양자 통신 시장 : 시장 점유율 분석, 업계 동향 및 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the quantum communication market size is projected to expand from USD 1.41 billion in 2025 and USD 1.80 billion in 2026 to USD 6.37 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 28.76% between 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Offering (Solutions, and Services), Deployment Mode (On-Premises, and Cloud), Organization Size (Large Enterprises, and Small and Medium Enterprises), Vertical (BFSI, Government and Defense, Healthcare, Aerospace, IT and Telecommunications, Energy and Utilities, Academia and Research, and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Global Quantum Communication Market Trends and Insights

Rising Quantum-Safe Migration Pressure from Harvest-Now, Decrypt-Later Risk

The quantum communication market is benefiting from a threat model that has become urgent for data with long confidentiality lives. NIST finalized core post-quantum standards in 2024 and selected HQC as a backup key encapsulation mechanism in 2025, providing buyers with a clearer migration path for long-term planning. The White House then set firm federal deadlines in June 2026 for post-quantum key establishment by December 31, 2030, and digital signature migration by December 31, 2031. NIST also framed post-quantum migration as a current risk-management issue rather than a future-only concern, which matters for sectors that retain records for decades. That pressure supports earlier budget approvals in the quantum communication market, especially where delayed action could expose sensitive archives, signing systems, and long-life encrypted records. The result is that the quantum communication market is being pulled forward by compliance calendars as much as by technology readiness.

Defense And National Security Procurement for Sovereign Secure Links

The quantum communication market is also being driven by defense buyers who value sovereign control and can absorb higher deployment costs. The White House order in June 2026 widened the federal push for quantum-safe migration and made the issue relevant across agencies and contractors that support sensitive systems. NSA guidance under CNSA 2.0 requires new national security system acquisitions to support post-quantum algorithms starting January 1, 2027, creating a clear procurement cutoff for future buys. Government network activity in Europe also shows that sovereign secure communications are moving from concept work into operational environments, as Denmark activated a quantum-secure network across 10 ministry sites in 2025. These programs matter for the quantum communication market because defense-grade procurement often sets technical standards that later influence financial, telecom, and infrastructure deployments. They also favor vendors that can meet strict certification, control, and integration requirements rather than selling stand-alone hardware.

High Capital Intensity for Quantum-Grade Hardware and Network Integration

The quantum communication market continues to face a significant cost barrier, particularly when deployments require specialized hardware, precise optical design, and network adaptation. This challenge is most evident in projects that require dedicated fiber conditions, strict physical control, and deep integration with legacy security environments. Vendors are working to reduce redesign requirements. For instance, ID Quantique and IonQ are expected to introduce Clavis XG Multiplex in 2025, enabling quantum and classical traffic to coexist on existing metropolitan fiber infrastructure. Carrier-led models are also supporting this transition. Orange Business is expected to launch Quantum Defender with Toshiba in 2025 as a commercial service rather than a pure equipment sale. Quantropi is expected to further advance this shift in 2026 by making its D-QKD platform generally available with Nokia integration, supporting hardware-agnostic deployment paths for carriers and enterprises. Despite these developments, the quantum communication market is likely to remain more accessible to large buyers than to mid-sized organizations until lower-cost packaging becomes more widely available.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Fiber And Satellite Hybridization Expanding Deployable Use Cases
2. Enterprise Crypto-Agility and Zero-Trust Program Alignment
3. Limited Standardization Across Protocols, Test Methods, And Certification

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

The Solutions segment is expected to account for 58.97% of the quantum communication market revenue in 2025, and it is projected to expand at a 30.34% CAGR through 2031, as enterprises and government agencies favor direct ownership of cryptographic hardware. This preference reflects the need to retain control over key generation in critical infrastructure settings. Quantum Key Distribution systems are expected to remain the primary revenue contributor within solutions. In June 2025, Orange Business and Toshiba are expected to launch France's first commercial quantum-safe network service, combining Quantum Key Distribution and post-quantum cryptography across the greater Paris area. Quantum Random Number Generators are also expected to move beyond specialized security applications. Palo Alto Networks is expected to introduce its QRNG Open API framework in January 2025 to support interoperability across vendors, while OVHcloud is expected to use QRNG-generated entropy to secure SSL certificates for nearly 5 million hosted websites by September 2025.

Quantum communication components, including single-photon detectors, quantum memories, and photonic integrated circuits, are expected to remain supply-constrained and command high margins. This concentration of specialist suppliers supports their pricing position. Other solutions, including post-quantum key management software and crypto-agile middleware, are expected to receive greater procurement attention as enterprises seek tools to manage hybrid quantum-classical environments. The Services segment is expected to represent a smaller share of the quantum communication market in 2025, although deployment and integration are likely to generate substantial billing opportunities. In May 2026, Terra Quantum and Merqury Cybersecurity are expected to deploy a Quantum Key Distribution link on Melita's active telecom fiber network in Malta, processing tens of thousands of key requests through an ETSI-aligned REST API. Professional services, training, support, and managed key provisioning are expected to expand as BFSI and defense organizations address crypto-agility requirements, limited specialist skills, and the cost of operating on-premises infrastructure.

On-premises deployment is expected to account for 67.32% of revenue in 2025, showing that the quantum communication market still leans toward physically controlled environments. This pattern is strongest in defense, government, and financial clearing networks, where custody, visibility, and operational isolation remain central requirements. In many of these settings, QKD's security promise depends on tight control over the key distribution environment, making shared infrastructure a difficult fit. The quantum communication market has therefore built much of its installed base around on-premises models, where operators can directly manage network conditions. This installed base is expected to remain important through the forecast period because many regulated systems cannot shift their trust boundaries quickly.

The quantum communication market size for cloud deployment is projected to expand at a 29.21% CAGR from 2026 to 2031, making it the fastest-growing deployment mode. This growth reflects rising demand for software-defined and subscription-based models that reduce the complexity barrier for smaller buyers in photonics. Quantropi's D-QKD platform is expected to reach general availability in 2026 with integration into Nokia's Security Management Server, supporting a hardware-agnostic approach for carrier and enterprise deployments. Orange Business also commercialized Quantum Defender in the greater Paris area in 2025 with Toshiba, showing how telecom operators can package quantum-safe networking as a managed service. As a result, the quantum communication market is creating a second adoption path that does not require every customer to begin with heavy capital spending.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Offering
  • Solutions
    • Quantum Communication Components
    • Quantum Key Distribution Solutions
    • Quantum Random Number Generator
    • Other Solutions
  • Services
    • Professional Services
    • Training and Consulting
    • Deployment and Integration
    • Support and Maintenance
    • Other Services
• By Deployment Mode
  • On-Premises
  • Cloud
• By Organization Size
  • Large Enterprises
  • Small and Medium Enterprises
• By Vertical
  • BFSI
  • Government and Defense
  • Healthcare
  • Aerospace
  • IT and Telecommunications
  • Energy and Utilities
  • Academia and Research
  • Other Verticals
• By Geography
  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Rest of South America
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • United Kingdom
    • France
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • Middle East
    • Saudi Arabia
    • United Arab Emirates
    • Rest of the Middle East
  • Africa
    • South Africa
    • Nigeria
    • Rest of Africa

Geography Analysis

North America is expected to hold 23.98% of the quantum communication market share in 2025, making it the largest regional contributor. The United States leads the region, as federal mandates and contractor obligations are accelerating migration planning across public agencies and defense-linked supply chains. The White House order issued in June 2026 is expected to set firm federal deadlines for post-quantum migration, strengthening the compliance case for earlier deployment decisions. Canada also supports the region's position, with federal planning requirements expected by April 2026 and CAD 334 million (USD 243 million) directed to selected quantum companies in 2025.

Asia-Pacific is projected to expand at a CAGR of 29.11% from 2026 to 2031, making it the fastest-growing region in the quantum communication market. China's carrier-grade network is expected to exceed 10,000 km by 2025 and to combine terrestrial fiber with satellite ground stations, providing the region with a deployed national-scale reference model. India is expected to reach a 1,000-km QKD milestone in April 2026 under the National Quantum Mission and target a 2,000-km backbone with satellite integration by 2031. Japan, South Korea, and Singapore are also advancing secure communications programs for government and financial applications, supporting broader regional demand. Europe remains competitive through EuroQCI and related national programs. Denmark is expected to activate a quantum-secure network across 10 ministry sites in 2025, while ETSI is expected to continue strengthening the regional standards base in 2026.

South America, the Middle East, and Africa remain earlier-stage parts of the quantum communication market, with activity focused on policy work, selective pilots, and critical infrastructure planning. Brazil is the most active early market in South America, with interest focused on secure interbank communication and financial-sector use cases. The Middle East is linking quantum-safe programs to sovereign cloud agendas and critical infrastructure protection, which should support future procurement as operational requirements mature. Africa remains at an earlier awareness stage, but participation in broader standards frameworks should help regional programs align with the interoperability direction now forming across the quantum communication market.

1. Toshiba Corporation
2. Thales S.A.
3. ID Quantique SA
4. QuintessenceLabs Pty Ltd
5. QuantumCTek Co., Ltd.
6. Qubitekk, Inc.
7. Quantum Xchange, Inc.
8. MagiQ Technologies, Inc.
9. Arqit Quantum Inc.
10. Aliro Quantum, Inc.
11. HEQA Security B.V.
12. Crypta Labs Limited
13. SpeQtral Pte. Ltd.
14. QNu Labs Private Limited
15. QphoX B.V.
16. Qunnect, Inc.
17. LuxQuanta Technologies S.L.
18. Quantropi Inc.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Rising Quantum-Safe Migration Pressure From Harvest-Now, Decrypt-Later Risk
  • 4.2.2 Defense And National Security Procurement For Sovereign Secure Links
  • 4.2.3 Fiber And Satellite Hybridization Expanding Deployable Use Cases
  • 4.2.4 Enterprise Crypto-Agility And Zero-Trust Program Alignment
  • 4.2.5 Interoperability Demand Across Multi-Vendor Quantum Security Stacks
  • 4.2.6 Specialized Demand From Critical Infrastructure And High-Value Transaction Networks
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 High Capital Intensity For Quantum-Grade Hardware And Network Integration
  • 4.3.2 Limited Standardization Across Protocols, Test Methods, And Certification
  • 4.3.3 Shortage Of Quantum Optics And Photonics Deployment Talent
  • 4.3.4 Export Controls And Sovereignty Rules Fragment Cross-Border Rollouts
• 4.4 Industry Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Pricing Analysis
• 4.8 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.8.1 Bargaining Power Of Suppliers
  • 4.8.2 Bargaining Power Of Buyers
  • 4.8.3 Threat Of New Entrants
  • 4.8.4 Threat Of Substitutes
  • 4.8.5 Industry Rivalry Analysis

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

• 5.1 By Offering
  • 5.1.1 Solutions
    • 5.1.1.1 Quantum Communication Components
    • 5.1.1.2 Quantum Key Distribution Solutions
    • 5.1.1.3 Quantum Random Number Generator
    • 5.1.1.4 Other Solutions
  • 5.1.2 Services
    • 5.1.2.1 Professional Services
    • 5.1.2.2 Training and Consulting
    • 5.1.2.3 Deployment and Integration
    • 5.1.2.4 Support and Maintenance
    • 5.1.2.5 Other Services
• 5.2 By Deployment Mode
  • 5.2.1 On-Premises
  • 5.2.2 Cloud
• 5.3 By Organization Size
  • 5.3.1 Large Enterprises
  • 5.3.2 Small and Medium Enterprises
• 5.4 By Vertical
  • 5.4.1 BFSI
  • 5.4.2 Government and Defense
  • 5.4.3 Healthcare
  • 5.4.4 Aerospace
  • 5.4.5 IT and Telecommunications
  • 5.4.6 Energy and Utilities
  • 5.4.7 Academia and Research
  • 5.4.8 Other Verticals
• 5.5 By Geography
  • 5.5.1 North America
    • 5.5.1.1 United States
    • 5.5.1.2 Canada
    • 5.5.1.3 Mexico
  • 5.5.2 South America
    • 5.5.2.1 Brazil
    • 5.5.2.2 Argentina
    • 5.5.2.3 Rest of South America
  • 5.5.3 Europe
    • 5.5.3.1 Germany
    • 5.5.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.5.3.3 France
    • 5.5.3.4 Rest of Europe
  • 5.5.4 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.4.1 China
    • 5.5.4.2 Japan
    • 5.5.4.3 India
    • 5.5.4.4 South Korea
    • 5.5.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
  • 5.5.5 Middle East
    • 5.5.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.5.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.5.5.3 Rest of the Middle East
  • 5.5.6 Africa
    • 5.5.6.1 South Africa
    • 5.5.6.2 Nigeria
    • 5.5.6.3 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Toshiba Corporation
  • 6.4.2 Thales S.A.
  • 6.4.3 ID Quantique SA
  • 6.4.4 QuintessenceLabs Pty Ltd
  • 6.4.5 QuantumCTek Co., Ltd.
  • 6.4.6 Qubitekk, Inc.
  • 6.4.7 Quantum Xchange, Inc.
  • 6.4.8 MagiQ Technologies, Inc.
  • 6.4.9 Arqit Quantum Inc.
  • 6.4.10 Aliro Quantum, Inc.
  • 6.4.11 HEQA Security B.V.
  • 6.4.12 Crypta Labs Limited
  • 6.4.13 SpeQtral Pte. Ltd.
  • 6.4.14 QNu Labs Private Limited
  • 6.4.15 QphoX B.V.
  • 6.4.16 Qunnect, Inc.
  • 6.4.17 LuxQuanta Technologies S.L.
  • 6.4.18 Quantropi Inc.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

• 7.1 White-Space And Unmet-Need Assessment
• 7.2 Roadmap For Quantum Network Commercialization
• 7.3 Ecosystem Analysis