독일의 해상 풍력발전 시장 : 점유율 분석, 업계 동향과 통계, 성장 예측(2026-2031년)

According to Mordor Intelligence, Germany offshore wind energy market size in 2026 is estimated at 12.41 gigawatt, growing from 2025 value of 10.25 gigawatt with 2031 projections showing 32.27 gigawatt, growing at 21.06% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Foundation Type (Fixed-Bottom and Floating), Turbine Capacity (Up To 3 MW, 3 To 6 MW, and Above 6 MW), and Application (Utility-Scale, Commercial and Industrial, and Community Projects). The Market Size and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Installed Capacity (GW).

Germany Offshore Wind Energy Market Trends and Insights

Accelerated 30 GW-by-2030 National Target

The federal goal, doubled from its earlier pledge, obliges yearly additions near 3.1 GW, far above the sub-300 MW pace logged in 2023. The Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency has zoned precise build areas that let developers plan equipment orders and capital spending with more certainty. Faster permits and auction clarity are driving a queue of multi-gigawatt projects that will keep the German offshore wind energy market on its steep growth track. Companies are lobbying for quicker grid links so new capacity can feed demand centers in the south. Meeting the target cements Germany as Europe's second-largest offshore arena, below only the United Kingdom.

Falling Levelized Cost from>14 MW Turbines

Rapid adoption of 14-15 MW turbines lifts output per foundation and trims array-cable runs. Siemens Gamesa's SG 14-222 DD delivers 25% more annual energy than its 11 MW predecessor. Fraunhofer ISE pegs 2024 LCOE at 5.5-10.3 €c/kWh, putting offshore wind on par with gas-fired power in Germany. Developers favor bigger rotors because fewer units cut crane days and vessel charters, two of the priciest items in a build budget. The trend protects margins as zero-subsidy bids become common in the German offshore wind energy market.

Grid-Connection Queue & Onshore Transmission Bottlenecks

TenneT curtailed 9% of North Sea output in 2024 due to cable congestion. The federal regulator forecasts that 500,000 km of new lines plus transformers will be needed by 2045. Delays inflate financing costs and dent capacity factors, holding back the German offshore wind energy market during a critical scale-up phase.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Federal-State North Sea-Baltic "Area Development Plan 2023" Build-out Timetable
2. Corporate PPA Boom Among German Heavy Industry
3. Heavy-Lift Vessel & Monopile Forging Scarcity

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Fixed-bottom structures represented 84.68% of the German offshore wind energy market in 2025, driven by shallow-water zones near Borkum and Sylt, where monopile costs average EUR 1.9-2.1 million per MW. RWE's 300-monopile reservation with Steelwind secures capacity through 2027 but signals scarcity, as European mills run at 85% utilization. Supply tightness and steel price inflation could accelerate the adoption of floating if fabrication lead times extend beyond two years.

Floating foundations held 15.32% in 2025 and are forecast to grow at a 25.41% CAGR through 2031, supported by Baltic sites beyond the 50-meter isobath and the North Sea west of Heligoland. Although the capital cost remains EUR 2.8-3.4 million per MW, floating technology eliminates costly seabed dredging and expands the developable seabed by 40% in German waters. Upcoming Arkona Basin tenders include three floating-specific zones totaling 1.2 GW, expected to connect through BalWin 5 after 2030. As turbine ratings climb, floating platforms' higher nameplate capacities could offset upfront cost premiums, sustaining momentum in the German offshore wind energy market.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Foundation Type
  • Fixed-Bottom
  • Floating
• By Turbine Capacity
  • Up to 3 MW
  • 3 to 6 MW
  • Above 6 MW
• By Application
  • Utility-scale
  • Commercial and Industrial
  • Community Projects
• By Component (Qualitative Analysis)
  • Nacelle/Turbine
  • Blade
  • Tower
  • Generator and Gearbox
  • Balance-of-System
  • Others (Installation, Vessels, O&M)

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Orsted A/S
2. RWE AG
3. Vattenfall AB
4. EnBW Energie Baden-Wurttemberg AG
5. Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy S.A.
6. General Electric Company
7. Nordex SE
8. Enercon GmbH
9. Vestas Wind Systems A/S
10. PNE AG
11. wpd AG
12. Iberdrola Renovables Deutschland GmbH
13. Equinor ASA
14. Shell plc
15. TotalEnergies SE
16. Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners
17. Parkwind NV
18. EDF Renewables
19. BP plc
20. TenneT TSO GmbH

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Accelerated 30 GW-by-2030 national target
  • 4.2.2 Falling levelized cost from >14 MW turbines
  • 4.2.3 Federal-state North Sea - Baltic "Area Development Plan 2023" build-out timetable
  • 4.2.4 Corporate PPA boom among German heavy industry
  • 4.2.5 Offshore wind-to-hydrogen pilot tenders (H2Global, AquaVentus)
  • 4.2.6 Digital-twin O&M platforms cutting downtime
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Grid-connection queue & onshore transmission bottlenecks
  • 4.3.2 Lengthy maritime environmental permitting
  • 4.3.3 Heavy-lift vessel & monopile forging scarcity
  • 4.3.4 High interest-rate environment squeezing project IRRs
• 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
• 4.6 Technological Outlook
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Competitive Rivalry
• 4.8 PESTLE Analysis

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

• 5.1 By Foundation Type
  • 5.1.1 Fixed-Bottom
  • 5.1.2 Floating
• 5.2 By Turbine Capacity
  • 5.2.1 Up to 3 MW
  • 5.2.2 3 to 6 MW
  • 5.2.3 Above 6 MW
• 5.3 By Application
  • 5.3.1 Utility-scale
  • 5.3.2 Commercial and Industrial
  • 5.3.3 Community Projects
• 5.4 By Component (Qualitative Analysis)
  • 5.4.1 Nacelle/Turbine
  • 5.4.2 Blade
  • 5.4.3 Tower
  • 5.4.4 Generator and Gearbox
  • 5.4.5 Balance-of-System
  • 5.4.6 Others (Installation, Vessels, O&M)

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves (M&A, Partnerships, PPAs)
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis (Market Rank/Share for key companies)
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Orsted A/S
  • 6.4.2 RWE AG
  • 6.4.3 Vattenfall AB
  • 6.4.4 EnBW Energie Baden-Wurttemberg AG
  • 6.4.5 Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy S.A.
  • 6.4.6 General Electric Company
  • 6.4.7 Nordex SE
  • 6.4.8 Enercon GmbH
  • 6.4.9 Vestas Wind Systems A/S
  • 6.4.10 PNE AG
  • 6.4.11 wpd AG
  • 6.4.12 Iberdrola Renovables Deutschland GmbH
  • 6.4.13 Equinor ASA
  • 6.4.14 Shell plc
  • 6.4.15 TotalEnergies SE
  • 6.4.16 Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners
  • 6.4.17 Parkwind NV
  • 6.4.18 EDF Renewables
  • 6.4.19 BP plc
  • 6.4.20 TenneT TSO GmbH

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment