotive Transmission Market-Competitive Landscape

• 10.1 Overview
• 10.2 Key Growth Strategies
  • 10.2.1 Market Differentiators
  • 10.2.2 Synergy Analysis: Major Deals & Strategic Alliances
• 10.3 Competitive Dashboard
  • 10.3.1 Industry Leader
  • 10.3.2 Market Differentiators
  • 10.3.3 Vanguards
  • 10.3.4 Contemporary Stalwarts
• 10.4 Vendor Market Positioning
• 10.5 Market Share Analysis

11. Company Profiles (Company Overview, Financial Overview, Product Portfolio, Strategic Developments, and SWOT Analysis)

• 11.1 ZF Friedrichshafen AG
• 11.2 Magna International Inc.
• 11.3 BorgWarner Inc.
• 11.4 Continental AG
• 11.5 Eaton Corporation PLC
• 11.6 CONTINENTAL AG
• 11.7 Allison Transmission Inc.
• 11.8 Aisin Corporation
• 11.9 JATCO
• 11.10 Hyundai Transys Inc.
• 11.11 Musashi Seimitsu Industry Co., Ltd.
• 11.12 Schaeffler Group
• 11.13 Allison Transmission, Inc.
• 11.14 GKN PLC
• 11.15 Jatco Ltd.

(Note: SWOT Analysis of the Top 5 Companies Will Be Provided)

12. Appendix

• 12.1 Available Customization
• 12.2 Related Reports